It has been a terrific summer on both coasts, with embattled California racing enjoying a particularly strong season at its’ resort stopover. Had a good deal of success at DMR this summer, including the DQ-marred P6 C/O flirtation, and the cosing afternoon slate looks ripe for some juicy prices. I’ll reiterate my hope that everyone did well this summer and enjoyed the SAR-DMR action.. And warm wishes for a Happy New Year to those celebrating tonight!

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CERF, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, PL Pick All, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Gypsy Robin 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #2 Wednesday 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Madame Cactus 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Curvy Cat 4-1 4th

2nd: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lady Rosamond 7-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #7 Pebble Beach Baby 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Explosive Argument Late SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Bas 8-1 5th

3rd: 2nd Oak Tree Juv. Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Home School 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Diamond Bachelor 9-5 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #3 Smokin’ Ten 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Station House 5-2 8th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

AE-#11 Final Step does draw in.. Super players should add #1 Life’s Journey (20-1) to the bottom rungs of your tix..

Most Likely: #5 Sawyer’s Hill 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Malibu Colony 5-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Big Medicine Man 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Final Step 7-2 2nd

5th: 15th Pirate’s Bounty, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Must pay P6 starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Roman Threat 5-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Private Zone 5-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #7 So Brilliant 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Rail Trip 5-1 6th

<$100 P5 Play:

1: 1-2-3-6
2: 3-7
3: 1-8
4: 4-5-9-11
5: 2-8

4x2x2x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Quiet Force 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Unbridled Giant 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Warrant 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Bench Light 8-1 6th

7th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 That’s a Bingo 8-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Crystalline Indy 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Yawannagokid 8-1 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #4 Heavens Stairway 9-2 9th

8th: 66th Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Like the Hopeful on Monday, an open looking group..

Best Value: #9 Guns Loaded 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Alberts Hope 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Can the Man 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Dance With Fate 8-1 2nd

9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Deep, talented cast..

Most Likely: #2 Amazing Hearted 9-2 8th
Best Value: #12 Derringer 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Omega Star 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Appealing Tale 6-1 3rd

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Must pay Super Hi-5 here..

Best Value: #7 FANTICOLA 9-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #2 Lake Maracaibo 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 My Looloo 8-1 –
Super Add: #4 Switched Up 6-1 –
Hi-5 Play: #9 Nicegirlsfinishlast 5-1 3rd

<$100 P6 Play:

5: 8
6: 1-2-3
7: 1-5
8: 5-9
9: 2-6-12
10: 7

1x3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x $2 = $72

$75/$37.50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-5-7
8: 2-5-9
9: 2-3-4-6-12
10: 7

5x3x5x1 = $75 ($37.50 for .50)

With weather turning horrific in the ‘foothills of the Adirondacks’, closing day at the Spa will be pretty messy. But after approximately 37 days of spectacular weather and entertaining, rewarding racing, we can’t really complain. The conclusion of the summer holiday and Spa stand comes after a tumultuous weekend that saw the death of a blue collar star, accusations of buzzer use in the Travers, Woodward and Forego upsets and a gloriously popular Spinaway win by a stunning Leah Gyarmati filly. Will not have enough time for elaboration in print, so I’ll have to do the summarizing live on the radio this morning…

Very good day at the windows Sunday and we’ll hope Day 40 isn’t too badly impacted by the weather as to render it moot. 2013 season was intense and challenging and positive overall. Hope everyone enjoyed the coverage and found success along the way…

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

ALL RACES ARE OFF TURF; TRACK SEA OF SLOP SLOPPY

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Inaflash 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sharon Spaghetti 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Blue Sixty Four 8th
Super Add: #2 Polan 6th

2nd: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Groomedforvictory 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #12 Piscesbymoonlight 6-1 6th
Next Best: #15 Ultimate Empire 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #16 Sea to Sky 10-1 2nd

3rd: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Lucci the Lion 4th
Next Best: #2 Cross Gate 5th
Exotics Use: #14 Poppa Loves Mambo 2nd
Super Add: #10 Corybant 6th

