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Quad elusive as KEE kicks off; It’s Super Saturday II

Saturday, October 9th, 2010

Appeared poised to get out for the challenging day Friday in the Keeneland nightcap live to three, but Neil Pessin’s Lunar Mist could not reel in plausible Maker-Ramsey price pony Such Time as This. Had strung together winners of the previous troika for solid P3 of $157.00, which included the Opening Day graded features. In the Phoenix, tricky Charlie Lopresti added a second BC Sprint player in Wise Dan ($15.20) to go along with Forego hero Here Comes Ben. Doug O’Neill will likely move forward to Churchill and the BC Juvenile Fillies with Wickedly Perfect despite the paltry 69 Beyer she received winning the Alcibiades.

Earlier in the day at Belmont, outstanding payoffs in the P6 ($77k to one ticket) and early P4 ($18k to 5 $1 plays) were triggered by $66 Red Hot Baby from John Terranova in the 5th. It was a good day of racing despite not hitting as many multi-race punts as you’d like, given that a number of winners were just horses that were simply hard to justify. Hope you did OK and are ready for the big three day Holiday Weekend!

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Here’s another one of those NY bred ALW events on the lawn that regularly pay bonus dividends; This one is no exception as the three favorites are not appreciably better than the next half dozen players, so be aggressive..

POST-CHANGES NOTE: The SCR of #1 Fortunate Run (50-1) from the 6th allows #13 The Noz (6-1) to draw in. Jaime Rodriguez is named, a come down from Maragh and Castellano, but race-riding expertise isn’t exactly demanded here as he only is going to be required to gain front-running position early off the dogleg. The Noz getting in should only serve to further prompt the pace set by Tocco d’Oro, City Train and Jet to Classics and set this salacious race up for the stalkers/closers…

Best Value: #6 Joey’s Chance 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Barrel of Love 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Sky Blue Pink 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Adirondack Warrior 20-1 8th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 6 1st & 2nd with 3-11 with 2-3-5-8-10-11 with ALL (1x2x5x9 + 2x1x5x9 = 90 + 90 = 180 x .10 = $18.00)

7th: 61st Jamaica H. (G1), 3yo, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendous edition of this now important late season grass test for sophomores; Think Krypton is the ‘now’ horse here, and would like to get Center Divider into the mix as long as he doesn’t get too wise and drop below appropriate number (10-1+). Same could be feared with Michelle Nihei colt Prince Wil (10-1 ML)..

Most Likely: #9 Krypton 3-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Center Divider 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Beau Choix 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Prince Wil I Am 10-1 WON ($21.60)

8th: 62rd Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Tough to seperate the fillies here that haven’t gone past 6f, so inclination is to prefer the ones that have covered some added ground. In addition, Baffert invader hails from highly productive series of alphabetical Zayat Warriors and figures to appreciate organic main track..

Most Likely: #5 A Z Warrior 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #8 Joyful Victory 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 R Heat Lightening 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 After Later 12-1 8th

9th: 139th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD)

Hard to figure that with the Futurity tabled for the year, no other connections were interested in testing Uncle Mo or at least try for G1 black type in as important a juvy event as there is anywhere. Note that Breen-Hall MTH import Brother in Arms drew the outside pressure point post, has :22/:45 capability on the engine, and totes a ‘1/140’ (!) half mile bullet into this. Could lap on to Uncle Mo early and make him earn it every step of the way..

