Attempt to pick 1,000 straight horses who fail to win

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by pweizer

This is a really fascinating and entertaining thread. But, Doug--my main question is how can you follow so many tracks at one time and still have conviction in your opinions?

Your ability to do that alone makes you one of the greatest handicappers I know.

I've been working with CJ (cmorioles) the last few months in making performance figures for horses with him. Maybe I'm a little biased, but the CJ Performance figure and his pace figures are way better than Beyers, TG, Ragozin, and they aren't publicly available either.

Between the two of us, we make figures for every track in the country, so at a glance I can pull up every race in the country and look for spots where real handicaping appears worthwhile.

The rest is obviously all handicapping...and I still do have a trip note collection of future bet backs that has always been my bread and butter.

For this task, I'm simply using the CJ figures -- finding the least competitive horses -- and studying the past performances to make sure there are no angles I can see that should give a horse a chance to improve and win.

[Sightseek]

What happened to those great videos you were doing?

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

What happened to those great videos you were doing?

I just couldn't find the time to keep them up.

The one trip handicapping video I did where I took one-horse from each circuit as a bet-back for next time -- 3 of the 7 in the video won their next start (one of them by 8+ lengths at 30/1 odds) and even a few of the ones who didn't win their next start improved by a lot.

That's really my strongest advantage as a handicapper -- is to isolate the right kind of race to watch, watch it, and find the right horse to play back next time.

[Calzone Lord]

Bums for Tuesday


Finger Lakes Race #5: Dear Marylou

Hoosier Race #1: Stormin Sherman

Hoosier Race #2: My Friend Ann

Hoosier Race #3: Da Suga Man

Hoosier Race #5: Rapid Survivor

Presque Isle Downs Race #6: Mighty Missy

Suffolk Race #5: Speed Diva

Suffolk Race #7: Sociano's Legacy

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Bums for Tuesday


Finger Lakes Race #5: Dear Marylou

Hoosier Race #1: Stormin Sherman

Hoosier Race #2: My Friend Ann

Hoosier Race #3: Da Suga Man

Hoosier Race #5: Rapid Survivor

Presque Isle Downs Race #6: Mighty Missy

Suffolk Race #5: Speed Diva

Suffolk Race #7: Sociano's Legacy

One scratched -- the other 7 got crushed.

141 down, only 859 more to go.

[Calzone Lord]

Bums for Wednesday

Del Mar Race #8: Searfavoritesecret

Hoosier Race #3: My Friend Ann

Hoosier Race #9: Push Button

Northlands Park Race #7: Genie's Gem and Wee Blue Bayou

Penn National Race #9: I'm a Lumberjack

Portland Meadows Race #5: Maui and Me

Portland Meadows Race #6: Cougar Bob

Saratoga Race #3: Warrior Marie

Suffolk Race #4: Majestics Adonis

Suffolk Race #7: Say Sandy Baby

Suffolk Race #9: Bright Alice

Thistle Downs Race #6: Alexi's Gold

Woodbine Race #7: Liftoff Lady


Probably going to take a few days off while I'm away.

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Saratoga Race #3: Warrior Marie

That was close, you should have known better!

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Bums for Wednesday

Del Mar Race #8: Searfavoritesecret

Hoosier Race #3: My Friend Ann

Hoosier Race #9: Push Button

Northlands Park Race #7: Genie's Gem and Wee Blue Bayou

Penn National Race #9: I'm a Lumberjack

Portland Meadows Race #5: Maui and Me

Portland Meadows Race #6: Cougar Bob

Saratoga Race #3: Warrior Marie

Suffolk Race #4: Majestics Adonis

Suffolk Race #7: Say Sandy Baby

Suffolk Race #9: Bright Alice

Thistle Downs Race #6: Alexi's Gold

Woodbine Race #7: Liftoff Lady


Probably going to take a few days off while I'm away.

13 of them ran -- all of them 5th or worse other than the Saratoga scare.

154 down, only 846 more to go.

[pweizer]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

I just couldn't find the time to keep them up.

The one trip handicapping video I did where I took one-horse from each circuit as a bet-back for next time -- 3 of the 7 in the video won their next start (one of them by 8+ lengths at 30/1 odds) and even a few of the ones who didn't win their next start improved by a lot.

That's really my strongest advantage as a handicapper -- is to isolate the right kind of race to watch, watch it, and find the right horse to play back next time.

It was really good stuff.

Paul