Sorry, but lost entire Friday post script and Belmont write up earlier and now won’t have time to elaborate beyond tabs..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: NY-MCLM/$20k, 3+, (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Infiltrator 9-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Summer Hacienda 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Cepheus 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 You Tarzan 15-1 7th

3rd: 36th Bouwerie-NY, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

SCR #6 La Verdad (Illness)..

Most Likely: #5 Lovely Syn 7-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #4 Kelli Got Frosty 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Kitty Panda 6-1 3rd

4th: 2nd Affirmed Success-NY, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Mine Over Matter 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Saginaw 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Willy Beamin 9-5 5th

5th: 34th Mike Lee-NY, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Weekend Hideaway 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Hay Shares 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 West Hills Giant 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Smooth Bert 5-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-4-5-9
3: 5
4: 1-3
5: 1-5-7-9

6x1x2x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)

6th: 35th Mt. Vernon-NY, F&M-3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Shakeira 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Kibosh Late SCR (Gate)
Best Value: #9 Lady’s Lunar Luck 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Inimitable Romanee 6-1 2nd

7th: 1st Dancing Renee-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #6 Sunny Desert..

Most Likely: #1 Beautiful But Blue 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Great Gracie Dane 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Miss Valentine 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Mischief Maker 8-1 5th

8th: 1st Commentator-NY, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Readtheprospectus 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #2 Awesome Vision 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Spa City Fever 2-1 4th

9th: 35th Kingston-NY, 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Lubash 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Kharafa 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 King Kreesa 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Street Game 4-1 4th

10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #2 CAMPOGIOVANNI 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Irish Jade 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Mobridge 5-2 WON ($9.80)
Super Add: #6 Antone Suavey 30-1 6th

.10 SUPER: 2 with 3-4-6-8 with 3-4-6-8 with All (1x4x3x7 = 84 x .10 = $8.40)

<$75 P6 Play:

5: 1-7-9
6: 5
7: 1-7
8: 2-4-5
9: 3-9
10: 2

3x1x2x3x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-5-7
8: 2-4-5
9: 3-9
10: 2-3-4-5-6-8

4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

PENN NATIONAL

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: 1st Silver Train-PA, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dorothy’s Aurora 3-1 –
Next Best: #5 Ann’s Smart Dancer SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Lisa Stannard 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Parvenu 12-1 –

2nd: 41st PA Governor’s Cup H., 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Ben’s Cat 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Chamberlain Bridge 5-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Bridgetown 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Kyma 8-1 10th-DQ’d from 4th
Super Add: #3 Icon Ike 6-1 5th

3rd: 2nd Mountainview H., 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Pants On Fire 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Norman Asbjornson 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Macho Macho 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Rattlesnake Bridge 5-2 5th

4th: 1st Penn Mile, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Jack Milton 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Rydilluc 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Charming Kitten 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Noble Tune 2-1 5th

<$50 P4 Play:

This feels likely to chalk out..

1: 1-5/SCR–6
2: 7-9-11
3: 1-2-4-6-7
4: 6-7

3x3x5x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Genius 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Black N Beauty 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Planet Sunshine 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Keyboard Courage 3-1 5th

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Winning Rhythm 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Legacy 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Hot and Pleasing 6-1 6th
Super Add:#5 Mille Luna 7-2 2nd

8th: 60th Californian (G2), 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Kettle Korn 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Liasion 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Clubhouse Ride 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #7 Blueskiesnrainbows 4-1 7th

9th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Dreamnofatticus 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Tribal Dude 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Lucky Cotton 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #4 Lunchbox Sam 10-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Catcanscat 15-1 5th

$30 Hi-5 Play:

9 with 8 with 4-5-7 with 4-5-7 with All (1x1x3x2x5 = $30)

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-5-8
7: 4-7-8
8: 3-5
9: 5-8-9

4x3x2x3 = $72 ($36 for x .50)

Fun afternoon Thursday with some very positive results despite short-arming the P4 play. Hangover Kid’s rally in the 7th linchpinned the good P3’s results with a $23.60 number. Hope everyone did well! $37k carryover into today’s interesting card..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Street Beauty 5th
Best Value: #3 Miss Emelia 2nd
Next Best: #2 Carnival Court WON ($3.60)

3rd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Modern Child 5-1 8th
Next Best: #1e Ubillo entry 4-1 5th/6th
Exotics Use: #2 Anaphylaxis 5-2 WON-DH ($3.60)
Super Add: #3 Call for the Clock 3-1 4th

4th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$31k P6 C/O starts here..

