Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Carryover scene shifts from SA to AQU

Friday, February 28th, 2014

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$105k DBL C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Star Magnolia 9-5 (A) WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #4 Fashionation 12-1 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #6 Golden Annie 2-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Princesa de Papi 5-1 (B/C) 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $27.25
$1 Trifecta (1-4-8) Paid $109.00
$1 Superfecta (1-4-8-6) Paid $365.50

5th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Your Time Is Up 5-2 (A) WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #1 Violet Hour 7-2 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #4 Shaunna Alexandra 6-1 (B/C) 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Eyes of Midas 5-1 (C) 7th

6th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Very good maiden set with Round Pond son Long Water on hand as well as Pletcher/Alto Florida escapee Againsome..

Best Value: #4 Againsome 8-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #2 Killer Crossover 3-1 (A) 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Engine 7-2 (B) 4th
Super Add: #6 Long Water 5-1 (B) 3rd

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Bileaps and Bounds is crazily priced at 15-1 on a drop from ALW company to below level of MCLM win ($35k) last fall..

Best Value: #1 Bileaps and Bounds 15-1 (A) WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #8 Mrs. Bean 5-2 (A/B) 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Purling 5-1 (B) 10th
Super Add: #4 Heiressofthecrown 4-1 (C) 3rd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Highestmaintenance 9-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #2e Dubb/Caruso ownership entry 2-1 (B) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Little Rocket 5-1 (C) 4th

9th: NY-MCLM/$16k, 4+, 5.5f

Most Likely: #5 Insighting 5-2 (A) WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Wood On the Fire 10-1 (A/B) 2nd
Next Best: #6 Pegasus Tiger 2-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Centripital 6-1 (C) 5th

<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 6,8 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 2 with 5 – $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 1 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4,6 with 1 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4,6 with 8 with 6,8 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 2 with 5 – $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 1 – $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6,8 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 2,4 with 1 with 2 with 5 – $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 1 – $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 6,8 with 1 with 2 with 5 – $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 6,8 with 1 with 6 with 1 – $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 2 with 1 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,8 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,4 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 5 – $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 8,10 with 6 with 5 – $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 5 with 5 – $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 8 with 2,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 – $4.00

Total: $116.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 1 with 2,6 with 5 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 8,9 with 2,6 with 5 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 1 with 2,6 with 1,6 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 8,9 with 2,6 with 1,6 – $16.00

A’s with One C

5 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1 with 2,6 with 5 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 4,10 with 2,6 with 5 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 1 with 5 with 5 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6,8 with 1 with 2,6 with 4 – $4.00

Total: $56.00

$198k SA C/O comes off the turf..

Thursday, February 27th, 2014

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/12′ (P6, P3, DD)

Always root for out partner Paul Pompa, but isn’t his Theatre Star a vulnerable fave here off the big fig slop win?

Most Likely: #3 Starship Jodi 6-1
GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/12′ (P6, P3, DD)

Always root for our partner Paul Pompa, but isn’t his Theatre Star a vulnerable fave here off the big fig slop win?

Most Likely: #3 Starship Jodi 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Jolena Jo 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Theatre Star 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #5 First Acquital 8-1 7th

6th: S/ALW, 4+, 9f-T/84′ (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Hobbs 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Burn the Mortgage 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Cummings Road 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Hard Enough 6-1 WON ($16.20)

7th: MSW, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

What do you make of the 2 Pletcher acquirees that move to the dirt here? Cover in multis I guess, but let’s utilize the value created by their presence by using other interesting items. That includes Ricky Griffith’s Unbridled Steel getting Lasix and Luis Contreras. Griffiths-Contreras the last 18 months together? 12 starts. 7 wins. 9 ITM finishes..

Most Likely: #3 Madgi 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Previous 6-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #4 Unbridled Steel 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Vita Vittoria 5-1 5th

8th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 8.5f-T/12′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Eternal Ruler 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Mutasadder 15-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Dysprosium 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Logan Street 8-1 6th

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Important return spot MG1P Rosalind, first out winner In Tune, Golden Rod runner up Bird Maker. Camille Claudel, Comme Chez Soi and My Dear Regina are OK fillies. Like most Pletcher pace runners, In Tune dangerous on front end here. McPeek adds hood to Rosalind to keep her closer early..

