Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Arkansas Derby ends Derby Trail season

Saturday, April 11th, 2015

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 85th Ben Ali (G3), 4+. 9f (P3, DD)

Based on workouts after the Donn fiasco, Protonico is 100%. McLaughlin firing everywhere and Farhaan will impose if ready with what was delivered at SAR. Irish You Well is the value horse in the mix..

Most Likely: #5 Protonico 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Farhaan 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Irish You Well 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Ticket 3-1 5th

6th: MSW, 3+, 6f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Never like types that near-miss, but Big Red Charlie’s pair easily best with these..

Most Likely: #3 Big Red Charlie 2-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Taketothestreets 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Shathoor 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Battle Midway 15-1 WON ($21.20)

7th: 19th Giant’s Causeway, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Turf status makes for tricky read but as with last week’s Shakertown, the major players here are back from ’14 edition in consistent Ageless and streaking Free as a Bird.

Most Likely: #11 Free as a Bird 8-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Ageless 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Henny Jenny 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jewel of a Cat 6-1 9th

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

This is placed in a very tricky spot on the card with cast that pits firsters with potential against handful of experienced types that have been falling short. Siding mostly with those that have run, though Neil Howard’s Seagrass is half to Grasshopper by Quality Road and may be ready for at least an ITM run upon debut..

Best Value: #11 Bon Heir 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Flying Jibe 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Amazing Party 6-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Seagrass 10-1 6th; #3 Super Humor 9-2 8th

9th: 27th Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Supremely well-match group of fillies and mares with defending Hard Not to Like (5-1) well down in the pecking order. Obviously Ball Dancing and Filimbi appear likeliest, but Eden Prairie (10-1) is very dangerous up front in a largely paceless group, while Personal Diary (10-1) and Emotional Kitten (8-1) SCR both feel prepared for plus efforts..

Best Value: #8 Eden Prairie 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ball Dancing 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Personal Diary 10-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Filimbi 8-5 2nd

10th: 34th Lexington (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Interesting set of next level 3yo’s signed on here with ‘wild ride’ MDN winner Donworth diving into deep end. Divining Rod has been nibbling against good horses and may be 100% now after Delacour dealt with hoof issue through winter..

Most Likely: #7 Donworth 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Divining Rod 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #3 Quimet 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiznow R J 5-1 6th

11th: ALW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Tons of colts with upside here in the hands of some of the top turf conditioners in the sport. Note that it’s Opening Day at Woodbine, yet Steve Bahen is here for the one mount on Chiefswood’s Nipigon..

Best Value: #5 Baldonnel 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Araqeel 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Nipigon 5-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Danish Dynaformer 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Hi-5 Play: #4 Indebted 8-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

7: 11 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
9: 8 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 2-5 (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), 4-8-14 (C)

P4 Grid:

8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
9: 8 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 2-3-4-6 (B), 5 (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 6-8 (B), 4-14 (C)

OAKLAWN

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 69th Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3)

Plenty of obvious players but be cognizant of Street Strategy (20-1), a pricey $425k 2yo-in-training buy, who is 3rd/layoff for capable Randy Morse and could sit perfectly behind the speed under Borel..

Most Likely: #1 Race Day 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #10 Street Strategy 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Carve 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Hard Aces 6-1 7th

8th: 13th Instant Racing, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Indian Brava 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Promise Me Silver 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Calypso Run 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Indian Annie 6-1 4th

9th: MSW, 3yo, 8,5f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #9 West Village 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hottap 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #11 Dr Anderson 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Lawless West 8-1

10th: 18th Northern Spur, 3yo, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #8 Wolf Man Rocket 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #3 Hillbilly Royalty 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Poseidon’s Way 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Holiday Man 7-2 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 4-10 (B), 3-5-6-9 (C)
8: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 2-11-12 (B), – (C)
10: 3-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,6/5,6/8/8) Paid $54.10

11th: 79th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Appears that anything other than a clear cut American Pharoah win will be harshly judged in the Court of Derby Opinion. Assuming a Pharoah win, virtually all the other 7 here can line up somewhere in the pay slots. Win the Space is absolutely possible for not just an exacta finish, but a Derby start as a Maiden. Papaprrodromou’s Pulpit colt faced Wolf Man Rocket (Northern Spur) and Fame and Power (Lexington) in last and had worst of it on several fronts. Bred for the stretch out and expect Desormeaux to ride for a late-arriving placement..

Most Likely: #6 American Pharoah 1-2 WON ($2.20)
Best Value: #8 Win the Space 30-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Far Right 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bridget’s Big Luvy 20-1 8th

12th: S/ALW, 4+, 14f

Most Likely: #9 Balega 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Perfectly at Home 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Barat 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Flyin Trey 10-1 9th

P4 Grid:

9: 8-9 (A), 2-11-12 (B), – (C)
10: 3-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4 (C)
11: 6 (A), – (B), 3-4-5-7-8 (C)
12: 3-8-9 (A), 2-4-7 (B), 1-5-6 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/8/6/2) Paid $90.15

‘1st Saturday in April’ latest ‘biggest wknd yet’..

Saturday, April 4th, 2015

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Brass Pear 6-5 5th
Next Best: #3 Smokem’s Charm 12-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Frisky Warrior 30-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Free Mugatu 6-1 2nd

3rd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Ekhlaas 7-5 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #2 Defined 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Sir Dream a Lot 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Fitzgerald 5-2 3rd

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Winter Games 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Gold Shield 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Ice Cream Truck 8-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Zingarelli 5-2 WON ($5.00)

5th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 One Sided 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Rectify 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #11 Chief of State 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 How Frosty It Is 12-1 7th

P4 Grid:

2: 1-3 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 8 (C)
3: 1 (A), 2 (B), 4-6 (C)
4: 3-8 (A), 4-5-6 (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Full (A/B/C): $65 (With $1 All ‘A’ Play)

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Thankful this isn’t in any of the big PX sequences because it’s an impossible group. Take shot(s)..

Best Value: #7 Chapman 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Curious Cal 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sassicaia 4-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Leilani’s Ticket 10-1 Eased Stretch

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$22k P6 C/O Starts Here..

Best Value: #7 Testosterstone 20-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Longfor the City 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Ostralenko 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Moneyinyour Pocket 10-1 5th

8th: Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wonder Gal 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Sweet Corine 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Puca 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Condo Commando 8-5 WON ($3.30)

9th: Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most likely: #8 Majestic Affair 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Ackeret 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Ready for Rye 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lord Nelson 2-1 2nd

10th: Wood Memorial (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 El Kabeir 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Tencendur 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Frosted 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Daredevil 9-5 4th

11th: Carter H. (G1), 4+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #6 Palace 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 The Big Beast 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Dad’s Caps 7-2 WON ($13.40)
Super Add: #2 Clearly Now 4-1 6th

12th: CLM, 4+, 7f

Best Value: #3 Dighton 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Writingonthewall 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Finding Candy 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Frazil 15-1

P4 Grid:

9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 5-6 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 7 (C)
12: 3 (A), 5-11 (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $78

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lady Sabelia 3-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Princess Violet 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Wedding Toast 4-1 4th

7th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 C. Zee 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 I Got It All 5-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Jessica’s Star 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Bourbon Courage 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Kobe’s Back 5-2 WON ($7.60)

8th: Shakertown (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

After half foot of rain, think you’re safe assuming yielding to soft turf..

Most Likely: #10 Power Alert 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Something Extra 10-1 WON ($18.40)
Next Best: #11 Amelia’s Wild Ride 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Undrafted 5-2 3rd

9th: Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most manic of the day’s 4 Oaks preps. All 7 eligible for laurels..

Most Likely: #6 Lovely Maria 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Angela Renee 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Lassofthemohicans 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Peace and War 3-1 7th

10th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Have been trying to build case for going against Carpe Diem all week but he merits top status going in. Danzig Moon, Ocho Ocho Ocho and Pepper Roani are the ones I’ll tinker with over and around him..

Most Likely: #5 Carpe Diem 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #8 Danzig Moon 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pepper Roani 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Ocho Ocho Ocho 6-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 2-3-4-5 (B), 6 (C)
8: 10 (A), 4-11-13 (B), 12 (C)
9: 6 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-3-5-7 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
Full (A/B/C): $69 (With $1 All ‘A’ Play) $0.50 Pick-4 (2/4/6/5) Paid $120.25

11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Groovy A 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 High Ridge Road 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Classyshadesofgrey 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Heart of Midway 6-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Carolina Jasmine 6-1 8th

P4 Grid:

8: 4-10 (A), 11-12-13 (B), – (C)
9: 6 (A), 4 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 5 (A), 1-3-8 (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)
11: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $60 (With $1 All ‘A’ Play)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Cal-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$39k C/O Starts Here..

Best Value: #4 Deputy Heat 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Zinvor 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Turn On the Pumps 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Cardiac 15-1 6th

7th: 76th Santa Anita Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Luminance 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Wild at Heart 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Stellar Wind 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Curlin’s Fox 4-1 4th

8th: 78th Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dortmund 3-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Prospect Park 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 One Lucky Dane 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bolo 4-1 3rd

9th: 35th Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Entrechat 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Prize Exhibit 7-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Spanish Queen 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Spirit of Xian 6-1 WON ($35.60)

10th: 4th Evening Jewel-R, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #13 Easter Fever 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Long Hot Summer 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bad Ju Ju 4-1 12th
Super Add: #10 Jenna’s Faith 8-1 6th

11th: 11th Thunder Road, 4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Pure Tactics 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Talco 4-1 WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Winning Prize 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Enterprising 8-1 10th

P6 Grid:

6: 4 (A), 2-10 (B), 5-7-8 (C)
7: 5 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 1 (A), 2-5 (B), 4 (C)
9: 4 (A), 8 (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 13 (A), – (B), 1-5-10 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 2 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $192

P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-6(C)
9: 4 (A), 6-8 (B), 10-11 (C)
10: 1-13 (A), 5-10 (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $51 (With $1 All ‘A’ Play)

Spectacular Raceday at MEY, GP, FG

Friday, March 27th, 2015

MEYDAN

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Golden Shaheen, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Secret Circle 3-1 ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Rich Tapestry 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Lucky Nine 20-1 11th
Super Add: #13 Cool Cowboy 10-1 6th

7th: Dubai Turf, 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Solow 3-1 ($5.60)
Next Best: #6 The Grey Gatsby 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Cladocera 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Euro Charline 6-1 4th

8th: Sheema Classic, 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Designs On Rome 4-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Harp Star 6-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Dolniya 12-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Flintshire 7-2 2nd

9th: Dubai World Cup, 4+, 10f

Best Value: #2 Hokko Tarumae 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lea 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 California Chrome 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 African Story 6-1 6th

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/72′ (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Dustymour 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Make It Gold 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Artempus 8-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Lord Trondor 3-1 4th

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Face of Winner 3-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Delta Outlaw 5-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Tinto Mesa 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Starbound 8-1 5th

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Curalina 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #3 Sally Ride 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Bird Sense 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Alpine Sky 7-2 5th

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bride to Be 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #8 Clara Kelly 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Hundred Year Storm 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Commandaria 5-1 9th

5th: 33rd Skip Away (G3), 4+, 9.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Encryption 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Ulanbator 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Commissioner 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #4 Sr. Quisqueyano 4-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

2: 4-10 (A), 2-5-9 (B), 6 (C)
3: 3-5 (A), – (B), 4-9-10 (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
5: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)

6th: 68th Arthur Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T/72′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 War Correspondent 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Grand Tito 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Aripeka 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Lochte 4-1 7th

7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/72′ (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Caprock Kid 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Weekend Express 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Number One 12-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Lava 15-1 7th

8th: 8th Sir Shackleton, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Valid 2-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Confrontation 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Tarpy’s Goal 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Pants On Fire 7-2 WON ($8.40)

9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Scorch 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Abounding Legacy 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #12 Dr. Toole 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Dekalb County 5-1 8th
Super Add: #2 River Date 6-1 5th

10th: 34th Honey Fox (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T/0′ (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Coffee Clique 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Lady Lara 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #4 Sandiva 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mabre Rose 6-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 11-12 (A), 5 (B), 6-10 (C)
8: 6 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-3-8 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 12-13 (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-6-7 (C)

$0.50 Pick (9,12,13/8/1/5) Pays $249.35

11th: 55th Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/72′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Riposte 5-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Photo Call 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Kitten’s Point 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Notte d’Oro 12-1 8th

12th: 49th Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Birdatthewire 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #6 Eskenformoney 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Ekati’s Phaeton 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Divine Aida 5-1 4th

13th: 59th Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0′ (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Twilight Eclipse 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Artic North 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Imagining 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Glenard 8-1 9th

14th: 68th FL Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Upstart 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Materiality 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Itsaknockout 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Ami’s Flatter 8-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

10: 5-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-6-7 (C)
11: 7 (A), 9 (B), 1-2-3-4-5-6 (C)
12: 8 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
13: 2-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 1 (C)
14: 7-9 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)

P4 Grid:

11: 7 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-2-3-5-6 (C)
12: 6-8 (A), 2-3-4-7 (B), 1-5 (C)
13: 2-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 1 (C)
14: 7-9 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 23rd Mervin Muniz H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Divine Oath 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Slumber 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Paroled 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Chocolate Ride 5-1 WON ($10.40)

9th: 48th Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Forever Unbridled 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 I’m a Chatterbox 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Shook Up 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Danette 10-1 4th

10th: 90th New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Albano 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Moreno 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 One King’s Man 8-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Call Me George 12-1 WON ($46.40)

11th: 102nd Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 War Story 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 International Star 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #7 Keen Ice 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Stanford 5-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-5-7 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 8 (B), 1-4-7-9 (C)
11: 6-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-8 (C)

Big, competitive group for G2 Santa Ana

Sunday, March 15th, 2015

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Spawr sharp off the claim and Desert Thief worked up to :59.0 bullet for return..

Most Likely: #5 Desert Thief 5-2
Best Value: #6 Clem Juice 10-1
Next Best: #9 Ritzy Tags 6-1
Exotics Use: #3 Abets Abet 5-1

7th: 48th Santa Ana (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Queen of the Sand certainly the mare to beat, but Rosalind should be even better with time since last. Price should hold. Elektrum SCR’D will be ignored and may be more effective with Nakatani aboard. Love Diversy Harbor but that’s a tough price to accept in competitive turf heat..

Most Likely: #8 Rosalind 6-1
Next Best: #5 Queen of the Sand 4-1
Best Value: #1 Testa Rossi 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Diversy Harbor 7-2

8th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Hard to separate the top pair..

Most Likely: #7 Honey Ride 2-1
Next Best: #3 Interject 5-2
Best Value: #1 Gracie Ragazza 12-1
Exotics Use: #5 Sky Mega 7-2

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 This Is War 4-1
Next Best: #1 Boat Drinks 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Avenge 7-2
Best Value: #9 Beth’s Bling 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #5 Redheads Rule 3-1

P4 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 3-6-9 (B), 8-10 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-7-11 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 10 (A), 1-3-5-9 (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $69 (With $1 All A’s Play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 5,8 with 3,7 with 10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6,9 with 5,8 with 3,7 with 10 – $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,4 with 3,7 with 10 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,8 with 3,7 with 1,3,5,9 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6,9 with 1,4 with 3,7 with 10 – $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6,9 with 5,8 with 3,7 with 1,3,5,9 – $24.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,4 with 3,7 with 1,3,5,9 – $8.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 5,8 with 3,7 with 10 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 2,7,11 with 3,7 with 10 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,8 with 1,5 with 10 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,8 with 3,7 with 6 – $2.00

Total: $69.00

Good luck!
Steve

Champions return at OP; Ladies’ G1 at SA

Saturday, March 14th, 2015

OAKLAWN

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3)

Happy to get Champion Untapable back to launch 4yo season..

Most Likely: #1 Untapable 1-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Gold Medal Dancer 10-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #6 Flashy American 5-1 5th

8th: Razorback (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Best stake of the day anywhere with maddeningly well-matched group. Frank Mirahmadi scoffed at my suggestion of Illini interloper being a danger, but Swearingen gelding SCR was game in Essex try and may have same potential to juice exotics here. Issue will be tabbing right partners for the play because all 6 of the other participants can finish anywhere in the pay slots..

Most Likely: #5 Race Day 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #6 Midnight Hawk 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tapiture 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ride On Curlin 3-1 6th

9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Using #9 King of New York (7-2) WON ($8.60) & #10 Star of Sky (12-1) 10th in multis as well..

Best Value: #5 Dr Anderson 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Hottap 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Dreamsdocometrue 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Summer Chase 5-1 5th

10th: Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

2yo Champion returns here and seems set for required effort. Shouldn’t be any excuses with little other pace presence..

Most Likely: #4 American Pharoah 1-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #2 Madefromlucky 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 The Truth Or Else 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bold Conquest 8-1 3rd

11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Allied Air Raid 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #7 Malibu Man 10-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Susan’s Reward 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Noble Hustle 5-1 5th

P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 1-3-6-7 (B), 2 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
11: 4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), 6-8-12 (C)

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Kings Adventure 7-2 3rd
Best Value: ##1 Sidepocket Champ 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Coolington 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Indian Monkey 20-1 7th
Super Add: 8 Takem by Surprise 8-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Forest Chatter 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Corinthian’s Song 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Skylander 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Fighter Squadron 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Bako to Bako 6-1 9th

8th: 78th Santa Margarita (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Thegirlinthatsong 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Cassatt 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Warren’s Veneda 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #3 Dame Dorothy 5-2 2nd

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Thoroughly impossible nightcap to end excellent multi-race wagering sequence. 12 go and there’s no easy tosses..

Best Value: #8 Vendita 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Zip N Bayou 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Show Stealer 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #11 Kiana Believes 6-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Madam Aamoura 6-1 6th

P4 Grid:

6: 11 (A), 1-2 (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), 3-6 (B), 10 (C)
8: 4 (A), 2-7 (B), 3 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 5-6-11 (B), 1-2-3-4-7-9 (C)