Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

BELMONT: Best price boosts P4; Strong Sunday slate

Sunday, September 11th, 2011

Enjoyed a fun and fast-paced Saturday afternoon with eclectic action around the ovals punctuated by highly bettable sequences and stakes at BEL, LaD, AP, PID and more. Late P4 at Belmont went my way and paid nicely thanks to Contessa’s late-running $29 Fast Grievance, the best possible result in the anchor leg for a $367 bingo. Earlier in the quad, KMc’s Freshman Dorm paid a bulky $15.80 in the scrambled 7th, and keyed an $82.50 triple that got the Fall Meet punting off to a great start.

Got knocked out of the Super Derby/All Stakes P4 immediately when old favorite Golden Yank rallied neatly inside of invading Lonesome Street and Mystic, but caught some OK exotics through the final 3 races to exit Bozier City whole. Baffert’s Prayer for Relief (3-2, fave) and Rafy Bejarano exited LaDowns with $300k thanks to clever front-end thievery that allowed the now 3X Derby winner outrageously soft fractions (:24.2, :50.1, 1:15.2). When Graham Motion joined Seth Merrow and I Saturday morning on Capital OTB, he indicated that Meistersinger (3-1, 2nd choice) could be expected to be part of the pace picture, so it’s hard to imagine he was happy with Lezcano’s torpid handling of the 3-1 second choice who finished 8th.

Was a good day overall andf I hope everyone did well! Sunday card at Belmont is particularly good from the 5th race on, and includes a MSW 9th that unveils Animal Kingdom half brother THURSBY (Mr. Greeley)…

BELMONT PARK

10th RACE TAKEN OFF THE ‘GOOD’ TURF

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-MOVED TO INNER TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

As usual, state-bred OC/ALW on grass provides fodder for gleeful wagering. Ignore Bishop of Nola’s off-turf flop and string of eligible performances remain. Rocky F is obvious threat back to spring runs..

Most Likely: #7 Bishop of Nola 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Mr. Enrico 20-1 WON ($56.50)
Next Best: #5 Rocky F 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Sky Blue Pink 7-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $120.25
$1 Trifecta (8-2-7) Paid $359.50
$1 Superfecta (8-2-7-5) Paid $485.00

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Aren’t you forced to ask yourself why Buffum, off that stunning Spa performance, is running back in this kind of event?

Most Likely: #6 Buffum 1-1 2nd (DQ’d from WIN)
Next Best: #4 Bold Warrior 5-2 WON-DQ ($9.20)
Best Value: #3 Golden Gulch 8-1 3rd

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tough to argue with likelihood of Pletcher 2nd timer Patrice Merion (English Channel), but there are some interesting options for inclusion. Matz has yet another 2yo prospect in LDK bay Somali Lemonade who hales from unraced Nureyev mare Chic Corine who has produced several turf winners including stake winners in the U.S. and Europe. Chic Corine is out of Ashland winner Chic Shirine, who as a dam produced Flying Passage (dam of Hungry Island and Soparing Empire); Mayan Maidan (dam of Maya, the dam of Al Khali); and G2 True North winner Waldboro (Lyphard). Single from Alan Goldberg is out of Love Match, a Partner’s Hero bay that broke her maiden sprinting on dirt for Rodney Jenkins before John Kimmel sent her out to a G3 Matchmaker win (9f-T). David Fawkes has been trying to get Fly to the Sky on to the grass, a good idea considering her dam Flying Circle, (who Fawkes trained), was an outstanding turf sprint stakes performer that banked nearly $500k. Neil Howard’s AE Honey Talk likely won’t get in to the field, but her dam Sweet Talker should need no introduction as a G1 winning $1,000,000 earner on the lawn. Sweet Talker’s first foal Perregaux, also with Howard, placed in the G2 Hall of Fame over the summer..

Most Likely: #2 Patrice Merion 2-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Sweet and Lovely 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Fly to the Sky 15-1 10th
Super Add: #7 Somali Lemonade 12-1 WON ($22.40)

8th: 36th Ashley T. Cole-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Predictably deep and balanced edition of this fun race. Defending champ Uncle T Seven came into the ’10 running off just as weak-looking a performance as his West Point try..

