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Dubai World Cup a rousing start to big Saturday

Friday, March 25th, 2011
Have never had great success with this card historically, but all the time we spent on ATR this winter with Dick Powell and Pat Cummings gives me some degree of confidence to play around Saturday morning in advance of the big domestic slate. Don’t be shy about spreading and boxing with your prices as the exotics overlays on this particular set of races is usually remarkable. More coverage later Saturday morning of the U.S. action including the Aqueduct P4, Gulfstream P5, Fair Grounds, Turfway and Santa Anita. Hope you did well Friday on the solid results in NoLa.

MEYDAN – DUBAI WORLD CUP

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: Al Quoz Sprint (G2), 5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #11 J J the Jet Plane 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #16 Mr. Gruff 12-1 16th
Next Best: #14 Stradivinsky 4-1 13th
Exotics Use: #2 Happy Dubai 12-1 10th

3rd: Godolphin Mile (G2), 1m (P6, P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 As de Trebol 20-1 11th
Next Best: #13 Skysurfers 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Imbongi 8-1 13th
Super Add: #12 Rileyskeepingfaith 12-1 12th

4th: UAE Derby (G2), 9.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Zanzamar 8-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Sweet Ducky 12-1 13th
Next Best: #5 Mahooba 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Khawlah 8-1 WON ($9.20)

5th: Golden Shaheen (G1), 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Rocket Man 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Dim Sum 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Euroears 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Dynamic Blitz 12-1 8th

6th: Duty Free, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Wigmore Hall 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Presvis 3-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Mendip 10-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Royal Bench 20-1 4th

7th: Sheema Classic (G1), 12f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Rewilding 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #10 Rulership 10-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Dangerous Midge 7-2 14th
Super Add: #4 Calvados Blues 12-1 3rd

8th: World Cup, 10f (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Musir 5-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Twice Over 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #13 Buena Vista 8-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Monterosso 15-1 3rd

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Smokin Conrad 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Appledore 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Stylish Fella 7-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Ducale 6-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Overcommunication 4-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Khan of Khans 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Middle of the Nite 6-1 6th

9th: 104th Ladies H., F&M-3+, 9F (DD, Super)

Anticipate Cody Samora SCR..

Best Value: #6 R Betty Graybull 6-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #1 Quiet Giant 3-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Speightful Affair 8-1 4th

10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Redwood Fever 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #2 Green Bananas 5-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Talk to Nick 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Dixie Nite Out 10-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6-8
8: 1
9: 1-2-6
10: 2-3-4-9

4x1x3x4 = $48

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-Inner Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Giant Move 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Wild Entry 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Power Rules 6-1 11th
Super Add: #9 Father Lucey 20-1 10th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-Outer (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Chinglish 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #2 Awed 20-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Steel Bridge 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Dynamite Dude 8-1 6th

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Christina d’Oro 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Resoundingly 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Snow Trial 10-1
Super Add: #4 Delightful Dawn 12-1

10th: 50th Pan American (G3), 4+, 12f-Outer Turf (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Rahy’s Attorney 4-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #2 Musketier 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Prince Will I Am 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Loup Breton 6-1 4th

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-Outer Turf (Super)

Best Value: #3 Gunman 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Wonder Beyond 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Saint Nicholas 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Top Business 6-1 8th

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 7-11
8: 4
9: 1-4-8-9
10: 2-5-7
11: 2-3-7-9

2x1x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-5
9: 1-4-8-9
10: 2-5-7
11: 2-3-7-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Quick turnaround for Margolis fave off big debut. Usually a situation to play a bit against..

Most Likely: #2 Nakano 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Marvel Gaye 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Vin Santo 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Crepe Myrtle 9-2 4th

3rd: 43rd Bayou H., F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Category Seven 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Valli With a Vow 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Upperline 9-5 WON ($4.40)

4th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3)

Team Stall taking the slow, cautious route with huge debuting Pulpit colt. As close to unbeatable as you ever see..

