In a day of mixed emotions thanks to Spondulix getting injured in a strange gate mishap, was able to enjoy a big snapback Sunday after taking a beating Saturday. Maylan Studart, of all people, helped make Sunday a major success with a determined ride on 32-1 Recharged in the 8th. While top tab Screenplay was a clear winner up front under Wilmer Garcia, Studart gave Recharged a patient, ground-saving, midpack stalking trip and then rode hard to the wire to just get past Sr. Henry. The resulting $249.50 exacta cleaned up all of the Travers Day spillage and then some.

Mike Welsch’s Workout Notes in the DRF helped get the day going, producing the $141.50 2nd race exacta on the strength of his endorsements of Sign and Honor Bright. Sign’s $22.00 win tote helped drive a good $252.00 early P4 as well. The surprise in the Personal Ensign really hadn’t settled in when my own attention turned to Dee Tee’s Spondulix debuting in the 11th. With everything seemingly perfect and the grey gelding in the gate, Irad Ortiz off his back and sudden commotion around Spondulix indicated a problem. He had kicked back with his right leg and somehow got it caught through the stall doors. He suffered lacerations around the hock and was immediately scratched. While I didn’t expect thefirst timer to win, it was certainly not the way I envisioned the fun afternoon ending. He’s only bruised up a little however and will be ready to get hois career underway pretty quick.

Lots to discuss from Del Mar’s Pacific Classic Day and the carryover sequence as well, but I’ll have to save it for ATR as the Monday Spa slate — with a $72k carryover — needs to be produced… Hope everyone had a great Sunday and super weekend!

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Spinit to Winit 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Polan 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #5 True Fortune 7-2 WON

2nd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IR (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Prize Catch 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Federation 7-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Counterparty 8-5 6th
Super Add: #6 Arch Support 12-1 5th

3rd: Aristie-NY, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Effie Trinket 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #6 Agilion 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Golden Fire 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Zekes Surprise 5-2 3rd

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Wildcat Aly 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #5 Magnificent Mia 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Victoria Lynn 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Henny’s Hurricane 4-1 3rd

5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Gladhander 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Let Us Have One 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 One More Cat 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Candy Raider 12-1 4th

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3
3: 5-6
4: 3-5-6
5: 2-5-8

3x2x3x3 = $54

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 English Major 6-5 5th
Best Value: #2 Myhorseofcourse 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Parachute Coney 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Imperial Robyn 8-1 4th

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Indian Splendor 5-2 8th
Next Best: #7 Brief Reign 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Neon Moon 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Judy G 8-1 6th

8th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Leap 5-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #7 Shot Rock 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Western Grit 6-1 3rd
Super Add; #1 Can’t Catch Me Now 5-1 4th

9th: 9th Saratoga Dew-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Great Gracie Dane 7-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Opus A 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Ginger Snapit 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Harbor Mist 5-2 5th

10th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #9 Loud Pipes 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Chief Gaga 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Stellabymoonlight 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gallant Breeze 8-1 6th

<$250 P6 Play:

5: 2-5
6: 2-5
7: 2-3-5-7-9
8: 5
9: 1-4
10: 1-4-9

2x2x5x1x2x3 = 120 x $2 = $240

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5-7-9
8: 1-5-7-8
9: 1-4
10: 1-3-4-9

5x4x2x4 = 160 x .50 = $80

147th Travers produced a once-in-a-century result Saturday with the dead heat between Golden Ticket & Alpha providing the day an extra added jolt of excitement and wonder. Lots more to say but late getting things out today so I’ll save it for tomorrow on air and in print. Was a fun afternoon at the Old Spa, but I had a poor day at the windows getting smacked around for -$500+. Look to get it back and more today! Pacific Classic card and $570k 2-day P6 C/O at Del Mar along with Royal Delta/It’s Tricky — and Spondulix in the nightcap — at Saratoga. Hope you did OK Saturday and that my miscues didn’t bury you..

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Super betting affair to open fun-looking card and great day with Del Mar action starting at 4pm ET..

Most Likely: #9 Proudroad to Glory 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Classical Fashion 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Who Is Lady 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Stray Bullet 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Kittylicious 30-1 12th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Potentially important filly baby set with a number signed on that have worked promisingly..

Most Likely: #3 Honor Bright 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sign 8-1 WON ($22.00)
Next Best: #7 Lenderoflastresort 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Apologize 4-1 5th

3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Note that both AE’s (#13 & #14) have serious implications on event if either or both are able to get in..

