Gotham & Big Cap cards in NY and California were as fun and intriguing as anticipated Saturday with great races or individual performances and enough mutuel gold rings to make the work worthwhile. $1,000 late P4 hit at Santa Anita and $300 score in early quad ensured a profitable day and several in-race opps made for quality returns as well. It was great to get It’s Tricky started back as a 4yo in the Top Flight and the Tom Fool was a spectacular race that spells out great things to come for the one turn elders this year. In the feature, Hansen’s Gotham effort should send his critics scurrying back under cupboards for a while.

In CA, Eden’s Moon was impressive for Baffert in an odd ‘slow early’ Las Virgenes. Out of the G1, note the sneaky good effort of Moreno-Guillot aquiree Open Water who was the only filly able to make up ground and looks like 8.5-9f is going to be right in her wheelhouse. Willyconker was key to the SA P4’s quality return as he upended rival Mr. Commons in the Kilroe under a terrific ride by Joel Rosario. And on the subject of great efforts by jocks, Jose Lezcano’s decisions on a perfectly tuned Ron the Greek were flawless. The Mott 5yo had two moves in him and Lezcano used the first one entering the backstretch to gain important position and the second midway on the turn to the head of the stretch to gain control of the race.

Long, productive day and I hope everybody scored on some of the suggestions Saturday… Monster $430k P6 carryover Sunday at SA that will reach $2,000,000. It may be very difficult to come back with strong results after a particularly good day like Saturday on this tough sequence, but we have to try, don’t we?

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Red Tesla 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Iron Joe T 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Mary Helen’s Storm 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Goodbye Charlie 8-1 6th

5th: OC/C, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Capital Account 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Indian Firewater 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Italian Rules 4-1 WON ($10.60)

6th: Cal-MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Raggin Wood 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Sweet Nectar 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Warren’s Mo Money 5-2 3rd

7th: S/ALW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Flower Power 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Baby Blake 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 The Black 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Put It There 5-1 4th

8th: Joe Hernandez H., 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Silver Summation 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Pressday 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Mr Gruff 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #6 Gig Harbor 15-1 8th

9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Papa P B 6-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Cruxus 15-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Cheezy Breezy 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Bespoke Salt 8-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 I Feel Free 7-2 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3
5: 2
6: 3-5-7
7: 1-3-5-8
8: 2-3-4
9: 2-9

1x1x3x4x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-7
7: 1-3-5-8
8: 2-3-4
9: 1-2-9-10

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Gotham, Big Cap cards a special Saturday of action

Lots of nice-priced winners Friday but took agonizing photo beat in 8th when favorite failed to finish after striking lead. Still brought home nice returns with big P3 anchored by Jammer stake winner Dontbeshy I’ll Buy, a new horse on dirt. Hope everyone did well. Huge day ahead on both coasts!

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY/ALW, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Fun start to terrific card with virtually everyone lined up capable of being in the exotics. Hope the weather can hold up, but rain appears certain to at least noon (Weather Underground for Ozone Park)..

Best Value: #6 Mr. Vantastic 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Idle American 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Moonlight Song 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #8 Cap the Moment 10-1 9th

2nd: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Weak bunch so firsters (#6/#10) shouldn’t have to be particularly special to score..

Best Value: #10 Wes Vegas 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #1 Hook and Lateral 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #11 Purple Rico 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Cricky’sgoldeneyes 4-1 5th

3rd: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

If Lunar Victory runs back to effort 4 weeks ago, he can’t be beaten here. If he regresses off that big performance to his form from earlier in the winter — a possibility — it opens things up to the next half dozen..

Most Likely: #9 Lunar Victory 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Cosmic King 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Congo 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Cribnote 8-1 3rd

4th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e A. Dutrow entry 7-5 WON ($3.20)/3rd
Next Best: #2 Socialsaul 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Manteca 4-1 2nd

5th: 72nd Top Flight (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

If there’s a time to beat a horse like It’s Tricky in a spot, it’s first off the break. Unfortunately for that line of thinking, KMc terrific off layoffs, filly loves it wet and has won over the strip..

