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Aqueduct Inner Meet joins the wagering menu fray!

Friday, December 3rd, 2010
Hampered all week by move to new computer and dental ailment/root canal… Haven’t missed much though given delay of Aqueduct Winter Season to cancelation Wednesday. Came close Sunday in Churchill Closing Day carryover try garnering 2 consos for $600+ as well as laying out $2,680 Super Hi-5. Intrigued at prospects of weekend action with some eclectic stakes offering possibilities, with today’s last six at the Big A to ease back into the saddle!

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Rogue’s Jewel 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Spa City Princess 3-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Mustang Fever 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Miss Dolan’s Rose 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (10-6) Paid $12.20
$1 Trifecta (10-6-9) Paid $69.25
$1 Superfecta (10-6-9-2) Paid $214.00

5th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Missysmoonlitmagic 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Real Charmer 5-1 4th-Moved up to 3rd
Next Best: #5 Lucky Leslie 7-2 3rd-DQ’d to 5th
Super Add: #6 Shirtsleeves 5-1 WON ($5.30)

6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #15 Show Trial 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Monastir 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Bold Vindication 5-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Fortunate Run 30-1 4th

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Dd, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Curlina 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #1 Roaring Aly 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Strategic Sue 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Shaker Lakes 8-1 4th

8th: OC/N3X, F7m-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Fleeting Humor 5-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Purrfect Bluff 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Electric Gold 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Proud Zoe 7-2 3rd

9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #8 Porcello 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Gasper C. 15-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Ready for Ryan 15-1 WON ($41.40)
Super Add: #9 Felice Di Notte 10-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-15
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 3-7-8
9: 1-2-8

2x4x3x3 = $72

Bombs, 2yo’s spike Saturday; C/O’s focus Sunday

Sunday, November 28th, 2010
Huge Holiday Weekend winding down today, but not without some potential fireworks. Churchill has a mandatory payout P6 carryover that starts with $55k, and Golden Gate’s sextet pool reached a shocking $350k when no one negotiated the skien again Saturday.

The explosions Saturday came on the track in the form of both bonus mutuels and eye-catching stakes babies. Tote shockers were delivered by Tagg’s 35-1 Cigar Mile surprise Jersey Town and Harty’s cycle-back Citation winner Victor’s Cry (11-1). And while their trainees went postward as choices, Bill Mott and Ken McPeek got impressive efforts from their respective colt and filly. Charlotte Weber’s To Honor and Serve wrapped up a nice juvenile campaign for Mott with a facile Remsen win that earned a 102 Beyer, and McPeek’s Kathmanblu demolished the Golden Rod in faster time than Santiva in the KY JC.

Wagering was rolling along at Aqueduct until the late double derailed everything. Shug’s Data Link started the Big A action off nicely keying a $115 triple and $360 super, before chalky results began lowering the exotics and multis. Today, let’s help Churchill finishes its’ fall meet and attack the mandatory pay P6. I’ll take a budget swing at the Golden Gate bonanza sixas well…

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Raipur Road 3-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Ash 4-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #1 Elliday 20-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Miss Ziggy 5-1 2nd

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Lejadami 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #9 Intercoastal 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Hurricane Day 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Romans Reward 5-1 2nd

8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Captain Cherokee 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #7 Silver Edition 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 A Diehl 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Posse Cat 8-1 7th

9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Eden Star 4-5 7th
Next Best: #1 Rhondda Gardens 6-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Chapella 20-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Lemon Loaf 5-1 6th

10th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Guys Reward 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #10 Au Moon 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Harken Up 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Victory Notion 5-1 7th

11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Strongly So 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #6 I’m Not Afraid 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Take Note 10-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Sariah 20-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Chiloe 5-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-12) Paid $23.00
$1 Trifecta (4-12-6) Paid $82.80
$1 Superfecta (4-12-6-10) Paid $272.10
$2 Exact 5 (4-12-6-10-13) Paid $2,679.00

<$150 P6 Play:

6: 2-8
7: 6-9-11
8: 6-7
9: 1-3
10: 11
11: 4-6-10

2x3x2x2x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (8/4,5,6/6/13/1,11/4) 5 of 6 Paid $310.00 x 2 = $620.00

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-5-6-7
9: 1-3
10: 6-7-9-10-11
11: 4-6-10

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75

GOLDEN GATE FIELDS

PRE-SCRATCHES

<$50 P6 Play:

4: 4
5: 2-3-8
6: 5
7: 1-2-6-9
8: 4
9: 1-4

1x3x1x4x1x2 = 24 x $2 = $48

Cigar, Gazelle, Juvies and $33k C/O anchor Big A

Saturday, November 27th, 2010
AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

 

Most Likely: #6 Data Link 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #3 Foolish Tiger 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Associate 7-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Hothersal 10-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (6-9) Paid $37.00
$1 Trifecta (6-9-3) Paid $115.00
$1 Superfecta (6-9-3-10) Paid $360.00

6th: 89th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Dixie City 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #5 Believe in A.P. 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Full Moon Blues 5-1 4th

7th: 97th Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

This is a quality edition of the Remsen as To Honor and Serve faces off against some excellent prospects. As good as the Mott-Live Oak Bernardini colt has been in his last two, he will have to continue to develop to best Buffum, Mountain Town and Bandbox who all are on a par with him. The most intriguing running of this race in recent memory from every standpoint, and 6-5 is a tough price to embrace on the favorite..

