Breeders Cup Handicapping Thoughts.

[hockey2315]

I disagree about Northern Passion's pedigree for dirt. . . I wouldn't say she'll move up on it, but I could see her handling it--especially with the fact that Casse opts to go here. Her dam's a full to Canadian ch. 2yo filly Ginger Gold, a MSW on dirt and second in the GI Selene S. over surface and distance. I also don't think Northern Passion has a turf action. I think there's a sneaky horse in this race if it collapses, and Northern Passion's that horse.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I disagree about Northern Passion's pedigree for dirt. . . I wouldn't say she'll move up on it, but I could see her handling it--especially with the fact that Casse opts to go here. Her dam's a half to Canadian ch. 2yo filly Ginger Gold, a MSW on dirt and second in the GI Selene S. over surface and distance. I also don't think Northern Passion has a turf action. I think there's a sneaky horse in this race if it collapses, and Northern Passion's that horse.

This is a good betting race. I can see a nice price coming in on this one.

[lemoncrush]

Agree with trying to beat Turbulent Descent. In addition to Switch and Tanda, I like Musical Romance and Great Hot as exotic possibilites.

But in the juvy Fillie Turf, I'm not read to toss Somali Lemonade just because of her post.Didn't Pluck win from way outside last year in the Juvy Turf race at the same distance?

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

Agree with trying to beat Turbulent Descent. In addition to Switch and Tanda, I like Musical Romance and Great Hot as exotic possibilites.

But in the juvy Fillie Turf, I'm not read to toss Somali Lemonade just because of her post.Didn't Pluck win from way outside last year in the Juvy Turf race at the same distance?

Somali is a deep closer, Im not sure the post hurts her that much.

[Thoroughbred Fan]

If I play this sequence, it'd be:

Secret Circle
Dear Lavinia, Elusive Kate, Northern Passion, Pure Gossip, Somali Lemonade
Pomeroys Pistol, Turbulent Descent
My Miss Aurelia

[Linny]

I agree with Calzone on TD. Too many questions as a likely short price. Switch looks like the obvious alternative. I'm looking for some sort of potential bomb underneath in this race as nce you get by the top 2 or 3 it's very wide open.

In the JFTurf, I'll keep Dayatthespa in the mix for exotics. Her Natalma from post 11 was not bad at all and she showed some rating gear sprinting at Saratoga in her debut. Chad Brown has plenty of experience at the big dance an Ramon rides.

[fantini33]

Originally Posted by Linny

I agree with Calzone on TD. Too many questions as a likely short price. Switch looks like the obvious alternative. I'm looking for some sort of potential bomb underneath in this race as nce you get by the top 2 or 3 it's very wide open.

In the JFTurf, I'll keep Dayatthespa in the mix for exotics. Her Natalma from post 11 was not bad at all and she showed some rating gear sprinting at Saratoga in her debut. Chad Brown has plenty of experience at the big dance an Ramon rides.

Thought Dayatthespa warrants some attention. IMO, Ramon gave her a pretty impatient ride up at Woodbine (maybe out of circumstances), only to get caught by a couple late. Would probably not have tired if not for being hustled into a close stalking trip from the wide post. Could sit a nice trip here at a price.

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by Linny

I agree with Calzone on TD. Too many questions as a likely short price. Switch looks like the obvious alternative. I'm looking for some sort of potential bomb underneath in this race as nce you get by the top 2 or 3 it's very wide open.

In the JFTurf, I'll keep Dayatthespa in the mix for exotics. Her Natalma from post 11 was not bad at all and she showed some rating gear sprinting at Saratoga in her debut. Chad Brown has plenty of experience at the big dance an Ramon rides.

I am seriously considering Champagne d'Oro as my underneath bomb in the FM Sprint, hoping she hasn't fallen off as far as she appears to have. Cannot think they are running her just to run.