Most Likely: #4 It’s Tricky 1-4 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #5 Love and Pride 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Delightful Mary 4-1 5th

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-6-10-11
3: 9 (1-8)
4: 1-2
5: 4

Main: 4x1x2x1 = 8 x $4 = $32
Backup: 4x2x2x1 = 16 X $1 = $16

$2 Pick 4 (1-7/9-1/3/6-4) Paid $33.60 x 2 = $67.20

6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

KMc-Shadwell 2nd time starter Al Aqsa had disasterous debut in highly rated GP set. Castro a hard to fathom 15 for 25 ($3.16) for barn this winter..

Best Value: #9 Al Aqsa 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Desert Storm 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Morgan’s Guerilla 3-1 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #1 Quarto 12-1 6th

7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Watch for SCR’s here as the AE #13 & #14 are highly possible should either or both get in..

NOTE: #13 He’s a Scrooge does draw in..

Most Likely: #5 Galaxy Kat 3-1 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #3 Quarry of Gold 5-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Alejandro 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 He’s a Scrooge 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Heart of the Derby 10-1 7th

8th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: #13 Pegasus Diamond & #14 Caught by You draw in..

Most Likely: #6 Sing Dixie Sing 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #9 Satin Sheets 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #14 SCR
Super Add: #2 Flea Flicker 3-1 2nd

9th: 37th Tom Fool H. (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Caleb’s Posse returns and runs smack into serious looking KMc late bloomer Emcee. Von Hemel can certainly have him ready, but the pace may not be so hot that it provides him best chance for closing kick..

Most Likely: #4 Emcee 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Royal Currier 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Caleb’s Posse 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Calibrachoa 2-1 WON ($9.40)

10th: 60th Gotham (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

$400k brings Derby Trail hopefuls out of the woodwork, all chasing 2yo Champion Hansen. He’s the likely winner, but if he faulters, this gets ripped wide open. Lots of intriguing price options including pair of Mid-Atlantic players from savvy Grove and Hamilton..

Most Likely: #12 Hansen 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #11 Done Talking 20-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Pretension 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Tiger Walk 12-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Raconteur 15-1 7th

11th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (Super)

NOTE: #13 Pistols at Dawn & #14 Dahlgren draw in..

Best Value: #3 Mitigation 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Digger Karakorum 6-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #13 Pistols at Dawn 5-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Swinging at Siro’s 7-2 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 6-9-14
9: 4
10: 4-7-8-9-10-11-12-13
11: 3-5-10-13

3x1x8x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P5, P3, Place Pick All, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Pacific Avenue 3-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Baraja de Oro 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Rino U 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Jack Reacher 7-2 4th

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Stirred Up 9-5 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Holy Candy 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Animaux Del Viento 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Cat’s Enough 4-1 7th

3rd: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

What can you say about 10yo Crossing the Line? Beat me last time and hard to argue with 4 weeks later..

Most Likely: #4 Crossing the Line 2-1
Next Best: #5 Mr. Bossy Pants 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Muny 7-2
Super Add: #7 Sky Cape 9-2

4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Mile High Magic 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Maverick’s Gun 6-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Stratify 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Eaton Hall 5-2 4th

5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Graeme Crackerjack 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Vet SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Joy Boy 8-1 WON ($30.80)
Super Add: #2 Ultimate Decision 4-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3
3: 4–5
4: 3-6-7
5: 2-5-7-10/SCR

3x2x3x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (2-ALL-6-5) Paid $151.20 x 2 = $302.40

<$50 P5 Play:

1: 1-5-6
2: 2-3
3: 4-5
4: 3-6-7
5: 7-10/SCR

3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$63k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Lobshot 9-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Lake Maracaibo 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Swingaway 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Special Charm 6-1 6th

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Hooray for Hollywood 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #2 Da Ruler 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Via Verde 6-1 11th
Super Add: #6 Scofield Barracks 8-1 3rd

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Ten Devils 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #10 Twin Six 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Lucky Rave 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Cat Talk 6-1 4th

9th: 30th Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Excellent cast of soph gals on their way to the SA Oaks, and Princess Arabella, Mamma Kimbo and more not even in this. So many people seem to be lining up behind Eden’s Moon that you have to look elsewhere a bit and closer Killer Graces should get her opportunity to run them down..

