Thoroughly spectacular day at SAR Saturday with the racing, weather, crowd and everything else as close to perfect as it gets. Featured Whitney lived up to promise with thrilling rally by Honor Code that snatched the laurels from Liam’s Map who ran as remarkable a race as a horse can without winning. Honor Code answered the two turn question with authority, but also confirmed that a heated pace scenario is paramount to his best chances given that the opening half mile here going the two turn mile and an eighth was identical to that in the one turn Met Mile. Cavorting efficiently dispatched her foes in the Test while maiden winner Economic Model led what looks like a very good group of 2yo’s in the 3rd with Set the Trappe and Star Hill are not long for the maiden ranks. So much great action again Saturday, but on to Sunday.. Hope everyone enjoyed and did well!

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Leilani’s Ticket SCR
Best Value: #7 Energetico 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Attractive Ride 2-1 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Real Estate Rich 4-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ava’s Kitten 3-1: Ramsey/C. Brown debuter a full to Real Solution.. 3rd
Next Best: #3 Thrilled 4-1: Pletcher/Tabor Uncle Mo o/o MSW Excited.. WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #10 Lope 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Harmonize 10-1 2nd

3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 I Dream of Candy 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Pink Freud Live 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Hush Now 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Sing for Beauty 12-1 5th

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Very tricky group with $700k Hartford returning for red hot Stonestreet and a handful of quality ALW types. Intrigue is pace because there isn’t an abundance of it and despite Jacobson not being strong with these kind of runners upstate, Day of Fury’s really good summer races at BEL will take this group a long way. Gulfstream winter stakes nibbler Juan and Bina has been shopping for a spot but Mike Welsch, who knows him well from Florida, hasn’t been impressed with preparations..

Most Likely: #2 Hartford 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Day of Fury 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Fortuitous Path 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizquick 8-1 6th

5th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Whitman’s Poetry 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Doc Curlin 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Shinobi 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Burndines 6-1 WON ($15.40)

P5 Grid:

1: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
2: 1-3 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
3: 1 (A), 4 (B), 5-7 (C)
4: 2-3-7 (A), 1-4-5 (B), 6 (C)
5: 9 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-5-6-8-10 (C)

P4 Grid:

2: 1-3 (A), 5-10 (B), 7 (C)
3: 1-4 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
4: 2-3-7 (A), 1-4-5 (B), 6 (C)
5: 9 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 1-8-10 (C) — [Apologies to A/B players for typo of 2 as B & 1 as C]..

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/2,3,4,8/2/1) Paid $191.50

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sky My Sky 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Constellation 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #2 J La Tache 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Desert Tune 12-1 6th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superbly matched baker’s half dozen and any can win..

Most Likely: #4 Myfourchix 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Bold Print 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Awesome News 5-2 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Jilly Mac 12-1 7th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Offering Plan 7-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #11 Boston Strong 6-1 12th
Next Best: #9 Rectify 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Irish Jade 10-1 4th

9th: 3rd Alydar-R, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Fantastic.. There are no stars that stay around the game but yet we’ve had the 2013 and 2014 Belmont winners run at Saratoga this weekend..

Most Likely: #6 Palace Malice 5-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Mexikoma 10-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Bay of Plenty 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Souper Lucky 8-1 6th

10th: OPT CLM/C, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #10 Crown D’ Oro 10-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Flying Tipat 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #12 Greywalls 6-1 WON ($21.60)
Super Add: #3 Tapitry 7-2 2nd

11th: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #1e Maker entry 7-2 WON ($5.60)/2nd
Best Value: #9 Valuetempo 12-1 3rd (2nd for wagering)
Next Best: #5 Jumpin Frac Flash 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Cajun Spirit 15-1 9th

P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), 9-11 (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 9 (B), 1-7 (C)
10: 8-10 (A), 3-12 (B), – (C)
11: 1-9 (A), 4-5-8-11 (B), 3-7-10 (C)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

The real thing.. Seven hard hitters between the ages of 4-8 with 185 starts, 45 wins and $2.5MM in earnings between them going 9f. And you can take one home for $32,000!

Most Likely: #1 Cease 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Looking Cool 12-1 WON ($14.20)
Next Best: #6 Mail 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Lieutenant Seany O 5-1 5th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Brown/Klaravich Deeply Undervalued (Kitten’s Joy) a half to Sleepless Knight and Sleepless Dixie..

