Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Winter chill can’t cool ardor for excellent action

Saturday, November 15th, 2014

LAUREL PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

Thoroughly terrific card at Laurel and the middle portion of the slate has several horses to work around at attractive prices..

4th: City of Laurel, 3yo, 7f (P3, Super Hi-5)

Cast of 14 and NY-bred Eye Luv Lulu looks prime on turnback from Empire Classic. Understand Carlos Martin trying Pollard’s Vision gelding at routes but closing into sprint paces may prove out as his forte. Kellyn Gorder an assassin and Bump Start’s Gallant Bob (G3) try would impact this significantly. Santana an able substitute for prego Rosie. Tim Hills has quietly had an excellent year and Griff is going to sit a beautiful inside mid-pack stalking trip at fat number..

Most Likely: #10 Eye Luv Lulu 12-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Bump Start 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Griff 15-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Souper Lucky 6-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #8 Lynx 4-1 5th

5th: Safely Kept, 3yo-F, 7f (Jackpot P5, Super Hi-5)

Hills again in this filly version, as True Romance and Bravo get to survey field from widest berth. Sprinty chestnut showed ability to stalk from outside in debut, so don’t think she has to be hustled early to clear. Cherie’s A.P. tried heavy heads at KEE after topping elders during 3 race skein at Chuck Town and gets Dunkelberger back for first attempt at black type. Price will be right. Contessa’s Indian Charlie filly Shayjolie another that found deep water at KEE, 4th behind Taris & Co. in the Raven Run. Fits here as one of the likelies..

Most Likely: #14 True Romance 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Shayjolie 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Cherie’s A.P. 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #13 My T Swift 15-1 11th
Super/Hi-5: #9 Take the Odds 5-1 6th

6th: Dickie Small, 3+, 9f (P4, Super Hi-5)

Stormin Monarcho a very likely winner here making P3 very attractive.

Most Likely: #7 STORMIN MONARCHO 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #12 Sioux 15-1 8th
Next Best: #13 Neck ‘n Neck 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Beautyinthepulpit 15-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Bold Curlin 12-1 7th

<$35 P3 Grid:

4: 10-12 (A), 1-4 (B), 8-11 (C)
5: 3-14 (A), 8-13 (B), 1-6-7-9 (C)
6: 7 (A), 12-13 (B), 5-6-8 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P3: 10,12 with 3,14 with 7 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P3: 1,4 with 3,14 with 7 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 8,13 with 7 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 3,14 with 12,13 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P3: 1,4 with 8,13 with 7 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P3: 1,4 with 3,14 with 12,13 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 8,13 with 12,13 – $4.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P3: 8,11 with 3,14 with 7 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 1,6,7,9 with 7 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 3,14 with 5,6,8 – $6.00

Total: $34.00

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 11th Commonwealth Turf (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Heart to Heart 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #11 Afortable 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Captain Dixie 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Highball 10-1 4th

8th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Tapit Wicked 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bo Talon 12-1 WON ($54.00)
Next Best: #6 Tale of Beaucette 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Here Sir 12-1 5th

9th: 24th Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Sparkling Review 10-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #11 Lady Lara 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #13 Walk Close 12-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Testa Rossi 4-1 7th

10th: MCLM/$10k, 3yo, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Blacklisted 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Colt Weston 15-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Top Priority 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Oso 8-1 10th
Super/Hi-5: #9 Bourbon Chase 4-1 6th

<$65 P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), 10-11 (B), 3-9-13 (C)
8: 12 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 8-9-11 (C)
9: 4-11 (A), 1-13 (B), 6-8-9-12 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1-2-3-9-12 (B), 5-6 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 4,11 with 4 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 12 with 4,11 with 4 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 4,11 with 4 – $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 1,13 with 4 – $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 4,11 with 1,2,3,9,12 – $5.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 3,5,6 with 4,11 with 4 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 12 with 1,13 with 4 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 12 with 4,11 with 1,2,3,9,12 – $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 1,13 with 4 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 4,11 with 1,2,3,9,12 – $15.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (5,6/3/4/6,11,12,14) Paid $1,091.30
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 1,13 with 1,2,3,9,12 – $5.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9,13 with 12 with 4,11 with 4 – $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 8,9,11 with 4,11 with 4 – $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 6,8,9,12 with 4 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 4,11 with 5,6 – $2.00

Total: $64.00

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

$147k double C/O at old Del Mar and this sequence may be tougher than the 2 days previous..

