New Pimlico Analyst

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

To demonstrate a case of what I'm talking about... think Shackleford before the Preakness.

The tv analyst on horseback made a huge deal about how washed out he was and how "everyone looks fine right now except for Shackleford. He's washed out, acting up, and looks like he's already run his race"

That behavior wasn't that unusual for him ... a lot of his form was established with the same type of behavior... and he went out and outgamed Animal Kingdom in the stretch to win that Preakness.

The focus should be on change of appearance and change of behavior. The handicapper is using past form as the basis for his betting decisions ... if a horse is washed out and acting up today, but was also washed out in each of his last few races ... big deal. I'm only interested when the new information suggests a change.

Wasn't it after the FOY that Romans said to be worried if he wasn't on his toes? Clearly that analyst didn't read the Form!

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Wasn't it after the FOY that Romans said to be worried if he wasn't on his toes? Clearly that analyst didn't read the Form!

All kidding aside, much as I hate that concept, this is exactly why Maggie talks about horses in relation to how they have looked in the past. Appearance is only relative.