AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

#11 (AE) To the Point (6-1) very prominent if drawing in..

Most Likely: #9 Jardenia 6-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Guyana Princess 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Bob’s Pinup Girl 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #3 In Her Hey Day 15-1 2nd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Bellarella 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Silver Over Gold 8-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #1 Too Tough Sissy 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Bayshore Breeze 6-1 2nd

6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Cybertron 3-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Even Got Quiet 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Say Mr. Sandman 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Verde Mont 4-1 10th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Sing Dixie Sing 4-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #2 Bailzee 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Jackie Mo 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Late SCR

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Hot Splash 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Miss Libby 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Pop Pop’s Smyle 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Newbie 9-5 WON ($4.20)

9th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Red Leader 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #10 Waywardwillie 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Recharged 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 The Vin Man 15-1 4th

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-8-10-12
7: 1
8: 2-4-5-7
9: 1-9-10

4x1x4x3 = $48 ($24 for .50)

Turfway’s biggest spring day provided excellent entertainment early Saturday, with Motion/Team Valor reprise of the Spiral with a developing colt in End the Day Well. Later, the afternoon indeed ended well at Santa Anita with a substantial nightcap exotics hit and modest $143 P4. The 4 runners in the 10th under even money Baffert returnee Solar Rocket were all there for the exotics sweep including the $563 triple and $4,047 super thanks to 17-1 Zombyslayermrdrcy and 47-1 Breakmark. Playing those in the Hi-5 had potential to produce a pool scoop too as there is a $48k C/O in the wager for Sunday.

The quad action earlier in the day at Turfway was left wanting thanks to my completely wrong opinion on Fred Seitz’ Rushaway winner Flashy Dancer. My thoughts that he was inappropriate for the spot at a short price was hazardous to both P4 plays, but I did catch a healthy $260 triple in the tricky Hansel when Hogy blew the field apart off the turn. The three tabs with him also produced the $868 super.

Hope everybody got something good out of the action. Minimal excitement from me for Sunday though I may come back with some thoughts on the Sunland action. My Aqueduct P4 look below and Gus offers Gulfstream & Hawthorne opinions as well..

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: N-MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Rico Capote 3-1 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #3 Lucky Lil Liam 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Backdrafter 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Northern Rush 5-1 7th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Miss Tequila 2-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Lynnette 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Truth Will Tell 4-1 2nd (DQ’d from WIN)
Super Add: #3 Risk a Chance 5-1 3rd

8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Though the rest of the sequence is kind of humdrum, this event has plenty of intrigue. If you don’t play the multis, you may want to play this. Yes Sugar Beach (5-1) has had plenty of chances, but her race on the AQU main track in November wins here. Meanwhile, Grunge Girl (8-1) moves into clever barn and Goldie’s Reward (12-1) makes first start at 3 for excellent layoff outfit….

Best Value: #4 Sugar Beach 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Stray Bullet 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Grunge Girl 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Goldie’s Reward 12-1 8th

9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (Super)

Top tab stands out, but after them you can play with a number of pricey possibilities..

Most Likely: #7 Rock Star Royalty 2-1 WON ($)
Next Best: #8 Beautiful Risk 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Connie the Queen 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 There Goes Molly 12-1 8th

<$50 P4 Play:

6: ALL
7: 2-5-6
8: 1-2-4-6
9: 7

8x3x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48

TURFWAY PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Bail Me Out 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Constantinople 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Undercover Justice 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Sister Pippa 3-1 5th

6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Fun betting race using the double digit ideas around fave Gorgeous Melody..

Most Likely: #4 Gorgeous Melody 8-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 It’s Tiffin Time 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Glory Chaser 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Darlin’ Diane 30-1 2nd

7th: 19th Hansel, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Magical Season 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Lockout 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Hogy 3-1 WON ($12.40)
Super Add: #10 Thomas Jefferson 5-1 3rd

$2 Exacta (9-3) Paid $35.70
$1 Trifecta (9-3-10) Paid $260.80
$1 Superfecta (9-3-10-5) Paid $868.30

8th: 28th Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Will go against the favorites which aren’t particularly more appealling than the next half dozen..

