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FG & GP stakes cards make for a big day!

Saturday, February 25th, 2012

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Island School is established, bred for today’s move to turf and may float up when Pletcher (#8) and Motion (#4) draw money..

Most Likely: #3 Island School 4-1 5th (12-1)
Best Value: #5 Affair Dabbler 10-1 6th (13-2)
Next Best: #8 So Much Love 6-1 2nd (9-2)
Exotics Use: #7 Warm Hugs 7-2 3rd (3-1)

6th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

In Lingerie a private purchase out of flashy, big fig Turfway debut win. Doffs hood and has had time to adjust to Team Todd treatment..

Most Likely: #8 In Lingerie 5-2 2nd (3-2)
Best Value: #3 Kaleidoscope 5-1 5th (7-2)
Next Best: #7 Zo Impressive 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Hot Roots 10-1 8th (8-1)

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T/108′ (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Quality sod sophs offering wide variety of styles to choose from including last out diploma-earners at prices via Proctor and Mott to match with obvious Repole-Pletcher West Point-Motion faves..

Most Likely: #9 Our Entourage 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Godard 8-1 10th (9-2)
Next Best: #1 Gold Megilah 4-1 3rd (5-1)
Exotics Use: #12 Film Shot 12-1 9th (13-2)

8th: 24th Sabin (G3), R&M-4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

BC Distaff winner Royal Delta and long absent Awesome Maria make returns here. Mott clear that Empire Maker 4yo is readying for Dubai and will need a very spirited pace up front for her rally. Awesome Maria was insanely strong at GP last winter — including in this event — but also needs to come back running because neither Groupie Doll or Canadian Mistress are tomato cans..

Most Likely: #3 Awesome Maria 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #2 Royal Delta 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Groupie Doll 3-1 3rd

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Nearly stakes level group of grass gals. Many eligible for success..

Most Likely: #2 Namaskara 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Safe Crossing 6-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Zapparition 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Bea Remembered 4-1 7th

10th: 26th The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T (P3, DD, Super)

BC F&M Turf winner Perfect Shirl prepping for Dubai and wins on best, but like Mott, Attfield doesn’t typically wind them up first out..

Best Value: #5 Casablanca Smile 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Perfect Shirl 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Here to Win 12-1 WON ($24.40)
Super Add: #6 Keertana 4-1 2nd

11th: 27th Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Disposablepleasure 2-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Grace Hall 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 The Cat’s All That 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Nuffsaid Nuffsaid 15-1 5th

12th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Elusive Story 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Delta Ranger 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Horizonbound 6-1 6th
Best Value:: #12 War General 10-1 10th
Super/Hi-5: #11 Bold Forest 8-1 2nd

<$50 P5 Play:

8: 2-3
9: 2-7
10: 1-4-5
11: 2-7
12: 4-6-9

2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick 5 (3/7/1/6/9) Paid $82.85 (4OF5) x 2 = $165.70

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-3-6-7-10
10: 4-5
11: 2-7
12: 4-6-9

5x2x2x3 = $60

FAIR GROUNDS

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific group, many getting delayed chance on surface for which they were meant..

Best Value: #11 Street Serenade 10-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Attendant 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Mojo Workin 6-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Senor Peligroso 12-1 13th

9th: Mineshaft H. (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 4-7-9

Most Likely: #6 Thiskyhasnolimit DNF
Next Best: #8 Fast Alex 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Tres Borrachos 4th

10th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Chamberlain Bridge 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Country Day 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Zeb 15-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Cactus Son 8-1 3rd

11th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

El Padrino’s race to lose but there are a handful here showing signs of steps forward..

Most Likely: #7 El Padrino 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Afford 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Shared Property 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jones entry 4-1 2nd/11th

<$200 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-4-8-9-11
9: 3-6-8
10: 7-8
11: 1-3-7-8

6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

JOIN THE “DERBY TRAIL/AT THE RACES” ROAD TO THE ROSES LEAGUE! 

League #: 3638628493
Activation #: 3330322856

$71 SA C/O, AQU Friday P4 start big weekend

Friday, February 24th, 2012

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM-$30k, 4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Keep Me Informed 4-1 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #9 Regal Warrior 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Ruffino 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e McLaughlin entry 4-1 2nd

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Gambling Geraldine 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 My Honey Laurie 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 My Girl Gracie 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Auric Girl 12-1 4th

8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #7 Glickman 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Overcommunication 3-1 3rd

9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #4 Blushing Karakorum 4-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Grunge Girl 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Carrot Thief 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 My Zealous Storm 15-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7-9
7: 5-6-7
8: 1-2-5-7
9: 4-7-11

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Blu Jon 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Stormberg 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Prime Number 3-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Cook Inlet 4-1 4th

4th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Strange group. No need to look beyond the top pair..

