DEL MAR RESULTS 7/16

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Fight Thru making steady career progress for Miller and even with possible strong pace is one to beat; Gangnam Guy new to Dorf barn and appears a good fit at solid price; Northern Iowa a steady check-earner with this company and gets chance to attack late; Derby Glass another that fits at level and in race flow..

Most Likely: #8 Fight Thru 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Gangnam Guy 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #5 Northern Iowa 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Derby Glass 3-1 3rd

8th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Del Mar meet opening standard didn’t split into divisions but drew full field of assorted sophs, 5 of which are making surface moves. Despite the array, there are just two top candidates in Papacoolpapacool and Soul Driver. Papacoolpapacool exits Penn Mile, won by Belmont Derby next out winner Force the Pass, while Soul Driver earned 2nd career win crushing Singletary at SA at today’s trip. After that pair, the pricey intrigue comes from forward-going Tried and True from Harty and Drysdale IRE-bred NA-firster Thanksgiving Day. Tried and True makes turf bow here and is beautifully made for the lawn being by Medaglia d’Oro and out of Group 3 winning Rahy mare Dearly who herself is a half sister to the talented Balletto (Timber Country). Thanksgiving Day was 10/2-3-2 in UK for small money and has hinted at talent in the mornings per Andy Harrington..

Most Likely: #10 Papacoolpapacool 5-2 5th
Next Best: #11 Soul Driver 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #3 Tried and True 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Thanksgiving Day 10-1 10th

9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Not your typical late 3yo MDN group with some highly pedigreed types involved as well as some hot working gals with experience. Dreamologist (Tapit), sister of Fast Anna (Md’O) out of Calabrese’s wonderful Dreaming of Anna, arrives for debut with series of wow works that have captivated Clocker’s Corner. Wins at first asking if she runs to morning talent. Wygod homebred Sweet Promises (Bernardini) is o/o ’08 BC Distaff heroine Life Is Sweet and adds blinkers while turning back and is going to provide value. $400k Midnight Belle (Bernardini) makes her 3yo debut here and the half sis of Unbridled Belle (Unbridled’s Song) lures Bejarano and may be ready to fire first off the bench for Puype. Never Ends has been knocking on the door for Hollendorfer and new West Coast arrival James Graham gets a chance to make a good impression on important barn with the mount. Illuminant is 2nd/break for Mike McCarthy and just missed in 3yo debut 6/7 at SA. D’ Amato has a sharp-drilling Gloryzapper making career bow, but this one may be a rallying type that needs pace up front or a little added distance. Hess’ Dunkirk FTS Seaward Cottage looks like she has ability but may also need more ground. Samantha Siegel and Ron Ellis offer Send Me a Sign who appears useful on deep exotics. Very good group that should produce many players that bear watching as meet progresses..

Most Likely: #6 Dreamologist 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Sweet Promise 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Never Ends 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Gloryzapper 9-2 WON ($7.40)

10th:Cal-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Murderously well-matched set of Cal-breds..

Most Likely: #12 Unusually Green 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Suances Dream 10-1 DNF (Pulled up)
Next Best: #2 Fritz Johansen 9-2 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Freddies Dream 20-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Benba 5-1 8th

P4 Grid:

7: 7-8 (A), 2-5 (B), 6 (C)
8: 10 (A), 3-11 (B), 7 (C)
9: 6 (A), 2-9 (B), 4-7-10-11 (C)
10: 10-12 (A), 2-8 (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $68 (With $1.50 All A’s & $1 A’s with one B Plays); $50 if all $.50

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 6 with 10,12 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 2,5 with 10 with 6 with 10,12 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,11 with 6 with 10,12 – $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 2,9 with 10,12 – $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 6 with 2,8 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 3,11 with 6 with 10,12 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 10 with 2,9 with 10,12 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 10 with 6 with 2,8 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,11 with 2,9 with 10,12 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,11 with 6 with 2,8 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 2,9 with 2,8 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 10 with 6 with 10,12 – $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7 with 6 with 10,12 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 4,7,10,11 with 10,12 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 6 with 7 – $1.00

Total: $68.00

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 7/15
POST-SCRATCHES

THE ‘HAPPY BIRTHDAY DERBY BARBIE’ PICK 4 PLAY!

6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P54, P3, DD)

Roundupthelute and Green Diamond Cat are preferred but are not assured of enough pace leaving you with Alysaro and Oldwick. Mix and Match..

