Good day of racing at Aqueduct Friday and was able to find winners, but too many were lower priority exotics choices for me to cash a meaningful multi ticket between the 4th-9th. Hope everybody did OK. On the road to Kentucky overnight and looking forward to a full afternoon of action as Aqueduct and Santa Anita wind down and Keeneland offers another wild and wacky slate. Derby lead up broadcasts begin live from Churchill Downs Monday!

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Despite relative accomplishment, Dodging and Silver Skates appear like career maidens, so those that have failed less are preferable..

Best Value: #6 Yogins 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dodging 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Tell Grant 4-1 8th
Super Add: #11 Rangey 6-1 2nd

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Group of solid citizens. Top Surprize (6-1) SCR’d for this and will be a nice number, but Abilio (4-1) may have clear pace edge up front. ’11 stakes vet King Congie (8-5) is OK, but Albertrani not so strong with returnees and you have to eat the West Point propensity to bury horses at the windows which Eric Donovan anticipates with the lowball ML..

Best Value: #4 Abilio 4-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #3 King Congie 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Carson Hall 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Screenplay 12-1 6th

9th: 142nd Jerome (G2), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Interesting edition of this long-running standard features a number of still developing ‘any kind’ types including pricey pair from Baffert. Too much pace signed on here for there not to be room for the closers with well-priced Adirondack King is receiving the Dullahan style push from similar scenario a week ago and underlaid Stirred Up OK clunking along late. Of those on or near the front end, $925k NY bred Brigand has Baffert speed tab seal of approval and 2nd/layoff Right to Vote may have upside yet after returning to his 2yo best immediately in his seasonal debut..

Best Value: #6 Adirondack King 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Brigand 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Stirred Up 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Dan and Sheila 12-1 4th

10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Tricky finish to good sequence. Many here eligible for laurels, especially with several getting back on their preferred surface..

Best Value: #10 Monastir 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Kitten in May 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Headinttothecity 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Toccet’s Image 8-1 7th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4-6
8: 3-4
9: 2-3-4-6-7
10: 3-4-5-10

2x2x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Seanchai 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Force de la Nature 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Counselor Cabot 3-1 6th
Super Add: #1 M’Dearest 5-1 2nd

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 SOUNDS OF THE CITY 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Sovereign Crisis 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Distortionada 2-1 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #1 Reason to Medal 4-1 6th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Note that 1st level ALW races for 4+ fillies and mares run consecutively and the sprint draws 6 while the route draws 11. According to the armchair experts, American racing is top heavy with brittle speed-dependent types yet here’s a group of 11 — all but one 4 or 5 years old — with 112 starts between them preferring to go 9 panels..

Best Value: #3 Vivo Per Lei 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Mystical Star 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Namaskara 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Font 4-1 8th

8th: 16th Giant’s Causeway, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

The top turf sprinters from the Fair Grounds season make up the bilk of this nice field led by Iwinski’s white hot dash mare Inspired. Tony Dutrow invader Classy Zip rates upset chance..

Best Value: #5 Classy Zip 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Inspired 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Wild About Marie 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Indulgence 10-1 5th

9th: 31st Lexington (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Like the Illinois Derby 2 weeks ago, a race to play around and take shots. And look, there’s Morgan’s Guerrilla who was a major part of the Hawthorne haymaker. As I like to say, no play is too outlandish in this kind of race, but recognize that the 8.5f means the short wire at KEE where deep closing tactics like Dullahan used at 9f aren’t as productive..

Most Likely: #2 Summer Front 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Holiday Promise 6-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Gold Megillah 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Morgan’s Guerrilla 6-1 11th

10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Fast Bobbi J 3-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Cheery 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Atlantic Tap 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Yankee Union 12-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #1 Seaside Escape 12-1 9th

<$50 P5 Play:

6: 2
7: 2-3-4
8: 2-5-6-8
9: 2-6
10: 5-10-11

1x3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4
8: 2-5-6-8
9: 1-2-6-11
10: 5-10-11

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Night Badger 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Designer 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #1 The Brain 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 SCR

7th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Dress Code 5-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #4 Lamm 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Jairzihno 7-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Wild Revenge 9-2 –

8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Obsess 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Cyclometer 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Close to the Edge 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Flightofalifetime 4-1 7th

