PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS ~ MASTERS DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: Presque Isle Mile, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Carrothers 5-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Hush of a Storm 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Franz Josef 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 He’s a Mess 8-1 2nd

6th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Maldives Model 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Ensemble 8-5 DH-3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Toolcat 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Sideswiped 20-1 5th

7th: Presque Isle Masters (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Midnight Stroll 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Loyalty 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Marissa’s Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Accomplished Girl 5-1 WON ($12.40)

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Starship Empire 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Hey Padre 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Carloun 6-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Van 12-1 6th

9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 10f

Best Value: #10 On the Couch 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 County Court 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Flawless Bourbon 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #6 Fire’s Finale 9-2 7th

P5 Grid:

5: 2 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
6: 1-3-8 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
7: 2-12 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (5-9 in 5th)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-3-8 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
7: 2-12 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Murky bunch of price restricted baby girls. Drury & Stewart 2nd timers should improve..

Best Value: #7 Classy’n Connected 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Accommodate Eva 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 La Scaloneta 8-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Butterfly Queen 4-1 11th

2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Odd collection of elder maidens with very little obvious pace involved..

Most Likely: #7 Real Naughty 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Tiz the Coast 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Fayette Spirit 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Clyde’s Got a Gun 7-2 WON ($11.98)

3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Hard to ignore the outlandish win early success of the Maximus Mischief juvies and Michelle Lovell (Mischievousness) can get one ready at first asking..

Best Value: #3 Mischievousness 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Life Advice 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Plagne Champagne 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Pin Up Betty 4-1 6th

4th: Louisville TB Society, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Tough to argue against Downs terror Bango who is 7/4-3-0 over the past 12 months including 4/3-1-0 mark under the spires. Note too that Gulfstream Way (6-1) is in career form and feels like the right alternative to boost exotics.

Most Likely: #4 Bango 1-1 WON ($4.32)
Best Value: #5 Gulfstream Way 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Strobe 6-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Necker Island 8-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Debate 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Stand for Freedom 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Underhill’s Tab 7-2 WON ($7.14)
Exotics Use: #4 Attache 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

1: 7-10 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
2: 1-3-7 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-5 (C)
3: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x1x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-5 in 2nd)

P4 Grid:

2: 1-3-4-6-7 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
3: 3-9 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
4: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-5 (A), 6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A’s: 5x2x1x2 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (C-A-A-A): 2x2x1x2 = 8 x .50 = $4 (2-5 in 2nd)

6th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6f (Derby City 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Wicked Halo 3-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 More Than Vows 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Yuugiri 3-1 WON ($8.74)
Exotics Use: #3 Fire On Time 7-2 2nd

7th: Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 V V’s Dream 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #5 Regal Rumor 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Youalmosthadme 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Hot Beach 7-2 3rd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Always At Ease 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Musical Score 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Watch This Birdie 6-1 WON ($13.16)
Super Add: #2 Storm Bay 12-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Empirical View Gate SCR

TRI KEY: 5/2-3-6/SCR-10 (1x3x2 + 3x1x2 + 3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9)

How a Tri Key works.. Betting the 5 to be 1st, 2nd or 3rd with any combination of the 2-3-6-10..

1.) 5 w/ 2-3-6-10 w/ 2-3-6-10 (1x3x2 = 6 x .50 = $3)
2.) 2-3-6-10 w/ 5 w/ 2-3-6-10 (3x1x2 = 6 x .50 = $3)
3.) 2-3-6-10 w/ 2-3-6-10 w/ 5 (3x2x1 = 6 x .50 = $3)

P4 Grid:

5: 2-5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
6: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-5-10 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x6 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 3x1x3x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

9th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Risk It 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Patriot Spirit 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Edified 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 West Saratoga 8-1 WON ($26.96)

10th: Locust Grove (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Very intriguing edition with classy top contenders (2-3-4-7) and solid, upset-minded types (5-6-10-11). Mix and match..

Most Likely: #4 Search Results 3-1 WON ($5.74)
Next Best: #3 Le Da Vida 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Misty Veil 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hidden Connection 8-1 2nd

$1 Tri (4-6-5) Paid $288.42

11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Clear Voice 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Regulatory Risk 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 High Shot 15-1 7th
Super Add: #13 West Sunset 4-1 WON ($10.76)
Hi-5 Play: #7 Sweet Gal of Mine 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

7: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-5-10 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-4 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 4-10 (A), 11-13 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x2x4 = 120 x 50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-6 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 3-5-10 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
11: 4-7-10-11-13 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x5 = 100 x 50 = $50
All A’s: 3x1x2x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Has been great fun attacking the enigmatic Kentucky Downs puzzles, with just enough success to keep us coming back. It’s closing day on the KY-TN border, so let’s try to snare a big balloon or two with Tri keys..

