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  #1  
Old 10-04-2009, 07:26 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Uh what would be the synthetic equal to Haskell, Travers or Gold Cup?
I get what you are saying, but Ice said that he never trained well over synthetic. Back in the spring they experimented with turf to see if they could look at that race and while he didn't school well on turf either, I think Ice said he'd nominate for both the Classic and Turf.
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Old 10-04-2009, 07:27 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
I get what you are saying, but Ice said that he never trained well over synthetic. Back in the spring they experimented with turf to see if they could look at that race and while he didn't school well on turf either, I think Ice said he'd nominate for both the Classic and Turf.
He was actually with Sadler prior to going to Tim Ice and Sadler told the Jayaramans that he did not go well over synthetics at all.

NT
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  #3  
Old 10-04-2009, 07:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
He was actually with Sadler prior to going to Tim Ice and Sadler told the Jayaramans that he did not go well over synthetics at all.

NT

For me he is definitely the hardest horse to figure out as we get closer to the BC because he is clearly the best dirt horse at the distance, but knowing that he didn't work well previously on the surface leaves so many questions.
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Old 10-04-2009, 08:04 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Originally Posted by Sightseek
For me he is definitely the hardest horse to figure out as we get closer to the BC because he is clearly the best dirt horse at the distance, but knowing that he didn't work well previously on the surface leaves so many questions.
Considering his running style I don't think he's going to be a good fit at all on synthetics. He is a grinder who doesn't particularly have a burst of speed.

Of the two Triple Crown race winners that will be in the BC I'd prefer Mine That Bird but, after all, he did finish last on that surface last October.

NT
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  #5  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:17 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Considering his running style I don't think he's going to be a good fit at all on synthetics. He is a grinder who doesn't particularly have a burst of speed.

Of the two Triple Crown race winners that will be in the BC I'd prefer Mine That Bird but, after all, he did finish last on that surface last October.

NT
The Classic has the potential to be an amazing betting race if Sea the Stars, Zenyatta, and Summer Bird all run. They'd all take a ton of money and be huge play againsts.
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  #6  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:18 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Originally Posted by hockey2315
The Classic has the potential to be an amazing betting race if Sea the Stars, Zenyatta, and Summer Bird all run. They'd all take a ton of money and be huge play againsts.


Are you kidding me? STS is almost unbeatable over that track.
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  #7  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
For me he is definitely the hardest horse to figure out as we get closer to the BC because he is clearly the best dirt horse at the distance, but knowing that he didn't work well previously on the surface leaves so many questions.
But Ice on attheracesandbeyond was quoted as saying he doesn't think it will bother him at all. So who do you believe...
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Old 10-04-2009, 08:25 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
He was actually with Sadler prior to going to Tim Ice and Sadler told the Jayaramans that he did not go well over synthetics at all.

NT
That's Sadler's version. There's quite a bit he's leaving out. Everyone should reserve judgement about how Summer Bird gets over Santa Anita until they see him working.
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Old 10-04-2009, 08:28 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Originally Posted by Kasept
That's Sadler's version. There's quite a bit he's leaving out. Everyone should reserve judgement about how Summer Bird gets over Santa Anita until they see him working.
What Sadler's saying could easily be wrong but based on what has been effective on the Pro-Ride for years, I don't think Summer Bird's style will play well.

NT
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Old 10-04-2009, 08:41 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
What Sadler's saying could easily be wrong but based on what has been effective on the Pro-Ride for years, I don't think Summer Bird's style will play well.
NT
I have to disagree with this, the horses that seem to do well in general on poly/synth are one's that can reserve their energy in the body of their races and then make a 3/8ths surge when the real running starts. I don't know if SB's stride will take to pro ride but I surmise he will get the former part right atleast.
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  #11  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
I have to disagree with this, the horses that seem to do well in general on poly/synth are one's that can reserve their energy in the body of their races and then make a 3/8ths surge when the real running starts. I don't know if SB's stride will take to pro ride but I surmise he will get the former part right atleast.
i.e., horses who prefer turf to dirt...
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  #12  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
i.e., horses who prefer turf to dirt...
Or horses more like Midnight Lute and less like Fabulous Strike.
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  #13  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:50 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
I have to disagree with this, the horses that seem to do well in general on poly/synth are one's that can reserve their energy in the body of their races and then make a 3/8ths surge when the real running starts. I don't know if SB's stride will take to pro ride but I surmise he will get the former part right atleast.
You've seen Summer Bird unleash a powerful 3 furlong surge? I've completely missed it because his best efforts have been when he was able to stalk, make a gradual move and gallop his foes into the ground.

NT
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  #14  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
You've seen Summer Bird unleash a powerful 3 furlong surge? I've completely missed it because his best efforts have been when he was able to stalk, make a gradual move and gallop his foes into the ground.

NT
I understand your point and agree that is his strength, however I don't think it's wise to say he can't have a more quicker move on synth. I think it's widely understood that it is harder to quicken on dirt than it is on synth and or turf. We just have to wait and see how he works on it, he's got the right jockey for that style in Kent, he's just about the best at reserving a horse and bullrushing him into a hole when he wants to.
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  #15  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:38 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
That's Sadler's version. There's quite a bit he's leaving out. Everyone should reserve judgement about how Summer Bird gets over Santa Anita until they see him working.
I dont know how anyone can tell if a horse likes an artificial surface until they run over it in the afternoon.
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  #16  
Old 10-04-2009, 08:48 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I dont know how anyone can tell if a horse likes an artificial surface until they run over it in the afternoon.
Doesn't that hold true for any of the surfaces?
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  #17  
Old 10-04-2009, 10:08 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
Doesn't that hold true for any of the surfaces?
no
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