Best Value: #5 In Tune 5-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #4 Rosalind 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Bird Maker 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 My Dear Regina 12-1 9th

10th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T/84′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Sapphire Blue 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #1 Theatrical Girl 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ambitoness 5-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Dissension 8-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #10 Elusive Design 6-1 7th

<$40 Rainbow P6 Play:

5: 3-4
6: 1-3-4-8
7: 3-7
8: 1-4-5
9: 4-5
10: 1-7

2x4x2x3x2x2 = 192 x .20 = $38.40

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 4,8 with 3 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,4,7 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $3.00 $0.50 Pick 5 3-1/7-1/7-5-2/7/9/13/14/15 (4 correct) $7.95
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 1,7 – $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 5 with 3,5 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 4,8 with 2,4,7 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $6.00 $0.50 Pick 5 3-1/7-1/7-5-2/7/9/13/14/15 (4 correct) $7.95
8 $0.50 pick P5: 4,8 with 3 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 1,7 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,8 with 3 with 1 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,8 with 3 with 1 with 5 with 3,5 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,4,7 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 1,7 – $9.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,4,7 with 1 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,4,7 with 1 with 5 with 3,5 – $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 3,4,5 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 3,5 – $3.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 4,7 with 3,5 – $2.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $1.00 $0.50 Pick 5 3-1/7-1/7-5-2/7/9/13/14/15 (4 correct) $7.95
18 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 7,9 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 8,9 with 1,7 – $2.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 5 with 6,10 – $1.00

Total: $68.00

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00 $1 Pick 4 1/7-1/7-5-2/7/9/13/14/15 (4 correct) $26.10

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 1,7 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 5 with 3,5 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 1,7 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5 with 3,5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3,4,5 with 4,7 with 1,7 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3,4,5 with 5 with 3,5 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 4,7 with 3,5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 5 with 1,7 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 7,9 with 5 with 1,7 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 2,8,9 with 1,7 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 5 with 6,10 – $2.00

Total: $64.00

SANTA ANITA PARK PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

OFF THE TURF

3rd: Cal-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3)

$198k P6 C/O starts here..

OFF THE TURF: 1-4-2

4th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Newfound Gold (Late SCR)
Next Best: #7 Change of Plan 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Anabaa Premium 5-2 2nd

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3)

Love Tale returns to level of last win.. Potent angle and should sit a good trip..

OFF THE TURF: 7-1-6

6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Thisonesforricky 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sheza Dish 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Fleet Causeway 8-1 4th

7th: CLM, 4+, 1m (DD)

OFF THE TURF: 6-8-5 (#6 Batti Man possible off-turf single..)

8th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Divine Way 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #3 Majestic Gem 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 New Nature 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz But a Dream 6-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #7 Precious Caroline 6-1 7th

<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,7 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 1 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 8 with 3,5 – $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2,7 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 7 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 8 with 3,5 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,7 with 1 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,7 with 7 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 – $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,7 with 7 with 5 with 8 with 3,5 – $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,7 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 1 with 5 with 8 with 3,5 – $4.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 1 with 5 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 6 with 8 with 3,5 – $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 6 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 8 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 6 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 6,9 with 5 with 6 with 3,5 – $8.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 3 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 5,7,9 with 3,5 – $12.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 6 with 6,7 – $4.00

Total: $134.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,6 with 6 with 3,5 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 5,6 with 6 with 3,5 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,6 with 5,8 with 3,5 – $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,6 with 6 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 5,6 with 5,8 with 3,5 – $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 5,6 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,6 with 5,8 with 8 – $4.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 5,6 with 6 with 3,5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3,4 with 6 with 3,5 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,6 with 7,9 with 3,5 – $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,6 with 6 with 6,7 – $4.00

Total: $56.00

 

Deep fields for late GP sequences

Wednesday, February 26th, 2014

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 11.5f-T/12′ (P5, P3, DD)

Mysterious 3 turn turf event doesn’t have a whole lot of pace. Looking to inside players for the most part and hard not to key off Dannhauser even if he’s half of the 20-1 ML..

Best Value: #5 Dannhauser 20-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Treasury Devil 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Draw Two 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Wonderful Breeze 8-1 5th

7th: Silks Run, 4+, 5f-T/84′ (P4, P3, DD)

Nice set of 10 for this out-of-nowhere turf sprint stake. Seems like at least half the field can win. Nice to see Geo. Weaver get Fiddler’s Patriot, gone a year and a half, back to the races..

