Giacomo = No chance

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

So,you started a thread to warn people that a 30/1-40/1 shot isn't gunna hit the board(no matter the pace.)Isn't that right? Do you really want everybody to start a thread about the longshots they don't think will hit the board?

Anyways,no 'Pent,haven't seen anything written by the lune you mentioned,but I don't check the old board.

Well.....yeah sort of.
Basically I just wanted to start a thread to see if there were a lot of people who agreed with avance2000 about giacomo being an "interesting" horse in the race. I suppose I could have started the thread by just asking "What do people think about Giacomo's chances?" but I just figured I would jump right in with my opinion. As for the other longshots, if people wanted to start threads that became discussions about the horse's chances....I really would not have a problem with it. If I was interested........I would read it and if I was not......I wouldn't.
And as I said before....I really would not mind if there was a thread about every horse in the classic. I think it might help people cap the race.

Anyway scuds, I am sorry that expressing my opinion about a Kentucky Derby winner's chances in the BCC pissed you off so much. That was not my intention.

[repent]

Originally Posted by miraja2

And as I said before....I really would not mind if there was a thread about every horse in the classic..

good gosh,
please no Brother Derek, Suave, or Super Frolic threads.

I would not have picked BroDerek to win any of those Cal Cup races today, much less the BCC.


Repent

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by repent

good gosh,
please no Brother Derek, Suave, or Super Frolic threads.

I would not have picked BroDerek to win any of those Cal Cup races today, much less the BCC.


Repent

See I think a thread like that would be fun. Who will finish first among those horses? How many lengths will they be defeated by? I say let's debate mediocrity!!!!!!

[avance2000]

Originally Posted by miraja2

Well.....yeah sort of.
Basically I just wanted to start a thread to see if there were a lot of people who agreed with avance2000 about giacomo being an "interesting" horse in the race. I suppose I could have started the thread by just asking "What do people think about Giacomo's chances?" but I just figured I would jump right in with my opinion. As for the other longshots, if people wanted to start threads that became discussions about the horse's chances....I really would not have a problem with it. If I was interested........I would read it and if I was not......I wouldn't.
And as I said before....I really would not mind if there was a thread about every horse in the classic. I think it might help people cap the race.

Anyway scuds, I am sorry that expressing my opinion about a Kentucky Derby winner's chances in the BCC pissed you off so much. That was not my intention.

my point was this: you can't really make a case that giacomo is going to be a factor in this race, but nobody could really make a case for him before last year's deby either. that didn't stop him then.
are horses like invasor and bernardini better than giacomo......yes! but so were afleet alex and bellamy road.
a lot of these horses have question marks:
-will they like the dirt?
-will they like ch. downs?
-will a huge crowd spook them?

giacomo has already answered all of those questions......on this track...at this ditance. i think that is significant.
if you want to go on the record saying he won't hit the board....that is fine with me.....but i disagree with scuds......i think you are making a significant statement miraja. it is significant because in my mind you are just wrong. i'll go on the record now....giacomo will be one of the first four horses to cross the finish line. period.

[Pointg5]

I made a similar post about Jazil before the Belmont, that worked out well for me...

Giacomo's numbers give him the ability to run 3rd and possibly 2nd with a meltdown, also PD's numbers are very similar to last year, there's no reason he can't run 3rd again...

CR mentioned this about a month ago, the key to the tri is to get someone that no one is expecting to run 2nd, and I think that could be LR and if FA is back, he could do it. Bash LR all you want, but his numbers are solid coming in here...