Most Likely: #9 Deeply Undervalued 3-1: Chad Brown tough in these spots.. 6th
Best Value: #4 Acoustic 15-1: Juddmonte Tapit gray 1 of 2 Motts here.. 9th
Next Best: #7 Rafting 4-1: Motion Wertheimer h/b o/o SW dam.. 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Conquest Windycity 5-1: $800k OBS 2yo cited by Casse on ATR.. 2nd

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep group of smart pedigreed 2yo’s, all making career debuts..

Most Likely: #6 Smart Moon 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Wingman 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Economic Model 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Set the Trappe 7-2 2nd

4th: Lure-R, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Reload 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Charming Kitten 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Under Control 8-1 WON ($12.60)

5th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Mysterious group of older colts and geldings, many resuming careers after breaks of various duration. Pace looks honest at worst with heated potential..

Most Likely: #4 Lookaroundcorners 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Zennor 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Take Cover 6-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Ascend 8-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-7 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
2: 9 (A), – (B), 1-4-7 (C)
3: 6-7 (A), 1-4-8-9 (B), 2-3-5-10 (C)
4: 6 (A), 4 (B), 2 (C)
5: 4-7 (A), 2-9 (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
Full (A/B/C): $88

P4 Grid:

2: 9 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-6 (C)
3: 4-6-7-9 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-5-10 (C)
4: 6 (A), 4 (B), 2 (C)
5: 4-7 (A), 2-9 (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $73 (With $1 All A’s Play)

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$44k P6 C/O starts here..

What do you do with Havana who is 2nd off the injury break and appears to have gate issues based on start in return and poor gate work start per Welsch/Vesce?

Most Likely: #4 Ocean Knight-Late SCR
Next Best: #2 Juba 5-2: Just modestly talented but has looks to own pace edge.. 3rd
Best Value: #1 Joking 12-1: Charlie Baker regularly 3rd at a price in these settings.. 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Havana 7-2 4th

7th: 12th De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

As always, the restricted non-winner of a Sweepstakes condition of this (and the Lure) make for fascinating melange of talent..

Best Value: #5 Recepta 6-1 WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #9 Daring Kathy 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Pink Poppy 12-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Ticking Katie 8-1 4th

8th: 90th Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Tremendous cast of sophomore gals in year’s first G1 under a mile. Cavorting would be very tough with a repeat of her Jersey Girl and should get a great trip no matter how the pace unfolds..

Most Likely: #2 Cavorting 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #6 Wonder Gal 6-1 8th
Best Value: #3 By the Moon 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Angela Renee 6-1 7th

9th: 88th Whitney (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

As strong a Whitney lineup as anyone can recall including last year’s returning defender (Moreno), this year’s Met Mile star (Honor Code), a Belmont-JCGC winner (Tonalist), the ’15 Foster hero (Noble Bird), the ’14 Travers champ (V.E. Day), plus Wicked Strong, Lea, Normandy Invasion and Liam’s Map. You’ll have to make a few deductions to whittle down the list and you could start with taking a stand against Honor Code who just seems so much better suited to one turn pace scenarios. Coach Inge SCR’ing leaving Moreno and Liam’s Map as your speeds with Noble Bird a pressing pressence. Wicked Strong, Tonalist, Lea and Normandy Invasion should comprise the second flight with V. E. Day and Honor Code trailing. If Moreno and Liam’s Map do not cancel each other dueling, the deep closers will be highly compromised. Liam’s Map feels like the contender to catch in the stretch at a value adding Mike Smith and toting a strong worktab. Noble Bird gets first run on him with Tonalist and Wicked Strong the stretch threats. He won’t be 20-1, but Wicked Strong is the right price to work around given his nearly perfect efforts over this surface, the addition of Luis Saez and Jimmy Jerkens plot for this assignment..

Best Value: #9 Wicked Strong 20-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Liam’s Map 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Tonalist 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Noble Bird 5-1 9th

10th: 12th Waya (G3), F&M-3+, 12f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #12 Danza Cavallo 3-1 10th
Best Value: #2 Eastern Belle 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Queen’s Parade 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 White Rose 12-1 3rd

11th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #3 Full Tap 7-2 6th
Next Best: #$2 Bella Kateri 3-1 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #10 Blue Beryl 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Majestic Bloom 8-1 5th

P6 Grid:

6: 4/SCR (A), 2 (B), 1-9 (C)
7: 5 (A), – (B), 9-10 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 1-3-7-8 (B), 4-9 (C)
9: 9 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 12 (A), 2 (B), 4-5-8-10 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x6x3x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
Full (A/B/C): $264

P4 Grid:

8: 2-3-6 (A), 1-7-8 (B), 4-9 (C)
9: 9 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 12 (A), 2 (B), 4-5-8-10 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), 8-10 (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x4 = 144 x $.50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $74 (With $1 All A’s Play)

Despite just one winner in the sequence paying over $10, the SAR double carryover paid a handsome $74k Wednesday. As noted going in, the sheer breadth of the multiples involved in the sequence and superfluous coverage it generates, guaranteed that the payoff would be sizable. After a solid start to the series, the top tabs in the 8th-10th all settled for 2nd’s including Stonetastic who ran stoutly in her 4yo debut but could turn back Unbridled Forever. Hope everyone did OK Wednesday. Action Thursday includes the first G1 of the Steeplechase season and another carryover at DMR.

