GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Exeter Road 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Best Act 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Wide Receiver 4-1 WON ($12.80)
Super Add: #2 Hold That Camera 8-1 6th

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Lots of potential here. Expect several stakes types to emerge from this ultimately. Firster Colony Strike a half to good Colizeo. Debuting Current Design dropped from MSW Elegant Designer. Note Pletcher rail runner Mordi’s Miracle was favored when he dumped JV on 1/11..

Best Value: #7 Monarchic 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Quick Wit 5-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Colony Strike 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Stereo in Motion 12-1 5th

3rd: OC/N2X, 4+, 11.5f-T/36′ (P3, DD, Super)

Intriguing turf marathon. Trip will be deciding factor..

Best Value: #3 Laureate Conductor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Newsdad 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Callingahardten 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Solitaire 4-1 6th

4th: ALW/N!X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD, Super)

Head-scratcher where 6 or 7 look capable. Alluring Power could control it from up front..

Most Likely: #8 Sharnberry 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Last Word 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Affair Dabbler 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Alluring Power 8-1 10th

5th: FL-SunMill Distaff, F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

As wonderful as Awesome Feather has been in her comeback from a tendon injury, this is her most difficulr assignment yet. Recognize that Sweet Repent is only other miss here that has won at — or even gone — 9 panels..

Best Value: #6 Sweet Repent 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Awesome Feather 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Tiz the Argument 3-1 5th
Super Add: #1 My Pal Chrisy 8-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-7-8
3: 1-3-4-6
4: 4-8-9-11
5: 2-4-6

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: FL-SunMill F&M Sprint, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

My man Willie Martinez will gun from rail on It’s Me Mom and there really isn’t a lot of other major lead-needers signed on. Rail was better Friday — less dead anyway– than it has been of late, and Scace’s 8x winner could take them gate to wire. BC and Eclipse Champion Musical Romance has never won at GP in 4 tries, but based form appears maintained based on :48 Calder bullet a week ago. Good edition of this with upset-minded Derwin’s Star and Beat the Blues hardly impossible..

Most Likely: #5 Pomeroys Pistol 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Beat the Blues 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Musical Romance 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 It’s Me Mom 4-1 WON ($6.80)

7th: FL-SunMill Sprint, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Royal Currier 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Apriority 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Zero Rate Policy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 It’d Never Too Late 12-1 5th

8th: FL-SunMill F&M Turf, F&M-4+, 9f-T/36′ (‘Luck’ P6, P4, P3, DD, Super)

‘LUCK’ P6 STARTS HERE

Best Value: #6 Askbut I Won’ttell 6-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Romacaca 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Unbridled Humor 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Trip for A.J. 5-1 6th

SA 4th: CA-SunMill Sensational Star, 4+, 6.5f-T

With no Caracortado, Compari figures even more tough and a Luck P6 single. Take out the 1 and 7 as well..

Most Likely: #4 Compari WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Tamarack Smarty 5th
Next Best: #8 Red Defense 3rd

9th: FL-SunMill Turf, 4+, 9f-T/96′ (P3, DD, Super)

Little Mike murderous controling paces..

Most Likely: #5 Little Mike 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #4 Bell by the Ridge 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Bad Debt 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Slews Answer 6-1 2nd

SA 5th: CA-SunMill Crystal Waters, 4+, 8.5f

Most Likely: #5 Holladay Road 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Spud Spivens 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Thirtyfirststreet 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Macho Dorado 9-2 2nd

10th: FL-SunMill Classic, 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Good group for this..

Most Likely: #3 Adios Charlie 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Duke of Mischief 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Ron the Greek 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Turbo Compressor 2-1 3rd

SA 6th: CA-SunMill Valentine Dancer, F&M-4+, 1m-T

Unzip Me, Cayanna and La Sombre are known SCR’s..

Most Likely: #9 Halo Dolly 4th
Best Value: #10 Bench Glory 5th
Next Best: #5 Chokecherymary WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #8 California Nectar 2nd

<$100 ‘Luck’ P6 Play:

A-GP8: 4-5-6
B-SA4: 4
C-GP9: 4-5
D-SA5: 3-4-5-6
E-GP10: 1-3-5-7
F-SA6: 9

3x1x2x4x4x1 = $96

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T/36′ (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Romantic Channel 3-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Zulu Warrior 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Cabeus 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Explosive Image 20-1 8th
Super/Hi-5: #3 Side Party Ralph 12-1 4th

<$100 P5 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 2-4-5-6-7
9: 5
10: 1-3-5-7
11: 1-9-10

3x5x1x4x3 = 180 x .50 = $90

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-5-6-7
9: 5
10: 1-3-5-7
11: 1-3-4-5-9-10

5x1x4x6 = 120 x .50 = $60

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, Place Pick All, DD)

Capital Account an underlay at that price. Sway Away will certainly come back running for Bonde and Ro Parra homebred Light Up the Score from Asmussen can boost exotics..