9th: 64th Santa Barbara H. (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cambina 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Capital Plan 5-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #5 Vamo a Galupiar 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Camelia Rose 2-1 4th

10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Emerald Assets 3-1 8th
Best Value: 3 Tiz Savy 6-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Ocean Appeal 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Father Pabst 9-2 WON ($7.80)
Super/Hi-5: #5 Oak Tree Drive 8-1 10th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5-11
8: 1-4-6-7
9: 2-4-5
10: 3-9-10-11

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Keeneland swings continue to be frustrating as ‘main’ track races regularly are won by horses whose form is tough to decipher. Lookin at Tiger snatched a win from Photo Shoot in the 5th yesterday and on closer inspection did have the CD turf maidenbreaker last June as a race good enough to beat the ones he faced. I missed Sisterhood who took the impossible 7th, a race where any of the 10 were possible. Laid out the Appalachian in 1-2-3-4 order with Dayatthespa predictably controling the race from the opening bell to run her ’12 mark to 3/3-0-0. Hope everyone did OK. $20k Aqueduct carryover on another fun Friday card. Leave for Louisville after today’s ATR with Derby coverage starting live from the Downs Monday!

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wildcat’s Smile 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #3 Sing Dixie Sing 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Alphabet Jamerica 6-1 5th

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Musical Rain 7-2 DH-3rd
Next Best: #6 Laughing 8-5 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Silver Screamer 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 In Te Domine 8-1 5th

4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$20k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Jade Glory Again 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Greyfriars 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Daddy’s Wildcat 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Solid d’Oro 5-1 5th

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Wholelottashakin 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Shakeira 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #5 Viv’s Tiara 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Inimitable Romanee 3-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-5
3: 2-3-4-5-6
4: 4-6-7
5: 3-7

3x5x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

$.50 Pick 4 (5-1/6/7-3/7-7) Piad $17.37

6th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very difficult group and I opted for the best prices available. If you can fit favorite #2 Tightend Touchdown (3-1) into your plays, it’s probably a good idea. Seems as likely as the four below..

Most Likely: #3 Elusive Story 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Mark It Man 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Photon 5-1 WON ($6.10)

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Why are we supposed to be so scared by 1st time NA Magical Cat (2-1)? Away since August last, exits ‘B’ circuit company in Ireland and there’s no guarantee that she’s fast enough for 1 mile..

Best Value: #1 Sylvestris 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Zultanite 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Magical Cat 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #7 Singn On Themoon 7-2 2nd

8th: CLM, 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Starforaday 4-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Obligingly 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Crown the Chief 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 He’s So Chic 8-1 WON ($11.80)

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Blue Grass Music 5-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Harbor Spirit 8-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Dopke Gal 6-1 WON ($17.80)
Exotics Use: #10 In Her Hey Day 12-1 3rd

<$75 P6 Play:

4: 4
5: 3-7
6: 3-6-8
7: 1-2-4
8: 6-7
9: 2

1x2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6-8
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 2-6-7
9: 2-9

4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Timely Pursuit 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Photo Shoot 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Our Noble Heart 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Tapaway 3-1 3rd

6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Hand I Was Dealt 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Distort This 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Romantic Channel 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 SCR

7th: ALW/N2L, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Nearly impossible group to decipher..

Best Value: #5 Nitara 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Never Tell Lynda 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Plus One 10-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Cat Lore 5-2 4th

8th: Appalachian (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dayatthespa 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 Somali Lemonade 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Regalo Mia 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Firehouse Red 12-1 4th

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Jamaican Smoke 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #1 Dark Nebula 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Flat Out Foxy 3-1 9th
Best Value: #8 She Be Bunny 6-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Holiday Peace 5-1 7th

<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-6
6: 4-8
7: 2-3-5-9
8: 1-4
9: 1-5-7

2x2x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-8
7: 2-3-5-9
8: 1-4-8
9: 1-5-7-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$34k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Chat Me Up 6-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Malibu Red 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Bluegrass Rumor 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Madeoffwiththecash 8-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Nolita 2-1 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #8 Elle’s Vision 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tatoo Me 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Valuable Friend 3-1 6th