4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Foggy Road 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #5 One Red Cat 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Streets of Fire 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Keyaly 12-1 3rd

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Mandatory payout P6 starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Sweet N Discreet 5-1 5th
Next Best: #13 Mama Zee 8-1 8th
Best Value: #14 Bird House 3-1 3rd-DH
Exotics Use: #12 Bobby Jo 4-1 [WON-DH ($6.80)

$36 P4 Play:

2: 11-12-15-16
3: 2-9-10-13-14-15
4: 2-5-6
5: 5

4x6x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36

6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tiznowforamerica 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #1 Harpoon 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Tizarocket 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Yankee Dime 12-1 6th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sound of Freedom 1-1 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #1 Spun 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Justin Nguyen 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Bird Now 4-1 4th

8th: 18th Glens Falls (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Greed and Fear 6th
Best Value: #11 Scampering 3rd
Next Best: #9 Lady Cohiba WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Cash for Clunkers 7th

9th: 109th Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Casiguapo 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Corfu 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Wired Bryan 7-2 5th
Super Add: ##2 Long On Value 8-1 6th

10th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #9 Blue Ballerina WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #6 Lara 7th
Best Value: #12 My Cousin Zinny 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Shoptillclosing 8th

<$100 P6 Play:

5: 5
6: 1-6
7: 10
8: 9-10-11
9: 2-3-4-8
10: 6-9

1x2x1x4x3x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 10
8: 9-10-11
9: ALL
10: 6-9

1x3x10x2 = $60 ($30 for .50)

$2 Pick 4 (8/9/10-1/2/3/4/7/8/9/14-9-1/2) Paid $119.00 ($59.50 for .50)

First truly sloppy Saratoga main of the summer made Saturday a bit quirky with both G1 events upset in wire to wire fashion by reformed claimer Strapping Groom and winless-since-2012 Travers Alpha. Much of the rest of the day was formful with many other dominant-on-paper and obvious MTO horses coming through including Financial Mogul ($6.10), Carla Sweetrevenge ($7.20), Tenango ($8.20), Silver Max ($3.80) and Romancing the Gold ($8.10).

The performance that ultimately may be recalled most, was that of McGaughey/Lane’s End firster Honor Code who rallied from 23 lengths back after a half mile to jaw-droppingly win going away. The A.P. Indy colt received an 89 Beyer for the effort which left observers buzzing on a day that was otherwise lacking in verve. Champagne a logical next stop..

Weather still unsettled here in Upstate NY. Grass improved overnight with only the MDN CLM 6th off turf Sunday. All others on and the main track remains muddy..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Speed Boat, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Baffle Me may be a bit outclassed here, but she could be very dangerous to gather in off a loose lead..

Best Value: #4 Baffle Me 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Samitar 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Ruthenia 7-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Deanaallen’skitten 6-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Challenging first and second timer baby group routing on lawn with give..

SCRATCH NOTE: Ketel Twist & All Star Kitten both get in..

Most Likely: #6 Courtesan 4-1 WON ($20.00)
Next Best: #11 Ketel Twist 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Ameliathenavigator 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Illapa 3-1 5th

3rd: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Hamnet 2-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #3 Our Emerald Forest 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Iron Works 4-1 8th/9th
Super Add: #4 Mio d’Oro 7-2 4th

4th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

SCRATCH NOTE: Fly Ride, Saint Pete & Alcomatch all come out and re-shuffle the deck..

Most Likely: #10 Cayambe LATE SCRATCH
Best Value: #11 Victorious Leader 20-1 8TH
Next Best: #3 Shmooz Talker 5-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Isn’tlovejustgrand 8-1 2ND

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Another of these bunched field type events that have confounded me all meet..

Most Likely: #1 D’princess 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #5 Pow Wow Wow 5-2 4TH
Exotics Use: #6 My Sparky 3-1 3RD

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-6-7-8-11
3: 1-3-8
4: 3–10-11
5: 1-5

5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/8/1,3,7,9,10,13,14,15/1) Paid $96.87 X 2 = $193.74

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 Time On My Hands 4th
Next Best: #6 Saturday Nthe Park WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #12 Al’s Rosie 4-1 2nd

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$140k P6 C/O starts here..

