A good year of horse play comes to an end! Excellent action all over the country and Tina and I will spend the afternoon at Aqueduct for My Pal of Pals run in the 4th. Warm wishes for a safe and happy New Year’s Eve and healthy, prosperous 2012!

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-T/24′ (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Syros 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Papaw Bodie 10-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #9 Adirondack Summer 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Newsdad 6-1 3rd

9th: MSW, 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

No real surprises in hear at a glance. Question is what to do with Pletcher firster by Tiznow — #10 Willy Elliot (10-1)..

Best Value: #7 Input 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Moon Traveler 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Big Screen 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #11 Battle Hardened 4-1 2nd

10th: OC/N3X, 8.5f-T/84′ (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific group..

Best Value: #4 Laureate Conductor 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Bad Debt 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Pinckney Hill 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Cause of Freedom 10-1 10th

11th: 59th Mr. Prospector (G3), 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Indiano 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Zero Rate Policy 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Capt. Candyman Can 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Apriority 4-1 WON ($7.20)

12th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7.5f-T/24′ (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Miner’s Tune 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Brampton 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Catch That Kitten 8-1
Super Add: #9 Ithinkihadthatone 6-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Proudroad to Glory 5-1 WON ($12.70)

<$75 P5 Play:

8: 5-7-9
9: 7
10: 4-8
11: 1-2-3-4-7
12: 4-9-11-10-12

3x1x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 4-6-7
10: 4-8
11: 1-2-3-4-7
12: 4-9-11-10-12

3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, PL Pick All, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Amelia Rose 5-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Game Charmer 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Tiabelle 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Goldentouch of Gin 8-1 4th

2nd: CLM, 3+, 1m=T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some hard-knocking, classy $30k players lined up here with the 6 elders in the set having earned more than $2 million combined..

Most Likely: #7 Crossing the Line 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Violon Sacre 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Stoneside 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Matto Mondo 7-2 WON ($14.40)

3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Last chance for win at 2 for these fillies and several here have dams that caught my eye. Lobshot is o/o the excellent Chspiski that tore up Calder stakes 10 years ago for Ron Spatz; Hidinginplainsight’s dam Hot Storm was a very nice stakes sprinter for Dallas Stewart 2004-07 amassing $840k in 10 wins and multiple GS placings; Bright Gal dropped Lemon Hero and won 10 times as a top notch turf dasher when trained by Mary Eppler..

Most Likely: #2 My Sweet Candy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Hidinginplainsight 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Princess Arabella 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Lobshot 5-1 3rd

4th: CLM, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Call Me Kelly 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Bwana Me Gone 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Del Siete Leguas 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Pop the Cork 15-1 7th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Oy.. Maidens down the hill. Brutally tough to decipher. Pedigree notes include The Roan Ranger, half to Steve Klesaris/Bruce Levine solid citizen Coli Bear and Gurnick, half to U R All That I Am who won many stakes for Hollendorfer..

Most Likely: #8 Chickie Charms 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Spit Ball 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Unusual Heatwave 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #2 The Roan Ranger 8-1 3rd

<$75 P5/P4 Play:

1: 3
2: 4-5-7
3: 2-4-5-7
4: 6-9
5: 2-7-8-9-11-12

1x3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Quintons Destiny 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Delta Fix 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Gothics Peak 9-2 9th
Super Add: #6 Dubber 8-1 7th

7th: 17th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1,-T (P3, DD, Super)

Daddy Nose Best (9-5) is OK but hardly feels imposing in here. This race smells fishy..

Best Value: #3 Smart Ellis 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Daddy Nose Best 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Chips All In 9-2 WON ($25.20)
Super Add: #5 Stoney Fleece 5-2 3rd
Also Include: #1 Sheer Talent 8-1 2nd

8th: 39th La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)

Last G1 of the year and the only filly that can beat Turbulent Descent is May Day Rose whose Railbird effort in May would suffice. Dangerous if allowed any kind of easy lead..