Most Likely: #2 Varsity 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bold Thunder 12-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #4 Travelin Man 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 The Brothers War 15-1 9th

8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7.5f-T/12′ (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Rapacious 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Dreamalot 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Start Up 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Love Doctor Bill 5-1 6th

9th:OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Stately Defense 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Another Incident 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Gdansk 3-1 WON ($7.80)

10th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/84′ (Super Hi-5)

Fun, well-matched group to end multis..

Best Value: #10 El Uno 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Sleepless Knight 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Key to Power 8-1 WON ($9.40)
Super Add: #8 Big John B 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #3 Symphony Forty One 4-1 3rd

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 7 with 8 with 2,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,9 with 2 with 7 with 8 with 2,10 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,4 with 7 with 8 with 2,10 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 9 with 8 with 2,10 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 7 with 5 with 2,10 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 7 with 8 with 4,8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,9 with 3,4 with 7 with 8 with 2,10 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,9 with 2 with 9 with 8 with 2,10 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,9 with 2 with 7 with 5 with 2,10 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,9 with 2 with 7 with 8 with 4,8 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,4 with 9 with 8 with 2,10 – $4.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,4 with 7 with 5 with 2,10 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,4 with 7 with 8 with 4,8 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 9 with 5 with 2,10 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 9 with 8 with 4,8 – $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 7 with 5 with 4,8 – $2.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7,8,10,11 with 2 with 7 with 8 with 2,10 – $6.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 6,7,8 with 7 with 8 with 2,10 – $6.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 1,5,11,14 with 8 with 2,10 – $8.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 7 with 2 with 2,10 – $2.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2 with 7 with 8 with 1,3,5,6,9 – $5.00

Total: $71.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 7,9 with 8 with 2,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7,8 with 7,9 with 8 with 2,10 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 8 with 2,10 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,9 with 5 with 2,10 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,9 with 8 with 4,8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7,8 with 1,5 with 8 with 2,10 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7,8 with 7,9 with 5 with 2,10 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7,8 with 7,9 with 8 with 4,8 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 5 with 2,10 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 8 with 4,8 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,9 with 5 with 4,8 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 7,9 with 8 with 2,10 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 11 with 8 with 2,10 – $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,9 with 2 with 2,10 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,9 with 8 with 1,3,5,6,9 – $5.00

Total: $60.00

Fountain, Risen Star highlight huge Saturday

Saturday, February 22nd, 2014

Have enjoyed a delightful week in Florida in advance of today’s rather outrageous Gulfstream card. Race after race offers wide open affairs that should be tremendously entertaining and ideally, rewarding. Fair Grounds too has an attractive slate. The 3yo stakes at both venues will move us further along towards Classics Season and let’s hope all events are incident free and give all players a fair chance. Hope you enjoyed ATR’s FOY Week coverage from Florida. Let’s have a great weekend!

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, 3yo, 7.5f-T/0′ (P3, DD)

Divine Oath & School On a Hill are big players but are hurt by out-postings. Obliged to reach for prices to start the day..

Most Likely: #9 Rockford 6-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Chart Topper 12-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Divine Oath 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Big Bazinga 20-1 2nd

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tuneintobow 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Social Inclusion 6-1 WON ($20.20)
Next Best: #4 Dickens 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Indian Fighter 5-1 7th

3rd: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T/72′ (P3, DD)

Wildly deep group..

Most Likely: #11 Sinatra 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #1 Kid Lightening 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Kingston Jamaica 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Master Achievement 20-1 2nd

4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Normandy Invasion 7-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #3 Touchofstarquality 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Risk Factor 5-1 6th

5th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Global Strike 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #8 Strong Stipulation 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 I’mbetterthangood 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Blarp 4-1 7th

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,11 with 1 with 2 – $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1-11-1-2/7) $123.80

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,11 with 1 with 2 $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 8,10 with 1 with 2 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,11 with 3,4,6 with 2 – $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,11 with 1 with 1,8 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8,10 with 1 with 2 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,11 with 3,4,6 with 2 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,11 with 1 with 1,8 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 8,10 with 3,4,6 with 2 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 8,10 with 1 with 1,8 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,11 with 3,4,6 with 1,8 – $12.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,11 with 1 with 2 – $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,9,12 with 1 with 2 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,11 with 1 with 3 – $2.00

Total: $61.00

6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Outlandish ALW group with many attendees that were equally suited for Fountain of Youth..

