SARATOGA

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Really fun race. Lots of possibilities..

Best Value: #3 Spanish Doubloon 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 City Fever 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Cumberland 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 American Know How 5-1 2nd

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Weird group..

Best Value: #5 Escapologist 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 2-1 WON ($6.30/DNF)
Exotics Use: #4 Operation Torch 6-5 3rd
Super Add: #2 Clever Thought 5-2 2nd

6th: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Hmm.. Not much to take hold of from pedigree clues on the firsters and those that have run seem just OK..

Most Likely: #1 Crazy Cami 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Echo Lake 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Shimmering Allure 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Zadorsky 5-2 WON ($11.80)

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Another fun competitive set on a day that could be very chalky or totally volatile..

Most Likely: #2 Guntown 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Saint Tapit 9-2 8th
Next Best: #1 Vittorio 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Khozeiress 8-1 5th

P4 Grid:

4: 3-4-7 (A), 1-2-5-6/SCR-8 (B), – (C)
5: 1-5 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
6: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-4 in 7th)

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Wow.. An ALW that is worth every penny of the $150k purse..

Most Likely: #7 Magic Tap 5-2 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #5 Film Star 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Whittington Park 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Dreamlike 3-1 5th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 H P Moon 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Shooters Shoot 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Candy Tycoon 4-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Sagamore Mischief 10-1 7th

10th: Mahony, 3yo, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Uncashed 3-1 8th ~ Beat Byk & Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #10 Drew’s Gold 7-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Private Creed 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 No Nay Hudson 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7-8 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), – (B), 4-7-8 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x1x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27

P4 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7-8 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6-8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

SARATOGA/COLONIAL

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Dangerous Ride 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 One Giant Leap Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Kupp 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Ten Cent Town 8-1 WON ($18.20)

5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Has the makings of an important 2yo heat..

Most Likely: #3 Reynolds Channel 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Deterministic 5-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #1 Eliminate 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Informed Patriot 6-1 4th

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

7-2 on Rivelli’s first timer shows proper concern/respect/fear..

Most Likely: #11 Richies Princess 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #1a (POE) Foxy Cara 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Mim 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Nolita 5-1 2nd

7th: Galway, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Ouchy type Love Reigns can of course win, but she’ll need to improve and at 5-2 you can have her..

Most Likely: #6 Redefined 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Love Appeals 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Beauty of the Sea 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Love Reigns 5-2 7th

SARATOGA 8th: Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (X-C P5, P4, P3, DD)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

If Rhyme Schemes runs back to Ellis MDN-breaker he’ll win, but this appears trickier than it looks. There are 5 speeds lining up, with Lasso the lone exception, and there’s no telling who might survive a pace battle. Woodcourt was able to negotiate a diploma from an inside trip at Ellis against a next out Lobo winner and may be the presser best able to adjust to the front end fracas..

Best Value: #3 Woodcourt 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Rhyme Schemes 4-5 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #1 Lasso 15-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Edified 7-2 5th

P5 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 1-11 (A), 2-9 (B), – (C)
7: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-5-6 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x2x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32

P4 Grid:

5: 3 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 1-11 (A), 2-9 (B), – (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-5-6 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x2x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

SAR 8: 1-3-6 (A), 2-4-5 (B), – (C)
CNL 8: 5 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
SAR 9: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
CNL 9: 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
CNL 10: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

COLONIAL 8th: Secretariat (G2), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Northern Invader 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Nagirroc 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Major Dude 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Gigante 15-1 WON ($47.80)

SARATOGA 9th: Fourstardave (G1), 3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Even without a lot of front end speed to chase, Casa Creed remains the one to beat having proven more and more tractable..

Most Likely: #6 Casa Creed 7-5 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #1 Emmanuel 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Ice Chocolat 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Anapolis 8-5 2nd

COLONIAL 9th: Beverly D (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-Outer (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fev Royer 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Romagna Mia 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Rocky Sky SCR
Super Add: #4 Mise En Scene 8-1 4th

COLONIAL 10th: Million (G1), 3+, 10f-Outer (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Never Explain 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Catnip 8-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Win for the Money 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Master Piece 12-1 10th

10th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Gut Feeling 5-1 9th
Best Value: #4 What’s Up Doc 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Cicciobello 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Chileno 12-1 WON ($17.60)

11th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #4 Stella Mars 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Waterville 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Solib 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Spinning Colors 8-1 WON ($15.00)

P5 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-6 (A), 2-4-5 (B), – (C)
9: 6 (A), 1 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-7 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
11: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-4 in 8th) + 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4-7 in 9th)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-Union Ave., F&M-3+, 6f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Grannys Connection 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #5 Kant Hurry Love 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bank On Anna 12-1 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Breeze Easy 5-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Gal in a Rush 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Lady Milagro 6-1 2nd

6th: OC/C, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Competitive group..

Most Likely: #4 Today’s Flavor 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 (POE) Colonel Bowman 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Rotknee 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marsalis 5-2 WON ($7.50)

7th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Vettriano 9-5 4th
Best Value: #8 Catalina Cruiser 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Trust Fund 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Canigetaloan 8-1 2nd

8th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Peppered with 2 Euro invaders, this should be very entertaining with honest pace giving everyone a shot on their best..