Most Likely: #6 Bind 2-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Prime Cut 4-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Lusterdust 15-1 5th

5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Harvest Home 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 I Am the Sherriff 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Bauers Got Hours 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #7 Archon 10-1 7th

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-6-9
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 6
5: 1-5-6-7-8-9

4x4x1x6 = $96 x .50 = $48

6th: 86th New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Birdrun 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Mission Impazible 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Giant Oak 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 El Caballo 10-1 6th

7th: 60th Duncan Kenner, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Margolis entry 2-1 3rd/4th
Best Value: #7 Snapshot 9-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Backtalk 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Riley Tucker 7-2 5th

8th: 45th Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Completely wide open with several improving types that make it tough to discern scenario. Snow Fall (Now SCR’D) leaped forward first route fitting emergent War Front progeny pattern. May be right filly on which to make a stand in multis seeing as how any other conclusion means using 4, 5 maybe 6 of these. Tough group and every bit as challenging as the boy’s race an hour later..

Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #8 St. John’s River 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Daisy Devine 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #3 Switching Gears 8-1 9th

9th: 19th Mervin Muniz Jr. Memorial H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Yikes. Any one in this is possible..

Best Value: #2 Sleepless Knight 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Moryba 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Workin for Hops 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Expansion 8-1 2nd

10th: 98th Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, Super)

Curious edition of this great race with a few logical contender (Mucho Macho Man, Machen, Elite Alex) facing off against a hatful of lesser known types seeking Derby dough. Difficult race in which to build a ticket, as the top three figure to fill the board with Nacho Business, Nehro, Majestic Harbor, Left, Wilkinson and even Le Mans all candidates to invade the tri or super..

Most Likely: #6 Machen 7-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Mucho Macho Man 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 (POE) Nacho Business 10-1 WON/8th
Exotics Use: #11 Elite Alex 6-1 5th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 3-5-8
9: 2-4-5-9
10: 1-4-6-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

TURFWAY PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Sir P. T. Chalone 3-1 7th
Next Best: #8 No Rain No Rainbow 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Calipari’s Kitten 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #4 Sgt. Mauro 4-1 3rd

6th: 25th Queen, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Midst 9-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Sweet Temptress 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Happy Week 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Hyperlink 2-1 2nd

7th: 18th Hansel, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Murjan 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Ghost is Clear 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Getaway Guy 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Banjammer 15-1 4th

8th: 29th Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Favorites very vulnerable for various reasons. Swinging for fences..

#9 Jelly Cable a SCR after initial notice..

Best Value: #8 Angelica Zapata 10-1
Next Best: #4 Lilacs and Lace 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Summer Soiree 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #3 Marion Ravenwood 10-1 5th

@$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-5-8
6: 2-3
7: 1-5-7
8: 4-8-9/SCR

3x2x3x3 = $54

9th: 27th Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Swift Warrior 3-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #9 Swagger Jack 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 The Ole Gen 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Crimson China 4-1 2nd

10th: 40th Spiral (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super, Super Hi-5)

Don’t think there are any serious Derby horses here but it doesn’t stop it from being a fun betting race. Trying to squeeze down Positive Response is the key..

Best Value: #6 Rescind the Trade 12-1 12th
Next Best: #2 Positive Response 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Twinspired 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Taptowne 20-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Beachcombing 12-1 4th

Superb NoLa stand drawing toward big wrap-up

Friday, March 25th, 2011
Made the one play of the day count Thursday as Robbie’s War came through for $17.00 win tote in a thrilling Santa Anita 5th. The Jim Cassidy trainee won a photograph from 40-1 Lemou who ran every bit as as well as the victorious War Chant gelding. The exotics were bountiful, with a $213 exacta, $1,075 tri and $6,447 super (All $1). Glad Rich Eng and I had a chance to discuss therace, and I hope some had an opportunity to take advantage. Closing weekend at Fair Grounds, and things kick off with a nice Friday card spiked with Bayou-bred stakes.

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3)

Quality sophs included here including Winchell-Gainesway homebred Tapaway, a full brother to Touching Beauty, and Dogwood buy Toreador, a full to Visionaire..

Best Value: #1 Hy Lime Time 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Infrattini 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Tapaway 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Back Room Deal 12-1 4th

3rd: 2nd Costa Rising-LA, 4+, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Star Guitar 1-5 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #1e Asmussen entry 9-2 2nd/3rd

4th: MSW, F&M-3/5, 6f (P3, Super)

Pedigree notable includes debuting #4 Stellar Trip who is a half to Rail Trip..

