Sunday AQU P6 112K carryover

[Handicappy]

Originally Posted by pointman

I am going to try this and hope I get through the 7th:

6- 1,5,6,7
7- 8,9
8- 2,3,7
9- 1,2,7,8,9

$20W 7

Good Luck, I don't think this will be chalky. Having said that, it is time for everyone to play the chalk!

Heh, aren't you the guy who made it through with me to the final leg of that monster pic 3 last October?

[pointman]

Originally Posted by Handicappy

Heh, aren't you the guy who made it through with me to the final leg of that monster pic 3 last October?

That is true. I am glad we got through the 6th, Cappy, I really wanted to get Jello Shot through there. There was certainly some cause for pause with Andy going to Monte Carlo (I can't imagine how much he just crushed that exacta), but I really thought Jello Shot could beat these and at 12-1 he was worth using. The McLaughlin is the one who proved he didn't belong on the ticket and I am always dubious with horses with that kind of improvement from 1st to 2nd start, but he is so tough second and third start out.

This leg worries me, but I think Yario is an underlay and I don't like here. I am praying to get through, but even the 8th worries me a bit today as I think even the 5 and 6 have a shot to win there. The 5 in particular if he can find some of that back form and he certainly likes the track, will be an overlay, but it is still a tough race.

Herk is the smart one here who singled Monte Carlo and spread more in the last 3.

[pointman]

Race 7

$20W 9

Good Luck!

[Handicappy]

Originally Posted by pointman

That is true. I am glad we got through the 6th, Cappy, I really wanted to get Jello Shot through there. There was certainly some cause for pause with Andy going to Monte Carlo (I can't imagine how much he just crushed that exacta), but I really thought Jello Shot could beat these and at 12-1 he was worth using. The McLaughlin is the one who proved he didn't belong on the ticket and I am always dubious with horses with that kind of improvement from 1st to 2nd start, but he is so tough second and third start out.

This leg worries me, but I think Yario is an underlay and I don't like here. I am praying to get through, but even the 8th worries me a bit today as I think even the 5 and 6 have a shot to win there. The 5 in particular if he can find some of that back form and he certainly likes the track, will be an overlay, but it is still a tough race.

Herk is the smart one here who singled Monte Carlo and spread more in the last 3.

I singled monte carlo on my pic 6 ticket but, of course didn't have that $36 winner in the first leg. These are all tough the rest of the way.

[the_fat_man]

Why is Thunder Minister only 15:1 here?

[pointman]

Originally Posted by Handicappy

I singled monte carlo on my pic 6 ticket but, of course didn't have that $36 winner in the first leg. These are all tough the rest of the way.

Agreed. The pk6 will be a tough road to hoe with that winner of the first leg.

[Handicappy]

pic 3

3,7,8,9//3,6,7//5,7,8

[Handicappy]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Why is Thunder Minister only 15:1 here?

Fans still love Maylan's pictures I guess.

[philcski]

I actually used that 5 in my pick 6.

Too bad I didn't make it past the first leg. I think we carry again.

[Handicappy]

Well that's it for me. Unbelievable. There is absolutely nothing here to indicate Hawkinsville had any chance at all. Well I am pretty sure we are looking at a triple carryover.

[Handicappy]

Originally Posted by philcski

I actually used that 5 in my pick 6.

Too bad I didn't make it past the first leg. I think we carry again.

How did you use him? I can't see anything here that would point me too him.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by Handicappy

Well that's it for me. Unbelievable. There is absolutely nothing here to indicate Hawkinsville had any chance at all. Well I am pretty sure we are looking at a triple carryover.

I can take getting beat and I felt that 9 was live at the price, but I can't take getting beat by a horse making that kind of insane move and winning. What just happened there?

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Handicappy

How did you use him? I can't see anything here that would point me too him.

All kinds of trouble on the inner, had him on my watch list, ran well in fits and starts but found problems every time- figured he'd get a clean run today from the back, just a matter if he could sustain it. didn't like the 8 so I was willing to go deep in that leg, used 3,5,6,7,9.

By the way- in that 6th race the 3 was much the best. Tons of trouble and when he finally got clear 100 yards from the wire he shot past them both.

In my pick 6 ticket I singled the 7 but I wouldn't say that's a strong single.

[pointman]

I didn't use him in my now defunct pk4, but I am going to put $20W on the 5 Saratoga Lullaby here at 7-1. The more I look at this race, the more I think the winner will be off the pace. $10DD 5-2. Maybe he can make an insane wide move before the turn turn, take the lead, and hold off the other horses.

[philcski]

Monba at 6/5 is ridiculous... there isn't a whole lot of pace in here, although I think Dominican could get back on track at the site of his biggest moment.

Grasshopper has been too bad to believe this year.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by pointman

I didn't use him in my now defunct pk4, but I am going to put $20W on the 5 Saratoga Lullaby here at 7-1. The more I look at this race, the more I think the winner will be off the pace. $10DD 5-2. Maybe he can make an insane wide move before the turn turn, take the lead, and hold off the other horses.

Hope you're right- that would probably lock up a carryover.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by philcski

By the way- in that 6th race the 3 was much the best. Tons of trouble and when he finally got clear 100 yards from the wire he shot past them both.

Thanks for pointing that out, I did not see the trouble the 3 had, will have to watch that race back again.

I would have had a terrific weekend if I bet place.

[Handicappy]

Originally Posted by pointman

I didn't use him in my now defunct pk4, but I am going to put $20W on the 5 Saratoga Lullaby here at 7-1. The more I look at this race, the more I think the winner will be off the pace. $10DD 5-2. Maybe he can make an insane wide move before the turn turn, take the lead, and hold off the other horses.

Desparation has set in. Your betting on a horse to make an insane move. good luck. He probably will.

[philcski]

Nice win by Reptilian Smarts and good ride by the kid. I'm glad my single lost.

[Handicappy]

Dominguez tried to get cute but this time it didn't work. Man Helsinki didn't show up at all.