Soumillion on Librettist

[philcski]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

Those 3yo races for Sleeping Indian were a maiden and a listed race, both far below the level he's facing here. It is of interest to me to look at the comment lines for his last five races (not including the trouble filled Foret):

10/14-7f...led over 2f out, held well
9/15-7f.....rallied to lead 1f out, held gamely
10/15/05-7f.......led over 1f out, headed 170y out
9/24/05.-8f....weakened final furlong
9/8/05-7f......led 1f out, caught on line

It also has the comment "faded" for the 8f Sussex last year. To me, when I see the running styles of the other contenders, Aragorn, Librettist, Araafa, and even Echo of Light, they all seem to have the same one and would be in the same position as Sleeping Indian going around that final turn and he doesn't seem to have the same finishing power as the others do.

I don't say that he's totally without a shot here but he's the longest shot of the Euros for me. I do respect Gosden having watched him for years here in Southern Cali but I think this one is in just a big over his head. Perhaps in a smaller field, I'd give him more of a shot.

This has been duly noted, however the courses in Europe are much more tiring, perhaps the firmness will allow him to get the extra furlong. Worth a gamble at 30,40-1.