Most Likely: #1 Uncle Mo 1-4 WON ($2.20)
Best Value: #3 Settle for Medal 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Brother in Arms 5-1 5th

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Grand Piano Man 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Judge Well 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Recharged 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 First of Ten 6-1 WON ($25.80)

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-6-7-9-10
9: 1-5-8
10: 1
11: 5-6-8-9

6x3x1x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (7-5-1-5) Paid $762.50

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 14th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Chamberlain Bridge 4-1: Hard to go against 6yo enjoying best year yet.. 4th
Best Value: #3 Central City 12-1: Return to grass key; Pointed for this since summer.. 2nd
Next Best: #9 Silver Timber 3-1: Brown 7yo perfect this strip; Always fires fresh.. WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Fiddlers Patriot 30-1: Weaver NY bred got back to top in return; Threat.. 10th

7th: 30th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Though Warrior’s Reward was an OK 3rd Friday on the surface, Champagne d’Oro is also a play-against using the same BC preparation approach; THe PID Masters is the race to focus on in this spot, and as discussed with Stakes Coordinator Jim Cornes on ATR, watch out for Presque Isle Downs form at KEE this meet in general. 30-1 Waccamaw is the poster filly for that angle today, as she was within a jump of the top pair in the Masters last month..

Most Likely: #8 Dubai Majesty 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #7 Waccamaw 30-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Informed Decision 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dr. Zic 8-1 9th

8th: 30th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

A lot to ask of the wonderful Wasted Tears to take this quality group all the way around given several here that want piece of front end. Excellent edition of this G1 event..

Best Value: #1 C. S. Silk 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Fantasia 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Proviso 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #6 Kiss Mine 15-1 7th

9th: 97th Breeders’ Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Hodge-podge of diploma’d juvy misfits with but one, Petalino’s Remington invader #5 Brickyard Fast, entering a G1 ‘main track’ event off an actual dirt victory. It’s just ridiculous what the synthetic installations have done to institution races like this..

Best Value: #4 Willcox Inn 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Major Gain 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Rough Sailing 8-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Maybesomaybenot 5-1 8th

10th: 25th Shadwell Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Will be interesting to see how Gio Ponti is able to adjust to pace of a mile. It’s been 18 months since his Kilroe win; Plucky Get Stormy does not have to have the lead, and don’t forget that won the Bryan Station here last fall..

Best Value: #1 Get Stormy 3-1 4th
As Likely: #3 Courageous Cat 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Gio Ponti 7-5 WON

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-6-7-8
8: 1-2-7
9: 4-8-9-10
10: 1-3-4

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

11th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Wheemaway 4-1
Best Value: #11 Praetereo 12-1
Next Best: #6 Nolangrant’skitten 8-1
Exotics Use: #1 Dreaming of Les 15-1
Hi-5 Play: #8 Anthony’s Cross 3-1

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2
9: 4-7-8-9-10-11
10: 1-3-4
11: 1-6-7-11

2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Keeneland adds more gleam to Fall season assortment

Friday, October 8th, 2010

Endured a very rough afternoon Thursday at Belmont as several tough to like horses performed above expectation and quelled nearly every multi-race wager I attempted. $16.40 Brigadier General, (yet another miraculous Rudy Rodriguez turnaround), $37.80 Artie Luvsto Party and $15.40 Lights Out Lisa were the culprits in the 3rd, 4th and 9th respectively. The last 6 races of the card certainly intimidated P6 players, as the carryover that resulted from the upsets is a relatively tiny $18k. Hope you did OK on the challenging afternoon…

Another great weekend of racing is on the horizon, and the addition of Keeneland to the wagering menu for the next three weeks is still a highlight of the fall season for many despite the vagaries ofthe synthetic main track. Opinions on the late P4 at KEE and the Belmont card are below… Weekend Preview on ATR this morning!

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th and 9th OFF the turf; 2nd, 6th, 9th ON with 6th moved to Inner..

2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Grace and Courage 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Bobity Boo 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Pretty Cozzy 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Paddock SCR

3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 My Golden Opinion 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Cave’s Valley 4-1 WON ($12.60)
Best Value: #7 Saint Daimon 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Greenspirit 5-1 3rd

4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

$18k P6 C/O Starts Here..

Most Likely: #12 Tatum Creek 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Spoleto 4-1 WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #4 SCR

5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Like yesterday’s low end claimer, a volatile spot with any number of possibles..

