BC SPRINT: Pre-Entrants

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

I think H Hughes is an o.k. single(if that's the way you think it will go.)The horse breaks well,and rates in 2nd nicely.That takes a lot of b.s. out of the equation right there.Seems the post is not all that important with this horse.Wouldn't want more outside than the 10 hole though. He should try to take the lead at the top of the stretch,and we will see if anyone can go with him.Bordonaro is not as consistently as good a breaker.He often gets good position a furlong in,but with a large field he may have to sit back in 3rd or something,and I think he is better when on or tied for the lead going into the turn.The horse likes it quiet around the barn etc.(not a great shipper.)Theoretically he and Henny should come to the wire together,but (of the 2 horses) I think Bordonaro is the more likely to get trouble,or not fire. TM Bling needs a middle to outside post(even the widest post might not bother him.)I wouldn't play him or Siren Lure if he get posts 1-4.TM BLING'S jock has shown time and again that he is clueless about how to get a horse outside from an inside post.From posts 1-4,he will simply sit forever behind horses,and try to come wide when the race is well over.Solis may be able to get through on the inside(as he has done before with this horse,)but don't count on him getting through.Use these 2 horses only from middle posts on out.Bling can sit outside in 4th or so,and have a shot.Siren Lure does not have his speed,and will have to come through traffic(what a btch of a feat that is in this race.)Same for the Mint filly.Kaenel found trouble,and came around horses at Keeneland.Well,these boys aren't gunna wait for her,she gets through the 1st time(clean,)or she gets a zero.I think the reason why posts,and field size are so important in the sprint is because you have virtually no margin for error.If you have to wait at all,you are in trouble,because the horses just off the lead aren't gunna hang for ya like in most sprints.If you have to wait,you won't catch somebody that rides their horse correctly.Simple as that.

pretty good analysis, I also want no part of horses that will have to wait, come from behind, go wide, etc. Most likely they'll lose to a horse in the lead pack that gets a clean trip.