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, SS, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Hoopskirt 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sweet Lil Cherokee 6-5 7th
Best Value: #5 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #10 Wise Choice 30-1 5th

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Twice the Lady 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Wildcat Aly 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Promise Me a Cat 6-1 WON ($9.30)
Super Add: #2 Lady Vi 12-1 4th

8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Full of Gut 5-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Victoria Lynn 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Natalie Victoria 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Naughty Or Nice 5-1 4th

9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 The Thinker 3-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Moves Like Jagger 30-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Captain Goodenough 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Forty Rock 12-1 3rd

<$100 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-8
5: 7-8
6: 1-9
7: 4-8
8: 2-7
9: 9

3x2x2x2x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-9
7: 2-3-4-8
8: 1-2-6-7
9: 9

2x4x4x1 = 32 x $1.50 = $48 ($16 for .50)

 

Muddled through the action in New York, Kentucky and Arkansas Friday giving back a lot of Thursday’s profits whiffing on the P4’s. Despite looking forward to the sequences, I never found a rhythm or was able to pounce on a glaring opportunity. They’ll be plenty of chances to make up for it today though with an outstanding Blue Grass card at treacherous Keeneland, a $25k P6 carryover on a solid Aqueduct sequence and stakes-laden P4’s at Oaklawn on Derby/Closing Day at Charles Town where the $1,000,000 Classic anchors the action. Hope you did OK Friday and we all have a big day..

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$25k C/O starts here..

Deep, intriguing start to the P6 with some nice, lightly-raced players including KMc 2nd timer #1a Broome Street (half to Sky Mesa), Pletcher debuter Street Brawl (Out of MSW dam Regally Appealling), McGaughey FTS Reflecting (Out of MSW Daydreaming) and more..

Most Likely: #1e McLaughlin entry 5-2 4th/6th
Next Best: #7 Street Brawl 4-1  WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Love to Run 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Luckysdream 5-1 8th

6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

One of the ‘knocking on door’ faves likely gets it done here. Dendrite looks like controling speed, but Reserve Currency feels like the horse to beat..

Most Likely: #7 Reserve Currency 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #8 Dendrite 4-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Apse 10-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Winter Now 8-1 2nd

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Dime claimers make for an incredible scramble with droppers and barn changes galore..

Most Likely: #11 Summer Share 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Mutiny 10-1 WON ($46.80)
Next Best: #3 Eminent Tale 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Lincoln Penny 12-1 13th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Jeter returned at 3 as a gelding and if you believe he’ll come close to the effort 4 weeks ago, he’s the single you desperately need in this sextet..

Most Likely: #10 Jeter 7-5 5th
Next Best: #12 Verbosity 5-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #6 Modern Child 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wishingonastar 12-1 4th

9th: 58th Distaff H. (G2), F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

This wasn’t exactly the next planned step for It’s Tricky and as a straight sprinter, she’s plenty vulnerable. Nicole H ran her guts out in the Fritchie only to be collared late..

Most Likely: #3 Nicole H 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 It’s Tricky 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #1 C C’s Pal 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 White Merlot 20-1 5th

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dream Man 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Gunman 5-2 WON ($8.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Chardsey 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Out of Your Mind 15-1 4th

<$100 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-7
6: 7
7: 6-11
8: 10
9: 1-3-4-7
10: 4-12

3x1x2x1x4x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

$2 Pick 6 (7/2,7,10/6/12/5,6,7/12) Paid $122.50 (5OF6)

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-11
8: 10-12
9: 1-3-4-7
10: 4-12

3x2x4x2 = $48 ($24 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (6/12/5,6,7/12) Paid $562.50 ($281.25 for .50)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Sky Blazer 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Close Ally 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Charging Home 10-1 10th
Super Add: #7 Derby Kitten 9-2 7th

6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Hard to look past the obvious here..

Most Likely: #10 Golden Ridge 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Current Design 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Platform 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Untethered 5-1 6th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Dancing Solo 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Treasured Up 5-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #1 Putthebabiesdown 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 SCR

8th: Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

P4 approach hinges on getting Zagora through in the opening leg. Has form cycle edge on rock solid Aruna..