Best Value: #4 Killer Graces 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Reneesgotzip 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Eden’s Moon 9-5 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #8 Open Water 20-1 3rd

10th: 12th Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Would love to be able to single Mr. Commons in multis as he may be as good as he needs to be, but there are too many rock solid lawn milers here to high wire it through this leg. Imposing, but Jeranimo, Compari, Willyconker and even Jimmy Simms offer value..

Most Likely: #1 Mr. Commons 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Jeranimo 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Compari 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Willyconker 8-1 WON ($23.20)

11th: 75th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (Super, Super Hi-5)

What this famed event lacks in premium quality handicap division runners is more than offset by sheer quantity of professional racehorses. Like Eden’s Moon in the Las Virgenes, Ron the Greek is such a ‘now’ horse, that it makes you nervous..

Best Value: #3 Ron the Greek 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #2 Ultimate Eagle 5-2 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Norvsky 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Uh Oh Bango 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Fiddlers Afleet 50-1 9th

<$200 P6 Play:

6: 5-6-9-10
7: 2-11
8: 3
9: 4-5-7
10: 1-5
11: 2-3

4x2x1x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-10
9: 4-5-7
10: 1-3-4-5
11: 2-3-10

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (3-5-3-3) Paid $1,003.80

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Cinco de Mayo Mio 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 A Story of Revenge 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Promise Me a Cat 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Smart Stride 4-1 3rd

5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Xodo 10-1 WON ($18.60)
Next Best: #4 Understatement 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Custer 8-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Pleaseandthankyou 5-2 6th

6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Victoria Lynn 5-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #7 Celtic Chant 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Funky Munky Mama 5-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Joonbi 6-1 2nd

7th: Bold Brat, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

There is little chance that the Jamgotchian-Reed filly is anywhere close to 20-1, but $15 give or take will be more than OK on her. This is an odd group..

Best Value: #3 Dontbeshy I’ll Buy 20-1 WON ($26.60)
Next Best: #7 Maple Forest 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Golden Mystery 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Love That Dance 15-1 7th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Purely Majestic 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Auric Girl 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Honey Mou 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Princess Mara 3-1 WON ($7.90)

9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Inquest 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Pure Nature 5-2 — LATE SCR
Best Value: #1 Seghesio 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Maggie’s Hadder 6-1 WON ($9.20)

<$75 P6 Play:

4: 6
5: 2-4-5
6: 3
7: 1-2-3-7
8: 4
9: 1-5-8/SCR

1x3x1x4x1x3 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-5-7
7: All (3)
8: 4
9: 1-4-5-8/SCR

4x7x1x4 = 108 x .50 = $54

Took a tough photo beat in the AQU nightcap that denied a $475 P4 hit, but narrow win by $20 Cat Paws 30 minutes earlier was the only reason the quad was going to pay a worthwhile sum. In other words… that’s the way it goes. Gulfstream proved challenging with 70-1 winner starting the P5 and Mott firster upending the P4 later. Still a fun afternoon overall with some quality hits in New York that kept the head above water. Hope everyone did OK. $135k Santa Anita carryover today is irresistable but a VERY tough sequence..

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM/N1L, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Tiz a Bud Girl 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Five Silver Stars 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sarasota Sunshine 7-5 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #2 Cactus Flyer 5-2 3rd

4th: MDN CLM-$50k, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 T J’s Stormy Wit 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #4 Poppy Field 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Lady Vivien 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Dance Thewayyouare 7-2 2nd

5th: CLM-$50k, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Missdealornodeal 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Linda Lou 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Talktoomuch 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #5 California Heat 8-1 6th

6th: CLM-$20k, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Real Dream 5-2 5th
Next Best: #4 One Magical Girl 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #5 Purple Starduster 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Maryjean 3-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Anniversary Girl 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Camelia Rose 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Chokecherymary 4-1 WON ($12.20)
Super Add: #5 Thisismystage 5-2 3rd

8th: MDN CLM-$30k, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Queen Mercury 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Live the Forth 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Zenett 9-5 4th
Super Add: #7 Arinyes Love 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Conkate 15-1 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

3: 1-4-6
4: 7
5: 1-2
6: 4-5-6
7: 1-4
8: 6-9

3x1x2x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-8
6: 4-5-6-7
7: 1-4
8: 2-6-7-9

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

 

Coming off a breakeven but wholly unproductive weekend where many good opportunities were missed. Solid sequences at AQU & GP to occupy time till Thursday SA carryover..

