What % Chance Of SS Winning The Triple?

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

I don't know. Is the field for the Preakness set?

SS hasn't really run a 'huge' race and he got a very, very nice trip in the Derby. Not only did he save ground but he was nicely positioned just behind the fast pace. I suppose if he gets an absolutely perfect trip again he wins. If he's asked to do some of his own running, however, he hasn't show, to this point, except for the CD race, that he can do it. Combine this with low odds and 'no thanks'.

I think this is the first time I've ever agreed with you.

[Indian Charlie]

Am I the only person who thinks Super Saver runs his best races, by far, at CD?

I think he's a terrible bet in the Preakness.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Am I the only person who thinks Super Saver runs his best races, by far, at CD?

I think he's a terrible bet in the Preakness.

Did you see the PPs for the Preakness? Not much there.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Did you see the PPs for the Preakness? Not much there.

Yep.

Schoolyard Dreams, for instance. He's not much.

How'd he do in the Wood and the TB race?

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Yep.

Schoolyard Dreams, for instance. He's not much.

How'd he do in the Wood and the TB race?

You are resting your hopes on Schoolyard Dreams? Tampa was months ago, new ballgame now.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

You are resting your hopes on Schoolyard Dreams? Tampa was months ago, new ballgame now.

Not at all man.

Just pointing out that one mediocre horse was pretty much on even terms with SS, and then came back and got his ass kicked badly.

In fact, in the Wood, the winner might never run again and the third place horse came back lame in his next start.

I think the Wood exposed the TBD race as being even weaker than everyone originally thought.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Not at all man.

Just pointing out that one mediocre horse was pretty much on even terms with SS, and then came back and got his ass kicked badly.

In fact, in the Wood, the winner might never run again and the third place horse came back lame in his next start.

I think the Wood exposed the TBD race as being even weaker than everyone originally thought.

Or Esken's performance was overrated?

[reese]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Am I the only person who thinks Super Saver runs his best races, by far, at CD?

I think he's a terrible bet in the Preakness.

I think Super Saver can run outside of CD. He won his second career race, 1 mile at Belmont in slop, on 9/09 by 7 lenghts.

I think Super Saver is live in the Preakness. He has speed, not a plodder.
The Belmont is another story though.

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by reese

I think Super Saver can run outside of CD. He won his second career race, 1 mile at Belmont in slop, on 9/09 by 7 lenghts.

I think Super Saver is live in the Preakness. He has speed, not a plodder.
The Belmont is another story though.

Key word, slop, exactly what he caught at CD in the Derby...

Frankly Super Saver is a terrible bet in the Preakness. On a fast track he's no better than Dublin and frankly Dublin will get back to winning when the owners realize he's a closing sprinter, but to be honest any one of a host of runners can challenge Super Saver on a fast track in the Preakness.

[slotdirt]

I can't blame folks who want to look at Schoolyard Dreams in this race - if he goes. He was on more than even terms with Super Saver at Tampa this winter.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

I can't blame folks who want to look at Schoolyard Dreams in this race - if he goes. He was on more than even terms with Super Saver at Tampa this winter.

That's kind of a tough comparison to make when Super Saver was making his first start of 2010.

NT

[slotdirt]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

That's kind of a tough comparison to make when Super Saver was making his first start of 2010.

NT

Well, it's not like his second start (or third really, if we're being fair) were that much better.