Attempt to pick 1,000 straight horses who fail to win

[ranger5830]

Today's duo made off with a relatively paltry $520 to bring the total so far up to $471,014.

[Calzone Lord]

Bums for today:

Finger Lakes Race #1: Beach Harber Man

Finger Lakes Race #3: Overloud

Finger Lakes Race #5: First Dine

Finger Lakes Race #7: Mom Proof

Hoosier Race #7: Great Sky Dancer

Mountaineer Race #1: Killian's Advice

Mountaineer Race #7: Cihangir

Presque Isle Downs Race #3: Moonshot Monkey

Presque Isle Downs Race #5: Desi's Demon

Parx Race #4: Libbys Legacy

Parx Race #10: Wild And Away

Suffolk Race #6: Tink's Tiger

[Calzone Lord]

The streak has ended on the 480th try.

Mom Proof (20/1 loading into the gate, but ended up going off at 37/1 odds won the 7th race at Finger Lakes)

He won a desperate 3-way photo finish...




It was only a 7 horse field. The horse who finished 7th and last was beaten less than 4 lengths. The final time for the mile was a jaw dropping slow 1:42.31

This was an OPEN claiming race for older males -- not condition -- OPEN! Turned out to be an unbelievably weak race and a 7lbs bug rider taking over for a journeyman beats me.

Dead at 480 and no one is happier about it than me. This challenge was brutally hard ... and anyone who thinks other wise is nuts and should try doing it themselves. Much bigger priced horses than this one have won on a daily basis. I've seen days where three or four different hundred dollar horses have won throughout the country on the same day.

Thanks for all the good record keeping Ranger.

[MaTH716]

Nice run at it Doug. Both attempts (10 wins & 1000 losses) have been very impressive (I can't even imagine the work and time consumed) and fun to watch.

[Calzone Lord]

Thanks.

[ninetoone]

Great job. Best thread since the Beulah racing thread.

[ranger5830]

First of all Doug, I would like to congratulate you on a job well done. I kind of underestimated what an undertaking I had signed up for when I agreed to track the losses involved in this challenge, but it was fun and I'm glad to have been along for the ride.

Up to and including Mom Proof, today's bums had a total of $1,619 bet on them which brings the final total to $472,633. Today's win yielded a total payout of $20,135.50, which cut the total lost to $452,497.50, or a $2 ROI of $0.08. Based on flat bets, the ROI on the 480 horses was $0.16.

I will try to do an epilogue at some point with more detailed information but that will be a massive undertaking so it might take a while.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

The streak has ended on the 480th try.

Mom Proof (20/1 loading into the gate, but ended up going off at 37/1 odds won the 7th race at Finger Lakes)

He won a desperate 3-way photo finish...




It was only a 7 horse field. The horse who finished 7th and last was beaten less than 4 lengths. The final time for the mile was a jaw dropping slow 1:42.31

This was an OPEN claiming race for older males -- not condition -- OPEN! Turned out to be an unbelievably weak race and a 7lbs bug rider taking over for a journeyman beats me.

Dead at 480 and no one is happier about it than me. This challenge was brutally hard ... and anyone who thinks other wise is nuts and should try doing it themselves. Much bigger priced horses than this one have won on a daily basis. I've seen days where three or four different hundred dollar horses have won throughout the country on the same day.

Thanks for all the good record keeping Ranger.

amazing thread and effort on your part. enjoyed reading it as it unfolded, and hate to see it end-altho i can understand you being glad it's done.

i thought this would be the harder of the two halves...percentage-wise, it turned out to be. interesting all the same-and i was hoping you could manage to do both!

[Indian Charlie]

It seemed like lately you were perhaps fatigued of this and going through the motions, instead of being anally disciplined like usual.

And by anally disciplined, I am not referring to your experience with MTConverse.

[Calzone Lord]

I was starting to get worn down between all of the handicapping, betting, figure making, working for the newspaper for Masters and PID Mile Week, and doing some other crazy track diagram task.

However, I don't really regret taking that horse.

Serling has a saying "bad horses win bad races" that I always thought was a little too generic ... but this race was the ultimate example of that.

I did tell you over the phone a week or two ago how the majority of the very few horses that have stepped up and surprised me in this challenge have been horses switching from journeyman riders to 7lbs bugs.

Not only do the bug riders get a weight break -- but the vet jocks tend to mail it in a bit on these type of horses in cheaper races.

Some of these 7lbs bugs will ride these horses with Calvin Borel in the Kentucky Derby like desperation. This bum winner today, the horse looked like he had no chance on the turn, and he bravely drove him through a narrow opening and came up the rail to win a 3-way photo.

[GPK]

The fact I am incredibly saddened by this speaks volumes to my lack of life.

Good effort, Doug.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by GPK

The fact I am incredibly saddened by this speaks volumes to my lack of life.

Good effort, Doug.

Thanks.

One of the bums just finished 7th beaten 52 lengths at 28/1.

At least it wasn't the shortest price one of the day that knocked me out.

5/1 was the shortest price of any horse during this entire challenge.

[pweizer]

Originally Posted by GPK

The fact I am incredibly saddened by this speaks volumes to my lack of life.

Good effort, Doug.

My feelings exactly. An amazing accomplishment.

Paul