4th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Some way to start this P6. The ones that ‘look best’, like Yes Yes Yes, Dylan Ward and Wicked Finance, are 0/27 so far and appear well on their way to becoming career maidens. Best case scenario may be that Sadler’s SCR’D #13-AE Act draws in.. J Serino, Opsec, blinkered Simon Kenton all feel possible at square prices. Note first grass Simon Kenton is a full to minor SW Clear Sailing that was 2nd twice in 2 turf starts..

Most Likely: #5 Simon Kenton 5-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Opsec 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Dylan Ward 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 J Serino 6-1 9th

5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Feels like 2-4-5-6-8 all need coverage..

Most Likely: #8 Memphis 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #2 Qatar’s Pearl 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Tribal Dude 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Industry Leader 7-2 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

May lean heavily on the Dorf 2nd timer Miss Centerfold. If not, there’s 3-4 that you’ll need to consider..

Most Likely: #8 Miss Centerfold 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Longstocking SCR
Next Best: #5 Prettypreciousheir 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 American Sun 8-1 WON ($21.20)

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

At least half the field looks capable on best. Hollendorfer returnee Presenceofagenius working steady and appears tractable..

Most Likely: #9 Presenceofagenius 5-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Macho Sox 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Husband’s Folly 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Island Freedom 8-1 11th

8th: 33rd Bob Hope (G3), 7f (DD)

Nice little 2yo stake. Top 2 seem a cut above while next 2 have questions to answer..

Most Likely: #6 Alright Alright 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 St. Joe Bay 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Story to Tell 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Every May 15-1 6th

9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Passing Game SCR
Next Best: #4 Hadfunlastnight 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Life a Riley 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Endless Cruise 6-1 8th
Super/Hi-5: #9 Fighting On 5-1 4th

<$200 P6 Grid:

4: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-4-10-11 (C)
5: 8 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-5 (C)
6: 8 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-4 (C)
7: 9 (A), – (B), 2-4-6-10 (C)
8: 6 (A), 9 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 10 (A), 4-8 (B), 5-9 (C)

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 10 – $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 10 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 – $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 10 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 – $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 9 with 10 – $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 – $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 4,8 – $8.00

A’s with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,4,10,11 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 4,5 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 2,4 with 9 with 6 with 10 – $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 2,4,6,10 with 6 with 10 – $16.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 2,5 with 10 – $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 5,9 – $8.00

Total: $192.00

<$65 P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 9 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 2-12 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 2 (B), 5 (C)
9: 4-10 (A), 5-8-9 (B), 6-7 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 6,9 with 4,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 9 with 6,9 with 4,10 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,6,10 with 6,9 with 4,10 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 2 with 4,10 – $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 6,9 with 5,8,9 – $3.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 4,6,10 with 6,9 with 4,10 – $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 9 with 2 with 4,10 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 9 with 6,9 with 5,8,9 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,6,10 with 2 with 4,10 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,6,10 with 6,9 with 5,8,9 – $9.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 2 with 5,8,9 – $1.50

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6 with 9 with 6,9 with 4,10 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,12 with 6,9 with 4,10 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 5 with 4,10 – $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 6,9 with 6,7 – $2.00

Total: $64.50

 

Tough triple C/O slate starts at $227k

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

This set of carryover races just as treacherous as those Sunday and Monday. Pot sure to exceed $1,000,000 today and spots for narrow opinion are few. Weather should be fine so expect fast main and good turf with give to it.

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Pace picture a little uncertain to me with Ausable River seemingly out early with I’m Wide Awake and Spirit of Peace the candidates to stalk up close or prompt. If they engage, the race can be run fairly and the ‘class’ (favored Call Wil, Sonny and Pally) will get their runs in and have every chance. War Chant 4yo Here He Fitz (8-1) returns to turf for Hertler and you can’t hold him to the lone grass try in his 4th career start. Takes an authentic class drop from state bred ALW company and is real threat to start sextet off with a bang..

Best Value: #4 Here He Fitz 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Call Wil 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 George Cross 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Sonny and Pally 3-1 WON ($9.50)

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Big tix will buy the race, but smaller budgets may struggle here. Big Guy Ian came back with a strong try in October and that effort would make him likely here. But there are pace pressures to his outside , notably Billy the Bull with bug boy Izzy Rodriguez. Jimmy Jerkens’ Broman 4yo Knockher Off could sit ideal trip behind whatever pace battle is unfolding..

Best Value: #4 Knockher Off 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Big Guy Ian 8-5 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Dyker Beach 2-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Billy the Bull 8-1 5th

6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Compliance Officer as good a ‘single’ as there’s going to be in this sequence. But Street Game drawing in would open things up..

