BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X , F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Yes the top pair should get you through the opening leg, but the price options are within striking distance..

Most Likely: #9 Neck of the Moon 3-1 (A)
Best Value: #1 Invading Humor 12-1 (B)
Next Best: #10 Desert Bliss 6-1 (B)
Exotics Use: #4 Ornellia 12-1 (C)

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sea Trial 5-2 (A)
Next Best: #1e KMc/Darley entry 6-5 (B)

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Papy 3-1 (A)
Best Value: #1 Away Game 5-1 (B)
Next Best: #3 Legendary 5-2 (B)
Exotics Use: #7 Spartiatis 10-1 (C)

7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Murky starter group. This feels like a trap..

Most Likely: #3 Accomplish First 2-1 (A)
Best Value: #5 Rumble Doll 6-1 (B)
Next Best: #6 Star Magnolia 4-1 (B)
Exotics Use: #2 Another Incident 5-2 (C)

8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 1m-T

With an uncertain pace up front, there’s no guarantee that Filimbi arrives on time. Sheppard’s ATR visit provided confidence that Gathering can return to the strong effort she delivered at GP in January..

Most Likely: #3 Gathering 6-1 (A)
Next Best: #8 Filimbi 2-1 (A)
Best Value: #1 Unbelievable Dream 12-1 (C)
Exotics Use: #6 Scampering 3-1 (C)

9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

After Point Roll, this turns into a grab bag..

Most Likely: #7 Point Roll 2-1 (A)
Next Best: #6 Manoffire 8-1 (B)
Best Value: #4 Eastcoast Lights 30-1 (C)
Exotics Use: #3 Vagarious 10-1 (C)

<$75 P6 Play:

4: 9
5: 1-5
6: 1-2-3
7: 3-5-6
8: 3-8
9: 7

1x2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72

P4 Play:

6th: 2 (A), 1-3 (B), 7 (C)
7th: 3 (A), 5-6 (B), 2 (C)
8th: 3-8 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
9th: 7 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 1-2-8-9 (C)

Good luck!
Steve

 

 

PIMLICO RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 28th MD Sprint H. (G3), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Salutos Amigos a late SCR..

Best Value: #3 Lemon Drop Dream 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Happy My Way 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Service for Ten 6-1 3rd

6th: 15th The Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ageless 9-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #10 Perfect Measure 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Sensible Lady 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Allwewantforxmas 10-1 14th

7th: 5th Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

SCR Ground Control from this, the Murphy & Sir Barton after spiking a fever..

Most Likely: #9 Brewing 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Jessethemarine 15-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Extrasexyhippzster 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Prudhoe Bay 10-1 3rd

8th: 49th James W. Murphy,

SCR’s change front end pace scenario and make it much tougher for Special Envoy to get set up he likely needs..

Best Value: #3 Sonny Inspired 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Special Envoy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Camden Street 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Wallyanna 8-1 WON ($7.80)

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,4 with 7 with 9 with 1,2,3 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 9 with 1,2,3 – $1.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 10,12 with 9 with 1,2,3 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 7 with 2,3 with 1,2,3 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 10,12 with 9 with 1,2,3 – $3.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 2,3 with 1,2,3 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 10,12 with 2,3 with 1,2,3 – $12.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 7 with 9 with 1,2,3 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1,3,4,11 with 9 with 1,2,3 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 7 with 8 with 1,2,3 – $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 7 with 9 with 4 – $1.00

Total: $56.50

9th: 63rd Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Strathnaver LATE SCR
Next Best: #3 Somali Lemonade 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #9 Starstruck 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Whatsdachances 4-1 2nd

10th: Sir Barton-R, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Six Spot 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Life in Shambles 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 He’s Achance 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Master Lightening 6-1 6th

11th: 113th Dixie (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Up With the Birds 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Utley 8-1 WON ($17.00)
Next Best: #3 Charming Kitten 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fredricksburg 12-1 7th

12th: 139th Preakness S. (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 California Chrome 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #8 Social Inclusion 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Ride On Curlin 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Kid Cruz 20-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Dynamic Impact 12-1 7th

<$50 P5 Play:

Must-pay .10 Jackpot 5 today..

