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#1
10-02-2009, 06:55 PM
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I dont think Fabulous Strike has to win tomorrow. I have a strong feeling they are going to go really nuts up front and Kodiak Kowboy is going to steal the show. Never been a huge fan of his but I think tomorrow is the time to bet him. People will be disuaded by his reputation for "not liking 6F" which is completely untrue and you may see the best price on him in a long time. Thinking the betting centers strongly around Fabulous Strike and Munnings, and maybe the Kowboy is let go at 4/1. You guys notice Asmussen has him back in his barn?
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#2
10-02-2009, 07:08 PM
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If FS loses it'll be to Munnings, but I don't see it happening at six furlongs.
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#3
10-02-2009, 07:23 PM
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#4
10-02-2009, 07:25 PM
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#5
10-02-2009, 07:25 PM
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#6
10-03-2009, 03:47 PM
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#7
10-03-2009, 03:49 PM
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It's been a rough year for weather on big race days... Kentucky Derby was sloppy, Louisiana Derby, Haskell, Travers, JCGC... odd.
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#8
10-02-2009, 07:50 PM
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Nice race, even with the short field.
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#9
10-02-2009, 07:55 PM
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#10
10-02-2009, 07:59 PM
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Thats the reason I like Kowboy. You think Ramon is going to just let Go Go Shoot get loose again? He (on Fab Strike) had to work very hard to get up in his last race and I doubt the pace scenario will roll that way again. I sense a strong pace duel developing and the Kowboy coming on late. The best myth in horse racing is that Kodiak Kowboy doesnt run well going 6F 
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#11
10-02-2009, 07:57 PM
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#13
10-02-2009, 10:03 PM
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I'd have a very, very hard time betting Kodiak Kowboy tomorrow. When a horse like him who makes one big run has been failing with terrific setups then it's not a good idea at all to take him going a trip that has never been his best. This race would be vastly different if it was 7 furlongs but, alas, it is not and thus he's going to have to be in high gear very early.
Go Go Shoot ran his eyeballs out last time but he was awfully dull when fresh earlier this year and while he's working well, he may need a race and be really tuned up for a race like the Sport Page later this month. I think this is Fabulous Strike's race to lose, obviously, but I'm going to use Peace Chant a bit as well. He likely needed a race going into the Forego and he was given what I considered to be an overly aggressive ride from a generally patient rider. He is a one-run closer but was too close to a hot pace and had no place to go through the last two and a half furlongs. If the rains come I think his chances may get marginally better as his dam, Safely Kept was 2 for 3 on wet tracks in her day and her offspring are a combined 4-10 on wet tracks. NT
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#14
10-03-2009, 08:29 AM
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1) aqu 4/4/09: huge run to get Fabulous Strike at wire in race where top 2 held to wire otherwise. 2) cd 5/2/09: no shot where Accredit wired on off track -- nothing ran from off the pace 3) pha 6/27/09: wiped out a field where he got a nice setup 4) sar 8/9/09: no shot as FS and GGS went 2-1 around the track, in race with very little movement 5) sar 9/5/09: one of three coming late in race that fell apart late. So he has a huge run in a race against the grain, and a wipe-out run in one of the 2 races where he got a 'terrific' setup. In the other such race, he's running with 2 other closers.
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#17
10-03-2009, 05:30 PM
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Andy, Freddy...what can I say..
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