Most Likely: #2 Thescreenisred 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Princess Jenny 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Desert Bliss 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 White Sangria 5-1 3rd

4th: Clever Electrician-NY, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fiddler’s Afleet 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #7 Johannesburg Smile 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sailmate 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mine Over Matter 4-1 4th

5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mr Cowboy 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #5 Breathaway 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Call Up the Chief 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Current Aquasition 15-1 9th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-4-7-8
3: 2-3-6-9
4: 1-6-7
5: 2-5

6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-2/13/14-6-2/12/13) $252.00

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Kind of a non-descript bunch..

Best Value: #5 Daisysgonnamakeit 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 With Honorandgrace 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Heidi’s Holiday 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #1 Red Hook 4-1 4th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Late SCR
Next Best: #2 War Hitch 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mr E Philip 9-2 WON ($8.10)
Super Add: #1 Paci Di Notte 10-1 6th

8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Fun race with many permutations available..

Most Likely: #2 Screenplay 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #10 Recharged 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pleasant Run 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Fastest Magician 15-1 10th

9th: OC/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like the 8th, about 5 here can finish in any order going this extended route..

Best Value: #3 Followmyfootsteps 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Barocci 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mahubo 2-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Bombaguia 6-1 WON ($9.60)

10th: 65th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

It’s Tricky following through with plan to run here keeps this event interesting. Still think Royal Delta bests them, but potential is there for an epic stretch duel between the two..

Most Likely: #4 Royal Delta 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 It’s Tricky 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 R Gypsy Gold 15-1 6th

11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Delighted to send Dee Tee’s first grey runner postward here as Spondulix makes his debut. Has worked well toward this and really raised his game when moving to the lawn for most recent drill. Proviso for this spot is distance, as he has indicated that middle distance will be his ideal trip. It’s not the toughest looking bunch of coconuts you’ll see, so with a clean break he could have a real shot at a share or more. Fair Trade and the 3 perched on the AE list are the ones to fear..

NOTE: #13 Verde Mont does draw in..

Most Likely: #13 Verde Mont 2-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Owen Rico 6-1 WON ($14.60)
Best Value: #7 Chase On Home 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Fair Trade 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Late SCR (Injured in gate)

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-7-8-10
9: 1-3-4-6-7-8
10: 1-4
11: 12-13

6x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 27th Pat O’Brien (G2), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Camp Victory 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #6 Coil 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Capital Account 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #2 Mobilized 8-1 5th

6th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$570k P6 C/O starts here..

Tough set but nice that this at least starts the sequence so you can watch the board for additional clues..

Best Value: #10 Roust ‘Em Bertie 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Van Dien Avenue 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Sacred Delight 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Another Flashback 7-2 3rd

7th: 26th Del Mar Mile (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Not such an easy group from which to isolate one or two..

Best Value: #5 Norvsky 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Obviously 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Commons 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Jeranimo 5-2 3rd

8th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Very nice group of 3+’s..

Most Likely: #10 Caminetto 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #2 Seven Bridges 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Congregationalist 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 King Maya 7-2 9th
Super Add: #4 Vodkatariat 8-1 11th

9th: 22nd Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Meet’s signature event and a good one, especially if you question Game On Dude over this particular strip..

Most Likely: #9 Game On Dude 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Suggestive Boy 5-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Jaycito 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Amani 5-1 6th

10th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Night Wind 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Warren’s Knockout 9-2 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Memphis 5-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Classic Bobby 3-1 9th

11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Miss Communication 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Madera Dancer 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Splendiferous Moon 6-1 WON ($18.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Glamour Manor 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Level Headed 8-1 2nd

<$200 P6 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-3-4-5-6
8: 2-6-7-10
9: 8-9
10: 5-9
11: 10

1x5x4x2x2x1 = 80 x $2 = $160

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 2-6-7-10
9: 8-9
10: 5-6-9-10
11: 3-6-10

4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OC/C, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Jeter and Brigand are the likeliest winners but after that, in a 13 horse field, you can have some fun..

Most Likely: #13 Brigand 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #11 Jeter 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Overextended 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Southbeachsandy 12-1 5th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

#13 (AE) Archwarrior is a highly heralded juvy that cannot seem to draw into the body of a field. Comes with a big backstory if in. The rest of this cast is slightly non-descript..