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: 19th Paddy Smithwick (NSA G1), 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

The heavy heads of the jump set are signed on today in Demonstrative and Divine Fortune, but may be worth taking shot with Parker’s Project (8-1) who has always run well at Saratoga. Eyes are on Hinterland, a Euro import making first U.S. start today..

Most Likely: #2 Demonstrative 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Bob Le Beau 6-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Diplomat 12-1 6th

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3 DD)

First of 3 mile and an eighth events and everything will hinge for well-match group on how pace unfolds..

Most Likely: #5 Bounty Pink 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 So Good to Go 5-1 3rd-DQ’d from Win
Next Best: #1 Lotsa Noodles 5-2 WON ($5.20)-via DQ
Exotics Use: #6 Rock Show 12-1 5th

3rd: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6.5f (P$< P3, DD)

Same Owner-Trainer-Jockey team that sends Call Me Stoney scored with David Rocks in Wednesday nightcap. Scenario same as class dropper has potential to take field the distance. Proletariat also drops in from NY-MSW and repeat of debut try would be effective here..

Most Likely: #11 Call Me Stoney 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Proletariat 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Sandy Strikes 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Cats Landing Late SCR

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Claiming Victory 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sunrise Kitty 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Ave’s Halo 10-1 WON ($24.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Colonel Juanita 12-1 7th

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Heavy fave Unbridledcharacter SCR’D feels like a trap. No one in this field has ever gone 9f which makes you think we’ll be watching a staggerfest late..

Best Value: #1 Humboldt Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Yakov 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sugar Gold 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 What’s Up Big Guy 10-1 7th

6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 11f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Messi 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Montclair 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 St. Albans Boy 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Reflecting 3-1 5th

P5 Grid:

2: 4-5 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
3: 11 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-5 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 1-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-4-9 (C)
6: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-7 (C)

P4 Grid:

3: 4-7-11 (A), 1-2-5 (B), 8-9-12 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 1-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-4-5-9 (C)
6: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), 7 (C)

7th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fine Instincts 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #12 Lana’s Fortune 12-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Robe 5-1 WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Belpiana 15-1 7th

8th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Red Rei Rei 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Mom’z Laugh 12-1 WON ($17.40)
Next Best: #6 Grandpa’s Princess 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: 4 Concealedwithakiss 12-1 6th

9th: Quick Call, 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ready for Rye 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #3 The Great War 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Zandar 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Cyclogenesis 4-1 4th

10th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 9f

Best Value: #8 Jet Streak 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Gursky 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 U.S.S. Boxer 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #9 Big House 15-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A),12-13 (B), 6-8-10 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-10 (C)
10: 4-8 (A), 1-5-9 (B), 2 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (13/7/5/1) Paid $652.75

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CA-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Know Plans 3-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Tribalist 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Saticoy 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Kristi’s Copilot 8-1 5th

4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 The Cleaners 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Chasing the Heat 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Not Enough Eddie 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Second Proposal 12-1 WON ($16.80)

5th: MCLM/$62.5k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Love On the Road 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Big Discovery 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Architop 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Nakamoto 5-2 WON ($11.20)

6th: CA-MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Tiz Pleasant 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Briana Jean 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Princess Kendra 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Alizarin Beauty 6-1 WON ($9.20)

7th: OCLM/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Indecise 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 She’s Not Here 10-1 WON ($25.60)
Next Best: #4 Istanford 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Kool Kat 6-1 6th

8th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 1m (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Santiago’s Home 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Miltee 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Jens de Ville 5-2 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #6 Out of Mischief 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Ghost of Navigator 12-1 3rd

$2 Exact 5 (3-5-4-8-6) Paid $3,136.00

P6 Grid:

3: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 4 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), – (B), 3-6-7 (C)
6: 5-8 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
7: 2 (A), – (B), 4-6 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 4 (C)

P4 Grid:

5: 2-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
6: 5-8 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
7: 2 (A), 6 (B), 4 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 4 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/10/6/3) Paid $1,309.60