Best Value: #3 First Flute 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Crazy Thing 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Aegean Breeze 3-1 3rd
Multi-race Add: #5 Mighty Irish 2-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 4-5-7
3: 3-4-6-7
4: 12
5: 1-3-5-8

3x4x1x4 = $48

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Brutal turf sprint with several owning unpredictable form..

Most Likely: #7 Diamond Dina 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Precision Farming 7-2 WON ($16.80)
Best Value: #12 Risky Gamble 15-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Ride On Josephine 6-1 5th

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Well-matched set going 2+ turns on the inner grass..

Best Value: #2 Quick to Charm 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Cheyenne Nation 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Slambino 9-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Peahi 6-1 6th

8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (DD)

The beat goes on with a very nice 3rd level ALW/OC for $57k that would have been more than acceptable as an overnight stake..

Best Value: #8 Captain Cherokee 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Go Go Shoot 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Star for a Day 5-1 3rd

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Wildlee Special 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Green Bananas 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #15 One Turn Eddie 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #13 Scorch the Torch 12-1 5th

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 12-13
5: 1-3-5-8
6: 3-7
7: 2-4-8
8: 8
9: 7-12

2x4x2x3x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-7
7: 2-4-5-8
8: 1-3-8
9: 7-12-15

2x4x3x3 = $72

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (.50 P4, .50 P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 High Quality 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Paracaidas 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Fortunia 5-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Sweet Mis Kitty 20-1 5th

8th: Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (.50 P3, DD, Super)

Obliged to play against Warrior’s Reward on surface that produced worst performance of his career as a stakes sprinter. Happy to be ready for him at Churchill in 4 weeks..

Best Value: #8 Super Robusto 15-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Hollywood Hit 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Canonize 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Wise Dan 8-1 WON ($15.20)

9th: Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

SCR #1 Poof Too who opted for the Mazarine at home in Toronto..

Best Value: #3 Jordy Y 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Wonderlandbynight 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Wickedly Perfect 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #7 Forest Legend 20-1 5th

10th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Lunar Mist 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Peach Bottom 4-1 12th
Best Value: #10 Divine Sophia 30-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Winsockie 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #12 Snugs and Kisses 12-1 10th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-7-10-12
8: 3-7-8-11
9: 3-4-6
10: 6-8-10

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

BEL Turf for 2 of 4; Rain washes away Oak Tree

Thursday, October 7th, 2010

Wacky Wednesday as dangerous torrential rain washed out Oak Tree/HollyPark, while insane parade of chalk ruled Belmont. Actually had big shot at OK P4 hit in the NY nightcap with Catreign, but she could not deny 4-5 Jersey Shore Girl at the wire. Uggh. The quad payed $21!!! Woo-hoo! Hope you did OK despite the short numbers… Only 2 of the 4 grass events are off the Belmont turf today, and it has the look of a fun betting card. Tons of important stakes to starting talking about on ATR today and Friday!

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th and 9th are OFF the turf; 6th and 8th remain ON the turf..

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Amiga Del Sol 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Exiled Princess 7-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #8 Judicial Leader 12-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Offlee Cool 3-1 2nd

2nd: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Ae Pit 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #2 Rumbling 7-5 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Doctor Peach 5-1 4th

3rd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Wildcat Stevie 9-2 8th
Next Best: #5 Radio Row 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Pike Place 12-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Flying Gang 4-1 2nd

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #16 Local Legacy 6-1 6th
Next Best: #15 Stephen’s Revenge 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Rudy Rudy Rudy 5-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Cooks Forest 6-1 9th

5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Some tough ol’ veterans in here, and almost any could flash back to a winning effort..