Most Likely: #4 Delhomme 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Honorable Dillon 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Hot West 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Howie’s Tiz 8-1 3rd

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Chuckle 3-1 6th
Best Value: #9 O’Prado Ole 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Saint Viguer 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Slamarama 7-2 WON ($13.00)

4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 One Pretty Cat 15-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Milkyyourway 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Cinematize 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Super Add: #15 SCR

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Incredibly difficult placement of this supercharged affair ending early P4 and starting middle quad. Feels like 7 or 8 of these are win candidates..

Most Likely: #10 Hon. de Leon 8-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Cribnote 20-1 12th
Next Best: #13 Reload 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Major Gain 12-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 4-6-7-8
3: 4-5-9
4: 2-4-11
5: 7-10-11-13

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Flashy Gal 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Worthwhile Pursuit 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Wave Theory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Anita Chica 6-1 7th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Sneaky Kitten 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Gossip Column 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Kharafa 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Anaphylaxis 15-1 6th

8th: OC/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Devon Rock 5-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Animal Spirits 6-1 6th
Super Add #6 Villandry 12-1 4th

<$100 P4 Play:

5: 7-9-10-11-12-13
6: 1-2-3-6
7: 2-9
8: 1-6-7-8

6x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96

9th: 24th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hungry Island 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Summer Soiree 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Zagora 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Tapitsfly 7-2 6th

10th: 87th Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Contested 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #10 Amie’s Dini 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Book Review 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Gypsy Robin 15-1 2nd

11th: 28th King’s Bishop (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Trinniberg 7-2 9th
Best Value: #2 Gun Boat 5-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Currency Swap 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Fort Loudon 12-1 2nd

12th: 143rd Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Neck ‘n Neck 9-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Liason 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Nonios 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Alpha 5-2 WON-DH ($4.10)

<$100 P4 Play:

9: 2-4-5-6
10: 8-10
11: 2-3-4-7-8-9
12: 6-8-9-10

4x2x6x4 = 192 x .50 = $96

13th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #7 Night Site 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Reflecting 5-1 9th
Best Value: #9 Rollingwithetide 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Act of War 12-1 10th

After making something out of modest mutuels Wednesday, could not find the right prices to hook up with the overwhelming parade of logicals Thursday. So despite cashing a number of tickets, no money was made. You know it’s a short-armed afternoon when hitting the P4 costs you $25… Meanwhile at DMR, one winner negotiated the carryover sequence for a $482,000 score. Nice.. Hope everyone did OK. Ballerina Day at the Spa ahead of great looking Travers-Personal Ensign/Pacific Classic Weekend.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Magical Moon 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #4 Grenoble 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Lighthouse Bay 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 K to the Croft 8-1 6th

2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Big SCR of Chifa here..

Most Likely: #7 Go the Distance 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Pure Treasure 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 No More Fives 5-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Desert Traveler 10-1 6th

3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Professor Fate 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 P J’s Magical Wink 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Reserved Quality 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Fusa Code 8-1 3rd

4th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Esthers Classy Lass 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Azasecret 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Bridgetta 6-5 WON ($3.30)
Super Add: #5 Kellster 10-1 4th

5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Consider adding #1 Hear the Footsteps to the multi & exotics plays, but how about Linda Rice 0/23 last two seasons (DRF J/T stats)with Ramon Dominguez? That doesn’t seem possible..

Best Value: #3 Barrel of Love 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Ampersand 3-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #5 The Thinker 2-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Gimme Credit 7-2 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-7-8
3: 2-4-6-9
4: 3-4-8
5: 2-3-5-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$2 Pick 4 (1/4/6-9-2/8-8) Paid $34.50

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Catinatree broke her maiden in a turf sprint that’s off her page. In receipt of Wilmer’s 7# (114) on all but Madame Giry (117). May get more than the 5-1 listed..

Best Value: #6 Catinatree 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Button Girl 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Revenue 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Ballistic Sue 6-1 7th

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Tough, deep, confusing group. Something clever is immersed in here and I can’t tell you exactly what it is. Don’t think any notion you might have isn’t worth trying..

Most Likely: #5 Little Red Rider 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Skip’s Prospect 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Zeenut 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Frivolous Alex 6-1 4th

8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Layoff returnees and droppers — including another Repole buy-and-bye — make this tricky..

