Pure luck?

[Vegaskid]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Any competent handicapper who can read a toteboard can see when inside-info money is being bet. And the inside-info usually comes on the opinion of trainers, exercise riders, jockeys, and clockers

Sure, they might have an edge in rare situations (a first-time starter or layoff horse) ... but a lot of them are TERRIBLE at evaluating the other guys horse.

The "rare situations" are what I am referring to. Like the Peter Miller 1ster he made a huge score on (Laugh at Life). Granted, he did hide it from everyone (for his own personal gain) and also played it perfectly by manipulating the workouts, but he didn't know how good the other guys horses were. He just knew he was in a soft spot, and that the par for that race would be easy to top.