Is there enough speed to set up Saturday’s Charm?

Most Likely: #2 Star Harbour 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Saturday’s Charm 6-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Head Heart Hoof 5-1 5th

5th: MSW, 3+, 10f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Hardest Core 6-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #2 Federal Agent 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Corinthian Summer 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 All Alex 12-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4
3: 1-2-3-5
4: 1-2
5: 2-5-7-9

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

6th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Fluent 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Jack’s Lion 30-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Qahr 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Lion Aint Easy 5-2 3rd

7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Keep Bustin 7-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Evan’s Rocket 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Nonnie Connie 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Castles Burning 20-1 4th

8th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Lead Singer 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Stormy Len 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Odeon 4-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Mills 3-1 2nd

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Here’s d’Bride 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #8 Missymoonlitmagic 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Centrina 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Messinadress 15-1 7th

<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-2
5: 2-9
6: 10
7: 7
8: 1-2-7-8
9: 1-8-9

2x2x1x1x4x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 6-10
7: 1-7
8: 1-2-3-7-8
9: 1-3-5-8-9

2x2x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

$0.50 Pick 4 (10,11/4,7,8/3/9) Paid $85.12

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

You need to defend against #9 Margaret Lilian (7-2) who has a pace edge on the front end, but coming off a layoff, let’s try to beat her out of the top slots..

Most Likely: #4 Quiet Ending 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Effie Trinket 12-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #1 Lisini 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Nice Stuff 6-1 9th

5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Really well-matched group. Plenty of pace on to balance out the style opportunities..

Best Value: #9 Buckingham Bull 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Implied 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Let the Kitten Run 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Runway Ready 7-2 WON ($10.80)

6th:MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Like the P6 opener Monday, a deep and tricky MDN group. May need to count on Hushion entry to keep P4 expense down, but Violette firster Defined Benefit comes from a nice stakes family, Mareina 2nd time starter Work N Flirt was expected to win at Gulfstream debut and Chad Brown returnee (28% W’s with 2nd out runners) Lyrical Diva was $400k Mandy Pope purchase. Pletcher has FTS Comare and Coronel/Bortolozzo chestnut Henny Luvs Shrimp hasn’t embarrassed herself in initial 2 outings..

Most Likely: #1e Hushion entry 4-1 WON ($6.10)/3rd
Best Value: #8 Defined Benefit 6-1 4th (3rd for wagering)
Next Best: #2 Work N Flirt 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Lyrical Diva 8-1 7th

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

As discussed with Andy Serling Tuesday, a terrific group. Covello’s 9x winning Screenplay may be Stephen Got Even’s best turf progeny..

Most Likely: #3 Screenplay 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Hangover Kid 8-1 WON ($23.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Mia Poppy 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Tattenham 3-1 5th

8th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #3 White Rose 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 South Shore 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Midnight Watch 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Super Add: #8 Tabreed 5-2 5th

9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-T

This may be wide open and a scrambler, but Mr. G Zee is out of Peach Flambe and may leap forward on the lawn. Gets slight upgrade in pilot with Rosario taking over from young Coa and should be winging up front with addition of goggles. Wire to window..

Best Value: #7 MR. G ZEE 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Dark Roast WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Acigarisjustacigar 15-1 10th
Super Add: #8 My Teddy Bear 20-1 10th

.10 SUPER: 7 with 4-12 with 3-4-5-8-9-10-12 with 3-4-5-8-9-10-12 (1x2x6x5 = 60 x .1 = $6.00)

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5-6-8
7: 1-3-5
8: 3-4-5-7-8
9: 7

5x3x5x1 = 75 x .50 = $37.50

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun group. Bond’s Ornellia the filly to beat but there are a few double digit missies well within range of her and worth using..

Most Likely: #10 Ornellia 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #8 Desert Bliss 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Satin Sheeks 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Rakin Gold 12-1 3rd

6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$37k C/O starts here..

Quite a start to the P6 sequence with a number of firsters from serious debut outfits (Sliver and Onions/Hushion; Eastwood/Mariena; Mr. O’Leary/Clement; Golden Lad/Pletcher) v. experienced players Bocelli (Stay Thirsty half from Shirreffs), Dedicated Deal (Serpe), Welter Weight (Pletcher) and High Five Again (Awesome Feather full brother from Zito). Very tricky reads..

