BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Cosmic King 6-1
Next Best: #6 Storm Galileo 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Perfect Joiski 5-2
Super Add: #8 Launch N Relaunch 8-1

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Thanks to Gary and Paul and the barn crew and BOL/safe trip to Edgar Prado with Dee Tee’s My Pal of Pals as he gets on the lawn!

Best Value: #2 Image of Disco 12-1
Next Best: #7 My Pal of Pals 10-1
Exotics Use: #1a Western Tryst 5-1
Super Add: #6 T. J’s Bodylan 3-1

6th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Tesoro Silver 10-1
Next Best: #3 Coalition 7-5
Exotics Use: #2 Pure Grit 5-2
Super Add: #1 Ice Theater 12-1

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Best Actor 6-1
Best Value: #3 Mad for Smarty 8-1
Exotics Use: #8 Summer Share 3-1
Super Add: #2 Presumptive 12-1

8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Lady On the Run 4-1
Best Value: #6 Turned to Gold 10-1
Next Best: #4 Page by Page 3-1
Super Add: #3 Bailzee 6-1

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (Super)

Best Value: #5 Feels Good 5-1
Next Best: #13 Eccentric Life 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Skiddles n’ Bob 2-1
Super Add: #9 Blissful Belle 8-1

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 6-7-8-10
5: 1-2-7
6: 2-3-4
7: 4
8: 11
9: 5-13

4x3x3x1x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4
7: 3-4
8: 3-4-6-9-10-11
9: 5-8-9-13

3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

#6 Race to Urga is a very bad favorite at 2-1. Part of the exotics scene perhaps, but a favorite to play against with gusto..

Most Likely: #4 Miss Laa di Da 3-1 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #8 Tutti Va Bene 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Settling Seas 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Sex Appeal 4-1 5th

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Holiday Broad 7-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Street Savy 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Yellow Boat 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #6 Edit 4-1 3rd

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Quiet Ending 8-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Wholelottashakin 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #1 Stock Fund 3-1 6th
Super Add: #5 At the Palace 10-1 7th

6th: MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

As discussed Tuesday with Andy Serling, for a fall 3+ MSW, this is a very good group that features several with real upside. And be aware that AE-11 Unprecedented is a real danger at 15-1 if he gets in..

Most Likely: #5 Imagining 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #8 Dream Man 12-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Springcourt 5-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Colossal Gift 9-2 2nd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Another tremendously deep and balanced group. Hard to eliminate any besides Mr. Irons as even Saginaw and Unbridled Heat, both 20-1, have turf races in their PP’s that make them plausible as exotics includes..

Best Value: #6 Monument Hill 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gantry 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Unaccountable 9-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Slambino 15-1 6th

8th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Cookram Rock 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Deciphering Dreams 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Best Value: #6 Prince Dubai 15-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Rocky World 15-1 6th

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Super)

Best Value: #14 Forever Grateful 20-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Karakorum Fugitive 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 More is Better 5-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Grace and Courage 8-1 5th

<$50 P4 Play:

Let’s try to single Cookram Rock and catch a price in the wild 7th..

6: 2-5-6-8
7: 1-2-4-5-6-7-8-9
8: 8
9: 3-6-14

4x8x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

Belmont C/O card Friday proved daunting enough to send sextet jackpot into Saturday, as there were just enough ‘next choice’ kind of horses in the sequence to make it un-hittable. $31.80 Kharafa (3rd choice as Best Value in 6th), $18.00 Top Surprize (Next Best 3rd choice in 4th) and $14.80 Honey Talk (Best Value top tab in 9th) were among the afternoon’s possible successes, but I couldn’t reach Count Catamount in the 8th and wouldn’t have even had the $3,060 (.50) P4 including him at the bottom of the selections. Was able to finish the day with good returns in the nightcap off of Howard’s well bred Honey Talk, as the rest of the cast was laid out for the $56.50 exacta, $184.50 trifecta and $1,034 super. Hope everybody got a piece of something on the fun day of racing. Saturday a fall cornucopia of action with the $94k carryover in New York, amazingly deep opportunities at Chicago including the Pucker Up and a stakes-laden card at Charles Town tonight featuring the $400k Oaks. Enjoy the day!

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$94k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Right to Vote 1-1: Fast in just miss-debut v. Clip/Coupons.. WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #3 Dattts Happy 10-1: Liked him in SAR (3rd) bow, better today.. 3rd
Next Best: #5 Superstructure 9-2: Went evenly as FTS career in race with top tab.. 4th
Super Add: #4 Gold’n Holiday 10-1 7th

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Typically difficult lawn dash with about 6-8 conceivable for honors. Envision a scenario, use the ones that make sense in it and hope for the best. Presence of ‘First N.A.’ Zaahy for Clement an added burden..

Most Likely: #7 Structural Change 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Boston Pop 20-1 10th
Next Best: #8 He’s a Scrooge 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Zaahy 5-1 7th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Lemon Ghost 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Cardsontablefaceup 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 SCR
Super Add: #7 SCR

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Woo Hoo! Love us some state bred turf ALW action..