All A Entries

1 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 – $1.20

A’s with One B

2 $0.10 pick P5: 4,6 with 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 – $0.80
3 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 3,9 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 – $2.40
4 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 4,5 with 8,9 with 3 – $1.20
5 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 2,3 with 1,3 with 3 – $1.20
6 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 7,8,10 – $3.60

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.10 pick P5: 4,6 with 3,9 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 – $1.60
8 $0.10 pick P5: 4,6 with 7 with 4,5 with 8,9 with 3 – $0.80
9 $0.10 pick P5: 4,6 with 7 with 2,3 with 1,3 with 3 – $0.80
10 $0.10 pick P5: 4,6 with 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 7,8,10 – $2.40
11 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 3,9 with 4,5 with 8,9 with 3 – $2.40
12 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 3,9 with 2,3 with 1,3 with 3 – $2.40
13 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 3,9 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 7,8,10 – $7.20
14 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 4,5 with 1,3 with 3 – $1.20
15 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 4,5 with 8,9 with 7,8,10 – $3.60
16 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 2,3 with 1,3 with 7,8,10 – $3.60

A’s with One C

17 $0.10 pick P5: 8,11 with 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 – $0.80
18 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 8,10 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 3 – $2.40
19 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 1,6,7,10 with 8,9 with 3 – $2.40
20 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,6 with 3 – $1.80
21 $0.10 pick P5: 1,2,3 with 7 with 2,3 with 8,9 with 1,2,5 – $3.60

Total: $47.40

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 8 with 3 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9,10 with 2,3 with 8 with 3 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 8 with 3 – $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 1,3,9 with 3 – $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 8 with 7,8,10 – $3.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9,10 with 4,5 with 8 with 3 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9,10 with 2,3 with 1,3,9 with 3 – $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9,10 with 2,3 with 8 with 7,8,10 – $9.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 1,3,9 with 3 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 8 with 7,8,10 – $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 1,3,9 with 7,8,10 – $9.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,3 with 8 with 3 – $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,7,8,10 with 8 with 3 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,6,7 with 3 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 8 with 1,2,5 – $3.00

Total: $58.00

Good luck!
Steve

PIMLICO RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

AFTER HEAVY RAINS, ALL RACES OFF TURF

9th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ben’s Cat WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #2 Smash and Grab 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Great Attack 2nd

10th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD

Most Likely: #8 Sloane Square 5-1 9th
Best Value: #2 America 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Shannon Nicole 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Vero Amore 15-1 2nd

11th: Miss Preakness, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Well-matched field complicated by returning Tepin and several 2nd/layoff performers..

Best Value: #9 Our Lesmis 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Tea Time 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Jo Jo Warrior 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Stormy Novel 15-1 2nd

12th: Pimlico Special (G3), 3+, 11.5f (SPL-PRKNS DBL, SPL-DIX-PRKNS P3)

Fun and slightly mystifying PIM Special with many having same style interest..

Best Value: #4 Golden Lad 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Moreno 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Cat Burglar 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Valid 10-1 5th

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,8 with 5,9 with 3,4 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 2,8 with 5,9 with 3,4 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,10 with 5,9 with 3,4 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,8 with 5,9 with 1,2 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 5,9 with 3,4 – $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 2,8 with 5,9 with 1,2 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,10 with 5,9 with 1,2 – $4.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,4,5,6,7,9,11 with 5,9 with 3,4 – $14.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,8 with 8 with 3,4 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,8 with 5,9 with 5 – $2.00

Total: $58.00

<$50 Double Play:

SPCL: 1-2-3-4
PRKNS: 3-7-8-10

4×4 = 16 x $3 = $48

<$50 P3 Play:

