Dubai Carnival Contest III

[brockguy]

Scores after Day 1 - I mightnt be as quick to put up the results in subsequent weeks. It was a decent day for a few, notably dylbert who napped Gloria in the big race at generous odds of 12-1 and hit the only exacta when Lizards Desire beat King Of Rome. Still though, plenty more to play for and the fact that the exacta is included means that people can make big hits and come from near last to the top.

Today's winners and their odds (in decimal form) are as follows:
Raihana 3.75
Lizards Desire 3.25
Drunken Sailor 6
Sir Gerry 26
Whispering Gallery 2.5
Gloria De Campeao 13
Leahurst 2.37



1. dylbert +690.5
2. Port Conway Lane +150
3. ryonker1 +51.2
4. The Bart +40
5. gamblin4ever +28.6
6. viscount26 +0
7. my miss storm cat -38.8
8. Roc525 -42.5
9. NoChanceToDance -106.3
10. PatCummings -145
11. peetsa -170.3
12. mclem0822 -212.5
13. chucklestheclown -255
14. Arletta -287.5
15. Hickory Hill Hoff -312.5
16. jaripeo -326.3
16. NTamm1215 -326.3
18. brockguy -350 (considering Ive been last in the 2 previous carnivals, this isnt a good sign)

If anyone has any queries regarding the scoring, just let me know

[my miss storm cat]

Wow that was fast!

Cheers to all who had a good day and thanks Brock for running this contest again.

Any word on Ajtebi? Hope he's alright...

[PatCummings]

Picks for Thursday, DIRC Night 2

Race 1 - 6 Sovereign Remedy, 11 Masaalek
Race 2 - 10 Stoic, 4 Mutheeb
Race 3 - 2 Mr Crazy Boy, 1 Musir
Race 4 - 7 Tartan Gigha, 3 Walzertraum
Race 5 - 6 Alo Pura, 11 Terrific Challenge
Race 6 - 9 Naval Officer (nap), 2 Oiseau De Feu
Race 7 - 2 Age of Reason, 12 Sabotage
Race 8 - 4 King of Rome, 1 Hot Six

[NoChanceToDance]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Picks for Thursday, DIRC Night 2

Race 1 - 6 Sovereign Remedy, 11 Masaalek
Race 2 - 10 Stoic, 4 Mutheeb
Race 3 - 2 Mr Crazy Boy, 1 Musir
Race 4 - 7 Tartan Gigha, 3 Walzertraum
Race 5 - 6 Alo Pura, 11 Terrific Challenge
Race 6 - 9 Naval Officer (nap), 2 Oiseau De Feu
Race 7 - 2 Age of Reason, 12 Sabotage
Race 8 - 4 King of Rome, 1 Hot Six

I hate to jinx your selections, Pat, but looking at the notes I made last night, I have a strong feeling that my selections will be very similar. I strongly fancy Mutheeb and Tartan Gigha. I'm going with Naval Officer, too.

Sabotage is also going to be included, I think. He has plenty of stamina and a real nice racing weight.

I will apologise now if these ones run as if they have three legs.

Will post my final selections shortly

[my miss storm cat]

Hey Brock...

Because of time limitations (sans pp's ) I only want to make picks for one race tomorrow... is that alright?

If not, I understand.

If so...

Race 3... Musir, Black Snowflake (alt. Mr. Crazy Boy)

(Not copying Pat either ... I've kept track of the 2 De Kock runners on the South Africa thread.and Black Snowflake is an awefully nice horse )

[Arletta]

R1) #6 Sovereign Lady (#10)
R2) #3 Khor Dubai (#4)
R3) #2 Crazy Boy (#1)
R4) #7 Tartan Gigha (#3)
R5) #6 Alo Pura (#11)
R6) #9 Naval Officer (#2)
R7) #4 Titurel (#2)
R8) #4 King of Rome (#1)

[NoChanceToDance]

Thursday selections:

R1 - Sovereign Remedy (alt; Abbashiva), Al Arab (alt; Liberation)
R2 - Mutheeb (alt; Gallagher), Stoic (alt; Across The Rhine)
R3 - Musir (alt; Olympic Danz), Fareej (if he runs) (alt; Coeur Loyal)
R4 - Tartan Gigha (NAP) (alt; Aspectus), Soy Libriano (alt; Walzertraum)
R5 - Classic Blade (alt; Awinnersgame), Sir Gerry (alt; Mac Gille Eoin)
R6 - Naval Officer (alt; Front House), Alexandros (alt; Crowded House)
R7 - Sabotage (alt; Age Of Reason), Red Rock Canyon (alt; Montaff)
R8 - Hot Six (alt; Captain Webb), Ask The Butler (alt; King Of Rome)


A couple of races here have taken plenty of guess work. For instance, the sprint looks to me to be the hardest race on the card. I've chosen Classic Blade as my main big, basically on older form, which was very good. The prep run latest looked like some kind of revival, and the best form shown has been when allowed to run close to the pace. An outsider with a big chance in a very open race in my opinion.