Most Likely: #2 Turbulent Descent 6-5 6th
Best Value: #3 May Day Rose 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Teddy’s Promise 6-1 WON ($35.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Home Sweet Aspen 9-2 4th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$29k Super Hi-5 carryover here..

Best Value: #1 Leaving New York 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Capital Account 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Shrug 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 McKenzies Way 12-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #13 Batti Man 8-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-7-9
7: 1-3-4-5-6-8
8: 2
9: 1-3-5-6-8-13

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$20 Backup P4 with May Day Rose:

6: 1-7
7: 1-3-4-5-6-8
8: 3
9: 1-3-6

2x6x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

 

Chalkout at Aqueduct Wednesday resulted in $50 loss on successful P4 play. Sequence had potential to go in much more lucrative direction however with near miss by 8-1 Swinging at Siro’s in duel with Perfect Drive in the 6th. Plus, though I didn’t use 35-1 runner-up Take Down Two in the 7th, there was a real possibility for him to win or get moved up had Coosada been DQ’d. So despite the $19 payoff in the quad, you can easily see how quickly the worm can turn in multi-race skiens. P6 at Santa Anita has fat $148k carry to start and Gulfstream features a $77k C/O in their P5..

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

$77k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #8 Fuhrever Dancing 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Send Him In 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Suave Jazz 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Juju 5-1 11th

8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Hogde-podge of mediocrity. Looking for positive rider switches and key class relief players at a price. #15 Cass Lady would be a threat if able to draw in.

Best Value: #7 Desert Witch 12-1 10th
Next Best: #4 High On Kitten 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Resoundingly 7-2 9th
Super Add: #10 Zeenut 10-1 5th

9th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Interesting group of 2yo’s on lawn including Colonel John/Mr. Hot Stuff full brother Bill of Rights who receives T2D & Blinkers On makeover. Don’t think they would be going green if he were any kind of colt. Silverton/Darren Miller bring Euro import in for 1st N.A. bid exiting what looks like it might have been nice company in Ireland. Pletcher/Starlight move Bridge Loan — Empire Maker out of MSW Giant’s Causeway mare — to appropriate surface. Mott introduces Kinsman homebred by English Channel and you wouldn’t think they’d name him Yankee Boss (after late farm patriarch) if he were a bum..

NOTE: #10 Bridge Loan has SCR’d; #16 Awesome Lady (4-1) surprisingly gets in and has a big chance with any kind of trip..

Most Likely: #4 Big Blue Spirit 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #16 Awesome Life 4-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Uncle Calvin 15-1 12th
Exotics Use: #11 Vector 6-1 9th

10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

NOTE: Huge SCR’s of 2 obvious faves leaves an always quirky 5 horse field..

Most Likely: #6 Supersonic Beauty WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Perfect Berry 5th
Next Best: #9 Lady d’Wildcat 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Vital Victory 2nd

11th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Ugly finish to sequences..

Most Likely: #5 Mountable 6-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Cash Belongings 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Portland Patty 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #14 Pleasant Hymm 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Lady Haddassah 4-1 WON ($13.60)

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-3-8
8: 4-7-8
9: 4
10: 1-5-6-9
11: 1-5-10-14

3x3x1x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 4-7-8
9: 4-7-16
10: 1-5-6-9
11: 1-5-10-14

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$148k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Backwoods Belle 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Elegant Eve 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Punch Drunk 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Silver Street 5-2 3rd

4th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Beautiful Strike 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Nifty Dream 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tanya’s Tiara 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Boo Who Who 15-1 6th

5th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Ribat 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Stone Hot 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Metropolitan Man 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Warren’s Knockout 8-1 6th

6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 My Boy Luke 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Way Too Much 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Morganouska 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Skimming Skipper 15-1 5th

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Husband’s Folly 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Memphis 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Earnednevergiven 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Dance With Gable 7-2 2nd

8th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Two Feathers 5-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #3 Joca Queen 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Chilling Command 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Jessakar 8-1 8th

