Derby Notebook/Earnings (4/17); Soldat sharp in last FL drill

[Linny]

If Jaycito gets to the Lex, he should be a go for Churchill. I see him as the best 10f prospect but I don't like it when a horse has any "blips" along the path. Of course, this year, who knows? It's a complete mess and the distinct lack of starts for most of the more legit horses makes it worse.

[analyizethis]

There will be injuries and defections. In previous years how far down the list did they usually go?