Sway Away SCR’d

Best Value: #4 Light Up the Score 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Capital Account 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Details R Sketchy 8-1 3rd

2nd: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Siempre Mio 4-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #3 Madeoftherightstuff 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Mary Helen’s Storm 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Goodbye Charlie 7-2 7th

3rd: 45th Santa Ysabel (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

#2 Eden’s Moon has SCR’d..

Most Likely: #7 Charm the Maker 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Killer Graces 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Lady of Shamrock 9-2 3rd

4th: CA-SunMill Sensational Star, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

With no Caracortado, Compari figures even more tough and a Luck P6 single. Take out the 1 and 7 as well..

Most Likely: #4 Compari WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Tamarack Smarty 5th
Next Best: #8 Red Defense 3rd

5th: CA-SunMill Crystal Waters, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Holladay Road 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Spud Spivens 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Thirtyfirststreet 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Macho Dorado 9-2 2nd

6th: CA-SunMill Valentine Dancer, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Unzip Me, Cayanna and La Sombre are known SCR’s..

Most Likely: #9 Halo Dolly 4th
Best Value: #10 Bench Glory 5th
Next Best: #5 Chokecherymary WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #8 California Nectar 2nd

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Runflatout 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Gator Warrior 9-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Jim’s No Preacher 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Scofield Barracks 9-2 2nd

8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Solerina 15-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Charm the Crowd 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Van Brit 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #1 R Vicarious Girl 9-2 5th

9th: 55th Santa Monica S. (G1), 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Teddy’s Promise 8-5 5th
Next Best: #6 Rumor 9-5 6th
Best Value: #2 Big Tiz 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Sugarinthemorning 4-1 2nd

10th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

$25k Super Hi-5 carryover here..

Best Value: #4 Declan 30-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Our Merv 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Chickie Charms 5-2  3rd
Super Add: #2 The Roan Ranger 4-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Montego Bay 12-1 9th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-5
8: 1-3-4-9
9: 2-3-6
10: 4-5-6

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$20k C/O at Aqueduct Friday thanks in part to $30.80 6th race winner Troninthirteen, the Mike Hushion trainee named for owner John Nerud’s prospective 100th birthday next year! I left the Van Nistelrooy homebred off the P4 ticket as my Best Value third choice, but at 14-1 from a 6-1 morning line, he was a crazy overlay and a cover win bet on him made the day more than OK. Even if ‘Tron’ had been on the quad play the bet would have gone south when nightcap fave Tycoon Cat casually walked out of the gate and changed the complexion of the race that went to improbable Trinity Warrior (12-1). There is also a carryover at Santa Anita later ($55k). National Handicapping Championship starts today in Las Vegas with nearly 500 punters ready to scramble for $1,000,000. Here is the list of mandatory races for Friday:

1. GP 3
2. TAM 6
3. AQU 7
4. GP 9
5. SA 3
6. FG 9
7. OP 9
8. SA 7

Good sequence for the P5 at Gulfstream today ahead of a fun weekend that includes the ‘Luck’ P6 as part of the Sunshine Millions cards at GP & SA, the Holy Bull Sunday and the premiere of David Milch’s racing opus on HBO!

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/C, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Not really a betting opportunity but well worth watching as filly Groupie Doll preps for the Sabin against the boys including rounding-into-shape Boys at Toscanova..

Most Likely: #2 Boys at Toscanova 6-5
Next Best: #3 Groupie Doll 2-1
Best Value: #1 El Kingdom 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Our Dark Knight 4-1

6th: OC/N1X, D&M-4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Table Three Ten 9-5
Next Best: #2 Polish Tune 3-1
Best Value: #7 Soft Whisper 6-1

7th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/36′ (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Cascina couldn’t find a better field if she’s going to get a diploma dropping down. Horses from the AE list are the threats should ANY draw in. Brownlee filly #8 Smart Spin (15-1) from J D Farms may be a little clever and useful at the big price..

Most Likely: #5 Cascina 3-1
Best Value: #8 Smart Spin 15-1
Exotics Use: #7 Daniela’s Flower 12-1
Super Add: #12 Dixie Darling 4-1

8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Orangeblackandgold 5-1
Next Best: #4 Appella’s Wonder 4-1
Best Value: #6 Aquifolia 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Our Delight 3-1

9th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/36′ (DD, Super)

Part of the NHC mandatory race lineup and a terrific set. Respect the obvious faves, but use prices liberally because Unaccountable or Gaelic Storm don’t have to win. Would like 20-1 Green Bluff SCRATCHED even more if this was on the outer course, but trust Solis to work out something if Farro has him ready to run best..