<$200 P6 Play:

3: 2-6
4: 2
5: 10
6: 2-4-7
7: 1-2-7-11
8: 1-3-6-8

2x1x1x3x4x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-10
6: 2-4-7
7: 1-2-7-11
8: 1-3-6-8

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

With Christmas in the rear view, winter racing began in earnest Monday as Santa Anita kicked off with an enormous bang. The largest Opening Day crowd in nearly 20 years thronged Arcadia with 4 stakes and several big prices helping to make the start of the 2011-12 season a smash. The SA P6 carried over to Thursday with a $148k pot to chase, a figure that could result in a seven figure pool. The wagering Monday went OK despite misses in the late P4 and P5 as triples in the Malibu ($120) and Sir Beaufort ($48) more than balanced out the afternoon’s punts. Mr. Commons lived up to expectations by outclassing the Sir Beaufort field, while The Factor made the most of his outside draw and some adventageous circumstances in the Malibu.

While I had no complaints with Rothko’s runner-up effort as my top choice, I thought his $5.60-1 tab at post time was quite generous at post time and I loaded up more than usual on the front end with him. Rothko was certainly impeded a bit when Centralinteligence abruptly halted and I thought Nakatani’s brief indecision at the eighth pole made it impossible to engage The Factor the way he needed to in order to win. But Martin Garcia rode The Factor as well as he possibly could and helped provide Bob Baffert with what had been a glaringly elusive G1 on his resume.

New York’s deep winter calendar begins peeling away Wednesday with the post-Holiday break ending and the inner track meet getting the long-anticipated purse account boost. The second race at Aqueduct marks the first particularly eye-widening offering, as open company Maiden Specials run for a $65,000 satchel. While the overall quality of the fields will take more time to morph, field size is notably fuller at a glance immediately with the pre-SCR P6 sequence boasting races with 9 (3), 10 (2) and 11 (1). Even though 4 of those 6 races are comprised of claiming types worth $10-15k, the volume will help provide larger payouts within races and in multis. On top of the bulkier fields, there will also be the positive payoff impact of the delayed superexotic takeout which sees a reduction to 24% today in the biggest multi-race and multi-horse bets.

Hope everyone is enjoying the Holiday Season! Swing at the Santa Anita carryover Thursday and a little action today at the Big A…

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Interesting set for $10k. Johnny Campo Jr. has won 3 of the first 9 he has sent out for the winter meet and he moved favorite — Perfect Drive — up off Chris Englehart. Go figure..

Most Likely: #7 Perfect Drive 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Missle Motor 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Brazen Kat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Swinging At Siro’s 5-1 2nd

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

With SCR of POE #1 Marquet Rebel, add Superfecta to menu..

Most Likely: #5 Metrology 7-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Coosada 3-1 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Best Actor 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1a Unbridled Danger 6-1 8th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Tough to argue with solid race Juddmonte’s Lunar Victory ran this strip while debuting in US 12/7. Repeat wins..

Most Likely: #8 Lunar Victory 2-1 ($3.60)
Next Best: #10 Hangover Kid 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Living Right 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Idle American 5-1 4th

9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

This is quite a rag tag bunch..

Most Likely: #6 Maspeth Princess 5-2 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #5 La Jolla Lu 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Sweet Adeline 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Mojito Mint 5-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-5-7-8
7: 2-4-5
8: 8-10
9: 2-3-4-5-6

5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

$.50 Pick 4 (7-4-8-6) Paid $19.10

 

Hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas and are ready for the best unopened present.. Meet Kick Off at Santa Anita!

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Cal Breeders Ch., 2yo-F, 7f (.50 P5, P4, Place Pick All, DD, Super)

Much more competitive than 6-5 on Ismene might indicate. Both Tangerine Tickle and Belloma — second timers after quality debut wins — can jump up at 6-1..