Most Likely: #8 Roundupthelute 7-5 6th
Next Best: #9 Alysaro 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Green Diamond Cat 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Oldwick 6-1 7th

7th: OC-$100k/C, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Paceless affair offers Castellano a chance to pick Mr. Speaker’s head up. Chamois the only other front-end-interested party. Count on Alvarado to get aggressive with upside-offering Blacktype.

Most Likely: #8 Mr Speaker 2-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #9 Blacktype 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Chamois 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Enterprising 10-1 7th

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD)

Nice set of ALW fillies..

Most Likely: #4 Orient Harbor 5-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Miss Always Ready 8-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Lady of Victory 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Glacken’s Gift 10-1 10th

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f-IT

Messy nightcap..

Most Likely: #2 El Genio 4-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Hunter Cat 20-1 4th
Next Best: #6 My Tommy Boy 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Junger 10-1 8th

P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 1-9 (B), 2 (C)
7: 8-9 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 4 (A), 5 (B), 9-12 (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), 1-11-12 (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Energetico 8-5 5th
Best Value: #1 Frazil 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #4 One More Night 2-1 4th

5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Best Play 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Sultry Cat 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Sinatra 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Super Add: #1 Dreams Cut Short 3-1 3rd

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Psychiatry best on paper but Bush AGAIN mired in protracted slump. Esler stats not strong 2nd start or first turf but Hottie Potati (20-1) got debut out of the way, is bred for lawn, gets pace to chase and worked well for spot per Vesce..

Best Value: #9 Hottie Potati 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Psychiatry 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Lady Daphne 5-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Bella Joy 6-1 4th

7th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Zenyatta son (Cozmic One) AND Uncle Mo full brother (Indian Trail) provides scenario for everyone to look elsewhere for the right overlay. However, both of the sure-to-be-overbet celebrities came out of their respective debuts well and are moving forward based on clocker a.m. evaluations..

Best Value: #2 Ice Cutter 4-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #9 Indian Tale 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Abdaar 3-1 DNF (Pulled Up, Walked Off Unassisted)
Super Add: #8 Cozmic One 4-1 7th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Impossible set that appear separated by 3 lengths or so on paper with no shortage of price options. Shug seemed intent on getting White Bay (Speightstown half to Sightseeing and Sea Island) to turf early on and makes the move here. Sightseeing himself was place twice on lawn in 3 tries and we saw Saturday at Belmont that Speightstown can get turfers. Starts at 20-1 and may be every bit of it by post time..

Best Value: #2 White Bay 20-1 11th
Next Best: #3 Sunrise Sunset 12-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Whoopie Pie 10-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Designed for War 4-1 4th

9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Brutal nightcap with 4 droppers from ALW company and 5 surface switchers. Pace looks hot..

Most Likely: #8 Awesome Quick 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Cryptic Comet 12-1 10th
Best Value: #10 Nejma 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Dot Product 5-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 1-4 (B), 3 (C)
5: 8 (A), 3 (B), 1-6-7-11 (C)
6: 4-9 (A), 3 (B), 6-10 (C)
7: 2-9 (A), 5 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 4-9 (B), 8-11-12 (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), 7-10-11 (C)

P4 Grid:

6: 4-9 (A), 3 (B), 6-10 (C)
7: 2-9 (A), 5 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 4-9 (B), 8-11-12 (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 10-11 (B), 1-2-3 (C)

Bit of an agonizing P6 beat Friday with goofily contested Perfect Sting tripping up the play. Still, some good pops through the fun sequence including ATR value play pushes The Ghost Bride ($17.60) and Bold Print ($11.80). Hope everyone did well..

A pretty special first half of the year with a great 2nd act seemingly on the doorstep. Vacation technically underway until 7/13, but Belmont Stars and Stripes work done, so here it is. Happy 4th of July Weekend to all!

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun, quirky lineup with Ready for Rye trying lawn and seemingly the controlling speed. Won’t be surprised if Maker barn doesn’t improve Bad Hombre..

Most Likely: #7 Ready for Rye 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #9 Bad Hombre 12-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Cabo Cat 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Barrel of Love 12-1 2nd

6th: 13th Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Interesting cast for this and Super Saks will be loose up front unless Promise Me Silver engages. Enchanting Lady and Miss Ella have classy edge and Irish Jasper has continued to improve while building 8/5-0-1 mark to little fanfare. Kathballu showed improvement in last, followed it up with sharp bullet ahead of this and could contend at a big price..

