SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Jonathon Sheppard H. (G1), 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 L’Imperator 9-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Awakened 6-1 WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #9 McTigue 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Noah and the Ark 4-1 8th

2nd: NY-CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

At even money, feels like you’re supposed to try and beat returning Perfect Munnings, but with whom?

Most Likely: #4 Perfect Munnings 1-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Lohengrin Two 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Bustin Shout 5-2 3rd

3rd: OC/Cond., 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Coppola 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 (POE) Mid Day Image 5-1 5th/6th
Exotics Use: #3 High Front 2-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Thin White Duke 7-2 4th

4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Laurel Valley 5-1 WON ($7.60) ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #5 Slapintheface 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tony O 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Mission Hill 7-2 4th

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) April Antics 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #3 Disruption 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 I’m Nervous Now 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Red Moon Late SCR

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Dixie Pharoah 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Mischief Joke 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Blue Eighty Five 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Skyler’s Starship 12-1 WON ($16.80)

P5 Grid:

2: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 8 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 1x2x1x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 (7 in 2nd)

P4 Grid:

3: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

7th: John’s Call-R, 4+, 13f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Good Skate 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 British Royalty 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Tawny Port 9-2 WON ($7.50)
Super Add: #8 Sy Dog 5-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

4: 8 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
5: 1-2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
7: 1-5-6 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 1x4x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A): 1x4x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5 in 4th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (8-1-6-6) Paid $545.00

8th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Strapped 9-2 11th
Next Best: #4 Rockstar Red 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Bee Well 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Bolt d’Plata 12-1 5th

9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Amundson 9-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #1 Straight Arrow 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Radio Red 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Aggregation 5-1 6th

10th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #8 Negra Gata 9-2 9th
Best Value: #10 Iguazu 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Accept the Outcome 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Shesasmalltowngirl 5-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 3-5-7 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1-5-6 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)
8: 4-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8 (A), 10 (B), 11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A & A-A-A-A-C): 2x3x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-6 in 6th); 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (11-12 in 10th);

P4 Grid:

7: 1-4-5 (A), 6-8 (B), – (C)
8: 4-11 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8-10 (A), 11-12 (B), (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-B-A-A): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-8 in 8th);

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 She’s Fire 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Amidst Waves 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #4 Gram 7-2 3rd

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Munny Rockette 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Catherine Wheel 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Brookmesa 8-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Dancing Nancy 6-1 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Fascinating group of baby girls going long on the turf. No set of 4 is ridiculous as a superfecta combo..

Most Likely: #8 Lamorna 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Buchu 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Memorialize 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Candy Lover 15-1 8th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes..

Most Likely: #5 Bramito 2-1 10th
Best Value: #4 Mount Up 8-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #9 Sundaeswithsandy 4-1 5th
Exotics Use #2 Set Sail 10-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

4: 3-5 (A), – (B), 2-4-6 (C)
5: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5-9 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27

8th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Silo Ridge 8-1 2nd ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Magico 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Digitize 5-2 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #5 Quality Chic 8-1 5th

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-Off/Turf (DD)

Most Likely: #13 Gate Runner 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Legendary Lore 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Money Supply 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Bold Looker 8-1 5th

10th: NY-MCLM/$30k, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #10 Mudville Nine 4-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #9 Chalky Cat 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Woodside Warrior 15-1
Exotics Use: #1 Watch Hill 6-1 6th

P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 2-3-4-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 13 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 9-10 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x5x2x1x2 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (1-8 in 10th): 2x5x2x1x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-4-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 13 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
10: 9-10 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 5x2x1x2 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (1-8 in 10th): 5x2x1x2 = 20 x .50 = $10

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

In a field with lots of in and out types, In Sky We Trust (5-1) has been consistent and is priced squarely..

Most Likely: #6 In Sky We Trust 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Handsome Cat 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Air Show 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Flamingo Hawk 10-1 4th

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Durante 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #1e Rodriguez entry 7-5 2nd/3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Abadin 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 A La Carte 8-1 5th

6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-Off/Turf (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Leadership Ability 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #7 Jayla 10-1 4th
Next Best: #16 Mucho Macho Mia 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Dream Road 8-1 6th

7th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Klaravich/Brown Lake George exacta of Surge Capacity/Tax Implications loom large right back, but Aspray dials back to more reasonable trip. Pletcher’s 2-for-2 Junipermarshmellow makes 3yo debut here and feels like a price that can boost exotics with the Chad players..

Best Value: #4 Tax Implications 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Surge Capacity 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Aspray 7-2 WON ($8.70)
Super Add: #5 Junipermarshmallow 12-1 8th

8th: OC/Cond., F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Rare 3rd level ALW with field/purse befitting a G3..

