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Old 10-12-2009, 10:04 AM
parsixfarms parsixfarms is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Originally Posted by CSC
If anyone wants to go with Fatal Bullet early on they will pay the price, that is if Fatal Bullet goes to the lead at all. I don't necessarily think he needs it but rather it is his natural speed that puts him there, Dasilva reportedly didn't even use the stick(I'll have to watch the replay again) on Friday and though his odds aren't going to be near last year's odds, he's better than Gayago or Zensational IMO.
I thought E Z Dreamer ran a real big race in the Phoenix on Friday, especially in light of the fact that he was stepping up in class and had limited experience on synthetics. E Z Dreamer was pinned down inside, and Fatal Bullet was doing a pretty good job laying on him through the stretch. IMO, if their posts had been reversed, the result may have very well been reversed.
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Old 10-12-2009, 10:12 AM
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CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Originally Posted by parsixfarms
I thought E Z Dreamer ran a real big race in the Phoenix on Friday, especially in light of the fact that he was stepping up in class and had limited experience on synthetics. E Z Dreamer was pinned down inside, and Fatal Bullet was doing a pretty good job laying on him through the stretch. IMO, if their posts had been reversed, the result may have very well been reversed.
I just watched the replay, agree that E Z Dreamer ran a really good race, but the one thing that struck me when watching Dasilva ride FB was the word "prep". Dasilva left something in the tank for SA and quite honestly I think this race was more impressive on second viewing than when I first saw it. FB did it on his own courage and I would expect him to run a bigger race at SA, I'm not sure where the value will be but I don't think either Gayago or Zensational at what might be underlaid odds will be great bets with what they might have to face, based on his race last yr if he didn't run into freak like M Lute, he would be running for back to back titles.
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Old 10-12-2009, 01:58 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
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Originally Posted by CSC
I just watched the replay, agree that E Z Dreamer ran a really good race, but the one thing that struck me when watching Dasilva ride FB was the word "prep". Dasilva left something in the tank for SA and quite honestly I think this race was more impressive on second viewing than when I first saw it. FB did it on his own courage and I would expect him to run a bigger race at SA, I'm not sure where the value will be but I don't think either Gayago or Zensational at what might be underlaid odds will be great bets with what they might have to face, based on his race last yr if he didn't run into freak like M Lute, he would be running for back to back titles.
You make it sound like the rider was standing in the saddle hand-riding. FB was in a drive just like every other horse in the race. He should be more fit 2nd off the layoff and obviously is OK with Santa Anita, those are reasons to bet him, not because he didn't have a lot taken out of him in his prep.

NT
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Old 10-12-2009, 02:38 PM
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Originally Posted by NTamm1215
You make it sound like the rider was standing in the saddle hand-riding. FB was in a drive just like every other horse in the race. He should be more fit 2nd off the layoff and obviously is OK with Santa Anita, those are reasons to bet him, not because he didn't have a lot taken out of him in his prep.

NT
From what I saw it isn't likely a race where a regression is more likely rather than progression, the jock shook the reins inside 100 yards of the finish line where C Candyman couldn't make up the necessary difference. It was a very useful race in my opinion, but he certainly wasn't ridden to death to win it.
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