SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Liquidity Provider 4-1
Next Best: #6 Cupid’s Heart 2-1
Super Add: #4 Little Prankster 7-2

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-OFF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Gilmore
Next Best: #10 Askari
Best Value: #2 Narciso Dali
Exotics Use: #15 Signator

6th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Digital Future 5-2
Best Value: #5 First Deputy 6-1
Next Best: #4 No More Talk 4-1
Exotics Use: #6 Ghost Giant 8-1

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-OFF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 She’s Mo Bubbly
Next Best: #16 Paris Style
Best Value: #3 Tawaret
Exotics Use: #9 Taciturn

P4 Grid:

4: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-10-13-15 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3-10-16 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x4x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Pretti Xtreme 10-1
Next Best: #4 Signal From Noise 5-1
Exotics Use: #3 Tough Street 6-1
Super Add: #8 Tizzy in the Sky 4-1

9th: P.G. Johnson, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #1 Magic Cross
Next Best: #5 Dancing Spirit
Exotics Use: #11 Miz Sense
Super Add: #9 Takemetothebeach

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #6 Munny for Nuthin DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #15 I’m Just
Exotics Use: #12 Myles
Super Add: #7 Silent Running

P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
7: 10-16 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-15 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 10-16 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-15 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

Good luck!
Steve

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-Funny Cide, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Fun bunch. Well matched..

Most Likely: #6 The Wine Steward 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #1 El Grande O 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Whatchatalkinabout 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Trust Fund 5-2 6th

5th: NY-Yaddo, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 She’s Dancing 4-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Whatlovelookslike 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Golden Rocket 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Spungie 6-1 2nd

6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Clever Forever 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Rocket and Roll 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Pure Fire 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Refuah 10-1 6th

7th: NY-Seeking the Ante, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Stellamaris 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Concerti 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Caldwell Luvs Gold 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #2 My Shea D Lady 3-1 3rd

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Sonic Speed 6-1 4th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Best Value: #5 Noble Huntsman 12-1 7th
Next Best: #13 Gem Mint Ten 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Be of Courage 8-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

4: 1-4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
5: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 5-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

P4 Grid:

5: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 3-5-13 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Bustin Bullet 8-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Weekend Rags 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Linarite 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 U Should B Dancing 5-1 4th

10th: NY-Albany, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Drake’s Passage 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #2 Maker’s Candy 9-5 4th
Best Value: #5 Jackson Heights 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mariachi 5-2 5th

11th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF

Most Likely: #15 Foxy Cara 4th
Next Best: #10 Shelly 2nd

P5 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 3-5-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
10: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 15 (A), – (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 3-5-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-2-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 10-15 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

SARATOGA ~ TRAVERS DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Bold Journey 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Scocciatore 9-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #3 Osbourne 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Champions Dream 6-1 6th

5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Interesting spot for Norm Casse to place Bear Oak who proved long-winded in 10f win and has synthetic form. 15-1 the right price to take flyer..

Best Value: #4 Bear Oak 15-1 WON ($37.20)
Next Best: #6 Nobel 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Dynadrive 5-1 7th
Super Add: #7 James Aloysius 2-1 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

This is a maniacally difficult group to decipher with 2 each from Pletcher, Mott and Brown..

Most Likely: #4 Shop Lifting 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 She’s Wicked Smart 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Just F Y I 9-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Cowgirl Charm 5-1 8th

7th: 44th Forego (G1), 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Gunite may be tougher to reel in today, but if you haven’t noticed, Elite Power has won 8 straight at 5 different venues including 2 here (’22 ALW, ’23 Vanderbilt)..

Most Likely: #3 Elite Power 1-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Gunite 6-5 WON ($4.6o)
Exotics Use: #1 High Oak 30-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

4: 1-9 (A), 3-10 (B), – (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
6: 1-4-6-9 (A), – (B), 2-8-10 (C)
7: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-8-10 in 6th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-4-9-2) Paid $587.00

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (Must Pay P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Wild, wide open affair..

Most Likely: #6 Highly Flammable 9-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Immortalization SCR
Next Best: #13 Souper Quest 3-1 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #2 Monet Never 6-1 10th

9th: 39th Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (Traditional Late P5, P3, DD)

There’s no guarantee that New York Thunder runs back to his eye-popping Amsterdam, but note it was his first actual dirt try and he may be that good. A repeat makes him a very likely winner. The Baffert pair are serious horses toting quality resumes and the worktab notes from DRF’s Toby Turrell support their cases here. Verifying offers the potent turn back angle and has been sparkling in the morning over the Oklahoma surface. Remember that Drew’s Gold was a terrific 2nd to Arabian Lion in the Woody Stephens (106 Beyer) and returns to dirt after the turf sprint foray 2 weeks ago..

Most Likely: #5 New York Thunder 5-2 DNF
Next Best: #6 Arabian Lion 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Fort Bragg 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Verifying 4-1 2nd

10th: 45th Ballerina (G1), F&M3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Echo Zulu has come back as a devastating 4yo and is an even bigger talent than is being acknowledged. Caramel Swirl being tabbed as price to use, but consider Dr B who may be twice her number, is on a par with her and in receipt of 3# while getting Rosario who should make one run with her..