Most Likely: 7 Nostalgic 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #8 Misty Veil 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Gerrymander 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Favor 6-1 5th

P5 Grid:

4: 2-6 (A), 3-9 (B), – (C)
5: 1-3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4 (A), 7 (B), 2-5 (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

P4 Grid:

5: 1-3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (8-9-2-7) Paid $51.50

9th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (P3, DD)

Terrific gathering for this seasonal classic distance test and hard-pressed not to come back to Taxed who provided dynamite score for ATR listeners in the Black-Eyed Susan. Gets pace to chase and though number won’t be 8-1, it should still be square. Even with other speed signed on, Randomized has license to be forward and tough to catch in late stages. Julia Shining bred for this unique assignment and has been focused on this date for months. Wet Paint probably more likely to finish in front of Fireline, but bulbous price and the Arrogate/Quality Road mare breeding make her worth including..

Best Value: #9 Taxed 8-1 6th-down via DQ
Next Best: #8 Randomized 9-2 WON ($16.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Julia Shining 5-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Fireline 12-1 8th

10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Napoleonic War 7-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Duke of Hazzard 8-1 WON ($21.20)
Next Best: #5 Whisper Not 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Verbal 5-2 7th

11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-Off/Turf

Most Likely: #10 Henson 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #14 Blue Plate Special 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Kern River 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1a Petrolo 5-2 6th

P5 Grid:

7: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 10 (A), 14 (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick 5 (2/7/8/1/6,9,10,13,15) Paid $1,533.50

P4 Grid:

8: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-8-9 (A), 1-2-5-7 (B), – (C)
10: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 10-14 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x7x2x2 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (7/8/1/6,9,10,13,15) Paid $290.75 A-A-A-A

ELLIS PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Fancy Looker 7-2 WON ($7.04)
Next Best Value: #10 Winsome Beauty 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Sistina Chapel 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Maturity Date 5-2 10th

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Floored 4-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Charlottesapproval 3-1 9th
Best Value: #7 The Big Banshee 15-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Courbe 7-2 WON ($10.72)

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Jedrek 5th
Next Best: #7 King Curlin 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Idratherbeblessed 2nd

8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Fast N Happy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pumpkin Scone 7-5 WON ($3.66)
Exotics Use: #7 Sugar Boo 20-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Spelterini 4-1 6th

9th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Left Pocket Money 30-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Spuns Son 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Absolute Courage 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Sapelo Sound 6-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Midnight Channel 12-1 WON ($23.90)

P5 Grid:

5: 8-10 (A), 2-11 (B), – (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 4-7-9 (B), – (C)
7: 2-7 (A), – (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-5 (A), – (B), 1-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x2x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: 2x2x3x2x2 48 x .50 = $24 (1-3-5 in 7th) + 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-7-10 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-6-7 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
8: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-5 (A), – (B), 1-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x2x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-7-10 in 9th)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF/TURF (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Frozen Four 8th
Best Value: #6 Eric From Miami 3rd
Next Best: #3 Dancing Mischief WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Khadullah 2nd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Speed Bias (!) 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Bourbon Calling 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Red Run 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Costa Terra 9-5 2nd

8th: Skipmore, 2yo, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Seize the Grey 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ship Cadet WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Go Otto Go 5th
Super Add: #13 Antonio of Venice 6th

9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Wendell Fong 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Happy Farm 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Prisoner 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #1 Seven Nation Army 8-1 2nd

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF/TURF

Most Likely: #1 Rally Squirrel 6th
Next Best: #11 Cut the Cord WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #3 Bourbon Chase 2nd
Exotics Use: #14 Asymmetric 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3-4 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
8: 2-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
10: 1-11 (A), – (B), 3-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-14 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
8: 2-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-11 (A), – (B), 3-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-14 in 10th)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Vitaemi 9-2
Next Best: #2 Timed Out 7-2
Exotics Use: #1 Suspended Campaign 6-5
Super Add: #5 Vegas Weekend 10-1

4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF (P6, P3, DD)

$179k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Need Some Money
Best Value: #10 Proud Foot
Next Best: #5 World Traveler
Exotics Use: #12 Shigeko

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shinsun 4-1
Next Best: #10 Unleash the Power 3-1
Best Value: #5 Front Man 6-1
Exotics Use: #7 Jarreau 7-2

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Cuz Ur Pretty 9-2
Next Best: #5 Three Rivers 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Portage 7-2
Super Add: #3 Sa Foradada 8-1

P4 Grid:

3: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 5-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 4-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD):

Best Value: #2 Lucky Lucky Luke 7-2
Next Best: #7 South Street 1-1
Exotics Use: #3 Freeze Pop 4-1
Super Add: #8 Happy Bob 8-1

8th: Suzie O’Cain-NY, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #3 Im Just Kidden 8-1 ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #7 Orange Freeze 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Bernt Again 15-1
Super Add: #1 Kosuke 6-1

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF

Most Likely: #11 Marley’s Ghost
Best Value: #1a Pauciloquent
Next Best: #7 Roxen
Exotics Use: #12 Knockzcatoffzfence

P6 Grid:

4: 5-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 4-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x2x3x1x2 = $108

P5 Grid:

5: 4-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
9: 1-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x2x3x2x2 = $72 ($36 for. 50)

P4 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x3x4x2 = $48 ($24 for. 50)

Good luck!
Steve