Most Likely: #7 Pocket Cowboys 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Minnie Putt 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Straight Story 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Compliance Officer 5-2 WON ($5.80)

9th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (DD, Super)

Boys division countering fillies in the 7th features Team Valor/Motion debut of Mr. Greeley son Thursby, a half to Animal Kingdom. Motion said Saturday that he has talent and will get chances on dirt, but this spot seemed a good launching point for the colt. Serpe FTS Fly Ride is by Street Cry o/o the dam that produced 4X stake annexer Gilded Gold; Hertler returnee Quartermain is half to Queens’ Plate winner Wild Desert; Donk brings out Indy Sea, a Jo’berg bay whose half sister Prospective Saint won the Gardenia and placed in the Princess Rooney..

Most Likely: #4 Trade 7-2 9th
Best Value: #5 Indy Sea 10-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Thursby 3-1 12th
Exotics Use: #1 Apse 6-1 3rd

10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #14 Spina 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #16 Does It Every Time 6-1 7th
Next Best: #13 Tempest Storm 4-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Speckledbird 6-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-7-12
8: 6-7-8
9: 4-5-11
10: 12-13-14-16

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

BEL back; Super Derby, AP juvies highlight fun Saturday

Saturday, September 10th, 2011

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tough, deep group. Use as many as you can afford to start the Late P4..

Most Likely: #3 Top Surprize 9-2 3rd

Best Value: #7 Freshman Dorm 5-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #1 Concert Stage 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Annawon 4-1 5th

8th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Dutrow had a quiet Saratoga, but sure looks poised to kick off Fall Championship Meet well with top tab above and dominant-looking JMS runner here..

Most Likely: #7 Takes the Gold 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Odom 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Saint Honore 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Ventura Bar 12-1 2nd

9th: 53rd Bowling Green H. (G2), 3+, 11f-IT (DD, Super)

Solid cast for this with the two faves appearing legitimate at numbers, and Mott-Juddmonte colt showing slow, steady improvement..

Best Value: #5 Colonialism 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Grassy 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Sanagas 2-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Sal the Barber 8-1 7th

10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Kind of a slippery way to end the sequence..

Best Value: #9 Harlan’s Point 5-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Doublespeak 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Fast Grievance 12-1 WON ($29.80)
Super Add: #12 Great Privilege 6-1 9th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-7-8
8: 4-7
9: 3-5-7
10: 2-3-7-9-12

5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

$.50 P4 (7-7-7-3) Paid $367.25

DELAWARE PARK

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (P5, P3, DD, Super)

There isn’t really enough info in these races to make selections, but there are two highly notable maiden events at DelPark Saturday with a slew of interesting pedigrees on display. Matz unviels yet another well bred baby here in #4 Arabian Spirit (4-1), an A.P. Indy colt out of Chilean uber-mare Wild Spirit who came to America in 2003 and promptly won the G2 Shuvee (Smok’n Frolic, You), G2 DelCap (Take Charge Lady, Summer Colony) and G1 Ruffian (You, Passing Shot) before being bested by Azeri in the ’04 G1 Apple Blossom; #5 Unbridled Punch (Broken Vow) is a half to Westover Wildcat (Forest Wildcat); Second out #10 Red Jack (12-1) by Exchange Rate is a full brother to Ronny Werner and Oxbow Racing’s nice Ermine who won the ’07 Apple Blossom; Ham Smith debuts #3 Done Talking (15-1) who was dropped by ’05 Cicada winner Done Talking (Dixieland Band), herself a product of top race and broodmare Gin Talking. Rick Porter paid $360k for #1 Brigade (5-1), a Tiznow bay that is from the first foal of a Forestry dam that was 0/5 for $17k on track..

8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

#3 Quinte West (12-1), another from the Matz barn, is by First Samurai out of Seattle Slew mare Aldebaran Light, making her a half to Eskendereya; 7-2 #4 Here Music (Dehere) makes start #2 for Tony Dutrow and is from one of the nice families that the late Ned Evans created. She was delivered by Mambo Bell (Kingmambo), a half sister to Evans’ standouts Silver Music, Musical Ghost and Prospector’s Song; Mary Eppler brings out #5 Penthouse Party (12-1), by Offlee Wild and a half to Ibboyee; Larry Jones trainee #1a Tribal Council (6-1) is a Brereton Jones production by Indian Charlie that is a full to the wonderful turf sprinter Mr. Nightlinger; #10 Miss Pavarotti (15-1) is a half to 90’s era hard hitter Umpateedle..