Most Likely: #2 Enchanting Lady 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Kathballu 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Miss Ella 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Jasper 6-1 WON ($11.80)

7th: 98th Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

More complex than it looks with BC Juvenile winner making trip and MGSW 2yo Blofeld seemingly ready for his sophomore coming out party. Emerging Tommy Macho, Speighster and Smart Transition complicate matters with any and all of the trio poised for graded stakes debuts out of good efforts..

Best Value: #1 Blofeld 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Speightster 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Texas Red 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #7 Smart Transition 12-1 4th

8th: 66th Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Trio from the Penine Ridge (Dividsidero, Takeover Target, Startup Nation) and pair from the Penn Mile (Force the Pass, Granny’s Kitten) headline this set with Bolo invading from California, Canndal from France and Postulation from Ireland. Divisidero never gets tired and the longer the races go, the better he is going to be… and he’s damn good now. Rafael Hernandez can win $1,250,000 Derby today and $1,000,000 Queen’s Plate (Shaman Ghost) tomorrow..

Most Likely: #4 Divisidero 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Postulation 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Startup Nation 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Bolo 7-2 DNF-Pulled Up

9th: 129th Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f (P3, DD)

Coach Inge will be isolated and dangerous out front if left to own devices. Tonalist doffs blinkers and should be relaxed but can’t be left with too much to do either. Mylute was sharp in 5yo debut and is first candidate to tackle stablemate..

Most Likely: #6 Tonalist 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Mylute 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Coach Inge 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Effinex 8-1 WON ($15.60)

10th: 37th Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-IT (DD)

Lady Eli simply best anywhere and should be well positioned throughout..

Most Likely: #2 Lady Eli 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #10 Outstanding 6-1 3rd-DH
Best Value: #7 Consumer Credit 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #14 Strict Compliance 10-1 6th

11th: 8th Belmont Sprint Championship (G3), 3+, 7f

In some ways, the most intriguing of the stakes because there is a legitimate speed player to challenge Private Zone in Green Gratto as well as hard knocking Moonlight Song SCR’D as presser from outside. Clearly Now had throat surgery to solve breathing issues and Bay of Plenty (4/4 when paired with I. Ortiz) sneaking in under radar after troubled Met Mile. Stallwalkin’ Dude adjusts to any pace and The Big Beast SCR’D and C. Zee will be motoring late. Open finale to top notch race day..

Most Likely: #3 Private Zone 8-5 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #5 Clearly Now 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Green Gratto 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 C. Zee 12-1 5th

P4 Grid:

8: 4-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 1-4-5-6-9 (C)
9: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), 5 (C)
10: 2 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-11-14 (C)
11: 3-5 (A), 4-6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
Full (Below-A/B/C): $74 (With $1 All A and A’s with 1 B Plays) $59 for all .50 Plays

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 2 with 3,5 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 2,8 with 6 with 2 with 3,5 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,5 – $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 7,10 with 3,5 – $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 2 with 4,6,7 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,5 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 6 with 7,10 with 3,5 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 6 with 2 with 4,6,7 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,3 with 7,10 with 3,5 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,3 with 2 with 4,6,7 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 7,10 with 4,6,7 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,5,6,9 with 6 with 2 with 3,5 – $5.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 5 with 2 with 3,5 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 1,11,14 with 3,5 – $6.00

Total: $74.00

Good luck!
Steve

BELMONT PARK RESULT 7/3

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Killarney Rose 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 The Ghost Bride 8-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #3 Summer Chant 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Durant 5-1 7th

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Swear by It 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Next Best: #8 Jennys Creek 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Forever for Always 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Resolutely 5-1 2nd

6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Bellamy Way 5-1 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Renwick 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Holy Week 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Devilish Grin 10-1 3rd

7th: OC/C, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Spring to the Sky 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Shore Runner 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #1 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Night Officer 20-1 4th

8th: Perfect Sting, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Zindaya 5-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Invading Humor 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Photo Call 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Mabre Rose 7-2 2nd

9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #9 Women Win 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Bold Print 10-1 WON ($11.80)
Best Value: #12 Sing for Beauty 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Movie Starlet 20-1 4th

P6 Grid:

4: 2 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-6-8 (C)
5: 6 (A), 8 (B), 2-9 (C)
6: 9 (A), 4 (B), 2-7-8 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-2/SCR-3-4-7-8 (C)
8: 6 (A), 1 (B), 4-8 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 12 (B), – (C)

$2 Pick-6 (4/1,3,5,6/1,9/2,6/2/5) Paid $58.50 (5OF6)

P4 Grid:

6: 4-9 (A), 2 (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2/SCR-3-4-7 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 12 (B), 1-2-6 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,9/2,6/2/5) Paid $92.50