Best Value: #3 Mountain Town 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 To Honor and Serve 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Buffum 2-1 5th; #4 Bandbox 12-1 4th

8th: 115th Gazelle (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 No Such Word 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #3 Quiet Temper 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Dubai Dancer 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Awesome Maria 7-2 2nd

9th: 22nd Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Quirky and deep version of this great late season event with 4 of 9 attendees exiting generally poor showings in the 3 different Breeders’ Cup races in which they participated. Inclination is to avoid the sure-to-be-overbet types and look for those that by-passed Cup and should be ready for a premium effort..

Most Likely: #6 Friend or Foe 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Bribon 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Half Metal Jacket 12-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Soaring Empire 20-1 6th

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Merlin Bay 6-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Audies Champ 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Winning Token 6-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Muy Guapo 6-1 5th

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-6-10
6: 1-5
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 8
9: 6
10: 2-4-5-10

3x2x4x1x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$100 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-4-5
8: 3-8
9: 3-6-8
10: 2-4-5-10

4x2x3x4 = $96

Outstanding Clark H. anchors Churchill Friday card

Friday, November 26th, 2010
Hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving! More coverage Saturday…

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Party Hard 4-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Grand Stage 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Gihon 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Timely Pursuit 9-2 6th

10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Film Charm 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Persuading 9-2 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Redreamit 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Bk’s Sis’ Birthday NA 7th

11th: Clark H. (G1), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Tremendously competitive edition of this great late season standard..

Best Value: #8 Win Willy 10-1 4th-Moved up from 5th
Next Best: #5 Redding Colliery 10-1 2nd-Moved up from 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Successful Dan 5-2 3rd-DQ’d from Win
Super Add: #11 Duke of Mischief 12-1 5th-Moved up from 6th

12th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Hopping Holly 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Thunder Highway 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #12 Moneyonthegrass 3-1 WON
Super Add: #13 Stepfather 7-2 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-7-10
10: 4-9-10
11: 3-5-8-11
12: 2-6-12-13

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Lots to be thankful for as 5 day racefest kicks off..

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Start of the huge Thanksgiving Holiday Weekend that sees stakes action building to crescendo Saturday at Aqueduct, Churchill and Hollywood!

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Salty Little Sis 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #1 Mississippi Too 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Team Plan 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Maid to Win 10-1 6th

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Both AE’s, #11 Proficient Miss (4-1) & #12 Life’s Measure (8-1) become significant here should they draw in..

Most Likely: #1 Rock N Cozy 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Proficient Miss 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Stray Bullet 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Sarah’s Pleasure 3-1 6th

3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Speightful Affair 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Rhys 7-2 DNF-Lost rider
Next Best: #5 Muhaawara 5-2 WON ($5.80)

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Pedigrees galore here with #3 HOULIANA (More Than Ready) a half to Middlesex Drive; #1 NIGHT DRIVE (Bernardini) a half to Octave; #5 WEAR RED (Henny Hughes) a half to Eskendereya; and #11 (AE) PSALM TWENTY THREE (Giant’s Causeway) a half to Henny Hughes..

Most Likely: #8 Triune 5-2 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #2 Always a Pleasure 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Houliana 12-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Wear Red 12-1 4th

5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Jello Shot 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Elsie’s Warrior 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Second and One 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Cap the Moment 8-1 5th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-11
3: 1-2-5
4: 2-3-8-11
5: 3-5-7

2x3x4x3 = $72

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Adirondack Summer 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 East of Danzig 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #5 Voodoo Storm 7-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Silent Tap 4-1 7th

7th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Star of New York 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Inherit the Gold 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Rises the Phoenix 15-1 6th

8th: S/ALW, 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Mai Tai Mama 5-1 DH-2nd
Next Best: #6 Flying Train 9-5 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Sky Hosoya 3-1 DH-2nd

9th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #8 Ferocious Won 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Lookin at Her 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Call Me Tony 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Karakorum On Black 12-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5-6
7: 1-8
8: 2-5-6
9: 3-10-12

4x2x3x3 = $72