Most Likely: #5 Compliance Officer 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Jonrah 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #4 Half Wildcat 30-1 12th
Super Add: #11 I Got Id 6-1 7th

7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Little Gidding 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Worthington Court 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 7-2 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Manhattan Gin 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Untiltherewasyou 4-1 3rd

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Writingonthewall 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #2 Smokem’s Charm 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Leilani’s Ticket 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bluegrass Flash 8-1 3rd

9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Fulmer 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #1 Cats Landing 20-16th
Next Best: #8 Pronunciation 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #13 Skip the Jokes LATE SCR (Gate)
Super Add: #4 Gear Jammer 7-23rd

P6 Grid:

4: 4-6 (A), 1-11 (B), 5-9 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
7: 7 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 7 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-4-10-13 (C)

A/B/C: $256 $2 Pick-6 (1/2/2,13,14,15,16/4/4,6/6,7,13,14,15,16) Paid $32.40 (5OF6)
A+B’s: 4x4x1x3x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

P4 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 2-4-11 (B), 3-6-8-10 (C)
7: 7 (A), 2-4-5-8 (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
9: 7 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-4-5-10-12-13 (C)

A/B/C: $55.50 $0.50 Pick-4 (2,13,14,15,16/4/4,6/6,7,13,14,15,16) Paid $45.50 x 2 = $91.00
A+B’s: 4x5x3x3 = 180 x .50 = $90

AQU C/O hits $85k for Monday

Monday, November 10th, 2014

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Gabby Brown 5-2
Next Best: #1 Ferzetti 2-1
Best Value: #4 Jumelaka 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Your Turn 6-1

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Grand Rapport 3-1
Best Value: #9 Best Actor 8-1
Next Best: #2 Media Kid 9-2
Exotics Use: #5 Where’s Danny 10-1

6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Zoebear 2-1
Best Value: #3 Back Forty 12-1
Next Best: #7 Socialsaul 8-5
Exotics Use: #1a Holy Invader 15-1

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Inchcape 12-1
Next Best: #8 Blacktype 3-1
Exotics Use: #6 Ocala Jim 7-2
Super Add: #7 Storm 5-1

8th: CLM, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Big Town 7-2
Next Best: #5 Springcourt 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Regulus 3-1
Super Add: #8 North Ocean 9-2

9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #4 Flirtacious Spring 3-1
Best Value: #2 Happy Easter 10-1
Next Best: #9 My Four Rewards 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 Barbara’s Smile 8-1

P6 Grid:

4: 1-2 (A), 4-5 (B), 6 (C)
5: 7 (A), 9 (B), 2-5 (C)
6: 2 (A), 3 (B), 1-5-6-7 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 6 (B), 2-7-9-12 (C)
8: 1 (A), – (B), 5-7-8 (C)
9: 4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)

A/B/C: $232
A+B’s: $196

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 5-6-8 (A), 7-9-12 (B), 1-2-3-10 (C)
8: 1 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-4-6-8 (C)
9: 4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)

A/B/C: $76
A+B’s: $72

Good luck!
Steve

$27k C/O for AQU Sunday..

Sunday, November 9th, 2014

AQUEDUCT RESULTS 11/9

4th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Big SCR of 7-5 fave Blue Shark complicates this muddled group..

Most Likely: #4 Fictionalcharacter 4-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Blue Collar Cat 6-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Majestic Guy 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Greg’s Fourwheeler 8-1 3rd

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Still have 8 lined up despite this coming off turf..

Most Likely: #15 Nonnie Connie 2-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Bella Kateri 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #13 La Reverie 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Scat Away 12-1 WON ($21.80)
Super Add: #1 Kimmie’s Lucky Star 20-1 3rd

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Persuasive Devil 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Saint Joseph 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Got Winged 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Mr Harlan 5-1 4th

7th: OC, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Excellent and interesting group with imports (War Correspondent SCR’D & Mutin) and first turf Saratoga Snacks. Tetradrachm, Sky Blazer and outposted North Star Boy all serious lawn rangers..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Tetradrachm 6-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Saratoga Snacks 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sky Blazer 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Sinatra 8-1 5th

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Misszippityslewda 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Swakopmund 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Frivolity 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Guayana 5-1 2nd

9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Bigger Picture 6-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Elroi 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Honor the Kitten 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Loveisheartandsoul 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Rangey 20-1 9th

P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-6-7-8 (C)
5: 15 (A), 8 (B), 1-9-13 (C)
6: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
7: 1 (A), 2-3-10 (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), 3-4-7 (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), 9-11 (C)

