Chuchill Post Positions

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

post 10 for Goldikova.. I personally don't think it will be a problem for her.

Basically - according to the numbers - in 1 out of every 50 or so turf races - a horse breaking from post position 10 is best but doesn't win solely because of its draw. There's a big sample size behind that.

She's basically starting with a bit of a disadvantage - sometimes they can work good trips out from there .. other times things happen where the tiny disadvantage turns into a much bigger one ... I don't think that draw is a big factor but it sure doesn't help her.

[JJP]

Goldikova is a go-against IMO. Bad post; who really was best in last year's Mile? When they go 45 1/5 and 1:08 and change, you really have to downgrade Goldikova's close to win. Gladatorius and Cowboy Cal were the pace setters and they finished 9th and 10th. Courageous Cat probably ran the best race.

Then you look at her form this year; she beats Paco Boy by a neck, a neck and a half length. They are basically even and Goldi will be 1-1 and Paco Boy 9-2 or so? I also think Gio Ponti will beat her. Looks like a great even money to play against.