Most Likely: #6 Extra Quick 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lay Up 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #8 Queen of King St. 12-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Lightshaft 3-1 3rd

5th: 35th Red Camelia-LA, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3)

Best Value: #5 Skipping Town 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Heligbrodt ownership entry 8-5 WON ($4.40)

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 4 (ALL)
3: 4
4: 1-6
5: 1-5

7x1x2x2 = 28 x $1.50 = $42

.50 P4 Paid $16.00 x 3 = $48

6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Keepinonestepahead 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Dance Caller 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Siente El Trueno 4-1 2nd

7th: 1st Bayo St. Johns-LA, 4+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Next Best: #3 Hud’s Rebel 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Kissimmee Kyle 4-1 WON ($6.20)

8th: 39th Crescent City Derby-LA, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Man of Strife 5-2 WON via DQ ($6.40)
Next Best: #5 Populist Politics 3-1 3rd-DQ’d from win
Best Value: #3 Ollie Baby 8-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Tonto Too 4-1 2nd via DQ

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Hard to be too enthusiastic about 7-2 fave Wild Strike who is obviously ouchy and needs to improve to contend..

Best Value: #3 Paoli Princess 6-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Distorted Love 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Champagne Spirit 8-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Dandyna 10-1 WON ($25.40)

10th: 6th Cresent City Oaks-LA, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 LOVENOTLOST 4-1 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #3 Cat’s Production 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Tensas Punch 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Lawson’s Lady 6-1 2nd

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Screwy race..

Best Value: #9 Indian Eddie 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Big Buff 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Our Rocket Mon 8-1 6th
Super Add: #11 City Center 12-1 7th

12th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 A. M. Due 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Killa 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Walk Away Ruler 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Miss Michelle 4-1 WON ($6.20)

<$25 P4 Play:

9: 3-9-10
10: 4
11: 3-6-9-11
12: 2-3-5-10

3x1x4x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

Good luck!
Steve

Much goes right in AQU P6, GP P4 hits; Factor wows..

Sunday, March 20th, 2011
Rather magical afternoon Saturday as nearly every ticket-building decision at Aqueduct and Gulfstream went ‘right’. Carryover P6 play at the Big A hinged on single of Tocco d’Oro in the 4th leg 8th race, and he held off the oncoming Fortitude to give the play a good chance of success. Payoff of $12,231, plus another $912 in consolations, is the kind of return you need as often as they can be authored to reward your interest and effort in working at horseplay. The ticket was lucrative thanks to the opening leg’s $15.20 winner Tapped Out Bruno. The next longest number came from 9-2 Ground Force ($11.80) in the NY-MSW 7th.

Simultaneously, the day was tracking favorably at Gulfstream, where the late quad delivered a very nice $1,063 on the $1 suggestion that cost $60. There, the single of stunning Hilda’s Passion was a free square, and it allowed for a 3x4x1x5 structure which netted $13.40 Lucas Brady and $15.20 Lose None in the 8th and 9th. Leaving Lose None off the P5 ticket cost the casher there, but at least 4 of 5 consos ($35) came close to offsetting the $45 investment.

Couldn’t get the multis at Oaklawn or Santa Anita, but watching The Factor’s exciting Rebel performance add intrigue to the Derby Trail and MacLean’s Magic scintillating debut, more than made up for it after the first half of the day. I hope everyone did well Saturday! Santa Anita the focus today as it closes out a really nice three day skein of racing..

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Short but balanced field with Brock, $2.3MM brother of Mr. Sidney returning for Jackson-Asmussen..

Most Likely: #3 Midnight Interlude 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Big Business 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Brock 7-2 4th

4th: 60th San Luis Rey (G2), 4+, 12f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Haimish Hy 5-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Dahoud 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Juniper Pass 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #4 Impotente Purse 7-2 3rd

5th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Irrefutable 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #6 Capital Account 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Sea Rascal 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Stacy’s Hope 5-1 5th

6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 River’s Mambo 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Lily Amore 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Limerick Lane 8-1 4th

7th: CLM, 4yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Fog Alert 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #4 Very Fair 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Time for Atonement 8-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Brady Blue Eyes 8-1 7th

8th: 26th Santa Paula, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

This race likely earns its’ grading back after this..

Most Likely: #8 Mildly Offensive 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 California Nectar 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Hout Bay 6-1 2nd

9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Matamor 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Blind Magic 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Cut n’ Deal 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 SCR
Hi-5 Play: #10 Society at Large 12-1 DNF

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2/SCR-4-8
7: 4-5-9-10
8: 4-5-8
9: 1-4/SCR6-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Oaklawn stakes, Big A C/O highlights big Saturday

Saturday, March 19th, 2011

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$27,552 P6 C/O Starts Here..