Most Likely: #11 Welter Weight 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Dedicated Deal 15-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Eastwood 8-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Mr. O’Leary 6-1 4th

7th: 19th Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Six pack of rock solid fillies for this and big tickets will reach for the ‘all’ button with none of them an easy toss. There’s only Discreet Marq signed on as clear pace, so staying within striking distance will be a necessity for the rest. Wave Theory has murky lines after dumping Leparoux in the Edgewood and having no chance in the Ashland, but gets Johnny V and could sit the right trip. Catalano is winning everywhere and had plenty of options for Kitten’s Queen. Can boost exotics..

Most Likely #1 Wave Theory 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Discreet Marq 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #6 Kitten’s Queen 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Caroline Thomas 5-1 5th

8th: 45th Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Another tactical mystery with the Jones’ girls (Joyful Victory & Believe You Can) bracketing 4 accomplished rivals. PP’s say that Believe You Can needs lead to win. Both Pletcher gals fit here of course and Tiz Miz Sue will have targets. 20-1 Centring is 4/1-3-0 over this demanding surface. Terrific race..

Best Value: #5 Disposablepleasure 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Authenticity 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Tiz Miz Sue 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #1 Joyful Victory 7-5 6th

9th: 83rd Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Superb match between Pletcher’s pure sprinting Kauai Katie and Baffert’s cutback player Midnight Lucky. Mott’s in-between type Close Hatches is OK and Bond’s Momentary Magic is under the radar type that can charge the exotics. Another terrific race..

Most Likely: #5 Midnight Lucky 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #1 Kauai Katie 1-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Momentary Magic 15-1 6th

10th: 120th Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (DD)

Perennially one of the year’s best races. Interesting group with top pair from the Westchester the major attractions and Carter cast signed on as co-stars..

Most Likely: #6 Flat Out 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Cross Traffic 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Fed Biz 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Sahara Sky 6-1 WON ($11.60)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-3-4-5-6
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 5
10: 1-2-5-6-7-9

6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/2/5/7) Paid $202.50

11th: CLM, 3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #3 Mr Algebra 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Suilleabhain 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Mississippi Duel 5-1 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Northern Tripp 15-1 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

6: 5-9-11
7: 1-2
8: 3-5
9: 5
10: 1-6
11: 3-4-5

3x2x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3-5
9: 1-5-6
10: 1-6-9
11: 3-4-5-10

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Wild Saturday at Churchill, Arlington & Hollywood left trail carryover sequences into Sunday including a $33k P5 pot at Chicago and $114k P6/$22k Hi-5 pools at Inglewood. Churchill saw monster price winners from nearly the start to the DQ put up finish with 27-1, 66-1, 16-1, 13-1 and 22-1 victors lighting the tote. At AP, the three stakes went to $19 Imposing Grace, $18 Hogy and $28 General Election, with $70 and $75 winners involved around the late action as well.

Hope some were able to feather in some of the big numbers on the day. I reached for plenty of prices throughout the afternoon and some ran well, but the results were dismal. Hollywood sequence looks best on the day in an attempt to break a bad spell that started with the MD Sprint Handicap last weekend..

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$114k C/O starts here..

Daylight Storm has all the back class you want here, but he’s had just the one start since October ’11..

Most Likely: #4 Valkyrie Missle 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Daylight Storm 7-2 DNF-Eased
Best Value: #2 Lone Justice 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Kuro 3-1 3rd

5th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Top players are all lined up outside and trip on this course is tough on those posts..

Most Likely: #8 Red Globe 5-2 7th
Next Best: #9 Somethings Unusual 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #5 Meydan Magic 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 In a Wine Tizzy 5-1 10th

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 His Royal Highness 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #8 One World 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Great Friends Rule 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Warren’s Wesley 5-1 3rd

7th: 19th Great Lady M, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Curvy Cat 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Schiaparelli 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Givine 10-1 6th

8th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Sweet Marini 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #2 Zuzu’s Petals 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Awe’ Some Kitten 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Swiss Bliss 6-1 5th

9th: MDN CLM ($20k), 3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 My Dividend 4-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Patriotic Lion 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Bob Greco 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Ancient Stone 8-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Milk Man Ray 8-1 6th

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-9
5: 8-9
6: 7-8
7: 5-6
8: 7
9: 1-5-7-10-12

2x2x2x2x1x5 = 80 x $2 = $160

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-7-8
7: 1-3-4-5-6
8: 2-7
9: 1-5-7-10-12

3x5x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75