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/HCP, 4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Midnite Silver 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #6 I Love It 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Good Law 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Budge Man 5-2 3rd

7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

As discussed with Andy Serling on Tuesday ATR, Elusive Rumor is the stranger to work around given the established shortcomings of the first three choices..

Best Value: #4 Elusive Rumor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Bent On Glory 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Notell 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #8 Sugar Beach 5-1 4th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Unusually confusing set of five. 8-5 Bizarroworld technically cleared this condition when crossing wire first before being taken down 12/29. 6-1 Silent Thunder wins this with a return to his best when with Gullo and even 15-1 Cat Paws is conceivable with Aro-Caraballo adding blinkers after fiasco in Sportswriter’s big win mid-January..

Most Likely: #2 Bizarroworld 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Silent Thunder 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Cat Paws 15-1 WON ($20.60)

9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Sandican 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 El Dreamer 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Jackin My Style 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #9 Pegasus Hellas 6-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6
7: 1-3-4-8
8: 1-2-3-4-5 (All)
9: 1-7

3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5f-T/96′ (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Arabian Song 9-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Bala Perdida 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 She’s Gonna Float 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: 1 Donya 12-1 5th

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some nice pedigree connections among the debutters including Don Adam homebred Adrina (By A. P. Indy out of MGSW Ready’s Gal; half to Machen); Stunning Lady (By Indian Charlie out of owner-breeders’ own wonderful MGSW Mystic Lady) and Buleria (Claiborne bred Empire Maker out of MGSW Wend). From those that have started, Fine Silver is a Bluegrass Cat out of the Cox’s Ridge mare that produced Klarman-owned/Violette-trained SW Swingforthefences..

Most Likely: #8 Evandear 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Volcat 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 Stunning Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Cowgirl Kitty 15-1 9th

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/36′ (P3, DD, Super)

Hope the #13 Lizzie Bear draws in because she’s very atttractive with these..

NOTE: Not only did Lizzie Bear NOT draw in, but obvious standout Millenium Star has SCR’d..

Best Value: #3 Platinum Treasure 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Shezi 4-1 10th
Exotics use: #12 Scrabblecat 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Smart Spin 5-1 3rd

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T/96′ (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Exeter Road 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Modest 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Quantity 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #12 Macarthur Causeway 12-1 5th

10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Despreoucupado 7-2 –
Best Value: #1 Steve’s Adventures 6-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #5 Daddy’s Wildcat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Footwedge 6-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Packers Valley 6-1 –

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 5-9
7: 6-7-8
8: 2-3-4-12
9: 4-6
10: 1-7

2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-7-8
8: 2-3-4-12
9: 4-6-7
10: 1-4-5-7

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

Funny day Saturday with a handful of solid opinions at Gulfstream that kept the balance sheet unharmed on strength of $160+ in P5 consos and a decent $150 P3 boosted by Here to Win. Garafalo Davona Dale upsetter Yara derailed nearly everybody at Hallandale while Nates Mineshaft did the same thing to multi-race plays at New Orleans. Not a bad day, but we all will have to make the strong Sunday Fountain of Youth card and the AQU carryover sequence fodder for weekend profitability.. Hope you did OK yesterday!

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Formless looking group and now top tab has SCR’d..

Most Likely: #10 Northern Rush 5-1 4th
Best Value: #4 One Golden Cat 6-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Offshore Score 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Backdrafter 12-1 5th

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Sacred Success obviously a heavy single on P6 tickets. Not a Super player, but may fool around trying to get #7 (30-1) Princess Reyana and/or #3 (15-1) French Laundry in the mix under the odds-on Dutrow-Dominguez..

Most Likely: #8 Sacred Success 3-5 WON ($2.30)
Best Value: #6 Dyna Vision 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Fast Fleet Cat 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Lenders Way 8-1 2nd

.10 Super: 8 with 2-3-4-6-7 with 2-3-4-6-7 with 2-3-4-6-7 = 1x5x4x3 = 60 x .10 = $6.00

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Another race with very little mystery as to the horse to beat with Winning Move/Galluscio dropping Hoopskirt to the bottom. Next three are interchangeable..