Most Likely: #7 Gung Ho 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Bluedacious 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Going to Market 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Sky Alert 15-1 5th

@$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-5-7
6: 4
7: 3-5-9
8: 2-3-4-5-6-7

3x1x3x6 = $54 ($27 for .50)

9th: 30th Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Battaglia has the wrong favorite in More Than Love as In Lingerie will be a shorter number and should handle these with aplomb..

Most Likely: #4 IN LINGERIE 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Dancing Solo 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dixie Jackpot 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 More Than Love 9-5 7th

10th: 41st Spiral (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super, Super Hi-5)

This $500k No. KY meet standard produced Animal Kingdom a year ago and draws an oddball assembly for this edition that sees the top ML choices (Heavy Breathing, Went the Day Well, Handsome Mike) all underlaid. Maker was thoroughly unhappy with John McKee’s decisions on Mr. Prankster in the Battaglia and gains Napravnik for this. We won’t get 12-1, but he’s the right horse to work around at what will almost certainly be an overlay tote. Will swing for fences with a host of prices. On an ATR note, well wishes go out to Johnny D. and his partners with Ill Conceived!

Most Likely: #10 Mr. Prankster 12-1 11th
Best Value: #9 Tizanexpense 15-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Russian Greek 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Ill Conceived 8-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #11 Stealcase 10-1 5th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-9-10
8: 2-3-4-5-6-7
9: 4
10: 1-3-4-7-9-10

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

<$25 P3 Play:

8: 2-7
9: 5-7
10: 1-2-5

2x2x3 = 12 x $2 = $24

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Good looking set of maidens coming down the hill. Some firsters here are likely OK, but they are hard to take when those that have started appear solid..

Most Likely: #12 Canuletmedowneasy 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Fleet Eagle 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Curahee 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Boat Trip 8-1 WON ($16.00)

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Question here is what to do with swift Sadler returnee Chapman’s Park?

Most Likely: #6 Close to the Edge 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #4 Gnarly Dude 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Obsess 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Privilaged 8-1 4th

7th: March Madness, 4+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Krigger has real chance to take them wire to window on outposted Letsgetitright. Well matched set looking to take Hammerle’s roundball trophy..

Best Value: #9 Letsgetitright 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Wild Revenge 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Unusual Jazz 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #6 Best Verse 12-1 2nd

8th: 14th Tokyo City Cup (G3), 4+, 12f (P3, DD, Super)

Three-turners on main track typically curious and this is no exception as top three favorites don’t look any better than the next four choices. As I said yesterday on ATR, reformed $16k claimer Graeme Crackerjack is a new horse since turning 4 and no reason not to expect as good or better here. Was hoping for better than 6-1, but it’s tough to put one by Jon White’s sharp linemaking..

Best Value: #2 Graeme Crackerjack 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Dynamic Host 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Coluda 8-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Skipshot 4-1 3rd

9th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

This impossible MSW down the hill is brutally positioned in the sequence. Wide open. Pedigree mentions include Indicator (Half to Brother Derek) and Turn On the pumps (Half to Cost of Freedom). Early SCR of #2 Silver Dragon means #13 Soi Phet — who’s eligible for laurels — gets to participate. On a humorous note is the moniker of #5 Pork Chop, a nickname widely employed around barns for agreeable workmates of good horses..