A/B/C = $152
A+B (2x2x3x4x1x2) = 96 x $2 = $192

P4 Grid:

6: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
7: 1-2-3 (A), 8-9-10 (B), 4 (C)
8: 2 (A), 4 (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 11 (B), 3-4-6-8-9-10 (C)

A/B/C = $66.50
A+B (3x6x2x4) = 144 x .50 = $72

‘GPW’ offers P5 C/O on fun sequence

Thursday, November 6th, 2014

GULFSTREAM WEST

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Chevron Light 8-1
Next Best: #3 Supreme Privlege 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Ludicrous Speed 5-1
Super Add: #1 City Mudd 6-1

6th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$47k P5 C/O starts here..

This is a terrific group with a pace scenario that looks uncertain. Wolfson reaches for go-to Zayas (14 for 26 together at Calder ’13-14!) on Heiko while Love Rules All is first time for assassin Navarro. Shock Leader is the class here having faced top Northeastern foes all summer, but Hills’ other horse, Just Foolin Around, is a steadily developing 4yo that competes at a price with a projectible forward move. El Grand Jefe, Bathazar and War Classic have been banging heads with each other in So. Florida and all appear possible. As I said, terrific group..

Most Likely: #3 Shock Leader 6-1
Next Best: #6 Heiko 7-2
Best Value: #1 Just Foolin Around 10-1
Exotics Use: #2 El Jefe Grande 5-1

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Crown Distinction 9-2
Next Best: #7 World Changer 6-1
Best Value: #8 Afleet Accompli 12-1
Exotics Use: #1 Wildcatpleasures 3-1

8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most problematic test in the sequence..

Best Value: #10 My Storm Trooper 8-1
Next Best: #7 Caminito 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Rickashea 4-1
Super Add: #4 Overton Square 12-1

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Treacherous feature includes any number of in/out types as noted by interruptions in training or form cycle. One exception is Noble Prince who likes it at Miami Gardens and may just keep going if unencumbered during the early furlongs. Big question here is if Dad’z Laugh is close to right at all. Summer was a fiasco and worktab full of holes, but never out exacta at Calder and could inherit lead from Noble Prince if 7th panel proves too much for that one..

Best Value: #6 Noble Prince 10-1
Next Best: #7 Defense Article 8-1
Exotics Use: #9 Dad’z Laugh 3-1
Super Add: #4 Start Jumping 5-1

10th: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Very tough finale with perhaps 9 of the 12 possible for diploma..

Best Value: #2 Famous Sting 6-1
Next Best: #1 Austa 4-1
Exotics Use: #4 Red Parasol 3-1
Super Add: #10 Imakittensjoy 10-1
Hi-5 Play: #9 Starship Scarlett 12-1

<$75 P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), 1-6 (B), 2-5-7 (C)
7: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-6-2 (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 6 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 2 (A), 1-4-9-10 (B), 5-6-7-12 (C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 2 – $1.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 2 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 7,8 with 7,10 with 6 with 2 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 4,6 with 6 with 2 – $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 2 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 1,4,9,10 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 7,8 with 7,10 with 6 with 2 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 9 with 4,6 with 6 with 2 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 9 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 2 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 1,4,9,10 – $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 7,8 with 4,6 with 6 with 2 – $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 7,8 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 2 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 7,8 with 7,10 with 6 with 1,4,9,10 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 4,6 with 7,9 with 2 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 4,6 with 6 with 1,4,9,10 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 1,4,9,10 – $8.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5,7 with 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 2 – $3.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 1,2,6 with 7,10 with 6 with 2 – $3.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 1,5 with 6 with 2 – $1.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 7,10 with 1,3,4 with 2 – $3.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 5,6,7,12 – $4.00

Total: $72.00

<$75 P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 6 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 1-2-4 (A), 6-9-10 (B), 5-7-12 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 1,2 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,10 with 6 with 1,2 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4,6 with 6 with 1,2 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 1,2 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 4,6,9,10 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 4,6 with 6 with 1,2 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 1,2 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,10 with 6 with 4,6,9,10 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4,6 with 7,9 with 1,2 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4,6 with 6 with 4,6,9,10 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 7,10 with 7,9 with 4,6,9,10 – $8.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,6 with 7,10 with 6 with 1,2 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,3 with 6 with 1,2 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 7,10 with 1,3,4 with 1,2 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 7,10 with 6 with 5,7,12 – $3.00

Total: $71.00

Good luck!
Steve