SPCL: 1-2-3-4
DIXIE: 6-8-9
PRKNS: 3-7-8-10

4x3x4 = $48

Got lucky Sunday finding Michelle Nevin runner Spinning for Home ($17) in off/turf nightcap to convert late P4 for $236. Tricky sequence left today’s $35k C/O available and the sextet is highly attractive..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$35k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #9 Poliziano 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Tempered Threat 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Reggie D 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Ten Items or Less 7-2 2nd

5th: NY-CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Platinum Bombshell 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 First Penny 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Kilnockagain 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Bridget Maloney 6-1 3rd

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Nickerdoodle 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #8 Dramatize 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Dattts Da Boss 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Tizallheart 6-1 2nd

7th: ALW-OC/C, 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)

David Donk told ATR Tuesday that Stormy Len spiked a fever and will be SCR’d..

Best Value: #3 Treasury Devil 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Mills 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bravodino 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Super Add: #7 Rapscallion 12-1 5th

8th: Diablo, 4+, 6f (DD)

Green Gratto got good over the winter and will need to run his best yet to win here. As a New Jersey bred, it’s notable that Jones takes shot in this spot when easier opportunities, (i.e., 5/31 $60k NJ-restricted Reilly), are available at Monmouth..

Best Value: #3 Green Gratto 15-1 3rd-DQ’D from 2nd
Next Best: #2 Carried Interest 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Sensational Slam 7-2 WON ($5.90)
Super Add: #1 Royal Currier 5-1 2nd via DQ

9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Thoroughly impossible group with interesting firsters as well as jump up candidates making turf bows..

Most Likely: #8 Sleek 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #12 Lady Kreesa 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Eddy’s Time 7-2 WON ($5.80)

You can’t always know what is going to motivate the public, but how 6-1 Top Fortitude goes off at 30-1 to pay $62.20 in Saturday’s Laz Barrera is a mystery. I hope many took advantage as it was one of those nice opportunities that comes along only so many times a year.

Happy Mother’s Day to all..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 1st License Fee, F&M-4+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Goldberg (and Santulli) at 12-1, 2nd/layoff (36%; $3.36)? OK. I’ll buy..

Best Value: #8 Sounds of the City 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Free as a Bird 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Believe in Charlie 5-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Madame Giry 5-2 4th

8th: 38th Ruffian (G1), F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Just 6 but a chess match..

Most Likely: #2 My Wandy’s Girl 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Toasting 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Six Queens 4-1 4th

9th: 56th Man o’ War (G1), 4+, 11f-T (DD)

Fascinating set of 7 and not even Frac Daddy (15-1) impossible as a lone 4yo in field and potentially still improving. McPeek trainee’s ’14 races have been a step forward from last year’s and may get away with murder on front end here. Imagining almost always runs his race. Grandeur an International trouper but always concerned Leparoux will arrive too late. Amira’s Prince can put in first run on the pacesetter. Vertiformer and Real Solution can sit off at the ready and move at will. Superb matchup and great fodder for Jockey Club Tour on Fox Sports 1 broadcast team..

Most Likely: #2 Imagining 5-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #1 Grandeur 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Frac Daddy 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Amira’s Prince 5-2 6th

10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF

Best Value: #6 Spinning for Home 12-1 WON ($17.20)
Next Best: #7 A Marked Man 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Hard Rumor 3-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Crescent Street 15-1 5th

<$60 P4 Play:

Tickets created using TicketMaker

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 6 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 6 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 1 with 1,2 with 6 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 4,5 with 6 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 7 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 1,2 with 6 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,4 with 4,5 with 6 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 7 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 6 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 1 with 1,2 with 7 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 4,5 with 7 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 6 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 3,5,6 with 1,2 with 6 – $6.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (4,6,7,9/6/2/6) Paid $236.50
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 3,6 with 6 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 11 – $4.00

Total: $58.00