SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

One More Round SCR’D can kick off a big day for Avila and the Valente Family who follow up with Doyouknowsomething in the 5th and Aussie Prayer in the 8th. Alex and JoAnn Lieblong are also well represented today with the entry here, pacesetter Burndines in the 4th and Fire Starter in the 6th..

Best Value: #5 Clear the Mine 5-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Homewood Field 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Lieblong entry 8-1 5th/6th

2nd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Evolution 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Unbridled Hero 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Tashreeh 9-5 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Dettifoss 12-1 5th

3rd: Skidmore-NY, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Harlan’s Harmony 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #1 Wellabled 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Iron Mane 9-5 5th
Super Add: #5 Freud’s Friend 4-1 3rd

4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Deep, contentious group with Farhaan a bit compromised by wide draw. Roy Lerman’s Natural Order won’t be 15-1, but will be square and should be well placed throughout under Castellano..

Best Value: #5 Natural Order 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Farhaan 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #4 Brickyard Kitten 15-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Abtaal 3-1 4th

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Mr Palmer 4-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Tale of Life 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Muqtaser 3-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Doyouknowsomething 6-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
2: 3-7 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
3: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
4: 4-5-10 (A), 3-7-8 (B), 1-8-9 (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 3-7 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
3: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
4: 4-5-10 (A), 3-6-7 (B), 1-8-9 (C)
5: 5 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x1 = $12 ($6 x .50 = $12

6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mambo At the Gym 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Fire Starter 6-1 5th
Best Value: ##1 Magritte 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Approvethemessage 3-1 WON ($6.30)

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Picco Uno 3-1 10th
Best Value: #2 Even Bette 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Riot Worthy 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Big Mara 10-1 2nd

8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Full Tap 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #9 Startwithsilver 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lakeside Sunset 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 My Kinda Gal 5-1 4th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Changewilldoyougood 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Chiltern Street 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Bashart 15-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Coalport 5-1 4th

10th: Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Libby’s Tale 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Olive Branch 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Ever So Clever 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Silvertoni 7-2 2nd

11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Mike Rogers ships in with Sad But True and has gaudy numbers making the mocves involved including MSW/MCLM, 1st turf, synthetic/turf, turf sprinting, et al..

Best Value: #5 Sad But True 10-1 9th
Next Best: #9 E Warfare 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Cats Halo 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Flying K C 9-2 2nd

P4 Grid:

8: 6 (A), 1-9 (B), 3-4-7-8 (C)
9: 2-4-8 (A), – (B), 3-6-11 (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x2x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)

SARATOGA

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Unsinkable 3-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Detroit Blues 9-2 WON ($28.00)
Best Value: #3 Reporter 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Duke of Medina 5-1 7th

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Lutheran Miss 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #1 Jademarie 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Broadway Music Gal 4-1 3rd

3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cash Considerations 9-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Askfor Forgiveness 2-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #1 Wild With Style 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Palladian Bridge 9-2 3rd

4th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Akatea 8-5 4th
Next Best: #1 All in Fun 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Industrial Policy 5-2 3rd

5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Sugar Trip 2-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Will Did It 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Justalittlebitmore 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #1e Zito entry 8-1 6th/8th

6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Street Strut 6-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Aroma 20-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Giovanna Blues 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Llanita 9-5 WON ($8.10)

P5 Grid:

2: 1-5 (A), 2-3 (B), 4 (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
4: 2 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
5: 2-9 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 3-6-10 (A), 2-4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x1x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)

P4 Grid:

3: 4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 2 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-5 (C)
5: 2-5-9 (A), 1-3-4-7 (B), – (C)
6: 3-6-10 (A), 2-4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x7x6 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A’s: 2x1x3x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Grand Candy 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Moon River 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Cort 8-5 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Lord of Love 7-2 2nd

8th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Don Dulce 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Lucky Lotto 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1a Indycott 9-5 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #3 Wizardly 10-1 5th

9th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #9 China Grove 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Big City Dreamin 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Lull 5-2 DNF (Fell)
Super Add: #2 Con Te Partiro 8-1 WON ($20.00)

10th: MCLM/$20k, 3=, 6f

Best Value: #11 Allen Gray 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Persuasion 5-1 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Sunshine Sperry 20-1 12th
Super Add: #5 Rydell 20-1 4th

P4 Grid:

7: 3 (A), 5-6 (B), 4-10 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 1-3 (B), 5 (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 7 (B), 2 (C)
10: 8-11 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-6-9-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x2x2 = $8 ($4 for x .50)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Gentrify, Two Times Book & The Great Whiteway add intrigue trying lawn for first time..

Most Likely: #9 Decent 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Ross J Dawg 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 End Play 5-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Gentrify 5-1 7th

2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Boomerang Toy wires if unchallenged, but this feels more complex than that..