Blind start to P6. Watch the board for added clues beyond pedigree, works, trainer intent. #10 (AE) Recepta (7-2) RUNNING very eligible if able to get in..

Best Value: #8 Riviera Romper 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Spanish Gold 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Recepta 7-2 WON ($6.30)
Super Add: #7 Premura 6-1 2nd

8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Now a mystery with it coming late off the turf..

Most Likely: #13 La Java 8th
Best Value: #2 Echluath 2nd
Next Best: #4 Lady Nitro 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Scat Away WON ($13.40)

9th: 106th Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

In spite of the ridiculous name, Notacatbutallama is pretty good..

Most Likely: #1 Notacatbutallama 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Five Iron 4-1 WON ($12.80)
Best Value: #4 Tattenham 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: 5 Frac Daddy 7-2 7th

10th: 122nd Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Thoroughly spectacular edition of this with every entrant having run here last and 6 of the 9 looking laurel-eligible. Not only are there a host of impressive winners lined up, but virtually all of them have worked forwardly out of their last. Pletcher barn sky high over Sweet Whiskey and she is the horse to beat. Hard not to openly root for Sweet Reason and Leah Gyarmati..

Most Likely: #9 Sweet Whiskey 2-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Bahnah 6-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Sweet Reason 8-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Stopchargingmaria 3-1 2nd

11th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (DD)

SCR #3 Box Office and #6 North Ocean who ran Saturday..

Most Likely: #1e Zito entry 8-5 2nd/4th
Next Best: #7 Truth Is 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Kid Sidney 12-1 3rd

12th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 7f

Best Value: #5 Darnley Bay 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Golden Rule 5-2 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Work N Flirt 6-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Medium of Exchange 3-1 3rd

<$150 P6 Play:

7: 5-7-8-10
8: 13
9: 1-2-4
10: 9
11: 1-7
12: 4-5-10

2x1x3x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-2-4-5
10: 2-4-9
11: 1-7
12: 1-2-4-5-7-10

4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Any day that sees horse or rider imperiled is challenging, but Friday was made impossibly sad by the death of Saginaw. A very difficult atmosphere pervaded the track as the news spread, with the Drawing Away people and all that follow the special horse devastated. The anguish seemed especially pronounced given the widespread view of Saginaw as an indestructible entity, but of course none of them are indestructible no matter how indomitable they appear. Saginaw was a horse that demanded respect through his accomplishments, earned widespread love with his kindness towards handlers and admirers and our gratitude for his generosity as a racehorse.

Closing Saturday delivers another slate of terrific action top to bottom. Overnight thunderstorms may leave the main wet early on..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Motion Lounge 4th
Next Best: #11 Another Page 7th
Exotics Use: #4 John’s Mariah 8th
Super Add: #12 Swift Taylor 6th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

This event coming off turf turns into an even bigger guessing game..

Most Likely: #2b FINANCIAL MOGUL 4-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #12 Mack Miller 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Patty and Nooche 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ring Weekend 6-1 5th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Repole-Pletcher don’t Misconnect on 2yo’s often, so outside Unbridled’s Song grey obvious, but as we’ve discussed forever, Shug debuts at 7f with horses that he thinks can win immediately. Honor Code a half to Noble Tune and has worked smartly for bow..

Most Likely: #6 Honor Code 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #8 Misconnect 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bro Rodrigeaux 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Jackson and Lorimer 12-1 6th

4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Most Happy Fella 2nd
Best Value: #4 Idle American 4th
Next Best: #1a North Ocean 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Box Office 5th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Commanding Curve 8-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Canadian Winner 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Village Warrior 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Grand Arrival 3-1 WON ($5.00)

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2
3: 3-4-6-8
4: 1-4-9-11-12
5: 2-4-5-8

1x4x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Carla Sweetrevenge 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #12 Rock N Cozy 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Accomplish First 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Baal Perazim 20-1 5th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Outstanding group with a number of possibilities. Pace going to be more than honest, so look for the stalker-closer that suits your needs..

