How good is Big Brown?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

He reminds me a lot more of a Bellamy Road than a Curlin - because unlike a Curlin - I don't believe Big Brown has the ability to successfully change tactics and come from well off the pace.

I was comparing him to BR before the Florida Derby - but it had more to do with styles and preperation more than anything else.

BR made his 3yo debut in a one-turn mile alw race at GP in early March and won off by double digits off of a five month layoff. Virtually identical to what Big Brown did in his return with the same kind of layoff.

I see them both as being behind schedule - and both of them as horses who will want no part at all of being off the pace.

I think if Big Brown is taken well off the pace - you will see him not relax at all and run significantly below his ability. Where as Curlin is just as effective from deep in the pack as he is from right on the pace.