Most Likely: #2 Zagora 8-5 5th
Next Best: #4 Aruna 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Daisy Devine 10-1 WON ($16.20)

9th: Commonwealth (G2), 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Wacky lineup and Bergerac, a clever claim by Paul Pompa, may do to this on the turnback what Groupie Doll did to the Madison Thursday. And if you haven’t noticed, he’s the lone runner here with a win over the strip..

Best Value: #7 Bergerac 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Plutonium 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Comedero 2-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Right One 9-5 3rd

10th: Shakertown (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Will cover shaky fave #1 Perfect Officer (7-2) in the multis, but he is no better than several lining up..

Best Value: #3 Great Attack 5-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Chamberlain Bridge 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Havelock 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Surfrider 8-1 5th

11th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

As discussed at length on ATR, race sets up for Dullahan but there are several in the cast who might jump up as has been the case in this event since the advent of the poly..

Most Likely: #6 Dullahan 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #4 Hansen 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Prospective 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Holy Candy 30-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Gung Ho 30-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (6-4) Paid $11.80
$1 Trifecta (6-4-2) Paid $164.50
$1 Superfecta (6-4-2-9) Paid $1,489,20

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 2
9: 1-2-3-7
10: 1-3-4-7-8-9
11: 3-4-6-9

1x4x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

12th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #9 Appealing Cat 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Modulate 5-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Woodford Lady 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #5 June Cleaver 4-1 WON ($5.60)

<$50 P5 Play:

8: 2
9: 3-7
10: 1-3-4-7-8-9
11: 4-6
12: 1-5-6-9

1x2x6x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

OAKLAWN PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th: 39th Count Fleet (G3), 3+, 6f (P3)

An All Stakes P4 didn’t occur to anyone in Hot Springs?

Most Likely: #3 Izzy Rules 8-5 5th
Best Value: #4 Outta Tune 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #5 Apriority 2-1 2nd

9th: 15th Northern Spur, 3yo, 1m (P4, Super)

Best Value: #4 Explain 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Drill 4-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 SCR
Super Add: #1 King Coral 12-1 4th

10th: 66th Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, Super)

This event makes up for what the Apple Blossom lacked..

Most Likely: #5 Hymm Book 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Alternation 9-2 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #8 Ron the Greek 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Nehro 7-2 6th

11th: 76th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Many here desperate for Derby dollars and Bodemeister needs to homer in the 9th inning to assure slot in the gate. Was dead game being bested late by Creative Cause in San Felipe and expect he comes through today under Smitty..

Most Likely: #11 Bodemeister 9-5 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #1 Cozzetti 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Isn’t He Clever 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Jake Mo 30-1 10th

<$25 P4 Play:

9: 4-7
10: 5-6
11: 11
12: 2-6-10

2x2x1x3 = 12 x $2 = $24

CHARLES TOWN

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: Webb Snyder, 3+, 4.5f (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Immortal Eyes 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #7 Big Grampa 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Yukon Wildcat 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 U Boat Alley 6-1 7th

10th: Robert Hilton Memorial, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Flashy Dresser 2-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #8 Brimstone Island 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Trippi’s Secret 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 He Can Run 6-1 6th

11th: Sugar Maple, F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Magical Feeling 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #8 Island Bound 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Strike the Moon 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Lady of Greatness 8-1 4th

$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $13.50
$1 Trifecta (7-8-1) Paid $45.60
$1 Superfecta (7-8-1-2) Paid $95.40

12th: Charles Town Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Another compelling edition of this three turner includes last year’s winner in Duke of Mischief and the show horse from the 2010 edition, Redding Colliery. Tackleberry, 4th a year ago, returns as well, and after the good comebacker in the Gulfstream Park H. it feels like Olivares has him primed for the $600,000 share. Uh Oh Bango has run at NoCal Fair strips and should be coming late, while Caixa Electronica went 9 panels successfully at Saratoga last summer and could stretch his his ample speed here. Norman Asbjornson would be intriguing if he gets in..

Most Likely: #2 Tackleberry 3-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Uh Oh Bango 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Caixa Electronica 8-1 WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Mister Mardi Gras 12-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

9: 3-7
10: 5-7-8
11: 7-8
12: 2-3-6-10

2x3x2x4 = $48

$1 Pick 4 (3/5,11,12,13,14/7/6) Paid $118.60