Most Likely: #10 Dawly 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 So Raise Your Glass 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Justa Runner 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Tenango 9-2 WON ($8.20)

8th: 55th Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silver Max 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #5 Tetradrachm 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Turallure 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 So Long George 8-1 5th

9th: 34th Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Move of Fast Bullet to Lukas barn telegraphs a problem with notoriously ouchy 5yo, but entry still potent. Decision to start is pending on Saratoga Snacks SCRATCHED whose ongoing hoof problem has hindered him the last couple days..

Most Likely: #4 Sage Valley 7-2 5th
Next Best: #1e Zayat entry 1-1 3rd/6th
Best Value: #3 Jackson Bend 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Lea 12-1 4th

10th: 60th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Even without Cross Traffic and Fort Larned, a compelling group. Mucho Macho Man a late SCR as the track condition gives Ritvo and Team Reeves pause..

Most Likely: #4 Flat Out 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Successful Dan 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Paynter 2-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Ron the Greek 8-1 4th

11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5-OFF THE TURF (DD)

Most Likely: #14 Romancing the Gold 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #3 Kingofthebluegrass 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Bill of Rights 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Fizzano 6-1 3rd

12th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f

Wow.. Quite a scrambler to wrap up the day.

Most Likely: #10 Whiskey Romeo 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Taproot 12-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Chapman 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Stonely the Lonely 8-1 11th

<$50 P4 Play:

9: 1-4
10: 1-2-4-5-7
11: 14
12: 4-5-6-7-8-10

2x5x1x6 = 30 x $1.50 = $45

Was rolling along through Thursday card at Spa when wheels came off for late quad. For a variety of reasons, happened to be against the winners of the 8th, 9th and 10th whom were 2nd and 3rd choices in their respective events and the reformed Arch Kingsley jumper that took the nightcap surprised nearly everyone. Two people did have $71.00 Hunter Forward and the rest of the P6 winners and took home $425k each as a result! Hunter Forward was one of those horses that got lost on the board off a 12-1 ML that respected his speed and 2012 form on the flat. Just 3 weeks ago, Hunter Forward had fallen in a hurdle event and dropped Kinsgsley when he went down. Twilight card starts at 2:30pm ET today as we reach Labor Day Weekend and commence the final 96 hours of the ’13 Saratoga stand..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-Law Enforcement, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ogremeister 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Free Mugatu 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Double Gold 5-2 4th

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Blue Chips Only 5-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Sidearm 4-1 WON ($13.20)
Best Value: #5 Dream Only 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Wake Up in Malibu 3-1 3rd

3rd: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Loophole in condition book rules allows Caixa Eletronica to keep running in these events..

Most Likely: #2 Saginaw 7-5 DNF-Pulled up
Next Best: #7 Bernie the Maestro 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Caixa Eletronica 2-1 2nd

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 First Summation 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Afuwa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Honeychild 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Missy Bay 5-2 4th

5th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Gridiron Great 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Defiant 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Inchcape 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tiu 5-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-5
3: 2
4: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8
5: 2-6-8-9

3x1x8x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

6th: OC/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Delightful Quality 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lion D N A 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Maracuya 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Alexandra’s Grace 4-1 5th

7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Instrumental 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Aesthetique 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Freud’s Sunset 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Michonne 10-1 8th

8th: 5th Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Excellent group. Quite of bit of pace on here..

Most Likely: #7 Bella Castani 7-2 8th
Best Value: #5 Promise Me More 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Midnight Watch 5-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #1 Teen Pauline 9-2 2nd

9th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Hodge-podge finale. #11 Dendrite (4-1) one of those career maidens you need to cover in case he found a field he can beat..

Most Likely: #4 Mr. William 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 Powder Springs 20-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Velocci 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 It’s Huge 10-1 4th

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-5-6
7: 3
8: 1-5-6-7
9: 1-4-5-8-10-11

4x1x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48