Best Value: #8 Tapitdar 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Gamblin Fever 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Seattle Mission 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #10 Fortissi More 8-1 2nd

9th: 33rd Garden City (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Intriguing storylines into this G1 event for soph gals include recasting of Lake Placid principals with Lezcano moved off Winter Memories and landing on Kathmanblu, as well as the return to the U.S. of Theyskens’ Theory. Unless I had looked at the history, I wouldn’t have recalled that Corey Nakatani (More Than Real) has won this race TWICE, first in 1998 on Pharratta and again in 2001 on Voodoo Dancer! Note there is a dearth of pace in here, and Arch Support, who stunned a Spa ALW at 26-1 last out (under Nakatani), could take them a long way. The filly had been going the wrong way before receiving extensive chiro work throughout the summer that has helped restore her fitness..

Most Likely: #4 Winter Memories 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #3 Hungry Island 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 More Than Real 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Kathmanblu 8-1 8th

10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

MDN heat features debut of Barbaro full brother Margano..

Best Value: #5 Powerofone 6-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Our Entourage 7-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Political Courage 12-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Margano 6-1 7th

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1
6: 7-8
7: 5-8 1-7/SCRATCHED
8: 1-6-8
9: 3-4
10: 5-9

1x2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-8 1-7/SCRATCHED
8: 1-6-8
9: 1-3-4-6
10: 5-9-10

2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

ARLINGTON PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some terrific betting opportunities in Chicago Saturday including outrageous G3 Pucker Up and this ALW with a bad favorite in Alluring Squall who has to improve to contend, let alone win..

Best Value: #1 Cat Bells 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Top Pair 9-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Lohan 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Alluring Squall 5-2 2nd

9th: 48th Pucker Up (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

The Garden City may be the day’s glamor mile and an eighth set for 3yo missies, but this thing is pure wagering mayhem waiting to happen. Send it in!

Best Value: #1 Sea Level Drive 30-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Happy Choice 15-1 12th
Exotics Use: #3 Marketing Mix 7-2 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #10 Barbies M 30-1 5th

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$24k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Celebrity Sighting 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sister Resistor 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #6 Keep It a Secret 6-1 5th

5th: Summing S., 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wilkinson 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Preachintothedevil 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Top Surprize 8-1 WON ($18.00)

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Unpleasant addition to the P6, but at least we get to see the board before putting in P4 plays. Very dangerous event..

Most Likely: #3 Win for the Zipper 6-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Skorton 8-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Kharafa 15-1 WON ($31.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Ampersand 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Adriatic Spirit 5-2 5th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Afraid we need to use the top 3 to survive sextet and quad..

Most Likely: #7 Heavenly Landing 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 R Gypsy Gold 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #4 E Z Passer 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 American Angel 12-1 5th

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 I’ve Got Speed 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Chernobyl’s Hero 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1a Fisherman’s Wharf 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Ever a Friend 4-1 2nd

9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super)

Best Value: #9 Honey Talk 6-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #12 Sweet Zapper 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Assateague 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 More Than Love 8-1 4th

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-5
5: 1
6: 3-10
7: 2-4-7
8: 5-6
9: 8-9-12

2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-6-9-10
7: 2-4-7
8: 5-6
9: 8-9-10-11-12

5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$43k P6 C/O starts here..

Major draw-in of AE #14 Tiana (7-2)..

Most Likely: #14 Tiana 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Gattino 12-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Bye Love You 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 War Queen 12-1 12th
Super Add: #1 Certainty 12-1 7th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 14 1st/2nd with 1-5-6-8-9 (1x5x4x3 (60) + 5x1x4x3 (60) = 120 x .10 = $12.00

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 10f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Smokin Star 5-2 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #3 Syros 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Unprecedented 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Griffin Rock 15-1 7th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Flea Flicker 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 My Jopia 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Raffie’s Choice 8-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Rodinia 8-1 5th

7th: Jazzy, F&M=3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Very good group and exceedingly bettable..

Best Value: #5 Exchange Funds 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Quebrada Shiner 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Yadira 10-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Donna Getyourgun 10-1 10th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 5 1st/2nd with 3-7-8-9-10 (1x5x4x3 [60] + 5x1x4x3 [60] = 120 x .10 = $12.00)

8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)

Dee Tee’s Ausable Chasm runs 2nd/break here after being denied opportunity upstate on closing weekend. Has done very well since the return, and closer watching of Spa try showed better effort than PP’s reflect. The top Morrison and Ribaudo favorites here are clear horses to beat, but after that the rest are within a length or so of each other including our Hook and Ladder sophomore miss. Will be a big price and can help boost your tri or super..

Most Likely: #11 Sotique 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best; #6 Queens or Better 3-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Ausable Chasm 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Untamed Glory 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Persky’s Heart 20-1 6th

REVERSE TRI KEY PLAY: 3-6-8-11 with 3-6-8-11 with 7 (4x3x1 = $12)

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #2 Glory in Motion 4-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #6 Proud Lisa 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Ready to Party 9-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Sister Berta 10-1 4th

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 14
5: 1-3-8
6: 9
7: 3-5-9-10
8: 6-11
9: 2-6-8

1x3x1x4x2x3 = 72 x $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 8-9
7: 3-5-7-8-9-10
8: 6-7-11
9: 2-4-6-8

2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72