Most Likely: #5 Arabian Prince 8-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Mendel’s Secret 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Implementation 4-1 WON ($6.88)
Exotics Use: #6 Zambezi 5-1 8th

TRI KEY: 5 w/ 2-6-7-11 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Cairo Street 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Sistina Chapel 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Pray for Champagne 15-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Show Off 10-1 WON ($35.80)

TRI KEY: 11 w/ 6-7-10-12 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

$0.50 Trifecta (10/6/11) Paid $255.59

6th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 1m-T (Mandatory Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Max K. O. 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Kentucky Ghost 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Big Blue Line 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Dominican Pioneer 12-1 WON ($10.00)

TRI KEY: 8 w/ 2-3-4-10 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

7th: AKLW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Pure Country 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Sablabiya 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Howboutdemapples 3-1 WON ($12.84)
Super Add: #14 Lamasco SCR

TRI KEY: 4 w/ 1-6-11-14 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

P4 Grid:

4: 2-5 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
5: 6-11 (A), 7-10 (B), – (C)
6: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: Juvenile Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Hedwig 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Please Advise 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Bledsoe 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jimmythetooth 6-1 4th

TRI KEY: 7 w/ 1-2-6-9 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

9th: Untapable, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Honey Dijon 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Mya’s Halo 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Hidden Class 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Song of Norway 4-1 10th

TRI KEY: 4 w/ 2-6-7-8-11 (1x5x4 + 5x1x4 + 5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10 x 3 = $30)

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Mandatory Pay Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Take Shape 15-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Snow Princess 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Kara and Colleen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Fancy Caber Neigh 7-2 WON ($6.36)

TRI KEY: 3 w/ 5-6-9-10 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 x 3 = $18)

P5 Grid:

6: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 11-14 (B), – (C)
8: 7 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
10: 3-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1-9 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), 11-14 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
10: 3-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seisei 6-1 WON ($16.44)
Best Value: #7 Trail Ridge Road 15-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Eminent Victor 9-5 12th
Exotics Use: #12 Soft Touch 6-1 4th

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Dulcia 12-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Reflexivity 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Our Dotsie 12-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Irish Patsy 10-1 4th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Gotta Keep Him 4-1 7th
Best Value: #12 Anthonian 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Mourne Mountains 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Liam’s Journey 5-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 10.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Good American 9-2 WON ($7.52)
Best Value: #2 Lay the Groundwork 8-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Fiddle 5-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 Pretty Provocative 8-1 6th

P5 Grid:

5: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 9-12 (B), – (C)
7: 11-12 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2 (A), – (B), 9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (9-11 in 8th)

9th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Mozlzil 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Value Engineer 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Aspenite 3-1 WON ($15.06)
Super Add: #8 Blue Eyed George 10-1 10th

10th: Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #8 Bella Haze 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Kodiac Wintergreen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Latte Lizzie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Sea Dancer 9-2 5th

11th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Hi-5_

Best Value: #5 Gold Franc 6-1 –
Next Best: #1 Baie Longue 3-1 WON ($6.82)
Exotics Use: #4 Tunisian Spring 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Raven’s Nest 15-1 –
Hi-5 Play: #12 Sunset Town 8-1 –

P5 Grid:

7: 11-12 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8 (A), – (B), 10 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: (A-A-A-C-A): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (10 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-9-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8 (A), 10 (B), 7 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: (A-A-C-A): 4x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7 in 10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lilac Girl 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Mo Bills 15-1 WON ($8.58)
Next Best: #11 Frontal Attack 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lemon Bomb 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Million Dollar Cat 20-1 11th

5th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Torigo 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Auden 9-2 6th
Next Best: #11 Brigade Commander 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Earl of Dassel 30-1 5th

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 10.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Dripping Gold 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 O P Firecracker 12-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Corelli 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Henley’s Joy 6-1 11th

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Frothy 8-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Le Beau 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Heartstruck 12-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Hola Gata 7-2 WON ($11.50)

8th: Franklin-Simpson (G2), 3yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Frosted Departure 12-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Sweet Cherry Pie 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Playlist 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Private Creed 9-2 WON ($14.02)

P5 Grid:

4: 3-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2 (A), – (B), 9 (C)
6: 2-4-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9 in 5th)

9th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Sparkle Blue 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 New Year’s Eve 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Haughty 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Querobin Dourada 15-1 5th

P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-3 in 9th)

10th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cogburn 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 One Timer 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Olympic Runner 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bad Beat Brian 10-1 3rd

11th: Ladies Turf Sprint (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Quaria Comet 5-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Our Flash Drive 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Wakanaka 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Gal in a Rush Late SCR

12th: Kentucky Turf Cup (G2), 3+, 12f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Never Explain 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Red Knight 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Verstappen 9-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Foreign Relations 12-1 10th

P5 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
11: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-5 in 9th)
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-4 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

9: 2-6-7 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
11: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

COLONIAL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

10th (6:20pm ET): Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

Best Value: #9 Integration 8-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #11 Program Trading 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Gigante 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Activist Investing 10-1 7th

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

10th (8:59pm ET): Del Mar Debutante (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Chatalas 5-1 4th
Best Value: #13 Laurent 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Tamara 7-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Gate to Paradise 20-1 3rd