Most Likely: #7 Chimi Dee 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Candy and Thunder 1-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Salsa Mobile 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Golden Miracle 8-1 4th

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Hakuchi 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Picture Perfect 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Brown is Beige 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Super Add: #4 Late SCR

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Heidi Marie 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Born Lucky 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 My Diane 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Tiz an Addiction 6-1 7th

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Starspangled Heat 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #7 Intuitive Nature 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Earnednevergiven 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Los Bomberos 5-1 7th

8th: MDN CLM-$50k, 3yo, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 You Know I Know 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Awesome Mike 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Take No Prisoners 9-5 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Dream Caught 4-1 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

3: 1
4: 3-7
5: 2-3-5
6: 1
7: 3-6-7
8: 1-3-7-8

1x2x3x1x3x4 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 2-3-5
6: 1-2-6-7
7: 3-6-7
8: 1-3-7-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Baffert sweeps at OP; Late AQU P4 starts week

Thursday, February 23rd, 2012

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Weak group though 6-1 Little Rita deserves real attention off debut v. $35k types where she took money ($5.10) but never had a chance to be involved when driven outward off bell by foe to her left from her already outposted postion. Drops, gets hungry Fragoso and Morrison strong 2nd career starts..

Best Value: #6 Little Rita 6-1
Next Best: #2 Read the Signs 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Mommie Dearest 3-1
Super Add: #1 Mojito Mint 7-2

7th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Interesting little event with honest looking pace scenario and plenty of angles to latch on to..

Most Likely: #3 Money in Motion 7-2
Best Value: #5 Brass Note 20-1
Next Best: #8 Copper Tiger 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Tightend Touchdown 7-2

8th: S-OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super

Solid group. Not much separating inside trio and Bristol Dancer..

Best Value: #3 Antique Wedding 8-1
Next Best: #2 Dan’s Gold 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Personal Assistant 8-5
Super Add: #5 Bristol Dancer 4-1

9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Irish Eddie 8-5
Next Best: #3 Heiden 2-1
Best Value: #2 Out of Your Mind 30-1
Exotics Use: #5 Trinity Warrior 15-1

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-6
7: 3-5-8
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 1-2-3-5

2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

Good luck!
Steve

Southwest(s), $162k SA C/O ideal holiday fare

Monday, February 20th, 2012

Gulfstream Sunday P5 was a miss for the reason anticipated, but $204 hit in the P4 and $20 Carnival Ride made it a very nice day. Hope everyone did well. Holiday Monday features a big Santa Anita carryover and the 2 Southwest divisions at Oaklawn!

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4)

Most Likely: #4 Shraded Edge 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Obligingly 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1e M. Robertson entry 4-1 5th/7th
Super Add: #6 Don Dulce 5-2 3rd

8th: 47th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

First of 2 and the more compelling and competitive of the editions..

Best Value: #11 Castaway 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #5 Longview Drive 5-2 DH-6th
Exotics Use: #2 Unbridled’s Note 10-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Reckless Jerry 9-2 3rd

9th: 47th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 1-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Adirondack King 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pee H Dee 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Z Rockstar 20-1 6th

10th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #11 Silver Dandy 3-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Inclined to Win 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Corporate Chapel 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Basalt 6-1 8th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4
8: 2-5-8-11
9: 2-9
10: 4-8-11-12

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 12f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Tricky group at tricky trip..

Most Likely: #5 Imponente Purse 7-5 6th
Best Value: #1 Unusual Jazz 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Acafella 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Danderek 15-1 4th

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Mitchell trained fave To the Top will simply try to wire ’em. Kid’s Table the one that could go with her and short circuit the plans to wire..

Most Likely: #3 To the Top 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Iva Attitude 8-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Kids Table 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Tiabelle 4-1 5th

6th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Down the hill. Cast your lot and hold your breath..

Best Value: #4 Silver Dragon 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Relentless Heat 3-1 WON ($7.60) (#2, not #3)
Exotics Use: #9 Soi Phet 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Lethal Intent 12-1 6th

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Good, balanced set of state breds. Top tab beat same condition two back and exits OK open company try. One to beat and not the craziest single idea out there..

Most Likely: #8 Obsess 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #2 Adam Suances 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Caffeine High 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Rule by Force 4-1 5th

8th: Buena Vista H. (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Excellent group for this and question is how much pace there will be for closers like Cambina and Vamo a Galupiar..