Most Likely: #1 Isn’tlovejustgrand 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Saints Alive 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Silver Timber 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Coronation Day 15-1 7th

9th: 34th Ballerina (G1), 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Turbulent Descent 9-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #7 Derwin’s Star 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Nicole H 4-1 5th

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Wild nightcap. Let’s hope the utterly boring ML faves Let the Kitten Run and Picture Book don’t dominate and reach for prices..

Best Value: #11 Any Given Moment 20-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Picture Book 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Ginagain 10-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Let the Kitten Run 3-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-6-8-9
8: 1-2-3-9
9: 6
10: 1-2-3-7-8-11

6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Enjoyed a highly productive Wednesday to start Travers Week as several price players blended smoothly with mundane types to produce nice returns. In the opener for instance, 8-1 Sandy’z Slew split 2nd and 3rd betting choices Meet the Mets and Saint Arthur to generate an incredibly generous $72 (per $1) 6-horse field triple. Similarly, 7-1 Ziptronic ran a big race in the 2nd just missing behind favored Jess Not Jesse and ahead of 2nd choice Evacuation Route for a $57.25 trio.

With a good day well under way, the Pletcher-Wertheimer Smart Strike colt Colony Strike — a Best Value play at 8-1 on the ML — inexplicably floated to an outlandish 14-1 and held sway for a $30.60 tote that keyed a $313.50 tri with the 2nd and 3rd choices. Though the $400+ P4 didn’t fall into place when Ralph Nicks’ Krissy Kat and Jonathon Sheppard’s Warm Hugs got by Race Palace in the nightcap, it was still a rather strong afternoon of play.

As a sidebar, Krissy Kat should certainly have been the subject of a steward’s examination for drifting out several paths on the runner up in the finale. As Andy Serling has delineated for an extended period during ATR visits, the refusal of the judges to concern themselves with this type of equine bullying has gone well beyond frustrating overlooked infraction and into the realm of major issue. Although we’ve discussed it before, I’ll again take up the ‘herding’ issue with Rich Migliore and Tony Black on the show.

Hope everybody did well Wednesday! A very welcome 9 race slate Thursday ahead of the big Ballerina-Travers-Personal Ensign Weekend. $90k P6 C/O at Del Mar today too…

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: 71st NY Turf Writers Cup H. (NSA G1), 4+, 19f-Nat’l Fences (P3, DD)

Tom Voss had Left Unsaid ‘that close’ to ready off the 14 month break in the Smithwick. It has been an unlucky meet overall for the great horseman, but betting he wins this important ‘Chase event to quash the season’s bad fortune..

Most Likely: #7 Left Unsaid 5-2 DNF (Spill)
Next Best: #2 (POE) Divine Fortune 3-1 DNF (Spill)
Best Value: #4 Spy in the Sky 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Delozier-Naylor entry 4-1 2nd/4th

2nd: S/H’Cap, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Saginaw 4-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #5 Indy Scent 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Itsagoodtendollars 6-1 4th

3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Race torn up by SCR’s of 1-2-3..

Most Likely: #4 Original Art WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #7 Crooked as Can Be 2nd

4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 D’tiger 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Quick to Strike 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Torment 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Spring Warrior 4-1 4th

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Deep, well matched group..

Best Value: #7 Southern Joy 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Wandering Kitten 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Great Karoo 12-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Smart Power 8-1 6th

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 6 (5)
3: 4
4: 4-6-7-8
5: 2-3-5-7-8-10

Main: 1x1x4x6 = 24 x $1.50 = $36
Backup: 1x1x4x6 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Some pedigree power here with #6 Star Street (Street Sense) a half to the great Gygistar (Prospector’s Music); #2 Central Banker (Speightstown) a half to Gantry (Pulpit); Aidenandabettin (Smart Strike) a full to Square Eddie and Redwood Kitten a full to Artemus Kitten and Lisa’s Kitten..

Best Value: #4 Kamchatka 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Central Banker 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Redwood Kitten 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Hightail 5-2 2nd

7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lunar Victory 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #1 Joan’s Choice 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Arthur’s Tale 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Golden Gulch 7-2 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Pianist 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #6 Town Flirt 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Kitty Wine 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Star Torina 5-1 4th

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

This has a bit of chaos potentrial to it..

Most Likely: #2 Belle Gallatney 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Miss Ruud 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Villanella 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Nandira 12-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-5-7-8
7: 1-4
8: 6-8
9: 2-3-4-5-6-8

6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-4-8-5) Paid $47.75