AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, 4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD)

$38k P6 C/O starts here..‘

Not sure why Potus is even money here. He is a deserving favorite but hardly overwhelming. This is plenty competitive with Bob and Jim and Papa Tom both owning races two back that are as good or better than Potus’ last. And Van Tassel is a half to Ichabad Crane and eligible to enjoy stretching back out..

Most Likely: #4 Potus 1-1 (A) 4th
Best Value: #5 Bob and Jim 5-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #7 Papa Tom 5-2 (A) WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Van Tassel 12-1 (C) 7th

5th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Vee’s Accolade 2-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #2 Chasing Moonlight 3-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Classic R and B 4-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #4 Ancient Rome 7-2 (C) 2nd

6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Towering 2-1 (A) DNF-Pulled Up
Next Best: #4 Wanstead 5-2 (B) WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #8 Raffie’s Factor 10-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Troubleinrivercity 7-2 (C) 5th

7th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Nick Canani one of those guys that only puts blinkers on when he knows it will mean something. 7 W’s with last 13 additions of hood according to DRF Trainer Stats ..

Best Value: #8 Pure Afleet 10-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #1 High Inflation 5-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Chartier 5-1 (C) 2nd
Super Add: #7 Fuhrika 20-1 (X) 6th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

As discussed with Andy Serling Tuesday, no shortage of pace lined up here which should give Ground Force every chance. B Shanny goes first time as a gelding for cutback whiz Hushion. Good race..

Most Likely: #1 B Shanny 3-1 (A) WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #4 Ground Force 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #6 Won Great Classic 7-2 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Isn’tlovejustgrand 5-1 (B) 4th

9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f

Favored Mizzen Donald gets featherweighted (111#), dropping 9# since being claimed last by Rice. Likely winner but there’s something squirelly about this event..

Most Likely: #9 Mizzen Donald 2-1 (A) WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #7 Skiddles n’ Bob 3-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #2 Miss Libby 15-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Night Brigade 5-1 (C) 3rd

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-5-7
5: 6
6: 2
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: 7-9

3x1x1x3x4x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: 2-3-7-9

3x3x4x4 = $144 x .50 = $72

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, D&M-4+, 8.5f-T/108′ (P6, P3, DD)

$1.5MM Rainbow P6 Jackpot starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Don’t Cry for Me 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #3 Dixie Dear 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Pelipa 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Halo’s Gate 12-1 4th

6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$60k P5 C/O starts here..

Some ugly bunch of coconuts. Whover gets the lead here may simply keep going..

Best Value: #7 Major Score 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Bear’s Spirit 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Vector 5-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Anonymous Donor 4-1 8th

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T/48′ (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Scavezzaro 15-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Didn’t Take It 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Gunman 3-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Smoking the Field 20-1 10th

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Miss Moonshine 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Love Train 5-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Femme Fatale 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Midnight Q 12-1 7th

9th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48′ (DD)

Terrific set..

Best Value: #3 Baffle Me 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Warm Hugs 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Pianist 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 Eagle Hall 6-1 3rd

10th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/108′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Picou 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Live in Joy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Flamin’ Hot 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Hariolus 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Super/Hi-5: #12 Let’s Do It 10-1 6th

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 3-8
6: 1-7
7: 1-2-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4
10: 4-5-7

2x2x4x2x3x3 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 1-7
7: 1-2-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4
10: 4-5-7

2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4-5-7
10: 4-5-7

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Serious group features returning ’11 Vanderbilt (G1) star Sean Avery, ’11 DeFrancis Dash hero Candyman E and ’12 Fountain of Youth show pony Discreet Dancer..

Most Likely: #4 Discreet Dancer 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Sean Avery 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1a Candyman E 2-1 2nd

3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Defend 3-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #1 Nevada 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Centaur Man 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Song Forever 6-1 3rd

4th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Terrific group of old fashioned $50k claimers including some always intriguing T2D turnbackers..

Most Likely: #9 Hard Enough 8-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Statutorial 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Smash and Grab 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 D’nied Permission 6-1 WON ($6.00)

5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T/48′ (P6, P3, DD)

Start of Rainbow 6 ($1.4MM Jackpot) and with the nightcap, exceedingly tough to figure..

Most Likely: #8 Demographic Trend 7-2 6th
Best Value: #12 Blu Cobalto 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Matagot 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Tenforthemoney 6-1 WON ($13.60)

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5
3: 1-7
4: 3-6-7-9
5: 1-5-6-8-11-12

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/7/6/5) Paid $172.75

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Wildcat Thunder 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 R American Girl 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Ellen G 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Wildcat Honey 6-1 8th

7th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

As mentioned on ATR yesterday, #5 Varitek will need to get all the way back to his best, but at 30-1 it’s worth the flyer to be aboard if he does..