Disappointed with the predicted odds of Tartan Gigha, but he's my nap and quite honestly, I think he will win.

Mutheeb is my second best bet on the card, he probably needed his first start for a while last week behind the very impressive (group horse in the making) Leahurst. He showed good form back in the UK and should go very close.

Everybody has been raving about Naval Officer in recent weeks, and if he doesn't win, there will be many sad faces in the Barton camp.

Hot Six is the most interesting horses tomorrow, a regular in Gr1 races recently, those Gr1's that he won probably aren't anything to shout about, but he's shown he useful and with Bary looking to have his string in good form he's of obvious interest in a trappy looking final race, along with Ask The Butler who seems to enjoy running from a layoff and is a battle hardened handicapper at this distance and should give a good account.

[brockguy]

Scores after Day 2 - Quite a successful day for many, with a lot of winners and exactas hit. Remember there is racing again tomorrow. I probably wont have the scores updated until Saturday though

Today's winners and their odds (in decimal form) are as follows:
Al Arab 12
Mutheeb 7
Musir 2.625
Mr Brock 7
Global City 4.5
Alexandros 2.75
Age Of Reason 4.5
King Of Rome 2.75


Position This week Last Week Total
1. dylbert +175.1 +690.5 +865.6
2. Port Conway Lane +170 +150 +320
3. Hickory Hill Hoff +606.1 -312.5 +293.6
4. Roc525 +276.25 -42.5 +233.75
5. Linny +111.2 0 +111.2
6. NoChanceToDance +101.2 -106.3 -5.10
7. my miss storm cat +28.75 -38.8 -10.05
8. ryonker1 -86.25 +51.2 -35.05
9. viscount26 -36.1 +0 -36.1
10. PatCummings +81.35 -145 -63.65
11. chucklestheclown +166.6 -255 -88.4
12. The Bart -182.5 +40 -142.5
13. peetsa -43.75 -170.3 -214.05
14. mclem0822 -7.4 -212.5 -219.9
15. gamblin4ever -321.25 +28.6 -292.65
16. NTamm1215 +0 -326.3 -326.3
17. hoovesupsideyourhead -360 0 -360
18. Arletta -123 -287.5 -410.5
19. jaripeo -265 -326.3 -591.3
20. brockguy -373.75 -350 -723.75



If anyone has any queries regarding the scoring, just let me know

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

It WAS a VERY good day!

[NoChanceToDance]

I started pretty well, but faded quickly before the end of the card. Very disappointed with Tartan Gigha today, perhaps he is going to be the nearly horse of the carniv this time around.

Wish I had used my nap on Mutheeb, who was a big fancy of mine today and won easily by the sounds of it.

Well done to everyone today.

[NoChanceToDance]

Friday's Selections:

R1 - Oasis Star (alt; Prohibit), Sol De Abgra (alt; Judd Street)
R2 - Allybar, Presvis (alt; Zulu Chief)......... yes, I've picked every runner!
R3 - Anmar (NAP) (alt; Monte Alto), Raise Your Heart (alt; Emirates Champion)
R4 - Desuetude (alt; Star Crowned), Prince Tamino (alt; Asset)
R5 - Munaddam (alt; Imbongi), Summit Surge (alt; Ans Bach)
R6 - Soneva (alt; Aspectoflove), Zirconium (alt; Synergy)
R7 - Cat Junior (alt; Secrecy), Olympic Election (alt; Caliming Influence)
R8 - Art Of War (alt; Rocks Off), Beauchamp Viceroy (alt, Rockette)

Well, not sure about you guys, but I found this a real head scratcher. Very difficult indeed!

I'm going on the hype alone with Oasis Star, I know little about the form, but I do know about many of the others, who aren't that special....... so this one could be a cut above.

Presvis will be odds on, but it's doubtful if he's 100% yet and the slow gallop is almost certain. Allybar's best form has been from the front and he can dictate.

Anmar is my nap, I thought he looked special when winning so so easily at Kempton. His form previous was good at a high level and he appears to be best left fresh, hence the reason why he's been off a further 80+ days. Raise Your Heart had very good form in hot handicaps in Ireland and is full of heart, one doubt would be the dreadful last run over hurdles.