Fun betting race and I’m a sucker for ‘first time 4yo’s’ like Crepe Au Sucre, who flashed talent at three before time out. Clever time for this one to come back since the name of the Kelly trainee refers to the Quebecois pancakes served now during sugaring off of the maples..

Best Value: #6 Crepe Au Sucre 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Storm Falcon 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Miami Hammer 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Tapped Out Bruno 6-1 WON ($15.20)

6th: MSW, 3+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Inside trio look like the key players, but note the return of $700k Darley purchase Merensky Reef (8-1), son of the excellent and versatile Platinum Tiara who faced Game On Dude, Our Dark Knight, Morning Line and more before being sidelined last year..

Most Likely: #3 Eltheeb 4-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #1 Corundum 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Acadian Blues 7-2 2nd

7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Interesting Empire maiden set with Giant Moon (Giant’s Causeway) sib Piscesbythemoonlight making debut for Schosberg and Fried. Another notable bow comes from Albertrani’s Elusive Quality son Hershel, a half to turf toughie Willard Straight (Lion Cavern)..

Most Likely: #5 Master Splash 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Ground Force 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #8 El Dreamer 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Piscesbymoonlight 5-1 4th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky group made more difficult by presence of low priced Fortitude (2-1) who is capable, but has really run only two good races of the eight in which he has participated. Tocco d’Oro has a pace edge in here up front, and overlaid Mindboggling has never been better than Ferraro has had him since the calendar turned..

Most Likely: #8 Tocco d’Oro 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #5 Mind Boggling 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Who’s Willie Fitz 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Here Comes Vinny 6-1 3rd

9th: 19th Cicada (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Tony Dutrow is very effective at this time of year with horses like Quantum Miss, and KMc’s In Step, half to Vindication, could be anything after a winning bow 4 weeks ago..

Most Likely: #5 Quantum Miss 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #4 Dream 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 In Step 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Wild About Sonny 12-1 6th

10th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Winged Bandit 7-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #5 Missymoonlitmagic 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Fastish 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Ecoach 5-1 4th

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-3-4-6
6: 1-3
7: 5-6
8: 8
9: 1-4-5
10: 2-5

4x2x2x1x3x2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (1/3/6/8/5/2,4,9) Paid $12,231.00

$2 Pick 6 Conso (1/3/6/8/5/2,4,9) Paid $114.00 x 8 = $912.00

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-6
8: 1-2-4-5-8-9
9: 1-4-5
10: 2-5

2x6x3x2 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (6/8/5/2,4,9) Paid $139.50

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$367,164 P6 C/O Starts Here..

Most Likely: #10 Gathering Cloud 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #9 Guns and Religion 15-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Tetelestai 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Echo Tango 8-1 9th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Erin Rose 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #8 Honest Gold 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Unicorn Girl 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Speightful Lady 6-1 4th

8th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Passager 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Call Shot 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Lucas Brady 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Super Add: #4 Livingston Street 10-1 4th

9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 5f-Inner Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Knockinelder 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Bella Moneta 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Lady Rizzi 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Lose None 8-1 WON ($15.20)

10th: Inside Information (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Hilda’s Passion 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #3 Ms Vanennza 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Amen Hallelujah 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Beautician 4-1 6th

10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-Outer Turf (Super)

Best Value: #7 Papaw Bodie 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Family Foundation 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Niagara Thunder 12-1 12th
Super Add: #6 Show the Way J 3-1 10th

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 4-8
8: 3-6-9
9: 5-9-10
10: 5
11: 2-4-5-6-7

2x3x3x1x5 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/9/8/5,6/2) Paid $11.70 (4OF5) x 3 = $35.10

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-6-9
9: 5-8-9-10
10: 5
11: 2-4-5-6-7

3x4x1x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (9/8/5,6/2) Paid $1,063 ($531.50 for .50)

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: 25th Tampa Bay (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, DD, Super)

Nice group for this, and considering the ML, I cannot help but build bets around a horse with whom I’ve made a lot of money, Rahystrada..

Best Value: #5 Rahystrada 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Voodoo Swinge 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Teaks North 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Doubles Partner 9-2 WON ($6.60)

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (P4)

Most Likely: #7 Wild Hope 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Rigamaro 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Glowing Report 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Ripe Tomato 8-1 3rd

9th: 25th Azeri (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, Super)

With all the focus on short-toted Blind Luck (8-5) and Havre de Grace (9-5), you may want to be focusing on Spacy Tracy (5-1), a new mare on dirt since last fall, and Tidal Pool (6-1), back in best form..