Most Likely: #8 Tonalist 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Constitution 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Matterhorn 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Wicked Strong 8-1 4th

7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/72′ (Jackpot Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Crazy start to the P6 with almost the entire field having a claim to the pay slots. Demand value..

Best Value: #4 Favor Factor 15-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Calm Pacific 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Hey Leroy 20-1 2nd
Super Add: #13 Mills 8-1 7th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/0′ (P5, P3, DD)

Another thoroughly impossible group with 6-7 top contenders..

Most Likely: #9 Loves Last Chance 4-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Saa Mi 20-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Mill Creek 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Stroll to Victory 6-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Cuppa Joe 12-1 14th

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 2
6: 3-6-8-9
7: 2-4-5-13
8: 1-2-6-7-9-10

1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48

9th: 30th Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 House Rules 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Onlyforyou 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Penwith 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Stopchargingmaria 9-5 5th

10th: 51st Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/72′ (P3, DD)

No shortage of pace lick signed on for this mile jaunt and mid-pack/closer types appear the right approach..

Best Value: #12 Abtaal 12-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Bad Debt 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Reload 8-1 WON ($11.60)
Super Add: #2 Unbridled Ocean 10-1 4th

11th: 71st Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Am sure McGaughey would love to win today with Top Billing, but this is just one of the battles with a much bigger war to come. Post hinders despite style. General a Rod missed Holy Bull with a hiccup, but a return to level of GP Derby win 1/1 takes this. Style suits race flow. Commissioner merits respect. I want to get prices involved and Our Caravan a fit with likely improvement after post-debut regression. Dilger makes few wrong moves. With plenty of people cooing over GP Derby top pair (General a Rod/Wildcat Red), why no love for steady improver East Hall who was 3 lengths behind them? Most experienced horse in field an ideal candidate for bottom of exotics at price high above morning line..

Most Likely: #5 General a Rod 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Top Billing 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Our Caravan 30-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Commissioner 3-1 6th
Super Add: #13 East Hall 20-1 4th

12th: MCLM/$75k, 3yo, 8.5f-T/0′ (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Dolan’s Joy 10-1 12th
Next Best: #9 Ghost to Ghost 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Perky Kitten 8-1 10th
Super Add: #3 Street Chief 12-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Ringold 4-1 11th

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 6,9 with 5,12 with 8,9 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6,9 with 5,12 with 8,9 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 5,12 with 8,9 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 6,9 with 1 with 8,9 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 6,9 with 5,12 with 3,5 $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 5,12 with 8,9 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6,9 with 1 with 8,9 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6,9 with 5,12 with 3,5 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 1 with 8,9 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 5,12 with 3,5 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 6,9 with 1 with 3,5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 5,12 with 8,9 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 10 with 5,12 with 8,9 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 6,9 with 10 with 8,9 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 6,9 with 5,12 with 2,6,13 – $12.00

Total: $70.00

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 46th Bayou H., F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Starstruck 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Awesome Flower 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Eden Prarie 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Class Included 7-2 WON ($7.80)

9th: 34th Rachel Alexandra (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (Black Gold Jackpot P5, P3, DD)

Even without Larry Jones candidates Cassat & Divine Beauty, this is a nice group. Streaming may get away with easy early lead and simply wire. Got Lucky has done little wrong in her 3 starts but unsure who she’s mixed it up with and will need to speed it up here. Big fuss being made over jump up effort of Shanon Nicole when rained off turf to dirt last time. Do we really think a guy like Mike Maker didn’t know which surface she belonged on from the start of her career and she was a dirt killer all along? Untapable was part of the tough situation in the BC Juvy Filly race and appears a major player in her 3yo bow. Ria Antonia makes her initial 3yo start and hasn’t had perfect training schedule thanks to the weather, but gets clever rider switch to Talamo and offers potential value at 9-2..

