Jerome begins Wood Memorial, Classics’ hunt
Saturday, January 5th, 2013AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: NY-MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
Big collection of ne’er do wells here and a tough way to start a P6 C/O sequence. Shy Humor dives to the bottom off long string of nearly adequate, solid fig tries, but they came on turf. His debut on the Santa Anita main in October 2011 would woin this, but his subsequent dirt efforts were awful. Mixed signals. Hidden Vow another with OK turf races but dreadful main track form. Cameron Canyon gets a rider upgrade to Irad. Commanding Officer had a problematic non-effort 12/26 but his prior start for savvy Domino might impact this. Linda Rice sends FTS Pray for Rain SCR’D for Bill Hirsch and he won’t have to be much to beat these..
Most Likely: #1 Cameron Canyon 5-2 (A)
Next Best: #2 Shy Humor 4-1 (A)
Best Value: #10 Commanding Officer 8-1 (B)
Exotics Use: #5 My Cousin Eddie 6-1 (C)
5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)
Cubicle Queen exits the super live 11/23 event that produced Live Lively, Lady Banks, Dear to All, etc..
Most Likely: #1 Cubicle Queen 4-1 (A)
Best Value: #7 Madre Ditutticapi 5-1 (B)
Next Best: #6 Merry Meadow 5-2 (C)
Exotics Use: #8 Masasi 3-1 (C)
6th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
As discussed with Nick Tammaro Friday on ATR, a very good looking state bred maiden event with tons of interesting pedigrees to consider. Humorus Dilemma is a half to Willy Beamin; Light Weight by outrageous 4 of 9 ‘first start’ sire J Be K; 2nd out China Gold a half to hard-hitter Game Token; FTS Fu Peggi Sue a half to speedy multiple state bred stakes star Gold and Roses..
Most Likely: #5 Start It Up 2-1 (A)
Best Value: #7 Light Weight 5-1 (B)
Next Best: #3 Curlin N Twirlin 4-1 (B)
Exotics Use: #8 China Gold 6-1 (C)
7th: 40th Busanda, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, DD)
Pletcher and KMc fillies feel like the ones, but Rudy Rod’s Kiss the Lady may get lead and forget to stop..
Most Likely: #1 Princess of Sylmar 5-2 (A)
Next Best: #2 Kiss the Lady 3-1 (A)
Exotics Use: #3 Asiya 2-1 (B)
Super Add: #5 By Golly Molly 12-1 (X)
8th: 143rd Jerome (G2), 3yo, 1m-70y (DD)
This historic race has had many incantations at many NY ovals over nearly a century and a half and it now finds its’ way into the early 3yo season at the Big A. Though I wasn’t impressed with the way Long River broke his maiden 3 weeks ago, it did come on this strip and at this distance. That’s something both Mudflats and Vyjack need to accomplish stretching out from 7f wins on the Aqueduct main on back to back days. Vegas No Show from the Breen/Hall factory was a good 2nd to Violence in the Nashua stakes and now takes off the blinkers after the expirement failed dismally in the Remsen. It’s no small note that Paco Lopez takes a Saturday away from Gulfstream to retain the ride..
Most Likely: #3 Long River 5-2 (A)
Next Best: #6 Mudflats 3-1 (B)
Best Value: #7 Vegas No Show 6-1 (C)
Exotics Use: #2 Vyjack 2-1 (C)
9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f
Most Likely: #1 Coalition 6-5 (A)
Best Value: #3 Crushin Rock 10-1 (B)
Next Best: #7 Misslewhileuwork 5-1 (B)
Exotics Use: #10 Ambassador Bridge 12-1 (C)
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 1-2
5: 1-7
6: 3-5-7
7: 1-2-3
8: 3-6
9: 1
2x2x3x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$50 P4 Play:
6: 3-5-7-8
7: 1-2-3
8: 2-3-6-7
9: 1-3
4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T/24′ (P6, P3, DD)
Terrific race with a number of nicely developing 3yo’s that will be turf stakes runners as the year unfolds..
Most Likely: #6 Rei 6-1
Next Best: #1 Chairmen Garey 8-1
Bes Value: #3 Snake Pit 12-1
Exotics Use: #7 Thunder Calls 5-1
7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #2 Mo Jo 8-1
Next Best: #7 Moro Tap 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 The Candidate 6-1
Super Add: #1 Doherty 4-1
8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Za Approval 3-1
Best Value: #2 Silver Rock 6-1
Next Best: #3 Joes Blazing Aaron 5-1
Exotics Use: #1 Hyper 4-1
9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)
Pontiff worth watching as a half to the late, great Pulpit. Air Squadron is a half to Smooth Air and Overdriven..
Best Value: #5 Hard to Handle 6-1
Next Best: #8 Eton Blue 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Air Squadron 4-1
Super Add: #9 Pontiff 5-1
10th: 13th Marshua’s River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (DD)
Most Likely: #5 Heavenly Landing 5-1
Best Value: #4 Affair Dabbler 12-1
Next Best: #6 Channel Lady 4-1
Exotics Use: #2 Chokurei 6-1
11th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T/24′ (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #5 Didn’t Take It 3-1
Best Value: #7 Owen Rico 12-1
Next Best: #1 Benergy 4-1
Exotics Use: #2 Kissin Gentleman 5-1
<$50 P5 Play:
7: 2-7
8: 1-2-3-6
9: 3-5-8-9
10: 4-5-6
11: 5
2x4x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1-2-3-6
9: 3-5-8-9
10: 4-5-6
11: 1-5-7
4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Good luck!
Steve