Most Likely: #6 Saratoga Sinner 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Old Man Buck 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Tommasi 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Nkosi Reigns 7-2 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3
3: 3-5-6
4: 15-16
5: 1-3-4-6-7-8

2x3x2x6 = $72

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #5 Turned to Gold 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 New York Kitten 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #10 Alex’s Buck 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Tropical Jetset 7-2 2nd

7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Serious looking, and quirky, MDN affair, and I’m inclined to look beyond the short numbered players; Note Garcia named on both ends of Darley entry which features (#1) Storm ‘n Indian, first out son of MGSW Fleet Indian; Debuting Adios Charlie’s half brother, Streakin’ Mohican, had been scheduled to run Wednesday at HOL..

Best Value: #2 Adios Charlie 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Economic Summit 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Rock Hard Nicky 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Eighth Avenue 10-1 7th

8th: Glowing Honor, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Speaking of quirky, here’s as curious a group as you’ll encounter; What makes Quebrada Shiner a 5-2 favorite exactly? She’s consistant at least, but I’m looking elsewhere..

Best Value: #9 Lookalike 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Granted Tiger 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Quebrada Shiner 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Go for Jan 5-1 6th

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f OFF THE TURF (Super)

Best Value: #4 Sugar Trade 8-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Pleasant Sister 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ain’t Love Grand 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #14 Arctic Queen 4-1 9th

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 5-8
7: 2-7
8: 3-9-11
9: 4-7-13-14

2x2x3x4 = $48

BEL, HOL action draws attention with KEE approaching

Wednesday, October 6th, 2010

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

OFF THE TURF TODAY… 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th..

 4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #2 Launceton 5-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #5 Beckon 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #15 Crescent Moon Dr 15-1 7th
Super Add: #16 La Festa E Domani 12-1 4th

Most Likely: #2 Launceton 5-1 WON ($5.80)

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Maga’s Daughter 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 In This Life 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #14 Drifting Away 7-2 6th
Super Add: #13 Super Espresso 3-1 2nd

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 A Perfect Squeeze 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Social Statement 5-1 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #2 Gin Cat 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #15 SCR

7th: CLM, 3+, 6f OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 B B Frank 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #13 Missle Motor 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Aquino 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Five Towns 6-1 5th

8th: Easy N’ Dirty-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Endless Circle 8-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #5 Be Bullish 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Dr. W 5-1 6th

9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Super)

Best Value: #11 Catreign 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Jersey Shore Girl 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #2 Delta Holiday 6-1 7th
Super Add: #5 A Girl Named Maria 30-1 10th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-5-9
7: 1-12-13
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 10-11

3x3x4x2 =$72

$1 Pick 4 (5-1-2-10) Paid $21.40

Great, surprise-filled Gold Cup Day at Belmont

Sunday, October 3rd, 2010

Bit of a surreal day of racing at Belmont Saturday when it came to the stakes. I thought I had some clever ideas going in, but came up empty. Was able to recoup a good deal of nabob in the nightcap, but the G1 series produced a sequence of results that had patrons looking around to see whom actually had any winners to cash.

Things started honestly enough in the Vosburgh with Girolamo running a very professional race (105 Beyer) that stamps him as a principal for Churchill’s Cup dash. I used him as second choice behind well-priced Wildcat Brief, but Riley Tucker was a tough horse to come up with as a runner up candidate. I keyed Wildcat Brief who ran very well late to be third, but demonstrated why races like the Vos were 7f at this time of year before the Breeders’ Cup altered the late season universe. Unhurried early, the Ben Perkins trainee exploded in the final furlong to make up gallons of ground on the top pair before the wire interrupted his rally. Without a frantic early pace to set up the late run ideally, it was going to be hard for Wildcat Brief to win. Garrett Gomez told Perkins the steadily improving 4yo couldn’t be motivated in the first half of the race, so he simply waited until the colt began to pick up the bit.