Most Likely: #2 Streaming 5-2 7th
Next Best: #4 Untapable 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #6 Ria Antonia 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Got Lucky 7-2 2nd

10th: 28th Fair Grounds H. (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

MISTER MARDI GRAS & GROUND TRANSPORT BOTH RUN IN THE MINESHAFT (12TH)

Best Value: #7 Hard Aces 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Daddy Nose Best 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Gentleman’s Kitten 9-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Unitarian 5-1 7th

11th: 42nd Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Looks as if half of this field is eligible for laurels. Under-respected Vicar’s in Trouble will have to contend with inside speeds Albano, Rise Up and Vigorish which appears to assure at least an honest pace onto the backstretch. Second flight players (Hoppertunity, Gold Hawk, Commanding Curve) will have first run on the leaders while off pace dangers Intense Holiday and Emmett Park come into the picture late. Regarding Emmett Park, trainer Bob Pincins and his wife run a very sharp micro outfit that has a handful of horses in training off and on that win at a stunning rate. This Bob and John gelding is 2 for 2 on Poly and may jump forward in his dirt debut. He is well within range of any of the top contenders and gets oval savvy Jim Graham. Do not leave off your exotic plays as he will be forgotten from the #15 and lost on the board..

Most Likely: #8 Hoppertunity 8-1 4th
Best Value: #15 Emmett Park 20-1 11th
Next Best: #14 Vicar’s in Trouble 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Commanding Curve 20-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Intense Holiday 8-1 WON ($12.00)

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 4,7 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2 with 4,7 with 8 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4,5,6 with 4,7 with 8 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 5,9 with 8 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 4,7 with 13,14,15 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4,5,6 with 4,7 with 8 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2 with 5,9 with 8 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2 with 4,7 with 13,14,15 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4,5,6 with 5,9 with 8 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4,5,6 with 4,7 with 13,14,15 – $18.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 5,9 with 13,14,15 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3 with 4,7 with 8 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 2,6,8 with 8 – $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 4,7 with 1,2,6,9 – $4.00

Total: $75.00

San Vincente anchor leg of SA Sunday P5

Sunday, February 16th, 2014

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 4+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Deep, tough start to P5 sequence..

Most Likely: #5 Scarly Charly 7-2
Next Best: #6 Snaps 4-1
Best Value: #1 China Girl Lover 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Aqua Revelation 3-1

2nd: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Trulee Scrappin 6-1
Next Best: #1 Gal Has to Like It 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Courtside 3-1
Super Add: #7 Street Car 7-2

3rd: 4th The Baffle, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Gangnam Guy 5-2
Next Best: #3 Royal Banker 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Life Is a Joy 5-1
Super Add: #1 Dothraki 12-1

4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 On My Honor 7-2
Next Best: #4 Awesome Indy 3-1
Exotics Use: #6 Sherriff Ryan 7-2
Super Add: #1 Broker Brett 8-1

5th: 73rd San Vicente (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

In the shortish field, Cherubim gets a big pace edge here on Kobe’s Back. As discussed Friday with Rick Hammerle, maiden Rprettyboyfloyd likely had more chance here than trying Saturday’s MSW that was won by The Admiral..

Most Likely: #5 Cherubim 5-2
Next Best: #6 Kobe’s Back 2-1
Exotics Use: #2 Rprettyboyfloyd 4-1

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 -$4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 8 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 3 with 4,7 with 5 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 1,6 with 5 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 6 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 8 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 – $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 3 with 4,7 with 5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2 with 1,6 with 5 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 6 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 8 with 3 with 4,7 with 5 – $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 8 with 2 with 1,6 with 5 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 8 with 2 with 4,7 with 6 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 3 with 1,6 with 5 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 3 with 4,7 with 6 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 1,6 with 6 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4,7 with 1,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 – $6.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 3,7,9 with 2 with 4,7 with 5 – $6.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 1,6,7 with 4,7 with 5 – $12.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 3 with 5 – $2.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 4,7 with 2 – $4.00

Total: $75.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,4 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 7 with 4,7 with 5 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2,3 with 1,6 with 5 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 6 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7 with 4,7 with 5 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 2,3 with 1,6 with 5 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 7 with 1,6 with 5 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 7 with 4,7 with 6 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2,3 with 1,6 with 6 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 1,5,6 with 4,7 with 5 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2,3 with 3 with 5 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 2 – $4.00

Total: $56.00

Good luck!
Steve