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$206k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

For all the perception of turf sprints being chaotic, they certainly have been formful at SAR thus far. 14 lawn dashes have been run in 10 days and 6 have been won by the favorite. An additional 5 were copped by runners priced between 2-1 and 7-2. With a seeming short supply of all-out speed types signed on, it appears you’re best served looking for logical players that will be forwardly-placed and shorter priced. Wes Welker’s first time 4yo Eighty Three (Wesley Ward; 5-2) is the obvious horse to beat and Klaravich’s Sourcesandmethods (2/19 Fair Grounds turf sprint; 4-1) is the best of those that will have to rally. Repole’s Triple Play (6-1) has dirt speed and though Bruce Levine isn’t known for moving horses to the turf (5%; 0.63), he’s more than OK (21%; $1.94) in sod hops overall. Well bred Decent (7-2) gets Castellano first off the Kenneally claim (24%; $1.60) and will be in striking distance from the bell. Downgoesfrazier (Domino; 12-1) has several races good enough to win this, but they’ve come downstate at 7f-T and beyond. On that topic, note there’s only one entrant in this non-winners of 2 event whose tally came at this trip at the Spa: 30-1 Greeley Pack (Kathleen Feron 0/27 this year). One Eyed Ray (10-1) is a new gelding for Trombetta as well as first time for a tag. Jim Catterbone’s (well-followed black cat head silks) Prophet’s Cat (15-1) has been close in last pair of 6f-T versions since going to Saez..

Most Likely: #8 Eighty Three 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sourcesandmethods 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 One Eyed Ray 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Decent 7-2 WON ($9.00)

6th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Question here is who/if/when Banzai Charge (5-1; P. Lopez) and/or Bowman’s Beast (12-1; R. Hernandez) will engage Street Shark SCR’D (15-1; Cruz), because if they don’t, the Joe Parker trainee can take them all the way around. The rest of the cast features class dippers with merit (Honor the Kitten, Bigger Picture, Abtaal, McIlroy) and a dangerous 20-1 player from Moquett in $800k earner Bim Bam. Klesaris (Upgrade) and Gargan (Rapscallion) rise in class a notch off claims..

Best Value: #6 Banzai Charge 5-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Abtaal 9-2 WON ($8.50)
Exotics Use: #1 Honor the Kitten 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 McIlroy 6-1 7th

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Older maidens with top connected, well-working firsters (Excuse My French, Istiraaha, Vacation Spot) facing off with several obvious players with experience (She’s a True Beauty, Prospector’s Moon, Bird Sense, Sanctifica)..

Most Likely: #6 Bird Sense 9-2: 3 miles of drills since last; Saez stalks hot pace.. 3rd
Best Value: #9 Istiraaha 6-1: Debuting Tapit for KMC/Shadwell double with Abtaal? 8th
Next Best: #5 Prospector’s Moon 5-1: 2nd st. for $350k Malibu Moon; Needs to break.. 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Excuse My French 7-2: CBrown’s Spendthrift homebred must negotiate rail.. WON ($7.70)

8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Hard to not expect good U.S. debut from Clement’s Crisolles. Enough for a single? Maybe..

Most Likely: #8 Crisolles 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 La Madrina 6-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Cash Control 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Distorted Beauty 5-1 4th

9th: Shine Again,

Stonetastic makes 4yo debut on strip where she dominated in the Prioress a year ago. As Nick Tammaro pointed out, Kelly Breen had options out of her stall at MTH, so fact she returns here notable. Frankly, if you don’t lean on her heavily, you’re in a ticket-building quandry as there are probably another half dozen after her that you’d need to consider..

Most Likely: #3 Stonetastic 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Taketheodds 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Wavell Avenue 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Bird Maker 15-1 9th

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f

May not collapse, but there’s plenty of pace in here to warrant focus on the stalker-closers..

Most Likely: #6 Aleander 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Who’s Z Daddy 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Pin and Win 5-1 4th
Best Value: #12 Tottie Royer 30-1 9th-DH
Super Add: #1 Little Rocco 20-1 6th

P6 Grid:

5: 4-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-7-11 (C)
6: 6 (A), 5 (B), 1-9 (C)
7: 6-9 (A), – (B), 2-5-7-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), 10-11 (B), 1-7-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288
Full (A/B/C): $228

P4 Grid:

7: 6-9 (A), 2-5-7-8 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
8: 8 (A), 2-6 (B), (C)
9: 3 (A), 10 (B), 6 (C)
10: 6-11 (A), 10-12 (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x4 = 144 x $.50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $50