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Saturday delivers action deep into Iowa night

Saturday, June 27th, 2015

RESULTS 6/27 

 

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Chance of mid-late afternoon thunderstorms..

Tricky opener to late quad with pace having potential to get hot, though you certainly see these scenarios fail to materialize often..

Most Likely: #2 Queenofzenile 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Race and Shine 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Daisy a Day 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Resolute Babe 12-1 10th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)

Extended turf route assembles set of plodders which makes for hard to define pace..

Most Likely: #5 Make a Decision 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Sly Tom 5-1 WON ($18.60)
Next Best: #1 Request 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Go Around 3-1 3rd

9th: 59th Mother Goose (G1), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Superb lineup came together for this long-running G1 that has been trimmed to 8.5f in Triple Tiara line with the 9f CCAO and 10f Alabama. This edition looks to have plenty of pace signed on making late-running Include Betty and Danessa Deluxe appealing. Prompting Munasara has Johnny V aboard seeking his 7th Mother Goose, while Todd Pletcher (4x winer of this event) send Eskenformoney who returns to her preferred one turn configuration..

Most Likely: #2 Include Betty 5-1 WON ($12.80)
Next Best: #9 Eskenformoney 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Munasara 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Danessa Deluxe 8-1 7th

10th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #4 Britannia’s Moat 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Shinobi 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Security Risk 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #10 Bubba’s d’Oro 30-1 10th

P4 Grid:

7: 2-6 (A), 4-9 (B), 5-8-11 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), 6-7-10 (C)
9: 2-9 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), 7-9 (B), 8-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $76 (With $1 All A Play)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 47th Senorita (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 CURLIN’S FOX 5-2 9th
Next Best: #8 Avenge 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Miss Double d’Oro 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Long Hot Summer 4-1 2nd

7th: 64th Triple Bend (G1), 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 MASOCHISTIC 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Wild Dude 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Appealing Tale 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 San Onofre 3-1 4th

8th: 18th Royal Heroine (G2), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Queen of The Sand 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Birdlover 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Fanticola 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #1 Blingismything 4-1 6th

9th: 76th Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Catch a Flight 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Hard Aces 12-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #8 Moreno 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Lideris 50-1 6th

10th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Stormin Trick 9-2 9th
Next Best: #6 Where Was Eddie 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Diablo Caballero 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Heat 8-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #5 He Could 5-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), 3-6 (B), 2 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), 1-7 (B), 3 (C)
9: 9 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
10: 6-7 (A), 8-11 (B), 4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $61.50 (With $1 All A Play)

PRAIRIE MEADOWS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 17th Iowa Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3)

Best Value: #7 Sweetgrass 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sweet Success 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Pangburn 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Paige 4-1 7th

6th: 17th Iowa Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #2 Quality Bird 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Hillbilly Royalty 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Bent On Bourbon 6-1 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #6 Allied Air Raid 5-1 2nd

7th: 19th Cornhusker (G3), 3+, 9f P3)

Most Likely: #9 PAGE McKENNEY 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Carve 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Golden Lad 9-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Ulanbator 12-1 7th

P4 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), 7-10 (B), 5-6-8 (C)
5: 7 (A), 1-2-5-8 (B), – (C)
6: 2 (A), 3 (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 2-4-9 (A), – (B), 1-3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
Full (A/B/C): $64.50 (With $1 All A Play)

3 day BEL C/O should hit $1.2MM

Wednesday, June 24th, 2015

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 6/24

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$322k C/O starts here..

VERY treacherous sequence — which starts and finishes with especially deep fields — will see pool well in excess of $1MM..

Most Likely: #6 Mission Driven 4-1 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #11 Super Indian 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Key to the Bridge 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Risk Reversal 6-1 2nd

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 My Sweet Girl 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Path 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Kitten’s Roar 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Clutchingatstraws 7-2 4th

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5 (P4, P3, DD)

Lakeside Sunset will be one to catch and beat and a widely applied single but hardly feels a certainty. Liberty Island one of only 4 on-track progeny of Harlem Rocker whose stallion career was cut short by a back injury after covering just 18 mares that produced 9 foals..

Most Likely: #2 Lakeside Sunset 7-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #7 Geraldine 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Liberty Island 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Shades of Indigo 12-1 2nd

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3,DD)

Most Likely: #6 Decent 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Manofmanyvirtues 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #5 Madam I’m Adam 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Noreen 6-1 5th

8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Holiday’s Jewel gets back to what she may like best: one turn routing on the main track..

Best Value: #3 HOLIDAY’S JEWEL 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 La Madrina 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Hot Stones 6-1 WON ($9.70)
Super Add: #2 Catch My Drift 4-1 2nd

9th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Ugly finish to sequence with cast of nothing but 7 suspects and 3 murky firsters..

Best Value: #3 Opie 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Purrfectly Mine 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Ferzetti 7-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Unforgettable Mark 3-1 8th

P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 1-11 (B), 4-8-12-13 (C)
5: 5 (A), 6 (B), 2-4-7-9 (C)
6: 2 (A), 7 (B), 8 (C)
7: 6 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-5-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)
9: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 10 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $90
Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

P4 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
7: 6 (A), 5-7 (B), 1-3-8 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), 2-6-7 (B), 4 (C)
9: 3-9 (A), 6-10 (B), 7-8 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $63 (With $1 All A Play)
Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x4 = 180 x $0.50 = $90

Santa Anita C/O pool should hit $600k

Thursday, June 18th, 2015

SANTA ANITA RESULTS 6/18

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tiz Jolie 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Dynamite Ride 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Afleet in Time 3-1 3rd

4th: S/H’CAP, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Cleverly Beverly 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Spirit of Ten 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Light Striker 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Four Times Lucky 4-1 6th

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Uptown Twirl 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #9 Tiz a Tommy Town 9-2 2nd
Best Value: 3 Sharpest One 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Fast Escape 7-2 9th

6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Diamond Cut 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #6 My Sweet Afleet 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Mia’s Storm 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 True History 7-2 2nd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Cherubim 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Mr. Jay D 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Heir of Storm 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Caminetto 9-2 WON ($7.40)

8th: MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Very tricky finish..

Most Likely: #3 Sparkling Peg 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Queen’s Balladier 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Alykesha 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Crystal Harbor 10-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Catalina Bonita 12-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Oleanderpolarbear 7-2 WON ($12.20)

P6 Grid:

3: 2 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
4: 1-4 (A), 5-7 (B), 6 (C)
5: 6 (A), 9 (B), 1-3-7 (C)
6: 2 (A), – (B), 6-7-8 (C)
7: 6 (A), 5-7 (B), 8 (C)
8: 3 (A), 7 (B), 1-6-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
Full (A/B/C): $166

P4 Grid:

5: 6-9 (A), 3 (B), 1-7 (C)
6: 2 (A), 6-8 (B), 7 (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), 8 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 1-6-9-10 (B), 2-4-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x6 = 162 x $.50 = $81
Full (A/B/C): $75

Late P4 offers potential at Belmont..

Wednesday, June 17th, 2015

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 6/17

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Escapist 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ground Control 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Best Man 2-1 3rd

7th: CLM, F&M3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 First Whippoorwill 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Starship Pleasant 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Ave’s Halo 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Sun and Moon 10-1 WON ($7.90)

8th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Mish Mosh 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Mr Rosenthal 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Ziptronic 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Political Farce 15-1 3rd

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 7f-T

No one would surprise..

Most Likely: #1 Winter Wish 3-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Animal Appeal 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Born to Be Mild 6-1 12th
Exotics Use: #4 Shotgun Love 5-1 9th

P4 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
7: 2 (A), 3 (B), 4-5-6 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 1-2-3 (B), – (C)
9: 1-12 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $72

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 5,6 with 1,12 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 2 with 5,6 with 1,12 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 5,6 with 1,12 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 1,2,3 with 1,12 – $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 5,6 with 4,9 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3 with 5,6 with 1,12 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 2 with 1,2,3 with 1,12 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 2 with 5,6 with 4,9 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 1,2,3 with 1,12 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 5,6 with 4,9 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 1,2,3 with 4,9 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 5,6 with 1,12 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 4,5,6 with 5,6 with 1,12 – $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 5,6 with 2,5,7 – $6.00

Total: $72.00

Crown odyssey culminates at Downs’ Foster Night

Saturday, June 13th, 2015


CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Casse entry 7-5 WON ($3.40)/4th
Next Best: #3 Golden But Stormy 4-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Archway to Heaven 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Special Agent 8-1 9th

5th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Catalano’s Top Clearance ran into Mr. Jordan in debut and race close to return try wins clear. Note First Lasix/3yo debuts from McPeek (L T’s Best Tale) and Peitz’s Alzanbaq..

Most Likely: #7 Top Clearance 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 L T’s Best Tale 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Alzanbaq 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Awopaho 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Bullard’s Alley 12-1 2nd

6th: 46th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T P4, P3, DD)

Curious bunch with presence of first turf Christina’s Journey adding to intrigue. Get sense the two last-out maiden winners (Return to Grace & America Mon Amie) are instantly as good as any of the stakes-experienced ones that are signed on..

Most Likely: #2 Return to Grace 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Don’t Leave Me 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Lady Zuzu 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Urtheoneeyelove 5-1 6th

7th: 40th Fleur de Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

No shortage of pace here which seems to set it up perfectly for Tiz Windy..

Best Value: #2 Tiz Windy 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sheer Drama 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Gold Medal Dancer 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Pearl Turn 15-1 8th

P4 Grid:

4: 1 (A), 3 (B), 2-4-5-8 (C)
5: 7 (A), 2-10 (B), 3-4-5-12 (C)
6: 1-2-3 (A), 5-6-7 (B), – (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 3-9 (B), 1-4-6-8 (C)

8th: 34th Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Noble Bird’s Alysheba try as good as anything any of the major players have run in ’15..

Best Value: #4 Noble Bird 10-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #5 Hoppertunity 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Commissioner 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Lea 7-5 2nd

9th: 18th Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fame and Power 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Island Town 6-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #7 Bold Conquest 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Henry Jones 12-1 5th

P5 Grid:

5: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-10 (C)
6: 1-2 (A), 3-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 9 (B), 1-3-8 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-6 (C)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-3 (A), 5-6-7 (B), – (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 9 (B), 1-3-8 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 5 (A), 2 (B), 1-6-7 (C)

Good luck!
Steve

$64 Late P4:

8: 1-2-4-5
9: 2-5
10: 1-2-3-4
11: 2-3-4-5

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-2-1-6) Pays $377.35