Desuetude is getting another chance after losing the jockey as the gates opened last week, good form in Australia and this isn't the best of races. Prince Tamino often crops up in races of this nature and I can see him going well at a nice price. I'm no fan of Asset and I think he'll let people down.

Munaddam was almost my nap (you watch him bolt in now). He always goes well after a break and is most consistent at this level on turf, the tapeta should hold no fears and is sure to go close off a fair mark at a decent price. Imbongi is yet to win in Dubai and is fairly high in the weights, I think Summit Surge who also goes well fresh and is very useful could be the one, but I'm taking a punt on Munaddam under ideal conditions at a bigger price.

Zirconium is meant to be the real deal and with the form of the De Kock horses, you'd think this is over before it's started, but she is better over further and only a couple of these are mile specialists. One of those is Soneva who has shown good form, is now with a very astute trainer, with Fallon up, she could win what could turn out to be a tactical bettle, but I have no doubt that Zirconium is the better horse.

Cat Junior has frustrated me more times than I can remember, but I know for a fact that both Brian Meehan and Jamie Spencer believe he is better than anything that Brian has trained. The mile trip could be his optimum. He's definitley of Gr1 class and if he trys his best, he will win - but that isn't certain to happen. Olympic Election is another South American Gr1 winner of turf, and will have a good shot and be over priced again, like Al Arab today. I'm concerned that the race Secrecy won easily last time wasn't a great race. He has ability, but he is taking on Gr1 quality horses here, and although he could be that good, I just can't be sure after what he's shown - He could be a handicap blot and win easily, but i'll let him ride here.

The last is a job for the lucky pin. All of them have ability but many, many quirks. It's all about which horse puts it in. Art Of War is better than anything when on song, and I'll take a punt that he's on a 'going day'. Beauchamp Viceroy is thoroughly exposed but very consistant in this sort of race and should run well yet again, but is vulnerable to an improver (of which there could be several) but like I say, this race is full of ?????????

Good luck all.

[brockguy]

Tomorrow's picks
Race 1 - Matsunosuke , Cafe Racer alt So Shiny
Race 2 - Presvis, Zulu Chief alt Allybar (3 runner race I believe )
Race 3 - Fiery Lad, Raise Your Heart alt Monte Alto
Race 4 - Asset, Star Crowned alt Force Freeze
Race 5 - Summit Surge, Imbongi alt Stubbs Art
Race 6 - Zirconeum NAP, Cheyrac alt Indiana Gal
Race 7 - Secrecy, Hunting Tower alt Dunelight
Race 8 - Espiritu, Rocks Off alt Hello Morning

Best of Luck all..

[ryonker1]

Race 1 #7 Judd Street, #1 Calrissian (alt #5 Oasis Star)
Race 2 #1 Presvis, #3 Allybar (alt #4 Zulu Chief)
Race 3 #1 Fiery Lad, #10 Emirates Champion (alt #5 Anmar)
Race 4 #2 Asset, #3 Force Freeze( alt #6 Prince Tamino)
Race 5 #4 Munaddam, #10 Stubbs Art (alt #12 Wonder Lawn)
Race 6 #11 Synergy, #2 Aspectoflove (alt #5 Purple Sage)
Race 7 #5 Secrecy, #2 Snaafy (alt #4 Hunting Tower)
Race 8 #1 Art of War, #9 Rockette (alt #3 Rocks off)

thanks
Ron

[PatCummings]

Race 1 - #9 Frosty Secret, #5 Oasis Star (alt #11 So Shiny)
Race 2 - #1 Presvis, #3 Allybar (sub the other)
Race 3 - #1 Fiery Lad, #5 Anmar (alt #10 Emirates Champion)
Race 4 - #2 Asset, #3 Force Freeze (alt #8 Upton Grey)
Race 5 - #9 Noble Citizen, #2 Summit Surge (alt #1 Imbongi)
Race 6 - #10 Zirconeum NAP, #11 Synergy (alt #7 Yana)
Race 7 - #10 Olympic Election, #5 Secrecy (alt #7 Echoes Rock)
Race 8 - #9 Rockette, #6 Atila Sher Denon (alt #2 Beauchamp Viceroy)