Best Value: #3 Behind Enemy Lines 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Carl Spackler 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #1 More Than Looks 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Mysterious Night 10-1 7th

P5 Grid:

4: 2-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4 (A), 1 (B), 6-7 (C)
7: 8-10 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x2x3= 48 x .50 = $24 (6-7 in 6th)

P4 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-4 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
7: 8-10 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x3 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3= 24 x .50 = $12 (6-7 in 6th)

9th: NY-Evan Shipman, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Bankit 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Americanrevolution 1-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Dr Ardito 9-2 WON ($15.20)

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-Off/Turf (DD)

Best Value: #4 Diamond Collector 3rd
Next Best: #9 Linarite 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Magniloquent WON ($5.70)

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-Off/Turf

Most Likely: #3 Ghostly Girl 3rd
Best Value: #4 Sicilian Grandma WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #8 Sweetest Princess 2nd

P5 Grid:

7: 8-10 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Zeebear 8-5 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #7 Shared Success 12-1 3rd

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Fun and confusing group, but Be the Boss (8-1) returns to dirt (and Spa), has been adept at 7/8ths and is a square price..

Best Value: #7 Be the Boss 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Two for Charging 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Arm 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Straight Arrow 15-1 WON ($11.80)

6th: Troy (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Does the yielding turf enhance the opportunity to beat (5 straight) Caravel (4/1-0-3 on less than firm)?

Best Value: #6 Mister Mmmmm 20-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Cogburn 8-1 WON ($17.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Caravel 3-5 4th
Super Add: #7 Nobals 7-2 2nd

7th: Lure-R, 4+, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

12-1 probably doesn’t hold up on Chazzesmee SCR given success on heavy going at Naas..

Most Likely: #1 Portfolio Company 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Smokin’ T 7-2 WON ($13.80)
Best Value: #8 Doctor Davis 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Mid Day Image 15-1 8th

P4 Grid:

4: 11 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
5: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5-6-10 (B), – (C)
6: 3-4-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x7x4x4 = 112 x .50 = $56
All A’s: 1x3x4x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 1x3x4x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7 in 4th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (11-10-3-2) Paid $334.50

8th: Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Lots of pace involved in this aptly named G1 and division leading Pretty Mischievous should get a cozy trip in behind the collection of need-the-lead fillies. Pricey Dorth Vader (6-1), Clearly Unhinged (12-1) & Jersey Pearl (15-1) look like the candidates to boost the exotics (whether you like Pretty Mischievous or the other top ML choices)..

Most Likely: #1 Pretty Mischievous 9-5 WON ($5.70) ~ Beat Byk Selection – www.ntra.com/beatbyk
Next Best: #6 Dorth Vader 6-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Jersey Pearl 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Clearly Unhinged 12-1 2nd

9th: Saratoga Derby, 3yo, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Feels like winner comes from among the Belmont Derby exiters, Euro filly and emerging Klaravich rig. Will come down to preference for yielding surface and trip..

Best Value: #6 Webslinger 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Program Trading 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Aspen Grove 12-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Far Bridge 2-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

5: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), 1-5-10 (C).
6: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5-10 in 5th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (10-3-2-1/5-2) Paid $5,377.50 (C-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

6: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (3-2-1/5-2) Paid $333.00 (A-A-A-A)

10th: Whitney (G1), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Don’t know why Cody’s Wish doesn’t stretch to 9f successfully. Separately though, enigmatic Charge It will be on a loose lead and is no tomato can..

Most Likely: #6 Cody’s Wish 1-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Zandon 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 White Abarrio 6-1 WON ($22.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Charge It 5-1 4th

11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Interesting group with seemingly latent talent, but lightly-raced Cox colt Everso Mischievous has been successfully exchanging morning blows with Saudi Crown..

Most Likely: #7 Everso Mischievous 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #4 Bad to the Bones 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Caramel Chip 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Frat Pack 9-2 3rd

12th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Deep, competitive group with 2nd/3rd choices no better than the next 5-6 candidates. Beuys the horse to beat (Walsh/Murphy), but being outposted is no bargain. Danzigwiththestars has perfromed well upstate, including with Saez..

Best Value: #2 Danzigwithestars 10-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Beuys 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 What Say Thee 15-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Fair Dinkum 20-1 WON ($33.80)

P5 Grid:

8: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-5-6 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
11: 7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-12 (A), 1-6-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x5x1x6 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,5/2/5/7/6) Paid $7,477.75

P4 Grid:

9: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-5-6 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
11: 7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-12 (A), 1-6-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x1x6 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A’s: 2x3x1x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick 5 (2/5/7/6) Paid $1,107.75

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 R Tenderoni 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Suspended Campaign 6-5 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #8 Its Cold in Dehere 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Run Devil 6-1 3rd

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Timbuktu the horse to beat, but not a lot of pace beyond Gem Mint Ten & Mr. Kringle..

Best Value: #5 Gem Mint Ten 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Timbuktu 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 One Headlight 2-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Mr. Kringle 12-1 3rd

6th: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Goats On a Tree 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Destiny Star 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Hidden Class 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1e Casse entry 5th/8th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 I’mhavingamoment 5-2 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #5 Silver Fist SCR
Best Value: #8 Cinderella’s Cause 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: ##6 Security Code 7-2 2nd

P4 Grid:

4: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-11 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Pipeline 3-5 6th
Next Best: #1 Guntown 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Ruggs 10-1 4th

9th: Glens Falls (G2), F&M-4+, 12f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #1 War Like Goddess 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Virginia Joy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 McKulick 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Vergara 12-1 6th

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #8 P Money 12-1 WON ($27.20) ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #6 Sinaloa 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Bankingonachance 7-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Ripe for Mischief 3-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 4-11 (A), 1-3-8-9 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x1x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x1x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x1x1x4 = $12