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  #1  
Old 11-04-2009, 06:28 PM
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DaTruth DaTruth is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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The same can apply to most paddock observations. You don't know what you are seeing unless you have a baseline comparison for the horse. I look for more important paddock indications like the redneck trainer dressed up before a stakes, or local owners not bothering to show up before an important race.
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  #2  
Old 11-04-2009, 06:45 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaTruth
The same can apply to most paddock observations. You don't know what you are seeing unless you have a baseline comparison for the horse. I look for more important paddock indications like the redneck trainer dressed up before a stakes, or local owners not bothering to show up before an important race.
One of the best betting angles of all at PID is when a local owner happens to show up for a race.

A couple of the guys tend to bring the entire yacht club with them .. and a lot of them will bet the horses into the teeth of the small pools as though odds mean nothing.

It's great stuff if you're lucky enough to be able to get action at track odds through a connection. Though, finding such a connection is not easy.

I most enjoy it when the trainers beam and rave about how much their horses "love this track!" before said horse has actually ever raced on it ... and when said horse inevitably flops when he races on it ... you often get a bitter helping of how the track is totally different in the morning than in the evening.

You know... if only the race had been run at 7AM instead of 7PM ... the horse would have won by four instead of finishing a perfect trip 6th at 5/2.
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  #3  
Old 11-04-2009, 11:12 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaTruth
The same can apply to most paddock observations. You don't know what you are seeing unless you have a baseline comparison for the horse. I look for more important paddock indications like the redneck trainer dressed up before a stakes, or local owners not bothering to show up before an important race.
I laughed.
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  #4  
Old 11-04-2009, 11:19 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by VOL JACK
I laughed.
The workout game in California is basically a cottage industry - they crave workout data out there more than anywhere else, all season long. I think it's mostly because, thanks to the weather, people don't really mind the long, toiling hours of doing it - even in the winter.

If about a third of the clocking that is done in California was done at other tracks, we'd have a tornado of additional data.
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  #5  
Old 11-04-2009, 11:33 PM
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DaTruth DaTruth is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PatCummings
The workout game in California is basically a cottage industry - they crave workout data out there more than anywhere else, all season long. I think it's mostly because, thanks to the weather, people don't really mind the long, toiling hours of doing it - even in the winter.

If about a third of the clocking that is done in California was done at other tracks, we'd have a tornado of additional data.
The information I crave is negative information. It is much more valuable to know when a horse is off his feed, was sick two days ago, or is just in the race to make the race go because the racing office has promised to write a race for another horse in the barn. Of course, the value of positive information goes up considerably when the horse in question is running for the first time or is making his American debut after being purchased overseas.
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  #6  
Old 11-05-2009, 09:10 AM
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2Hot4TV 2Hot4TV is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaTruth
The same can apply to most paddock observations. You don't know what you are seeing unless you have a baseline comparison for the horse. I look for more important paddock indications like the redneck trainer dressed up before a stakes, or local owners not bothering to show up before an important race.
Made me LOL too. Decide if the horse can RUN and learn how to tell if the horse wants to RUN.
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