Best Value: #1 Tidal Pool 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Havre de Grace 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Spacy Tracy 5-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Blind Luck 8-5 2nd

10th: 51st Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Note anticipated SCR’s of Dreaminofthewin, Glint and Elite Alex (Louisiana Derby). Fascinating assembly of lesser seen sophomores looking to play serious role on Derby Trail. Attention in advance of this has rightly been on Cali invaders The Factor (Baffert) and Sway Away (Bonde) in wake of Premier Pegasus’ San Felipe romp a week ago. Baffert trainee sure looks to have big advantage on the engine..

Most Likely: #6 The Factor 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #1 Archarcharch 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Sway Away 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 J P’s Gusto 5-1 7th

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #6 Timber Wildcat 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Thunder Song 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Semiconductor 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mississippi Money 4-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 6-7-9
9: 1-4-5-7
10: 1-6-9
11: 3-6

3x4x3x2 = $72

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: Cal-Irish O’Brien, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Saanneen 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 La Nez 9-2 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #1 SCR
Super Add: #5 Strawberry Tart 6-1 8th

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Havens Lake 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #9 Ann’s Seven 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Poetic Riches 4-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Sipnzin 6-1 6th

7th: 44th Santa Ana (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Washington Bridge 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Malibu Pier 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Eclair de Lune 5-2 5th
Super Add: #6 It Tiz 5-1 6th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Meadow Road 3-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Flightofalifetime 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Maclean’s Music 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #4 Cherryzapper 12-1 8th

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Excellent News 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Saint Isabelle 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Crisis of Spirit 8-5 4th
Super Add: #4 Pincelada 12-1 2nd

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Make Someone Happy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Sexy Melody 7-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Magical Grace 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Suitable Attire 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Jordanelle 6-1 WON ($9.20)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-6-7-8
8: 3-4-6-9
9: 1-2-5
10: 2-4

6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

P6 doesn’t guarantee riches; Great Friday card at SA

Friday, March 18th, 2011
No matter how you get one, or how little it pays, it’s always fun and rewarding to get through a P6 sequence. Yes it only brought back $250, (plus another $67 on consos).. and yes scratching into the winning post time favorite (The Zapster) was a back door method. But it’s always a confidence booster. Hope some played along and did well. Was a little surprised the sequence ‘chalked’ the way it did as the races looked pretty fun and compelling.

Action at Santa Anita today is of near weekend level quality with a great Joe Hernandez down the hill and full field turf mile ALW as a co-feature. There are some nice MDN sophomore fillies on the hill to start the P6, and even the $10k 4th and $25k 6th are good events. Should be great fun and a great way to start a big spring weekend! Another 2 hour ATR today, before we return to 9a-12p Monday!

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Lightly-raced missies down the hill. Note Shirreffs’ success with first and second time starters this course, and though the entry is 9-5 on the ML, you do get hot-working Yakteen debut gal as part of the deal..

Most Likely: #1e Kirkorian ownership entry 9-5 #1-WON/#1a-2nd ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Candys Girl 8-5 2nd (for wagering)
Exotics Use: #2 Blue Grass Music 5-2 3rd (for wagering)
Super Add: #5 Lyrical 8-1 4th (for wagering)

4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Late SCR
Best Value: #6 Lord Avalon 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #8 Belo Purse 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Don Elias M. 4-1 4th

5th: Joe Hernandez, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Nice little Friday afternoon stake. Favored Regally Ready is the horse to beat but is too short to embrace fully..

Best Value: #4 Dilemma 5-1 7th
Most Likely: #5 Regally Ready 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #1 Gallant Sun 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Leroy’s Dynameaux 8-1 2nd

6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Clubhouse Rules 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Gladiatrix 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Diamond Journey 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 No Afillyation 7-2 WON ($6.40)

7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Akkadian 8-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Drink at Buster’s 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ten Devils 5-2 7th
Super Add: #1 Major Art 12-1 WON ($21.00)

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (Super. Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Answer to Abby 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Bell Blitz 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Trastevere 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Isthmus 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Hi-5 Play: #2 Our Senior Moments 5-1 4th

<$75 P6 Play:

3: 1-2-3
4: 2-6-8
5: 4-5
6: 6
7: 4-8
8: 6

3x3x2x1x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-5
6: 1-4-6
7: 1-2-4-8
8: 1-6-8-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72