Most Likely: #6 Echo Zulu 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Dr B 15-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Matareya 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Goodnight Olive 9-5 2nd

11th: 49th Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-Inner (P3, DD)

Thoroughly impossible edition of this race, but here’s a notion: Pioneering Spirit (8-1) is a new edition of the Voodoo Song Linda Rice authored 6 years when ripping off 4 wins at the meet culminating with the Saranac. Who’s so scary here that says he can’t continue ascendancy? Has closed into slow paces and now gets Irad. We’ve all bet on worse 8-1 shots in spopts like this..

Best Value: #5 PIONEERING SPIRIT 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Soldier Rising 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Stone Age 6-5 5th
Super Add: #4 Daunt 20-1 4th

12th: 154th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (DD)

As the week has gone on, it’s feels more likely that Arcangelo wins today, but the Derby winner is a square price and very viable off the better-than-anticipated Haskell effort. If you’re a Thoro-Graph user (and signed up for the free sheet mailings in coordination with our Thursday Win Using Thoro-Graph segments with Jeff Franklin), you’ll note that Mage got back to his 1st Saturday in May top at Monmouth. As it happens, that sheet pattern is a frequent occurrence (Franklin calls it the triangle) and was on display last Saturday in Randomized going into the Alabama. Mage has the fastest figs on the sheets, as did Randomized, and will be the 3rd choice. On top of the other considerations, he ends up landing Prat who has distinguished himself all meet long. After the top pair, Forte deserves respect and Disarm looks to be coming up to a plus effort that earns a share. National Treasure is likely better now than in the spring and will almost certainly lead them on to the backstretch. Scotland is a fresh face with upside and wants to be prominent. Tapit Trice has been in and out, but as Nick Tammaro pointed out Friday on Wknd Prvw, stands to benefit from the services of Jose Ortiz. A terrific Travers on tap where no one would shock and literally every Super combination is possible..

Best Value: #4 Mage 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Arcangelo 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Forte 7-5 4th
Super Add: #6 Disarm 8-1 3rd

Must Pay P5 Grid:

8: 6-9 (A), 12-13 (B), – (C)
9: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

2-Day, Retail Only, .20 Must Pay Travers Weekend P6 Grid:

FRI 9: 1-3-5-6
SAT 7: 2-3
SAT 9: 5
SAT 10: 6
SAT 11: 1-2/SCR–3-4-5-6-7
SAT 12: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7

.20 Play: 4x2x1x1x7x7 = 392 x .20 = $78.40

13th: MSW, 3+, 1m-OFF

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Right to Win SCR
Best Value: #8 Torigo SCR
Next Best: #2 Fly Right SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Conversing SCR

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 4+, 1m-OFF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Dust Devil 5th
Next Best: #9 Styner 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Datesfreedom 7th
Super Add: #11 Truculent WON ($11.60)

5th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Prove Right 3-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Heldish 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Joking Way 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Alternate Reality 8-1 6th

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Air of Defiance 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Fierceness 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #3 Apollo Ten 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Wajda 5-1 8th

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 You Look Cold 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Headland 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Ontheonesandtwos 5-1 WON ($7.10)

P4 Grid:

4: 9-12-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-10 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
7: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-OFF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Anatolian 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #11 She Caught My Eye 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Peak Popularity 9-5 2nd

9th: 73rd Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

Far more than a 2 horse race..

Best Value: #3 Secret Oath 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Idiomatic 3-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Nest 4-5 3rd
Super Add: #6 Clairiere 5-2 5th

2-Day, Retail Only, .20 Must Pay Travers Weekend P6 Grid:

FRI 9: 1-3-5-6
SAT 7: 2-3
SAT 9: 5
SAT 10: 6
SAT 11: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7
SAT 12: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7

.20 Play: 4x2x1x1x7x7 = 392 x .20 = $78.40

10th: MSW, &M-3+, 5.5f-OFF

Best Value: #7 Going the Distance 5th
Next Best: #5 Risk Free 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Arrasou 2nd
Super Add: #1 Fra Diablo 7th

P4 Grid:

7: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-10 (A), 11 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 1-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Complete Agenda 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Anthracite 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Classic Mark 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Big Bobby 9-2 2nd

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Awesome Czech 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Lady Arwen 1-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Buona Salute 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Sun and Wind 6-1 3rd

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Fluid Situation 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2b Oxymore 2-1 10th/5th
Exotics Use: #9 Fauci 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Senbei 5-2 7th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sweet Mystery 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #1 Bustin Bay 1-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mia Bea Star 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 B B’s Busted 6-1 4th

P4 Grid:

4: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-4 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
6: 2-4-6-9 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
7: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (A-A-A-C): 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3-4 in 7th)

8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Vitaemi 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Midtown Rose 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 To a T 9-5 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Timed Out 4-1 2nd

9th: Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Consumer Spending 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Surprisingly 8-1 7th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #8 Technical Analysis 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Jumbly 6-1 3rd

10th: MSW, 3+, 9.5f

Most Likely: #1 Weyhill Road 7-2 –
Best Value: #8 Dr Kringle 6-1 –
Next Best: #9 Toofareastiswest 5-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Sacred Rhyme 4-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

6: 2-4-9 (A), 5-6-8 (B), – (C)
7: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1 (A), 8 (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups (A-C-A-A-A + A-A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-4 in 7th) + 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

P4 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 2-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups (C-A-A-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-4 in 7th)