LOUISIANA DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: Unbridled, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Lonesome Street 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mystic 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Heavenville 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Wildrally 12-1 8th

10th: Sunday Silence, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Desormeaux entry 5-2 6th/12th
Best Value: #11 Pryce’s Posse 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Top Cat Boogie 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Gung Ho 12-1 WON ($11.80)
Super Add: #6 Easton Jack 6-1 5th

11th: Super Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Fun, deep edition of the $500k event..

Best Value: #1 Meistersinger 9-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Alternation 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Prayer for Relief 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #9 Awesome Bet 8-1 2nd

12th: River Cities, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 She’s All In 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #5 Category Seven 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Skipping Town 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Vickies in Town 7-2 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-3
10: 1-6-7-8-9-11
11: 1-5-6
12: 2-3-5-7

2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

ARLINGTON PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Arlington-Washington Lassie (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Venetian Sonata 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Anne of the Dance 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Always Here Too 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Struck It Lucky 9-2 8th

9th: Arlngton-Washington Futurity (G3), 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Hogy 8-1 4th
Next Best: #14 Twelve Hundred 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Take Charge Indy 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Shared Property 9-2 WON ($8.20)

PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: Presque Isle Masters (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Shotgun Gulch 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Beat the Blues 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Jenny’s So Great 4-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Ariana D 10-1 2nd

Spa meet finishes strong; DMR wraps Wednesday

Wednesday, September 7th, 2011

Enjoyed big snapback Sunday at Spa from lousy Saturday with early quad hit and second big Jim Baker score of the week. Heart of Destiny received a fearless ride by Edgar Prado in the deep 6th race, and nosed out the ‘can’t lose’ Chad Brown debuter Pianist for a $32.60 win tote that tripped handsome exotics and multis. It was a great way to end what was an outstanding meet from every perspective. With a messy situation Monday after driving rains all night, I was quite content to end the season on Sunday’s high notes. I hope everyone enjoyed the live ATR coverage of Saratoga ’11, and hasdone well at the windows with the suggestions I’ve offered.

Neededthe time off but couldn’t help looking at second half of the Del Mar season-ender…

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 13th Pirate’s Bounty-R, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Mensa Heat 6-1 WON-DH ($5.40)
Next Best: #4 Carbonite 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Kinsale King 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Square Deal 8-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Ruffled Feathers 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hard to Resist 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Ela Gorrie Mou 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Laura Beasley 15-1 4th

8th: 64th Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Well-matched set of juvies that all look like they could be ‘any kind’. Favored undefeateds Majestic City and Creative Cause appear legit, but this kind of event is always subject to jump up efforts by an improving baby. Best Pal exiting types frequently impact this, and Baffert has won 9 of the last 15 of them. You read that right. 9 of 15..

Most Likely: #6 Drill 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #8 Creative Cause 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Gun Boat 8-1 4th
Super Add #5 Basmati 8-1 5th

9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Courtside 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Galleta Monstruo 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Future Covenant 15-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Domonation 8-1 3rd

10th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Swiss Charm 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #10 Vonn Nez 6-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Coconino 30-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Elusive Charmer 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Hi-5 Play: #2 California Heat 7-2 2nd

@$50 P4 Play:

7: 6-7-8
8: 6-8
9: 2-5-9
10: 2-3-4-5-7-10

3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54

Havre de Grace, Jackson Bend Saturday stars at Spa

Sunday, September 4th, 2011

Spa Saturday action was largely unproductive from a betting standpoint, but thrilling with premium quality efforts from Havre de Grace in the Woodward and Jackson Bend in the Forego. Sharp maidenbreakers were a big part of the day too with Darley’s Alpha and Bill Parcell’s Saratoga Snacks were sharp on the main track at 7f and 6.5f. while Live Oak’s Za Approval and blanket finish topper Kitten’s Kid (Merrill Scherer) aced lawn diplomas.