Best Value: #6 Swift Eagle 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Suances Candy 4-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Pork Chop 6-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Soi Phet 5-1 5th

10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Solar Rocket 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #7 Warren’s Patron 4-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Zomyslayermrdarcy 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Just Meteor 7-2 4th
Super/Hi-5: #2 Breakmark 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-12) Paid $27.70
$1 Trifecta (3-12-2) Paid $563.80
$1 Superfecta (3-12-2-6) Paid $4,047.80

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-8-9
8: 2-3-7-8
9: 5-6-12-13
10: 3-7-12

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$.50 Pick 4 (4,8/8/3,12,14/3,4,9) Paid $142.85

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 D’princess 4-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Poppy Field 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Trois Aureole 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Royale Legacy 7-2 6th

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Potesta 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Dynamite Diva 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Toto Cor 9-2 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Magical Band 5-1 5th

5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Crossing the Line 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Muny 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Kelly Leak 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lamm 4-1 3rd

6th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 C J Russell 4-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Centralinteligence 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Sahara Sky 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Legal Separation 10-1 6th

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Indian Winter 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Irish Art 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Smokey Lonesome 9-2 8th
Super Add: #4 Clubhouse Ride 15-1 4th

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 La Sancha 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #13 H. J.’s Kitty 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Glo Jack 8-14th
Super Add: #7 Sweet Juju 9-2 5th

<$200 P6 Play:

3: 2
4: 2-3-4
5: 1-4-7-9
6: 4-6
7: 3-5
8: 9-13

1x3x4x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-7-9
6: 4-6
7: 1-3-4-5-8-9
8: 3-9-13

4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Small, tricky group with an undefined pace scenario. Jupiter Trio the horse to beat but you’ll need to rely on Luzzi to push the right buttons..

Most Likely: #2 Jupiter Trio 2-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Make Note 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Haya’s Boy 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Precious Metal 5-2 4th

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Some amazing pedigrees here including Stronach’s Hildegarde (daughter of GSW Dynamite Lass); Juddmonte’s Nebraska (Out of the fabulous MGSW Toussaud daughter Honest Lady); Riboletti (Darley’s homebred Distorted Humor filly out of Champion Riboletta); Unrivaled Score (Out of SW Ashtabula by Unbridled’s Song and thus a full sister of sire Even the Score); Fashion’s Flight (Dicxie Union miss out of General Jeanne making her a half the Justwhistledixie and ill-fated Chace City)..

Most Likely: #4 Riboletti 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nebraska 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Unrivaled Score 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Fashion’s Flight 5-2 WON ($10.80)

4th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$40k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #8 Handsome Harbor 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Terminus 2-1 –
Exotics Use: #7 Goodtime Boy 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Corofin 8-1 WON ($16.80)

5th: S-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

As Andy Serling and I batted around on ATR, Cat in the Forest will end up as a single on many, many tickets. I get the feeling that if it isn’t him, it could be anybody..

Most Likely: #7 Cat in the Forest 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Awesome Arceno 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Pete’s Parley 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Tatao’s Wildcat 10-1 WON ($18.00)

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 1-3-4
4: 4-7-8
5: 1-4-5-7

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Excellent, well-matched set..

Most Likely: #9 Evan’s Rocket 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Readygetsgold 12-1 4th
Next Best : #5 Northern Warrior 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Notell 8-1 3rd

7th: HCP, 4yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Mostly returnees from winter sequence of these events dominated by Midnite Silver. Variations on theme include the one turn mile configuration and stranger danger in the Preciado-Caramouche gelding Barely Nothing..

Best Value: #6 Barely Nothing 10-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #4 Midnite Silver 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bail Out the Banks 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Good Karma 4-1 5th

8th: Lynclar, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Aquitania WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #5 Strike the Moon 3rd

9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Anaphylaxsis is entered back and may SCR..

Most Likely: #6 Inquest 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Winloc’s John Lee 2-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Keyaly 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Papa Freud 20-1 4th

<$150 P6 Play:

This is an exceedingly difficult sequence. May want to concentrate on P4’s, P3’s and in-race opps today and see if it carries again to Thursday..

4: 4-7-8
5: 1-4-5-7
6: 3-9
7: 6
8: 1
9: 1-5-6

3x4x2x1x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-6-9
7: 4-5-6-8
8: 1-5
9: 1-5-6

4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48