The turf races were strangely run on a course whose condition was a curiosity going into the events. The entire Flower Bowl field ran as a pack before rallies commenced around the eighth pole. Ave was likely well down anyone’s list of likely winners, and surprised even Javier Castellano who told me ‘I couldn’t believe how she responded when I asked’. With Red Desire not really running an “A” race, the 1-2 finishers hearkened back to the G2 New York H. in June where Ave and Changing Skies ran 3rd-2nd behind Lady Shakespeare. Roger Attfield, who has had an outstanding summer and early fall, has now won 3 of his last 9 starts in NY with 7 of 9 ITM finishes. Ave earned a 97 Beyer in the win.

The Hirsch went to the increasingly impressive Winchester (100 Beyer) who went for what felt like ages after his Secretariat win at 3 before a Keeneland allowance tally in April and subsequent Manhattan surprise on Belmont Day. I cleaned my glasses after yesterday’s ‘swoop and score’ victory, and a closer examination of his record reveals that since his Bowling Green 2nd behind Grand Couturier in September ’09, the Theatrical 5yo has built a 10/3-4-2-1 record. Notable too is that 2 of the wins are G1 races turf standards at Belmont where in 2 Bowling Greens, a Manhattan and Joe Hirsch, he is 4/2-2-0. Paddy O’Prado ran a very good second that pleased Dale Romans and Jerry Crawford, and while they will immediately turn their attention to the BC Turf, I’d be trying to convince them to consider the Classic. Paddy ran a troubled trip third at the Downs in the Derby remember, and considering the way both races are shaping up, he is more eligible for board-hitting success in the $5,000,000 Classic than the $3,000,000 Turf.

The Beldame went to Life at Ten (100 Beyer), and I’ll simply reiterate here that Jess Jackson made as poor a decision as an owner ever has in the sport retiring Rachel Alexandra Tuesday. She would have won this race by half a pole…

The Gold Cup will be examined inside out for clues toward the Classic in 5 weeks, but simply put, Harvey Weinstein’s wonderfully game NY bred Haynesfield fulfilled predictions as dangerous if left to his own devices on the front end of the fall classic. Ramon Dominguez and the Speightstown 4yo were completely relaxed through the first three quarters (1:13.1) before grabbing a stranglehold on the chasing foes with a 4th quarter in :23.4 that built an insurmountable lead by the stretch. He glided home in 10 panel racehorse time of 2:02.2 which earned a 107 Beyer. Haynefield has been brilliantly handled by Steve Asmussen’s year round NY assistant Toby Sheets who reveled in the Empire product’s 9th victory in 13 career starts. With the win, he is now a multiple G1 winner and a millionaire as well. Behind him, Blame rallied as well as he could for a humdrum 2nd that doesn’t hurt his Cup chances but does take luster of the light campaign Al Stall has fashioned for him. Fly Down hit the board for the third time in three tries in the NY G1 troika which Summer Bird swept a year ago. The big disappointment was Rail Trip who was in a word, dreadful.

All in all, an interesting set of performances and results which was witnessed by a nice crowd of 10,000 or so on a gloriously beautiful Long Island day. Another good set of stakes are on tap today and I’ll offer late P4 thoughts as I drive north. It seemed like we were on our way to a double carryover in the P6 Saturday, but one punter took down the entire pool with a play that returned $150k!

Hope you did well and enjoyed the action… Plenty more ahead today and next week as the Breeders’ Cup fields fill up!

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

RACES 4, 5, 10 OFF THE TURF (YIELDING)

7th: 32nd Pilgrim (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Soldat 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Air Support 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Deciphering Dreams 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Dual Citizen 6-1 6th

8th: 31st Miss Grillo (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Silent Joy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Winter Memories 3-1 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Pleine Forme 5-1 7th

9th: 30th Kelso H. (G2), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Le Grand Cru 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Regal Ransom 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Tizway 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Super Add: #1 Cool Coal Man 4-1 2nd

10th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #14 Good Card 7th
Best Value: #2 Slevin 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Citifest 4th
Super Add: #6 Six Flings 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 8
8: 2-4-11
9: 1-4-5-8
10: 2-4-6-12-13-14

1x3x4x6 = $72