In the wagering, things never really jelled over the 12 race slate despite a handful of winners and exotics sprinkled throughout the day. When the dust settled, I found myself $300 poorer thanks to unsuccessful P4 and P6 tickets. Hope everyone did OK (or minimized the losses anyway). Weather is a bit iffy this afternoon and very iffy for Labor Day Monday..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Delightful start to the betting with this wide open affair that featuresdroppers and dirt/turf moves, et al.. Dive in and sprinkle liberally with price horses!

Best Value: #8 Cooper River 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Living Right 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Storm Galileo 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Equivocation 12-1 4th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 8 in W/PL slots with 1-2-4-5-10 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3) = 60 + 60 = 120 x .10 = $12.00

2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

3-5? Seriously, 3-5? Come on..

Best Value: #2 Sharp Tongue Lady 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Fantasy of Flight 3-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Dust and Diamonds 6-1 WON ($12.20)

3rd: Sightseek-R, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Arena Elvira 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #3 All About Alex 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Lacie Slew 7-2 3rd

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Jupiter Trio 9-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Southbeachsandy 7-2 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #14 Papa’s Nice Cat 8-1 10th
Super Add: #3 Ground Force 6-1 2nd

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Special Action 5-2 8th
Best Value: #4 Next Page 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 My Piano Man 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Super Add: #9 Astonish 15-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5
3: 3-4
4: 3-4-7-14
5: 1-4-7

3x2x4x3 = $72 ($36 for .50)

$. Pick 4 (3-4-1/4/6/9/13-1) Paid $343.00 ($171.50 for .50)

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Lots of possible pedigree notes, but none better than Stan Hough’s Carolina Light who is a half to Scrappy T!!! (Oh.. and Tar Heel Mom of course).. Scrappy T!!!

Best Value: #7 Heart of Destiny 10-1 WON ($32.60)
Next Best: #6 Formative 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Zultanite 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Karlovy Vary 8-1 3rd

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

This is a curious set of 2yo fillies with far too many ‘obvious’ horses. I’m looking elsewhere..

Most Likely: #10 Be With Me 5-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Sea Island 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Centrique 8-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Newbie 8-1 4th

8th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Likely has no chance in his debut, but it is hard not to root for Robbie Davis sending his first starter out (#6 Sandyinthesun) as a trainer under daughter Jackie..

Most Likely: #2 Paci Di Notte 9-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Faulkner 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Turn Up the Music 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #1 Angel Ray 12-1 12th

9th: 104th Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Brilliant Speed 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #4 Queen’splatekitten 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Seal Cove 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Sky Blazer 15-1 4th

10th: 120th Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Georgie’s Angel 2-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Lady Pecan 8-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Judy the Beauty 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e A. Dutrow entry 7-2 WON ($8.80)/5th

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Ausable Chasm was intended for this but had the bad luck of not being in the field when a total of 20 (!) entered..

Most Likely: #4 Schillerette 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Jazz Life 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Silver Screamer 3-1 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Unknown Wonder 15-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Copious Notes 12-1 9th

12th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

RACE CANCELLED

Most Likely: #5 Glory in Motion 4-1
Next Best: #4 Ready to Party 5-1
Exotics Use: #10 High Strider 3-1
Super Add: #8 Starjetta 7-2

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 4-5-6
10: 1-3-5-7
11: 1-4-9-10
12: 4510

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$.50 Pick 4 (5-1-1-ALL) Paid $20.87 (x 3 = $62.61)

Keys prove productive; $64k C/O for final Saturday

Saturday, September 3rd, 2011

Excellent start to the closing weekend festivities at the Spa, with $14 River Fancy and $19 Elusive Pearl proving out especially nicely. Hope everyone did well! $64k P6 carryover adds to intrigue of final Saturday, a slate already peppered with 3 G1 stakes and several terrific Maiden events. Should be a furious finish to what has been a fabulous season at Saratoga…

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Paris Opera, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Nice way to start the final Saturday card, as little overnight stake includes U.S. debut of Deluxe, Juddmonte’s 4yo daughter of legendary broodmare Hasili (Dansili, Cacique, Champs Elysees, Banks Hill, Intercontinental, Heat Haze, et al)..

