Presque Isle at a mile

iamthelurker · #1 08-17-2010, 06:34 PM

I was saying I dont understand you to clyde.

Before I was just asking you how you would approach handicapping the race knowing that its a short run into the first turn. With the stats so against the outside posts, did you still bet the 9?

The Indomitable DrugS · #2 08-17-2010, 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

Before I was just asking you how you would approach handicapping the race knowing that its a short run into the first turn. With the stats so against the outside posts, did you still bet the 9?

If the 9 in that race was breaking from posts 1 through 5 he would have been a near cinch. He had the best last race Beyer in the entire field - and the most early speed in the field.

However, because he had post 9, even with all closers to his inside - you basically had to hope he was ridden very aggressively. Which he was.

All meet long, jockeys aren't gunning horses early in routes. So - it would have been a tricky call. You bet at 13/1 and the rider bides his time, gets hung wide, and you're off the board. You don't bet at 13/1 and you watch him gun him - get a loose early lead - and win by a city block.