Most Likely: #7 Gaelic Storm 2-1
Next Best: #3 Unaccountable 4-1
Best Value: #8 Slambino 15-1
Exotics Use: #4 David D 10-1

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Yikes. This is some bad bunch o’ coconuts. You’re obliged to look elsewhere than the 2nd-4th place finishers of the 1/5 edition of this event..

Best Value: #2 Rainbow Road 8-1
Next Best: #9 Petite Jessie 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Miss Anfield 6-1
Super Add: #10 Anthensome 5-2
Hi-5 Play: #6 Lucky and Sweet 3-1

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 2-5-7
7: 5
8: 2-4-5-6
9: 3-4-7-8-9-11
10: 2-9

3x1x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-8
8: 1-2-3-4-5-6
9: 3-4-7-8-9-11
10: 2-9

2x6x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pleasant Power 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Ampersand 8-5 9th
Best Value: #8 Toninthirteen 6-1 WON ($30.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Parachute Colony 8-1 7th

7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Splendid Behavior 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Heart of the Derby 15-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Divine Child 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Key Victory 15-1 5th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Superior Sarah 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Bailzee 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Funky Munky Mama 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Song of Broadway 3-1 5th

9th: NY-MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 4-5 5th
Best Value: #3 Raffie’s Choice 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Digital Joe 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Purple Rico 8-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-9
7: 2-8-10
8: 2-3-5-7
9: 1-3-5-8

2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/96′ (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Almusafa 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #1 St. Pancras 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Sweet and Lovely 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sandy Key Gal 4-1 5th

Followed up fast finish on Saturday with a big hit Sunday at Gulfstream with $1,300 P4 and some added goodness on 3 P5 consos. As tough as Gulfstream has been, scores like Sunday’s are vital to maintain bankroll health. A year ago it took until March to catch a revitalizing bingo ($3k+), so I was pleased to get over on GP at this juncture. The boost came from a generous 11-1 on Live Oak/Albertrani firster Zo Impressive who looked prime from a pedigree standpoint and solid from morning preparations. I put the Hard Spun colt on top as a Best Value because Albertrani has been getting his early runners to hit boards recently and at the price you were offered, Zo Impressive felt like a prime play. It worked out well as he won easily and when Trombetta’s won the nightcap at 10-1, the returns were liberal. To offer perspective, if Morrow Cove gets by Change of Command in that finale, the P4 only returns $150. I know several readers/listeners had pieces of Sunday’s results and I’m always pleased when that happens! Some decent midweek play at GP and AQU to get back into the action Wednesday.

AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Among the firsters, Nitara and Harriet (BOTH SCR’D!) have ‘win early’ pedigrees, but Starr Gate seems to be working best in prep for bow. It may not mean everytrhing now, but note that Nitara — the Indian Charlie filly — must have had some physical negatives to only fetch $8,500 as a KEE September ’10 yearling. IC’s yearlings sold for an average of $$136k in 2010..

Most Likely: #3 She’s Ready Made 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Starr Gate 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Brilliant Autumn 2-1 5th

5th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Ooof.. Bad field.

Best Value: #1 Indymoolah 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Blazing Arches 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Thunder Princess 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #6 B Karma 8-1 5th

6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific race for $7,500 claimers. Half the field looks like they can win: 15-1, 12-1 and 6-1 shots (8, 2, 3 respectively) and the three faves (6, 10, 12)..

Most Likely: #3 Value Added Tax 6-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Seeking Anita 15-1 WON ($27.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Vose the Host 12-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Troponin 3-1 6th

7th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Red Bendel 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #4 Advanceandretreat 2-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Clifford 15-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Pegasus Hellas 15-1 4th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (DD)

Curious group with 4 last out winners that all seem dubious for various reasons..

Best Value: #2 Jonrah 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Readytodefer 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Quiet Favorite 8-1 WON ($17.60)

9th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sacred Success 6-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Elusive Rumor 10-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Notesfromabroad 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Sing Dixie Sing 6-1 2nd

<$100 P6 Play:

4: 3-5
5: 1-3
6: 2-3-8
7: 5
8: 2-3
9: 2-8

2x2x3x1x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-6-8-10-12
7: 2-4-5
8: 2-3-6-7
9: 2-8

6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/5/7/6,8,9) Paid $241.25

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/36′ (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Moonshine Magic 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Scootles 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Gamecents 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #10 Artie’s Party 8-1 7th

8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5f-T/96′ (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Defense Mode 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Classic Brook 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Fast Time 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Le Bon Ton Roule 6-1 8th

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T/36′ (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Heiko 5-1 6th
Best Value: #4 E Biscuit 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Two Months Rent 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Liquidity Trap 5-2 4th

10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Horizonbound 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Storm Clouds Ahead 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #1 Toasting Mia 10-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Trueno Jak 6-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-10-12
8: 1-7-11
9: 3-4-5-7
10: 1-4-9

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72