Best Value: #2 Hit It Rich 8-1
Next Best: #8 Sugar Again 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Deluxe 2-1
Super Add: #3 Ultimate Class 8-1

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

One of the days most interesting races with some notable pedigree highlights featured..

Best Value: #8 Scandalicious 12-1: Sneaky on lawn where dam excelled..
Next Best: #3 Super Saturday 6-1: Half to fast Despite the Odds, turf star Chopinina..
Exotics Use: #7 Punctual Jeff 4-1
Super Add: #4 O’Prado Again 6-1

3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

As always with these state-bred lawn route ALW’s, supremely balanced and maddeningly fun wagering opp. Pick your prices and wheel/box away!

Best Value: #4 Skip’s Prospect 10-1
Next Best: #3 Oatka Idas Rose 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 Lady’s Lunar Luck 9-2
Super Add: #12 Lemon Tiger 3-1

4th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

And here I thought the 2nd race had pedigrees. Among others, Angel Penna unveils Farish homebred Stolen Glance here, a son of 2003 Epsom Oaks winner Casual Look (Red Ransom). Majestic Man from Oxley/Ward is out of La Cucina who has produced sire Sir Cherokee and excellent Miss Isella. Za Approval from Mrs. Weber is half to her wonderful Revved Up and BC Mile winner Miesque’s Approval. Value tab King Haigler should leap forward on lawn being a half to rock solid turfers Jimmy Simms and Well Monied. There are more players from the breeding perspective, but I don’t have time to get to them all!

Best Value: #3 King Haigler 15-1
Next Best: #2 Za Approval 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Bluegrass Summer 15-1
Super Add: #12 McCarroll 20-1

5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Aquifolia 5-1
Next Best: #2 Earnings Release 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Dancing Tiz 7-2
Super Add: #6 Feels Good 12-1

<$75 P4 Play:

This is a nearly impossible sequence. I’ll try to sneak a winner in on the opening leg before widening the net..

2: 3-4-7-8
3: 3-4-7
4: 2-3
5: 1-2-4-5-6-7

4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Big SCR of Manresa Road & draw in of Dahess..

Best Value: #6 More Than Lucky 5-1
Next Best: #13 Dahess 4-1
Exotics Use: #4 Herecomeseveryman 7-2
Super Add: #12 Solid d’Oro 10-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Invocation 7-2
Next Best: #9 Africanist 5-2
Exotics Use: #1e Darley entry 6-1
Super Add: #6 Hierro 4-1

8th: 64th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 10f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Super Espresso 3-1
Next Best: #2 Ask the Moon 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Pachattack 9-2

9th: 32nd Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Excellent and eclectic cast for this summer-ending sprint standard. Rule by Night may is a bit of an ouchy type, but is potentially fastest if right, with November ’10 Groovy win this trip the model for success today. He’s drawn ideally and will be one of the longest numbers on the board..

Best Value: #9 Rule by Night 15-1
Next Best: #4 Jersey Town 6-1
Exotics Use: #8 Regal Ransom 6-1
Super Add: #5 Hamazing Destiny 5-1

10th: 58th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Solid cast top to bottom for this, and enhanced by attempt of Havre de Grace to best the boys. She and Flat Out look to simply be better than the rest right now..

Most Likely: #7 Flat Out 5-2
Next Best: #6 Havre de Grace 8-5
Best Value: #3 Giant Oak 8-1
Super Add: #2 Mission Impazible 10-1

11th: CLM, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Keechi Bullet 6-1
Next Best: #7 One Cool Dude 5-1
Exotics Use: #1 Ninety Five South 3-1
Super Add: #11 Fiery Rebel 12-1

12th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Saratoga Snacks 7-2
Next Best: #8 Parachute Coney 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Thewizardofnassau 8-1
Super Add: #2 Wild Exploit 20-1

<$150 P6 Play:

7: 3-9
8: 2-3-5
9: 4-8-9
10: 6-7
11: 5-7
12: 10

2x3x3x2x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$50 P4 Play:

9: 1-4-5-7-8-9
10: 2-6-7
11: 1-5-7-11
12: 8-10

6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve