KY Derby field taking shape

[justindew]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

There will be at least two horses who go off at 50/1 or more this year.

Among last years group - every single horse in the race looked like a terrible and hopeless chance on paper coming in. Even people who try to bet the race seriously were lost.

Even without Uncle Mo - it's still 95% you won't have a Derby where very little if anything seperates the favorites from the 12th choice in the betting.

The people betting Backtalk last year were not the same people who would have bet Eskendraya.

[justindew]

The reason Mine That Bird was 50-1 instead of 150-1 was because of Giacomo. And the reason Backtalk was 20-1 instead of 120-1 was because of Mine That Bird.