Best Value: #1 Tangerine Tickle 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Ismene 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Belloma 6-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Willa B Awesome 5-2 2nd

2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Zapeye 4-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Trando’s Tremor 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Street Titan 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 What a Rush 4-1 WON ($8.00)

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Regular readers know my tendency is to look elsewhere when a horse like Midnight Transfer (3-1) — short priced with 0-fer a handful — is involved. In this case, I’ll give Gaines’ Hard Spun colt a chance to get it done off sequence of nice works during freshener. Mandella returns Unmarked Bills (6-1), half to Regal Ransom (Distorted Humor) and doomed Devil May Care (Malibu Moon) and Posse son may improve significantly with bow under belt. (Mandella 20% W’s, 58% ITM with 2nd out 2yo’s). Pair of Baffert firsters look serious off series of sharp drills with Lasso getting Martin Garcia and Bernster Rafael Bejarano. Bernster is a full to Cal sire Marino Marini who was nipped a head by Southern Image in the Malibu 8 years ago today..

Most Likely: #5 Midnight Transfer 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #8 Bernster 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Lasso 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Coaltown Cat 6-1 4th

4th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Quirky starter group..

Most Likely: #5 Panther’s Claw 4-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Personalitry 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sanibel Sid 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 El Tango Rey 6-1 3rd

5th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Fiarano 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Doubledown On Ten 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 American Blend 6-1 WON ($23.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Octane 6-1 5th

<$50 P5 Play:

1: 1-5-6
2: 4
3: 3-5-8
4: 2-5-7-10
5: 6-10

3x1x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

The great Kelly Leak on hand for Santa Anita Opening Day festivities! This is an excellent group for $25k and with Mr. Commons ultra likely in the Sir Beaufort, you may want to spread as wide as possible here to start the P4. I’ll add #3 Achak (9-2) to the quad play..

Best Value: #1 Rainbow Goose 15-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Mr. Bossy Pants 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #9 El Merito 9-2 9th
Super Add: #11 Kelly Leak 4-1 6th

7th: Cal Breeders Ch., 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Passing Game 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Stoney Fleece 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Motown Men 7-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Johnny Be Mine 4-1 4th

8th: 12th Sir Beaufort (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Mr. Commons takes what can only be described as a major class drop off BC Mile..

Most Likely: #4 Mr. Commons 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Irish Art 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Ultimate Eagle 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Venomous 4-1 5th

9th: 60th Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Fascinating set for this final G1 for 3yo boys. With a well-matched group lined up of mostly sprint sorts, play out a scenario in your mind and bet it that way using the best price(s). There’s at least 6 here that take little imagination to see in the winner’s circle..

Most Likely: #4 Rothko 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Associate 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 The Factor 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Centralinteligence 8-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Hoorayforhollywood 8-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5-9-11
7: 2-5-7
8: 4
9: 2-4-6-9-11

5x3x1x5 = 75 x .50 = $37.50 (Play twice for $75)

 

Frustrating early beats at Fair Grounds slowly gave way to some NoLa bingos before the Hollywood feature provided the day’s best moment. Identifying the legitimate from the less so in the Cash Call lineup went a long way towards a sweep of the exotics as Most Likely Liaison was a professional winner at a bonus 5-1 giving Bob Baffert his 6th win in the Futurity. 20-1 ML Best Value choice Brother Francis was bet down to 12-1 but hung on for 3rd to generate a day-saving $476 trifecta. As mentioned in Saturday’s race opinion, Jerry Hollendorfer’s Rousing Sermon (13-1, twice his ML tote of 6-1) did prove out as a Hollywood-appreciative male version of Starlet upsetter Killer Graces chasing home the winner as in the November prep for this important stake.

With the Baffert trio splitting mutuel support, distance-challenged Majestic City went off a surprising 3-1 favorite and excluding him from serious consideration went a long way towards isolating the superfecta ($2,524) among the quintet tabbed. Blingo was my 5th horse in the Futurity and the Moss-Shirreffs colt will continue to merit attention after finishing 6th (beaten 3L) while moving late and catching the leaders past the wire in only his second start. Along with Blingo and 4th place finisher Sky Kingdom, another horse still learning and likely to get better with added ground is Empire Way who finished an obfuscated 5th.