Most Likely: #7 Hoopskirt 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Rock Star Royalty 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Zodiac Girl 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Sweet as a Kiss 6-1 3rd

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Fun race and if you can beat Mineswept, it could get profitable..

Most Likely: #1 Mineswept 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Southbeachsandy 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Cooper River 4-1 4th
Super Add; #9 Six Flings 12-1 3rd

8th: Hildy’s Grey-NY, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Great Gracie Dane 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1a (POE) Minerologist 8-1 3rd/5th
Next Best: #2 Opus A 9-5 WON ($5.20)

9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (Super)

Top pair of African Jazz (5-2) and Miss Mexique (7-2) move to potent new barns. Would love to tell you that our Dee Tee filly Ausable Chasm can compete coming back off the frustrating non-effort as favorite 11 days ago, but it’s become impossible to predict when she might run the way she did on New Year’s Day..

Most Likely: #10 African Jazz 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Miss Mexique 7-2 WON ($14.00)
Best Valuie: #2 Soldierette 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Ausable Chasm 20-1 8th

<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-4-6-10
5: 8
6: 7
7: 1-2-3-9
8: 1-2-5
9: 10

4x1x1x4x3x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-7-10
7: 1-2-3-9
8: 1-2-5
9: 2-4-10

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/108′ (P3, DD, Super)

Expect to see many of these in the soph gal turf stakes soon. Fair amount of front end interested parties here, so stalker-closers should have every opportunity to put their run in..

Note that SCR’s will affect the pace with three of the speed types coming out..

Most Likely: #4 Sweet Cat 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Heart of Destiny 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Karlovy Vary 6-1 WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Anna Sophia 6-1 4th

6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Forward March 6-1: Away since debut score; Dam Angel’s Nest a Miesque daughter.. 6th
Next Best: #4 Liberty Bound 5-2: Predisposed to liking him as I loved dam Hello Liberty.. 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Seve 8-1: Light finally on after breaking MDN in try #8? Worked sharp for this.. 2nd
Super Add: #1 Dreaming of Neno 3-1: Longer price of the entry runs.. 7th

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Deep and challenging MDN group with stretchouts and surface moves galore..

Best Value: #4 S S Pinafore 10-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Preach Tome Daddy 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Miss Montreal 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #3 The Adjudent 20-1 11th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

More nice MDN’s, this time on the main including Sightseek’s Giant Causeway colt Night Site from Juddmonte; Zito 2nd timer Spin Out, a Hard Spun that’s a half to Friendly Island; Firster Prince of Spain from Pat Byrne, a son of Spain by Giant’s Causeway; Arm Force, a full brother to Well Armed..

Most Likely: #3 Spin Out 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Unbridled Fire 4-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Elusive Success 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Arm Force 20-1 WON ($24.40)

9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Utley 5-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Point of Entry 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Slow Pace 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Freshman Dorm 4-1 6th

10th: 19th Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Predictably good, well matched group..

Most Likely: #5 Simmard 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Best Value: #1 Eagle Poise 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Musketeer 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Dixie Emperor 12-1 10th

11th: 68th Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Union Rags runs right into the teeth of Team Todd in his 3yo bow and while he fits the pattern of the type that is pointing for ‘bigger and better’ later this spring, has been working steadily. Zito looks for snap back effort from Casual Trick. Discreet Dancer tries to pick up where he left off 7 weeks ago..

Most Likely: #5 Discreet Dancer 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Casual Trick 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Union Rags 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Neck ‘n Neck 15-1 4th

12th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Debuting Ruthless Empire cost Donegal $135k new and is a half to Rutherienne and Ruthenia. Daring people to claim right away or simply placing him where Romans thinks he can win? #13 (AE) More Anon interesting should he draw in..

Most Likely: #8 Pikestar 4-1
Best Value: #7 Slinger 12-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Starship Storm 8-1 WON ($22.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Yes He’s Trouble 7-2 5th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Ruthless Empire 5-1 3rd

<$50 P5 Play:

8: 3-9
9: 1-4-7
10: 1-5
11: 4-5-7
12: 7-8

2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

<$50 P4 Play:

9: 1-4-7
10: 1-5
11: 4-5-7
12: 3-6-7-8-11

3x2x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45