10/24 (LRL): $300,000 Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash (G1)

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

speed horse shuffled back into the slop, has to wait, gets mixed up between horses down the stretch, to explode late....if you think thats a good trip then you are with the rest on this thread that said VH just aint very good.

I dont see anyone saying hes not that good. This race with the rail draw did not set up for him. I can now ADMIT, he is much much better then I thought, and GODOLPHIN IS ON FIRE.

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I dont see anyone saying hes not that good. This race with the rail draw did not set up for him. I can now ADMIT, he is much much better then I thought, and GODOLPHIN IS ON FIRE.

I just don't see why anyone would say it didn't set up for him. Didn't anyone watch the King's Bishop? He was inside all of those speed horses but he had enough speed to keep them from coming over on him and then he battled with another horse before putting him away and opening up a lead. If that race was 6f, he wins it easily. Today was shorter with less talented horses. He was by far the most obvious choice going in. Sometimes people get too carried away with thinking that it's stupid to play a horse just because he's a favorite and they start looking for things that aren't there.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

I just don't see why anyone would say it didn't set up for him. Didn't anyone watch the King's Bishop? He was inside all of those speed horses but he had enough speed to keep them from coming over on him and then he battled with another horse before putting him away and opening up a lead. If that race was 6f, he wins it easily. Today was shorter with less talented horses. He was by far the most obvious choice going in. Sometimes people get too carried away with thinking that it's stupid to play a horse just because he's a favorite and they start looking for things that aren't there.

I see what your saying, but taking 4-5 on him in this spot was insane IMO, I thought he would be 4-5,1-1 and he was.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I see what your saying, but taking 4-5 on him in this spot was insane IMO, I thought he would be 4-5,1-1 and he was.

against the likes of the great Ravalo and Ah Day...i mean think about that, those horses suck and the fact the trip he got is the only thing that made it a contest.

This horse is an elite level talent.

[Gander]

I disagree, I thought he had every chance to draw off and win this race by more than he did, I dont think the trip was that bad for a horse thats "an elite talent"...I agree with Rock Hard Ten here and personally would have been betting with both fists against him. Turns out I am glad I didnt bet but by no means was it stupid to try and beat this horse. If you keep playing horses like Vineyard Haven at 4/5, you'll end up taking a huge beating.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by Gander

I disagree, I thought he had every chance to draw off and win this race by more than he did, I dont think the trip was that bad for a horse thats "an elite talent"...I agree with Rock Hard Ten here and personally would have been betting with both fists against him. Turns out I am glad I didnt bet but by no means was it stupid to try and beat this horse. If you keep playing horses like Vineyard Haven at 4/5, you'll end up taking a huge beating.

If you keep playing against horses like this against grade 3 animals you will surely lose...thats my point, who says you have to play him, cant you pass the race?

Now Mrs Kipling later at SA, now thats a fav to bet against.

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by Gander

I disagree, I thought he had every chance to draw off and win this race by more than he did, I dont think the trip was that bad for a horse thats "an elite talent"...I agree with Rock Hard Ten here and personally would have been betting with both fists against him. Turns out I am glad I didnt bet but by no means was it stupid to try and beat this horse. If you keep playing horses like Vineyard Haven at 4/5, you'll end up taking a huge beating.

If you keep playing him at those odds against good horses, I agree. When he should be 8/5 and instead he's 4/5, you'll end up on the short end. But against fields like today, where he should be 1/2, you'll end up ahead if he keeps going off at 4/5.

[Gander]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

If you keep playing him at those odds against good horses, I agree. When he should be 8/5 and instead he's 4/5, you'll end up on the short end. But against fields like today, where he should be 1/2, you'll end up ahead if he keeps going off at 4/5.

Agree 100% with your logic, just not this particular case.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I see what your saying, but taking 4-5 on him in this spot was insane IMO, I thought he would be 4-5,1-1 and he was.

and I dont begrudge not liking his price, I just did not feel he was vulnerable.

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I see what your saying, but taking 4-5 on him in this spot was insane IMO, I thought he would be 4-5,1-1 and he was.

Then you don't take him but you don't have to play against him either. I didn't put it on this forum but I said on another one that he really had no reason to lose and should be 1/2.

[Gander]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

Then you don't take him but you don't have to play against him either. I didn't put it on this forum but I said on another one that he really had no reason to lose and should be 1/2.

I was too hungover to get my act together and get out and either bet at the simuldump or load up my phone account.

I see what you are saying King. They're favorites that I love and I will bet at prices like 4/5. Like Driven by Success in today's race. I would have swallowed the pride and taken the $3.60 no problem. Usually though when I just like a favorite, I'll pass the race.

Good logic, we just dont agree on this particular 4/5 shot (Vineyard Haven) who happened to win. I probably would have made a medium size win bet on Peace Chant at 10/1.