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

race 1 pp 9 ffrosty secret/7 judd st
race 2 pp 3 allybar /1 presvis
race 3 pp 6 merchant marine/3 raise your hart
race 4 pp 3 force freeze /6 prince tambino
race 5 pp 4 mundahm /3 west side bernie
race 6 pp 6 chyrack / 10 zerconyum
race 7 pp 3 cat junior/2 snaffy
race 8 pp 9 rockett/5 great hawk

gl hooves

[mclem0822]

Race 1-#11 So Shiny #4 Matsunosuke alt-#5 Oasis Star
Race 2-#1 Presvis #4 Zulu Chief alt-#3 Allybar
Race 3-#10 Emirates Champion(nap)#1 Fiery Lad alt-#4 Mashaahed
Race 4- #3 Force Freeze #6 Prince Tamino alt-#7 Star Crowned
Race 5- #4 Munaddam #1 Imbongi alt-#2 Summer Surge
Race 6- #3 Ahla Wasahi #4 Soneva alt-#11 Synergy
Race 7- #5 Secrecy #4 Hunting Tower alt-#6 Dunelight
Race 8- #4 Espiritu #11 Swinging Sixties alt-#5 Great Hawk

Good Luck All!

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

1st) Frosty Secret #9 & So Shiny #11 (alt. #8)
2nd) Zulu Chief #4 (NAP) & Presvis #1 (alt. #2)
3rd) Anmar #5 & Fiery Lad #1 (alt. #7)
4th) Force Freeze #3 & Prince Tamino #6 (alt. #5)
5th) Barbecue Eddie #8 & West Side Bernie #3 (alt. #2)
6th) Synergy #11 & Yana #7 (alt. #10)
7th) Secrecy #5 & Poet #1 (alt. #10)
8th) Art Of War #1 & Beauchamp Viceroy #2 (alt. #10)

[my miss storm cat]

R1... Oasis Star, Instant Recall (alt. So Shiny)
R2... The scratch leaves 3 runners. Are we really playing this?
R3... no pick
R4... no pick
R5... Imbongi, Summit Surge (alt. Munaddam)
R6... Zirconium (NAP) and I don't care if there are such short odds... she is SO good! , Yana (alt. Synergy)
R7... Olympic Election, Secrecy (alt. Emerites Gold)
R8... no pick

[mclem0822]

Originally Posted by mclem0822

Race 1-#11 So Shiny #4 Matsunosuke alt-#5 Oasis Star
Race 2-#1 Presvis #4 Zulu Chief alt-#3 Allybar
Race 3-#10 Emirates Champion(nap)#1 Fiery Lad alt-#4 Mashaahed
Race 4- #3 Force Freeze #6 Prince Tamino alt-#7 Star Crowned
Race 5- #4 Munaddam #1 Imbongi alt-#2 Summer Surge
Race 6- #3 Ahla Wasahi #4 Soneva alt-#11 Synergy
Race 7- #5 Secrecy #4 Hunting Tower alt-#6 Dunelight
Race 8- #4 Espiritu #11 Swinging Sixties alt-#5 Great Hawk

Good Luck All!

Nice way to start my day, hope I can get a few more lots of catching up to do.

[brockguy]

Scores after Day 3 - Another successful day for players with a few hitting the big exactas in the 7th and 8th races as well as finding Barbecue Eddie.

Friday's winners and their odds (in decimal form) are as follows:
So Shiny 15
Allybar 4
Anmar 4
Force Freeze 3.75
Barbecue Eddie 26
Soneva 7.5
Snaafy 17
Kal Berg 17


Position Today Previous Total Total
1. Hickory Hill Hoff +762.5 +293.6 +1056.1
2. Linny +876.05 +111.2 +987.25
3. viscount26 +897.95 -36.1 +861.85
4. Port Conway Lane +400 +320 +720
5. dylbert -179.45 +865.6 +686.15
6. Roc525 +.55 +233.75 +234.3
7. NoChanceToDance +208.05 -5.10 +202.95
8. mclem0822 +237.5 -219.9 +17.6
9. ryonker1 -129.45 -35.05 -164.5
10. peetsa +9.05 -214.05 -205
11. my miss storm cat -200 -10.05 -210.05
12. gamblin4ever +0 -292.65 -292.65
13. The Bart -170.45 -142.5 -312.95
14. PatCummings -259.45 -63.65 -323.1
15. NTamm1215 +0 -326.3 -326.3
16. hoovesupsideyourhead +25.55 -360
17. chucklestheclown -325 -88.4 - 413.4
18. Arletta -100 -410.5 -510.5
19. jaripeo +2.11 -591.3 -589.19
20. brockguy -400 -723.75 -1123.75



If anyone has any queries regarding the scoring, just let me know