Best Value: #5 Varitek 30-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Sweet Bernie 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Mize the Big Cat 5-2 DNF-Eased
Super Add: #10 Here We Go Joe 3-1 6th

8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Call the Ten 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Fleet Allaire 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Money Money 10-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Fives and Nines 8-1 2nd

9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

This race has trouble stamped on it. Feels like there is too much speed for it not to collapse, but there’s no obvious readily apparent direction to lean in that scenario either..

Most Likely: #1 Won Fast Bullet 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Wharton 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Spin Zone 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Ecabroni 4-1 8th

10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T/48′ (Super Hi-5)

With the tricky sequence opener, two lower end claiming events and the quirky feature above, don’t be surprised if there are horses live for the jackpot. And this is a quagmire of indecipherable entities including 9 ‘first time turf’ runners..

Most Likely: #2 Go the Distance 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Everyone Loves Me 20-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Frosty Royale 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Lucky Empress 8-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #3 Decision to Run 10-1 10th

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 1-5-8-12
6: 3-4-5
7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6
9: 1-7
10: 2-10

4x3x3x2x2x2 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$50 P5 Play:

6: 3-4
7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 2-10

2x3x2x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6-8
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 2-4-10-12

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/36′ (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Winter’s Fury 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #9 Exeter Road 6-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Buzz the Deputy 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Touched the Clouds 12-1 8th

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Absolutcat 3-1 10th
Best Value: #5 Arthur 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Vero’s Hero 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Toe Tappin Teddy 12-1 WON ($25.40)

8th: MSW, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Gold Empire 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Ivory Pearl 20-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Spring Reason 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Formative 6-1 WON ($25.00)

9th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Indy Crown 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Angel Dreams 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Latin Rocks 8-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #3 Ready for Kisses 10-1 7th

10th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/36′ (DD)

Best Value: #7 Namaskara 10-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #1 Glamour N Glory 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Cosmic Energy 4-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Dame Marie 3-1 5th

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Marie’s Magic 20-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Fog Happens 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Delightful Magic 12-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Parranda 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Hi-5 Play: #11 Ran Wild 5-1 2nd

<$30 P6 Play:

6: 4-7-9-10
7: 10
8: 3-4-11
9: 1-4-6
10: 1-7
11: 1-6-7-10

4x1x3x3x2x4 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 10
8: 3-4-11
9: 1-4-6
10: 1-7
11: 1-6-7-10

1x3x3x2x4 = 72 x .50 = $36

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-5-11
9: 1-4-6
10: 1-7-8
11: 1-6-7-10

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/1/7/10) Paid $1,442.10

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: CLM, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Spielberg 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Break Up the Game 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Well Read 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Wingedlie 4-1 2nd

3rd: 6th Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-T/96′ (P3, DD)

Like the Toboggan at AQU, just 6 but hardly an easy group to decipher. Not sure you don’t need the ‘all’ button to get through..

Most Likely: #1 Varsity 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #5 Silver Cloud 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Great Attack 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Berlino Di Tiger 4-1 6th

4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Crown Polis 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #8 Cool Colony 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Allard 15-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 R Paynes Prince 4-1 2nd

<$5 DIME SUPER: 7 with 3-8-9-10 with 3-8-9-10 with 3-5-8-9-10-11 (1x4x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

First important sophomore race of the day pits 2nd timer Verrazano v. Casse/Oxley Pasco runner up Sky Commander SCR’D, Zito/Whitney MDN winner Eton Blue and 2nd Casse player Gunderman. Top performance(s) will earn Fountain of Youth or similar stakes placement. I usually run the other way from Pletcher Cadillacs like Verrazano (El Padrino half brother), but impressive pressence schooling at Gulfstream last Thursday and 3 drills since 1/1/13 debut score over next out winner have me convinced..

Most Likely: #4 Verrazano 8-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Gunderman 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Eton Blue 6-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5-7
3: 1-2-3-4-5-6
4: 7
5: 4 (2)

Verrazano: 4x6x1x1 = 24 x $1.50 = $36 $0.50 Pick 4 (4/1/7/3,4,7) Paid $9.20 x 3 = $27.60
Gunderman: 4x6x1x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: FL-MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$1,122,116 Rainbow 6 carryover starts here..

Tricky start to Rainbow sequence. Likely need to use the 4 below to get through first leg. Calabrese firster #1 Dreaming of Lucy WON and Plesa returnee #7 Sugar Babe are considers for deep P6 plays..

Most Likely: #9 Form Fitting 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Burning Truth 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 With Prejudice 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Red Diamond Lady 6-1 7th

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/36′ (P5, P3, DD)

Prado inherits appropriate fave Tricky Hat with Rosario at Tampa today and should get position before turn with only Saint Pete hustling early..

Most Likely: #10 Tricky Hat 2-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Shkspeare Shaliyah 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Hobbs 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Loukas 12-1 5th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Now or never for Smooth Air brother Air Squadron in 3rd career start and imagine Chad Brown has him ready after Castellano found trouble last time..