While a fun and lucrative wagering opp, the Futurity didn’t exactly enhance the reputation of this 2yo crop with the year end looming. Though the fig isn’t out yet, the top pair is likely to receive a moderate 90ish Beyer for their efforts. There hasn’t been a triple digit Beyer earned in the Futurity since Brother Derek’s 102 in 2005 and as always, its too early to to laud or condone the group when you look at the winning fig of recent winners of this race:

2010 Comma to the Top 95
2009 Looking at Lucky 83
2008 Pioneerof the Nile 86
2007 Into Mischief 95
2006 Stormello 94

(NOTE: DRF’s Brad Free confirmed a 90 Beyer for Liaison & Rousing Sermon via Twitter.)

Saturday’s HollyPark fireworks tripped carryovers in both the P5 and the P6 and with Sunday being the meet-ender, both skeins have ‘must pay’ tags on them. The Super Hi-5 cannot carry as well. Hope everyone enjoyed Saturday and are ready for a fun Sunday of action!

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, PL Pick All, P3, DD, Super)

$183k Mandatory Payout P5 starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Chocolate Caliente 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Smokey Lake 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 March Mary 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 For You My Heart 5-2 3rd

2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Times Gone By 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Where’s the Remote 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Tamarack Smarty 9-5 2nd

3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

ATR listeners heard confident Baffert laud potential of Eden’s Moon Friday and likelihood of success further confirmed by strong worktab notes from National Turf..

Most Likely: #5 EDEN’S MOON 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Flashy Dame 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Communication 4-1 4th

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Russian River 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Party With Brando 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Vikkilee 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Hameildaeme 5-2 WON ($10.00)

5th: CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Mandatory payout $93k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Atta Boy Pete 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Gotham Knights 2-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #5 Enuff Bull 10-1 6th
Super Add: #7 I Will Follow 3-1 8th

$50 P5 Play:

1: ALL
2: 1-3-5
3: 5
4: 1-6
5: 4-5-6

6x3x1x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

6th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Tough accepting 11x starter Alala at 5-2 here, but it’s a very modest group, she adds blinkers, retains Rosario and has shown steady, incremental improvement. Luckyvic gets grass bow and sire Gotham Sire clicks at 21% with his ‘first turf’ runners. Lindz Winz returns to turf and state breds for Barry A. while adding Nakatani. Pretty Much another getting back to restricted company..

Best Value: #7 Pretty Much 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Alala 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Luckyvic 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Lindz Winz 8-1 5th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 His Boy Elroy 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Bigbari 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Arresting Officer 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Hurricane Harbor 20-1 8th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Outstanding set here and though I have to rank them — and I did so based on value more or less — there isn’t much separating these 4..

Best Value: #3 Rauschenberg 9-2 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #5 Mandated Bliss 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 High Test 7-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Industry Leader 3-1 5th

9th: 27th On Trust H., Cal-3+, 7.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Mensa Heat 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #3 Scofield Barracks 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Red Defense 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Mark the Bench 6-1 6th

10th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Mandatory Payout Hi-5 here..

Most Likely: #9 Scream Queen 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 One too Many 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Dustins’ Magic 10-1 WON ($23.20)
Exotics Use: #12 Lady Now 15-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Silver Threat 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-7) $50.80
$1 Trifecta (4-7-9) $201.40
$1 Superfecta (4-7-9-12) $2,073.80

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 4-6
6: 1-2-4-7

7: 1
8: 3-5-7
9: 6
10: 4-9-11

2x4x1x3x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 P6 (5 of 6) Pays $151.00

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-6
8: 3-5-7
9: 1-2-3-4-6
10: 4-7-9-11-12

2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

 

Good luck!
Steve