Best Value: #7 Up in Time 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Vamo a Galupiar 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Briecat 8-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Strawberrydaiquiri 4-1 4th

9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Always the Same 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Late SCR
Best Value: #8 King Roar 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Outperform 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Captain Salt 6-1 8th

<$150 P6 Plays:

4: 1-4-5-8
5: 3
6: 3-4-9
7: 2-7-8
8: 5-7
9: 1

4x1x3x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-9 (#2, not #3)
7: 2-5-7-8-9
8: 2-5-7-8-11
9: 1-4

3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75

 

Tickets hit for small money; Modest intrigue for Sunday

Sunday, February 19th, 2012

Lots of low-priced winners Saturday through the Aqueduct P6/P4 and Gulfstream P5/P4 sequences, and despite hitting everything but the NY carryover (4 of 6), wasn’t able to make any real money. Still satisfying to cash as opposed to tearing them up and remember that being in position to capitalize on a price in a sequence is what the multi-race wager is all about. It takes but one or two beaten favorites and a win from your 10-1 inkling to turn yesterday’s $100.00 P4 or $80.00 P5 into big scores. And one thing that was worthwhile in the exersizes yesterday was a demonstration of how utilizing a Force Freeze or This Hard Land as dependable singles allows you to try and find a 10-1 or 20-1 to juice your play. Hope everyone did well. Am marginally excited about Sunday from a multi-race perspective with the Gulfstream P5 looking very treacherous. Just some small action in good turf races (8th/9th) and a the stake in anticipation of Holiday Monday. Just some small action in good turf races (8th/9th) and a the stake in anticipation of Holiday Monday.

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM-$6k, 4+, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

One reason this P5 may be a difficult sequence is this cheap event with in/out types going the quirky 5.5f trip..

Best Value: #2 Tanzana 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Forward Observer 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Roman Bay 5-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Juju 20-1 6th

8th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendous betting race with 20-1 and 10-1 shots highly appealing..

Most Likely: #6 Carnival Ride 10-1 WON ($19.80)
Best Value: #8 Perfectly Crazy 20-1 12th
Next Best: #11 Ha Long Bay 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Relampago 4-1 2nd

9th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/72′ (P3, DD, Super)

Everyone agog over Animal Kingdom return Saturday and here’s little half brother Thursby seeking his diploma today. This is a good group with experience and then Clement complicates matters with firster Arc Above (6-1) that is hardly impossible and Mott offers bred-for-turf Right Angle (12-1). Casse’s Courageous Ruler (12-1) is going on my tickets as well..

Most Likely: #4 Irish Sea 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #7 Reserve Currency 8-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Courageous Ruler 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Right Angle 12-1 10th

10th: Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 R Holiday Mood 6-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #7 Her Smile 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Strike the Moon 7-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Pica Slew 5-1 5th

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Market Princess 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #1 Dodie Jo 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Musicaldefinition 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Michael’s Abby 3-1 3rd

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-2-8
8: 6-8-11
9: 1-4-5-6-7-8-9
10: 3-7
11: 2

3x3x7x2x1 = 126 x .50 = $63

$0.50 Pick 5 (3,6/6/4,10,13,14,15,16/3/2,10,14,15,16) Paid $6.50 (4OF5) x 3 = $19.50

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 6-7-8-9-10-11
9: 1-4-5-6-7-8-9
10: 3-7
11: 2

7x7x2x1 = 98 x .50 = $49

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/4,10,13,14,15,16/3/2,10,14,15,16) Paid $203.95

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM-$6k, 4+, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

One reason this P5 may be a difficult sequence is this cheap event with in/out types going the quirky 5.5f trip..

Best Value: #2 Tanzana 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Forward Observer 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Roman Bay 5-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Juju 20-1 6th

8th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendous betting race with 20-1 and 10-1 shots highly appealing..

Most Likely: #6 Carnival Ride 10-1 WON ($19.80)
Best Value: #8 Perfectly Crazy 20-1 12th
Next Best: #11 Ha Long Bay 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Relampago 4-1 2nd

9th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/72′ (P3, DD, Super)

Everyone agog over Animal Kingdom return Saturday and here’s little half brother Thursby seeking his diploma today. This is a good group with experience and then Clement complicates matters with firster Arc Above (6-1) that is hardly impossible and Mott offers bred-for-turf Right Angle (12-1). Casse’s Courageous Ruler (12-1) is going on my tickets as well..

Most Likely: #4 Irish Sea 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #7 Reserve Currency 8-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Courageous Ruler 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Right Angle 12-1 10th

10th: Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 R Holiday Mood 6-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #7 Her Smile 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Strike the Moon 7-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Pica Slew 5-1 5th

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Market Princess 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #1 Dodie Jo 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Musicaldefinition 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Michael’s Abby 3-1 3rd

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-2-8
8: 6-8-11
9: 1-4-5-6-7-8-9
10: 3-7
11: 2

3x3x7x2x1 = 126 x .50 = $63

$0.50 Pick 5 (3,6/6/4,10,13,14,15,16/3/2,10,14,15,16) Paid $6.50 (4OF5) x 3 = $19.50

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 6-7-8-9-10-11
9: 1-4-5-6-7-8-9
10: 3-7
11: 2

7x7x2x1 = 98 x .50 = $49

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/4,10,13,14,15,16/3/2,10,14,15,16) Paid $203.95