Most Likely: #7 Air Squadron 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kid Twist 6-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Doherty 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Jagger M 4-1 4th

<$5 DIME SUPER: Key 7 in 1st/2nd with 2-4-5-8 (1x4x3x2 + 4x1x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)

9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/96′ (P3, DD)

Yikes! Super competitive group. No combination would surprise..

Most Likely: #6 Silver Rock 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Exclusive Strike 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Wait’n On Sumthin 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 No Play 6-1 8th

10th: 62nd Hutcheson (G2), 3yo, 7f (DD)

Assume Forty Tales has had enough time to acclimate to So. FL. Repeat of Philly effort makes him tough to beat here..

Most Likely: #1 Forty Tales 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Merit Man 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Pataky Kid 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Honorable Dillon 8-1 WON ($7.20)

11th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/36′ (Super Hi-5)

Jumbled set of lightly and unraced types. Total guessing game..

Best Value: #10 Reach for the Sky 10-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Oistin’s Town 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 North Slope 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #12 Drenched 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #4 Autobahn Legend 6-1 8th

<$30 P6 Play:

6: 1-2-6-7-8-9
7: 10
8: 2-4-7
9: 1-4-6-8
10: 1
11: 3-9-10-12

6x1x3x4x1x4 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 10
8: 2-4-7
9: 1-4-6-8
10: 1-5
11: 3-9-10-12

1x3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-7
9: 1-4-6-8
10: 1-5
11: 3-4-5-9-10-12

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: 75th Bob Lewis (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Whether Flashback scared off competition for this or not, his effort here today will be heavily scrutinized. Looks to have everything his own way on front end over and above the perceived talent edge..

Most Likely: #2 Flashback 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #3 Den’s Legacy 5-2 2nd

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Topic 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Magnificent Shirl 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Tizmetizyou 5-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Hard Rockin Girl 6-1 6th

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

As pointed out by Rick Hammerle Friday, an unusual gethering with 5 of the 11 returning from layoffs of 7-12 months including serious Carla Gaines’ serious American Blend..

Most Likely: #11 American Blend 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Italian Rules 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #4 Wall Dance 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Luckarack 6-1 6th

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Power Foot 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Ivanho 5-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #4 Oligarch 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Press Baron 7-2 6th

8th: 66th Strub (G2), 4yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Chess match event with top San Fernando finishers right back. Who will want to engage Fed Biz and at what point?

Most Likely: #2 Fed Biz 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Guilt Trip 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Tritap 5-2 5th

9th: 54th Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Tremendous lineup and thinking pace may get hot with any number of parties looking for early position. Question needing to be asked is who is preping for Kilroe and who is dead red today?

Most Likely: #11 Wilkinson 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Vagabond Shoes 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #13 Suggestive Boy 9-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #1 Klisz 15-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Silentio 6-1 3rd

10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Lots of speed signed on. Looking for a rallying sort..

Most Likely: #14 Et Tu Walker 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #1 Time to Doubledown 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Eaton Hall 5-2 13th
Exotics Use: #3 Heza Fox 8-1 12th
Super Add: #7 Coyote Road 9-2 6th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-8-9-10
8: 2
9: 3-11-13
10: 1-2-3-7-14

6x1x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/C, 4+, 1m-T/36′ (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Grand Berry 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Upgrade 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Major Marvel 2-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Empire Builder 6-1 5th

6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Royal Premier 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Harborinthetempest 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Dixie Devon 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Desireable Lady 6-1 2nd

7th: FL-MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 O T B Bob 3-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Stallwalkin’ Dude 6-1 WON ($19.00)
Best Value: #1 Morethanahalo 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mile High City 6-1 6th

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T/36′ (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Visions of Annette 10-1 12th
Next Best: #10 Atlantic Dream 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Malibu Queen 6-1 8th
Super Add: #3 La Rignana 15-1 7th

9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 5f-T/96′ (DD)

Murderously difficult group turf sprinting..

Best Value: #12 Ari’s Pride 10-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Don’t Say No 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Strike the Tiger 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 The Chill Zone 12-1 3rd

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Terrible group and Pletcher/Scatuorchio giveaway should romp..

Most Likely: #9 Anychanceatadance 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #4 My Big Angel 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Daniela’s Flower 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Microbabe 10-1 5th

<$25 P6 Play:

5: 2-3-4
6: 1-4-11
7: 10-12
8: 1-10
9: 1-4-5-6-7-12
10: 9

3x3x2x2x6x1 = 216 x .10 = $21.60

@$50 P5 Play:

6: 1-4-11
7: 10-12
8: 1-4-10
9: 1-4-5-6-7-12
10: 9

3x2x3x6x1 = 108 x .50 = $54

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-10-12
8: 1-4-10
9: 1-4-5-6-7-12
10: 9

4x3x6x1 = 72 x .50 = $36