Belmont Race 2 Kicks off the 1st Pick 4, Thoughts

Originally Posted by Gander

Hey Mwindu, I cant fault your picks because I havent looked at a form but one thing jumps out at me- VERY, VERY LOGICAL! What are you expecting to make betting a $1 pick 4 using basically nothing but chalk in every race? You have no singles and you are using the morning line favorites in every single race. I think the only horse of low odds you threw out was the horse Gomez is riding in the 3rd.

Maybe try and find a single or even two singles, cut down the number of horses you are using in the 3rd race, and go for $5 pick 4's instead of $1.

Otherwise, why even bother? You'd be just as well off using that $72 for a show parlay or finding one horse to bet to win.

Tim you would be surprised what a pik-4 can pay on a big day like this with a couple of 3rd choices winning!!! And ML odds mean NOTHING, its the odds when they are wagered on that matter.
Pletcher couldnt lose the 2nd and I was pumped. Cough,cough said the horse and hes gonna be scratched. Damn shame, he was a sure thing single.

[Gander]

Like I said, I havent looked at anything and I am never a believer in morning line odds, but in this case it seems like Jeff has a ton of horses who will land as the chalk in each respective race. Just think it would be wiser to find at least one single in that sequnce and up the number of times you will hit it if he does hit it.

A 4 race show parlay starting with $72 could also pay very well using 3rd choice type horses in each race. And you have a far better chance hitting one of those as you dont have to nail winners.