Best Value: #5 Eye Love Michael 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Boomerang Toy 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Devilish Grin 4-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Elusive Talmo 10-1 5th

3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Hennig drops back to NY-MSW co. after Lynbrook board hit, but expect Linda Rice chestnut Stonecoldfox to come out running being by early sire Bustin Stones..

Best Value: #6 Stonecoldfox 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Paz the Bourbon 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Christening 8-1 WON ($20.40)
Super Add: #3 Rare Rose 6-1 5th

4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Some big time giveaways (3-4-7) here that have been hit/miss propositions all meet..

Most Likely: #3 Blame Jim 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Attractive Ride 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Street Spice 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Richie’s Rich 9-5 WON ($4.70)

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Deep, involved group with many firsters having positive indices for success. Use as many as you can afford in multis..

Most Likely: #2 Beat the Benchmark 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #8 Daddyisdooley 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Proud Reunion 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Yorkiepoo Princess 12-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-2-4-6 (C)
2: 5-8 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), – (B), 3-4-7 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 2-5-8 (A), – (B), 3-4-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 5-8 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-6 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), – (B), 3-4-7 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 2-5-8 (A), 9-10 (B), 3-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

6th: NY-CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hidden Vow 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lyrical Miracle 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Mobridge 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hurry Up Alan 2-1 WON ($7.40)

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Portando 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Pirellone 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Delta Outlaw 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Loose On the Town 10-1 WON ($8.10)

8th: 13th Saratoga Dew-NY, 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Fascinating group with pace development the key to everything..

Most Likely: #10 Jules N Rome 5-1 WON ($8.70)
Best Value: #8 Jc’s Shooting Star 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Daisy Cutter 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Literata 7-2 5th

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f-T

Most Likely: #7 Jennifer’s Legacy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Brass Cat 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Time Squared 9-5 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Sneaky Fudge Face 10-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Tattletale Grey 10-1 9th

P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-7 (A), – (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 2 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
8: 5-8-9-10 (A), – (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x4x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Dr Luber’s Kiss 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Baby Bear’s Soup 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Frosti Agosti 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Call Me Stoney 9-5 2nd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Do you really want to argue with C. Brown/Woodford TB’s $850k Ticonderoga (Tapit out of Proctor’s MGSW Keertana) who’s working well for debut and gets the rail? Formula One would be an alternative, a $1,700,000 buy at OBS in March that has been steady in the mornings..

Most Likely: #1 Ticonderoga 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Formula One 6-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Good Samaritan 12-1 WON ($20.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Harlan’s Hunch 3-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Royal Copy 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Next Best: #2 Leviathan 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Confederate 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Pretty Boy Flash 7-2 2nd

4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Midnight Notes 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Husband’s Folly 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Sinatra 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Sportscaster 9-2 WON ($12.60)

5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Any Questions 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Thirst for Victory 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Adulation 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Perro Rojo 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 4-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-5 (C)
2: 1-4 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
3: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), 3-8 (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-2-11 (C)
5: 3-5 (A), – (B), 2-4-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 1-4 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
3: 1-2-6 (A), 3-8 (B), 4-5 (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-2-11 (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 2-7 (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

ARLINGTON PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 5th American St. Leger (G3), 3+, 13.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Da Big Hoss 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #8 Clondow Warrior 9-2 2nd
Best Value: ##10 Billabong 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 O’Prado Ole 12-1 DNF

7th: 40th Secretariat (G1), 3yo, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Beach Patrol 2-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #8 Long Island Sound 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Cherry Wine 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 American Patriot 5-1 3rd

8th: 34th Beverly D. (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Sea Calisi 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #1 Ballydoyle 9-2 12th
Best Value: #4 No Fault of Mine 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Zipessa 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Tuttipaesi 20-1 4th

9th: 34th Arlington Million (G1), 3+, 10f-T (DD, Million-Fourstardave DBL)

Best Value: #9 Mondialiste 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #10 Wake Forest 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #12 Tryster 7-2 8th
Super Add: #11 World Approval 4-1 7th

P4 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 8 (B), 10 (C)
7: 8-9 (A), 1-2-4-7 (B), – (C)
8: 13 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-6-8-9 (C)
9: 9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), 5-6 (C)

Full (A+B): 2x6x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x1x2 = $4 ($20 for $5)

$1 P4 (5/7/9-9-13-9) Paid $160.40 ($802.00 for $5)

10th: 53rd Pucker Up (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Outlandish group of 14. Note that there’s not a tremendous amount of pace on..

Best Value: #14 Havana Dream SCR
Next Best: #9 Auntie Joy 7-2 2nd-up via DQ
Exotics Use: #11 Noble Beauty 3-1 WON-up via DQ ($7.20)
Super Add: #7 Nawlins Kitty 12-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Nobody’s Fault 20-1 12th